1. Introduction
Urban ecological quality (UEQ) evaluation is an important field of urban ecology research and the basis of urban planning and ecological management. With the continuous expansion of urbanization, China’s cities have achieved medium-high quality development. However, social problems, such as resource exhaustion, an imbalance of economic structure and environmental pollution, do appear frequently. It is urgent to improve the capacity to implement urban sustainable development. In 2015, United Nations (UN) member states unanimously committed to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 [
1]. Although the urbanization process has improved people’s living standards, promoted the sustainable development of productive forces and provided economic benefits, it has also broken the balance between human society and the natural environment, and has brought great challenges to UEQ [
2,
3]. According to the 2018 Revision of World Urbanization Prospects [
4,
5], the urban population will account for 68% of the global population by 2050, which is an increase of 13% from 2018, and China’s urban population will increase by 255 million people. Cities cover less than 2% of the Earth’s surface, but consume 78% of the energy generated and produce 60% of greenhouse gas emissions [
5]. Additionally, urban land consumption outpaces population growth by approximately 50% [
6].
Such changes affect human survival and the sustainable development of the social economy [
7,
8,
9,
10]. Using UEQ measures to determine the status of the ecological environment could promote the sustainable development of regional economies [
8,
11,
12,
13,
14]. Therefore, the quantitative description and assessment of the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban ecological environments are emerging as leading research topics [
11,
15].
Numerous studies have been conducted on such an assessment from different perspectives, and several evaluation methods have been suggested. The pressure–state–response model and fuzzy evaluation methods are commonly used in ecological quality assessment. In recent years, geographic information system (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) technologies have provided efficient monitoring and analysis methods for ecological quality research and sustainable development. Progress in satellite-based Earth observation systems facilitates assessing the state of an ecosystem from local to global scales. The scale and scope of this research are expanding constantly. Index systems have been constructed using GIS to conduct strategic environmental assessment for regional and land-use planning [
16,
17]. In China, research on the ecological environment is based on the Technical Specifications for Ecological Environmental Assessment, promulgated by the National Environmental Protection Agency in 2006 [
18]. According to these specifications, the ecological environment index (EI) should encompass biological richness, air pollution, water network density, vegetation cover, land degradation and related factors. The EI is the main tool used to evaluate the quality of the ecological environment [
19]. However, as climatic and geological conditions differ across regions, the weight of each index must be adjusted accordingly. Currently, researchers mostly use manual processing, as weight allocation is not strictly required and evaluation criteria vary, making it extremely difficult to accurately compare urban ecological conditions. Therefore, a scientific and logical ecological quality assessment method is required.
The acceleration of urbanization has led to a series of ecological and environmental effects, such as reduced surface water transpiration and water quality. It is generally difficult to monitor these natural processes with on-site instruments. However, remote sensing technologies can provide quantitative physical data with high spatial and temporal resolutions to facilitate the quantitative monitoring and analysis of environmental effects. Among all of the environmental effects of urbanization, the thermal environment has received more attention. The urban thermal environment is an important representative indicator of the urban environment. It is influenced by the physical properties of the urban surface and human social and economic activities, and is a comprehensive summary and embodiment of urban ecosystems. Vegetation is another important component of urban ecosystems. Urban vegetation can selectively absorb and reflect solar radiation energy, adjust the latent and sensible heat exchange, regulate urban air, reduce pollution and other processes that affect the city’s natural environment and is another highly comprehensive index of urban ecological evaluation. The spatial distribution and richness of vegetation in cities have always been considered to have important effects on the evolution of the urban ecological environment.
The remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) combines humidity, greenness, heat and dryness indices obtained from RS, and facilitates the monitoring and evaluation of the UEQ. The RSEI, which was first proposed by Hu and Xu [
18], could aid in visualizing spatial and temporal analyses and predictions of change in the regional environment, thereby compensating for the deficiencies of the EI. This paper uses existing research from a new perspective to more accurately study urban socio-economic activity intensity and its relationship with the regional ecological environment. Using the RSEI will help in studying the interactions between human activities and natural ecology, and the resulting knowledge of theory, concepts and methods is expected to benefit local governments [
20]. In recent years, the RSEI has been applied in ecological quality monitoring in 35 cities of China [
19,
21,
22], Eurasia [
23] and America [
21,
23]. The RSEI and the results of principal component analysis (PCA) have been combined to develop an ecological index [
19,
24]. However, using the PCA results in insufficient information utilization, as the adaptive nature of PCA algorithms inevitably limits the full use of the available information. For example, the RSEI obtained in two studies using only the first component for normalization ranged from 60% to 90%, which cannot guarantee adequate contribution rates.
Accordingly, the aim of the current study is to improve the RSEI calculation method by proposing an improved-comprehensive remote sensing ecological index (IRSEI) constructed by employing PCA and equal weights (EW). Our study overcomes the shortcomings of previous studies, which only considered the application of PCA in ecological quality assessment, and the resolved knowledge gaps are reflected in the comprehensive consideration of EW and the PCA method to determine the UEQ. The contribution rates of the eigenvalues of PCA and EW are taken as the weights. This method enables the full use of the available data and ensures that the value of the calculated IRSEI is ecologically optimal. In addition, more indicators could be integrated and the IRSEI reduces noise interference and makes optimal use of practical image information. These factors facilitate the reliable and quantitative monitoring of the regional ecological environment.
A comparison and evaluation of the differences in quality in large cities can improve the cognitive ability of the internal mechanism of the reciprocal feed-back relationship between the construction of megacities and regional ecological balance, and can provide a scientific reference for controlling the scale of urban sustainable development and ecological planning and regulation. Wuhan is one of the fastest growing cities in central China, but few studies have been conducted on quantitative UEQ monitoring based on remote sensing data. Therefore, we used a series of parameters obtained from remote sensing imagery to construct the IRSEI for the evaluation of the UEQ of Wuhan city from 1995 to 2020. In addition to the UEQ, we determined the temporal and spatial changes in the city. We present a discussion of the ecological changes caused by economic and social developments and natural conditions. Finally, we provide theoretical guidance and a scientific basis for ecological construction in Wuhan city.
The objectives of this study are to:
- (1)
Use GIS and RS technology to construct the IRSEI efficiently by integrating multiple sensors, including the Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM), Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS);
- (2)
Monitor spatial and temporal changes in UEQ in Wuhan from 1995 to 2020;
- (3)
Explore the spatial differentiation characteristics of the IRSEI in Wuhan.
3. Results
3.1. Attributing Factors
A comparison of the spatial distributions of the four ecological factors in the study area (
Figure 3) shows high levels of land surface moisture close to and alongside the Yangtze River, which extends in the central part of Wuhan from west to east. The NDVI is high on the northeast side, along the Yangtze and Han rivers, the central part of Wuhan and in patches in the south and east. Comparing the NDVI, LST and moisture maps shows that moderate temperature and moisture are the most favorable conditions for vegetation growth, whereas extreme weather conditions can damage plant vitality. The temperature and moisture conditions are moderate in the study area and the NDVI is remarkably high. A high LST is detected in the southern part of Wuhan, with some patches in the north and east. A moderate LST is detected in the central part of Wuhan. The NDBSI does not display much variation, as most of the study area is covered by agricultural land (
Figure 3).
To test the representativeness of the index IRSEI, we calculate the correlation coefficients among IRSEI, WET, NDVI, NDSI and LST in the same period (
Table S1, Supplementary Materials), and test the applicability of the model through average correlations. From 1995 to 2015, the average correlation of IRSEI with the other variables is the highest, ranging from 0.60 to 0.70. The mean correlation of IRSEI over this period was 0.64, which indicates that IRSEI integrates most of the information embodied in all four indicators. It is more representative than any single indicator and can better reflect the ecological situation.
3.2. Spatial and Temporal Distribution of UEQ in Wuhan
Generally, higher IRSEI values are associated with higher levels of greenness and moisture, whereas lower IRSEI values are directly proportional to dryness and temperature. This implies that high IRSEI values represent positive ecological conditions.
As shown in
Figure 4, the IRSEI increases from 0.79 to 0.98 from 2010 to 2015, indicating improved ecological conditions. However, from the second half of 2015 up to 2020, its value drops to 0.82, indicating deterioration. Comparing the values from 2010 to 2020 indicates overall improved conditions, as the IRSEI increases from 0.79 to 0.82. However, the maximum values (1.09, 1.03 and 0.96) decline continuously, indicating that high-quality IRSEI conditions are declining continuously. Further, low-quality IRSEI conditions improve in the first half of the study period (1995 to 2005); however, in the second half (2005 to 2020), these conditions decline and reach their previous stage. Our findings also show maximal variation in the median IRSEI values, i.e., indicating the recovery of favorable conditions (moderate to high temperature, moderate to low moisture and higher vegetation) for all factors during the study period.
The mean IRSEI value and the area and percentage of each evaluation grade in Wuhan from 1995 to 2020 are displayed on
Figure 4 and
Figure 5. Overall, the proportion of areas with average and good IRSEI ratings is the highest during the study period (>57%). The proportions of average and above average regions are 82.33%, 87.14%, 74.21% and 57.34%, indicating that the ecological environment of Wuhan was unstable from 1995 to 2020, with ecological conditions first improving and subsequently deteriorating. The UEQ of the Xinzhou, Hanyang, Qiaokou, Huangpi and Caidian districts show the most obvious decline, with reduction rates of 32.32%, 30.18%, 27.84%, 27.67% and 27.24%, respectively.
From the perspective of a single year (see
Table 5), the area share of good ecological environment in 1995 was the highest, reaching 43.67% of the total area. The area share of poor ecological environment was the lowest in 1995, comprising an area of only 371 km
2, or less than 5% of the total area. The share of poor ecological environment was approximately 12% of the total area. The area with a good ecological environment rating in 2005 was larger than that of 1995 and accounted for the highest proportion (45.57%), comprising an area of 3494 km
2. The percentage of area rated excellent was the smallest (6.23%) after 1995. In 2020, the poor ecological environment generally accounted for the highest proportion (38.92%), comprising an area of 2984 km
2. The good ecological environment rating accounted for only 18.32%.
The changing trend during the research period shows that the mean IRSEI values in 1995, 2005, 2015 and 2020 decreased year by year (0.60, 0.67, 0.58 and 0.47, respectively). The declining values indicate that the ecological environment of Wuhan has deteriorated continuously, probably owing to the rapid economic development of the city. According to the Wuhan Municipal Bureau of Statistics, the gross domestic product (GDP) increased from CNY 3.991 billion in 1978 to CNY 134.10 billion in 2017. The permanent resident population increased from 8.58 million people in 2004 to 10.33 million people in 2014. Ecological problems ascribed to human activities, such as vegetation damage and soil pollution, have become increasingly prominent.
As governments and social organizations have become increasingly aware of environmental protection, Wuhan has strengthened its enforcement of ecologically relevant laws and regulations, effectively halting the trend of environmental deterioration. This is reflected in the varying ecological evaluation grades. The differences in rating reflect an increase in area from 643 km2 in 2005 to 1684 km2 in 2015 (area expansion of 14%) to 2221 km2 in 2020 (area expansion of 7%).
The spatial distribution (
Table 6 and
Figure 6) shows that areas with a good ecological environment are distributed mainly in the surrounding urban areas of Wuhan. These areas have a relatively weak economy and the land-use types are mainly cultivated land and woodland, with rich vegetation and high biodiversity levels. The areas with poor ecological environments are concentrated in Hongshan, Hanyang, Wuchang and Qingshan. According to the different functions of each administrative region of Wuhan, Hongshan is based mainly on the education industry. Several colleges and universities are located in the area, and it is densely populated. Qingshan, Hanyang and Wuchang are primarily industrial areas. Heavy industrial companies, such as Wuhan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd., Wushi Chemical Co., Ltd. and Dongfeng Motor Co., Ltd., are located in these areas. Industrial production and human economic activities have a direct detrimental effect on the environment of these areas.
3.3. Dynamic Monitoring of UEQ in Wuhan
Based on the IRSEI grade classification, the detected changes were divided further into nine levels and seven classes. The range for the levels of detected changes was −4 to +4, with a positive value indicating that the UEQ had improved, 0 indicating no change and a negative value indicating deterioration. For the classes with no detected changes, level 0 was classified as unchanged, level −4 as significantly worse and levels −2 and −3 as worse; level −1 as slightly worse; level 1 as slightly better; levels 2 and 3 as better; and level 4 as significantly better (
Table 7).
Table 8 presents the ecological changes in Wuhan from 1995 to 2020. The size of the area representing both UEQ and ecological deterioration (obviously worse and slightly worse) is 3636 km
2, accounting for the highest proportion (39.44%) over 2015–2020. The size of the area with the same UEQ (no change) is 2984 km
2, accounting for 35.56% of the total area. Among the areas with deteriorating UEQ, most (69.51%) deteriorated by one grade. Deterioration in UEQ accounted for 25.60%. Most of the areas showing improved environmental conditions improved by one grade, accounting for 79.41% of the entire improved area. The areas improving by two grades account for 18%. The areas representing levels 3 or 4 are relatively small, indicating gradual changes. The areas with significant changes are related to direct economic activities, such as the transformation of cultivated land and woodland into construction and industrial land. The spatial distribution of UEQ (
Figure 7) shows that the deteriorating areas are located mainly around cities and most water bodies. The deterioration of the ecological environment around water bodies is related to a leakage of urban domestic sewage and enterprise wastewater and a rise in aquaculture in recent years. Moreover, the areas with a deteriorating ecological environment are expanding along both sides of the Yangtze and Han rivers. Except for the water area, the UEQ in the central metropolitan area remains mainly unchanged and several areas show signs of improvement. This result indicates that environmental governance in the main urban area of Wuhan has played a positive role in recent years.
3.4. Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis
We explore the spatial autocorrelation (SA) of the IRSEI at a grid cell scale of 500 m × 500 m and our results indicate the existence of SA. The Moran’s I was 0.568 in 1995, and 0.535 in 2020. All four IRSEI maps (1995, 2005, 2015 and 2020) display an extremely low probability (p-value < 0.01) of completely random spatial distribution. Therefore, the statistical significance test shows that SA exists for all of the ecological factors. The IRSEI increased in places where spatial distribution was favorable to the UEQ. In 1995, high-value clustering of the IRSEI in Wuhan was distributed mainly in the south and north of the study area, whereas low-value clustering was concentrated in the middle of the study area. In 2005, high IRSEI values started gathering gradually in the southern region, and low IRSEI values became more concentrated in the clustering distribution. By 2015, the high/high clustering and low/low clustering of the IRSEI in the study area became more dispersed and tended to spread in every direction. In 2020, low/low clusters had spread from the middle to the east and west, whereas high/high clusters were concentrated mainly in the south and north of Wuhan City.
The Moran’s I scatter graph is divided into four quadrants, corresponding to four different spatial distribution types (
Figure 8). The first quadrant represents high/high clustering, the second quadrant low value and high-value aggregation, the third quadrant low/low aggregation and the fourth quadrant high-value and low-value aggregation. The IRSEI of Wuhan is concentrated mainly in the first and third quadrants. This result indicates that the IRSEI spatial distribution in Wuhan represents positive spatial autocorrelation, and high IRSEI agglomeration zones are mainly distributed in outer suburban areas, mainly in the north and southeast Wuhan.
4. Discussion
4.1. Literature, Policy and Practice
We have reviewed previous studies and demonstrated that it is feasible to evaluate the quality of the urban ecological environment through remote sensing. This research proposes a feasible method. Other remote sensing images could also have been used as data in this research, such as Tiangong-2 WIS images [
11]. In terms of method improvement, we mainly improved the integration of quantitative factors. A related similar index, RSUSEI, has primarily increased remote sensing ecological factors by adding the impervious surface cover (ISC) [
15]. ISC is also one of the most important factors that distinguish different types of land use/land cover characteristics in urban environments, and has a strong impact on UEQ. However, in our study we also consider the dryness index (NDBSI), the bare soil index (SI), the building index (IBI) and the normalized buildings–bare-soil index. However, there are strong correlations between the impervious surface, bare soil and building indices. Previous studies have found that the relationship between ISC and LST has the form of an exponential function, rather than a simple linear function, as commonly believed [
43]. This exponential relationship has been confirmed by many subsequent studies [
44,
45]. Our IRSEI index takes into account the bare soil, building index and surface temperature. We suggest that the correlations of remote sensing ecological indicators affecting the regional ecological environment should be introduced into comprehensive indicators, or different indicators should be set according to the characteristics of the study region.
There are few high-quality ecological environment patches in Wuhan (IRSEI > 0.8), with close to zero over the past five years, and most of the patches are in the center of the ecological environment. Therefore, we propose a policy whereby Wuhan would focus on protecting forest land and gardens, build high-quality ecological corridors and coordinate the management of rivers in the future, so as to guide sustainable urban development and achieve sustainable development goals (such as SDG 11, sustainable cities and communities). Lake and wetland protection and ecological restoration and management will optimize the pattern of ecological security. Further analyses of the results indicate that there was a negative correlation between LSI, NDBSI and urban ecological quality. The ecological environment in areas with a high surface temperature, such as the Wuhan downtown area and coastal area around the Yangtze River, has tended to deteriorate; however, the humidity indices in these areas were also relatively high, which is conducive to ecological protection. Low vegetation index values in the central urban area also affect the quality of the ecological environment of Wuhan to a certain extent. The IRSEI can macro-evaluate the quality of the regional ecological environment, which is more convenient and efficient. In the future, higher precision can be introduced at the block level. Data, such as Google Street View data, could be used with machine learning algorithms to further identify the proportion of regional urban green space, trees, etc., and improve the accuracy of ecological environment assessment. The index has a high ability to distinguish between different land cover uses. The framework can also be easily extended to a global scale or to map other gridded socio-economic variables (such as GDP and population) to monitor and assess progress towards the SDGs [
25]. The assessment and modelling of uses is critical to supporting sustainability assessment in achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), such as sustainable cities and communities. Therefore, IRSEI can be used to assess the spatial and temporal sustainability of cities.
4.2. Analysis of the Factors Affecting the UEQ
The regression least squares method (OLS) can be used to quantitatively describe the relationship between the ecological index and natural, economic and social factors in Wuhan. The data include temperature, precipitation, elevation, slope and DMSP as explanatory variables. The night light variable reflects the human footprint and fundamentally affects the urban ecological environment. Impervious surfaces and roads and a high population density are not conducive to UEQ. The regression coefficients represent the contribution of six independent variables to the dependent variable. The regression coefficients of precipitation and elevation are equal to 0.522 and 0.441, respectively, indicating that precipitation and elevation positively contribute to the IRSEI.
In contrast, the regression coefficients of night light and slope are negative, indicating that these variables contribute negatively to the IRSEI. The night light variable has a regression coefficient of –0.619, indicating a negative effect. The R2 is 0.901 and p < 0.05, indicating that climate, precipitation, elevation, slope and night light data account for 90% of the variations of the IRSEI.
The regression equation between the IRSEI and the independent variables is as follows:
4.3. Method Framework and Validation Analysis
Weighting is an important process in the development of aggregated ecological indices that help promote sustainability. Different weighting methods have different characteristics, and the method employed could reflect the subjectivity of the decision makers. However, such methods combined with remote sensing index data can facilitate decisions and reduce the calculations required.
PCA is widely used in the evaluation of the RSEI. In several studies, the three principal components obtained after dimensionality reduction did not show any obvious effects (contribution was below 15%). However, including all of the pixels in extensive data calculations is a time-consuming process. The RSEI employs a covariance-based (unstandardized) PCA to determine the importance of each indicator involved. The weight of each indicator can be assigned objectively and automatically based on the load (contribution) of each indicator to PC1. In this study, we used PCA and EW to comprehensively calculate the IRSEI. After improvement, the combined method was able to reflect the degree of change in the index, and the calculation was quick and uncomplicated. The spatial distribution of the UEQ over the study period (1995–2020) is consistent with the information in the bulletin on the eco-environmental situation in China in that year. The current, more popular assessment method is based on habitat quality (HQ) [
46,
47,
48,
49,
50]. In further research, we intend to include HQ in this quantitative assessment.
4.4. Limitations and Future Prospects
The proposed UEQ evaluation model is feasible and straightforward, providing a new idea for ecological protection and comprehensively reflecting the changes in UEQ in Wuhan. From 1995 to 2020, the UEQ of Wuhan declined overall, probably owing to a combination of natural factors and human activities. However, the ecological level in the eastern and southeastern mountainous areas has increased because of the influence of forest resource protection, desertification land management and the warm and humid climate. In contrast, the regional ecological level has declined, owing to the overexploitation and overgrazing of lake resources in the northwest and southwest of Wuhan. The constantly rising levels of urbanization and construction over nearly 20 years have resulted in a downward trend in the UEQ. Overall, the ecology of Wuhan is in a fragile state. In 2020, the proportion of areas with poor ecological environment grades remained high, accounting for 42.68% of the total area.
In future social and economic development, we should follow the laws of nature, prioritize protection and rationally develop and utilize natural resources. The IRSEI effectively revealed the spatial distribution of and change in the UEQ in Wuhan, based on remote sensing images. Although four types of ecological factors closely related to the ecological environment were selected in the calculation process, the ecological environment is a complex and comprehensive variable. Areas with a deteriorating ecological environment tend to be spread along the Yangtze and Han rivers and around the central urban area. Urban expansion has damaged the ecological environment, and urban planning should integrate more ecological concepts to promote a harmonious coexistence and sustainable development for humans, nature and society.
Comprehensive quantitative evaluation requires selecting several impact factors that reflect the actual situation in the study area. We aimed to conduct the UEQ evaluation by employing a scientific, objective and feasible method. Nevertheless, choosing the UEQ evaluation index remains exploratory work. Determining the index weight affects the accuracy of the evaluation results. Accordingly, expanding research to a more scientific multifunction performance index system and determining the index weights require further work. Furthermore, the limited availability of data and a lack of longitudinal comparison of urban data have affected the scientific nature of our research results. In addition, our next step will be exploring how the IRSEI changes at different spatial scales. The rapid development of cities will inevitably lead to a series of ecological and environmental problems, and the deterioration of the ecological environment may further affect the surrounding environment, forming a cycle and harming urban sustainability. This study also demonstrates that IRSEI is characterized by spatial heterogeneity; that is, the poor UEQ patches will focus on areas where the ecological environment is poor and the urbanization is also highest.