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Land Use Change and Global Adaptations to Climate Change

by Roxana Juliá 1,* and Faye Duchin 2
1
Global Liberal Studies, College of Arts and Science, New York University, 726 Broadway, 6th Floor, New York, NY 10003, USA
2
Department of Economics, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, 110 8th Street, Troy, NY 12180, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2013, 5(12), 5442-5459; https://doi.org/10.3390/su5125442
Received: 9 September 2013 / Revised: 25 November 2013 / Accepted: 4 December 2013 / Published: 13 December 2013
This paper uses the World Trade Model with Climate Sensitive Land (WTMCL) to evaluate possible future land-use changes associated with adaptations to climate change in a globalized world. In this approach, changes in regional agricultural production, which are based on comparative advantage, define patterns of land use change in agriculture in all regions of the world. We evaluate four scenarios that combine assumptions about future increases in food demand and future changes in land endowments of different productivities associated with climatic conditions: each scenario generates distinct patterns of regional specialization in the production of agricultural commodities and associated land-use change. The analysis also projects future food availability under the simulated conditions and the direction of likely changes in prices of the major agricultural commodity groups. View Full-Text
Keywords: climate change; global adaptations; land-use change; food availability; bio-economic modeling climate change; global adaptations; land-use change; food availability; bio-economic modeling
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Juliá, R.; Duchin, F. Land Use Change and Global Adaptations to Climate Change. Sustainability 2013, 5, 5442-5459.

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