Spatial Distribution and Ecological Risk of Heavy Metals in the Urban Soils of Almaty: Implications for Sustainable Development

Heavy metal (HM) contamination in urban soils is a pressing global issue, particularly in rapidly industrializing regions like Kazakhstan, where anthropogenic activities such as transportation, energy production, and manufacturing exacerbate accumulation in ecosystems. In Almaty, the largest city in Kazakhstan, urban expansion and legacy pollution pose risks to soil functions, biodiversity, and public health through bioaccumulation and migration pathways. This study evaluates the spatial distribution and ecological impacts of total heavy metal concentrations (HMs) (Pb, Cd, As, Zn, Cu, Ni, Co, Mo, Mn) in Almaty’s soils to inform remediation strategies. Soil samples (n = 73) were collected using a systematic grid sampling method across urban, industrial, and peri-urban zones in Almaty. HM concentrations were determined via X-ray fluorescence spectrometry (XRF) following GOST 33850-2016 standards. Pollution indices (contamination factor K_c and integrated pollution index Z_c) were calculated relative to Kazakhstani permissible limits (PDK RK) and Russian approximate permissible concentrations (ODK RF). Statistical analyses included Spearman’s correlation, boxplots, and coefficient of variation. Morphological, physicochemical (pH, humus content), and biological assessments evaluated degradation. Spatial interpolation via GIS mapped the hotspots. HM distributions showed significant variability, with As, Zn, and Ni exceeding norms in >90% of samples (median K_c ≈ 5 for As). Z_c classified >70% of sites as hazardous or extremely hazardous (Z_c > 32), with hotspots in central-eastern districts (Z_c 90–145). Strong correlations (ρ ≥ 0.6) identified a technogenic group (Pb–Zn–Cu–Ni) from traffic and industry, contrasting predominantly geogenic elements with possible anthropogenic contribution (As–Co–Mo–Mn). Pollution induced soil compaction, reduced humus/pH, and disrupting biogeochemical cycles. Local exceedances were noted near TECs, factories, and transport hubs. Almaty’s soils exhibit pervasive technogenic HM pollution, driven by urban sources, leading to ecosystem degradation and health risks. Future research should incorporate vertical profiling and isotopic sourcing for refined risk models. Prioritized monitoring and phytoremediation in hotspots are recommended to enhance resilience, aligning with UN SDGs for sustainable cities and ecosystems. Future research should incorporate vertical profiling and isotopic sourcing for refined risk models.