Next Article in Journal
Walking Towards the Energy Transition: An Approach to an International Cooperation Management Model for the Development of Renewable Energies in Cuba
Previous Article in Journal
Farmers’ Perceptions of Policy Support, Ecological Agriculture Adoption, and Green Development in Xinjiang Under China’s Rural Revitalization Strategy: A Sequential Explanatory Mixed-Methods Study
 
 
Font Type:
Arial Georgia Verdana
Font Size:
Aa Aa Aa
Line Spacing:
Column Width:
Background:
This is an early access version, the complete PDF, HTML, and XML versions will be available soon.
Article

ADDF: Multi-Step Load Interval Forecasting for Sustainable Power Systems

Faculty of Electrical and Control Engineering, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao 125105, China
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2026, 18(12), 6255; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126255
Submission received: 21 May 2026 / Revised: 13 June 2026 / Accepted: 15 June 2026 / Published: 17 June 2026
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Sustainability)

Abstract

The transition toward sustainable power systems requires load forecasting methods that can support renewable integration under increasing uncertainty. However, many deep learning models mix historical load, temporal priors, and external drivers in black-box structures, and often assume that true future driver values are available. To address these issues, this study proposes ADDF (Automatic Driver Discovery and Fusion), a semi-explicit self-driven framework for multi-step load interval forecasting. ADDF organizes historical load, calendar priors, and external drivers into three functional branches to distinguish load inertia, temporal regularity, and external forcing. The Driver Branch estimates future driver states under practical information constraints and uses dynamic gating to screen useful driving information. The three branch representations are adaptively integrated through Three-Way Fusion, followed by bounded residual correction to generate multi-step quantile forecasts. Experiments on the Panama electricity load dataset and ETTh1 dataset under one-step and 24-step settings show that ADDF achieves competitive point accuracy and interval prediction performance. Mechanism analyses indicate that the proposed branch-level structure provides clearer interpretability than post-hoc black-box explanations. The framework offers uncertainty-aware forecasting support for sustainable power system operation, including day-ahead scheduling, reserve planning, and energy management.
Keywords: load forecasting; interval forecasting; multi-step forecasting; sustainable power systems; renewable energy integration; dynamic driver estimation load forecasting; interval forecasting; multi-step forecasting; sustainable power systems; renewable energy integration; dynamic driver estimation

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Ma, J.; Peng, J.; Han, H.; Song, L.; Liu, H. ADDF: Multi-Step Load Interval Forecasting for Sustainable Power Systems. Sustainability 2026, 18, 6255. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126255

AMA Style

Ma J, Peng J, Han H, Song L, Liu H. ADDF: Multi-Step Load Interval Forecasting for Sustainable Power Systems. Sustainability. 2026; 18(12):6255. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126255

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ma, Jun, Jishen Peng, Haotong Han, Liye Song, and Hao Liu. 2026. "ADDF: Multi-Step Load Interval Forecasting for Sustainable Power Systems" Sustainability 18, no. 12: 6255. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126255

APA Style

Ma, J., Peng, J., Han, H., Song, L., & Liu, H. (2026). ADDF: Multi-Step Load Interval Forecasting for Sustainable Power Systems. Sustainability, 18(12), 6255. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126255

Note that from the first issue of 2016, this journal uses article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Metrics

Back to TopTop