The Effect of ESG on Firms’ Product Market Performance and Supply Chain Spillover Effects
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature and Hypothesis Development
2.1. The Impact of ESG Ratings on Firm Performance
2.2. Determinants of Product Market Performance and the Signaling Advantages of ESG
2.3. Research Hypothesis
3. Research Design
3.1. Sample Selection and Data Sources
3.2. Variable Definitions and Model Specifications
3.2.1. Dependent Variable
3.2.2. Independent Variable
3.2.3. Mediation Variables
3.2.4. Control Variables
3.2.5. Model Setting
3.3. Descriptive Statistical Analysis and Correlation Analysis
4. Results
4.1. Main Findings
4.2. Robustness Checks
4.2.1. Replace Core Variables
4.2.2. High-Dimensional Fixed Effects and Clustered Robust Standard Errors
4.2.3. Placebo Test
4.2.4. Instrumental Variables (IV) Method
4.2.5. Identification Strategy
4.2.6. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) Method
4.3. Mechanism Analysis
4.3.1. Product Quality Channel
4.3.2. Service Capability Channel
4.4. Moderating Effect Analysis
4.4.1. High-Tech Firms
4.4.2. The Position of the Firm in the Industry Chain
4.5. Further Analysis
4.5.1. ESG Ratings and Changes in Market Share
4.5.2. The Spillover Effect of ESG Ratings
4.5.3. The Impact of E, S, and G on Product Market Performance
5. Discussion
5.1. Discussion of Main Findings
5.2. Theoretical Contributions
5.3. Practical and Regulatory Implications
6. Conclusions
6.1. Summary
6.2. Limitations and Future Research
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Descriptive Statistical Analysis and Correlation Analysis
| Variables | N | Mean | SD | Median | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MktShare | 39,823 | 0.992 | 1.743 | 0.397 | 0.008 | 12.377 |
| ESG | 39,823 | 0.731 | 0.051 | 0.734 | 0.550 | 0.855 |
| SIZE | 39,823 | 22.163 | 1.298 | 21.965 | 19.531 | 26.456 |
| Employee | 39,823 | 7.612 | 1.258 | 7.534 | 3.871 | 11.181 |
| AGE | 39,823 | 2.048 | 0.931 | 2.197 | 0.000 | 3.401 |
| ROA | 39,823 | 0.036 | 0.066 | 0.038 | −0.493 | 0.222 |
| LEV | 39,823 | 0.420 | 0.208 | 0.412 | 0.028 | 0.927 |
| Fixed | 39,823 | 0.207 | 0.158 | 0.173 | 0.002 | 0.772 |
| TOP1 | 39,823 | 34.265 | 15.048 | 32.020 | 0.290 | 89.990 |
| Board | 39,823 | 2.123 | 0.199 | 2.197 | 1.609 | 2.708 |
| Indep | 39,823 | 37.591 | 5.579 | 36.360 | 0.000 | 80.000 |
| SOE | 39,823 | 0.347 | 0.476 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 |
| Variables | MktShare | ESG | SIZE | Employee | AGE | ROA | LEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MktShare | 1.000 | ||||||
| ESG | 0.195 *** | 1.000 | |||||
| SIZE | 0.619 *** | 0.195 *** | 1.000 | ||||
| Employee | 0.581 *** | 0.171 *** | 0.721 *** | 1.000 | |||
| AGE | 0.224 *** | −0.123 *** | 0.435 *** | 0.275 *** | 1.000 | ||
| ROA | 0.069 *** | 0.241 *** | −0.001 | 0.053 *** | −0.217 *** | 1.000 | |
| LEV | 0.275 *** | −0.097 *** | 0.496 *** | 0.352 *** | 0.407 *** | −0.356 *** | 1.000 |
| Fixed | 0.018 *** | −0.060 *** | 0.103 *** | 0.234 *** | 0.136 *** | −0.058 *** | 0.099 *** |
| TOP1 | 0.103 *** | 0.108 *** | 0.185 *** | 0.168 *** | −0.076 *** | 0.147 *** | 0.045 *** |
| Board | 0.148 *** | 0.029 *** | 0.255 *** | 0.243 *** | 0.142 *** | 0.022 *** | 0.150 *** |
| Indep | 0.040 *** | 0.069 *** | 0.010 ** | −0.010 * | −0.012 ** | −0.024 *** | −0.011 ** |
| SOE | 0.200 *** | 0.058 *** | 0.345 *** | 0.253 *** | 0.433 *** | −0.072 *** | 0.295 *** |
| Variables | Fixed | TOP1 | Board | Indep | SOE | ||
| Fixed | 1.000 | ||||||
| TOP1 | 0.087 *** | 1.000 | |||||
| Board | 0.148 *** | 0.023 *** | 1.000 | ||||
| Indep | −0.049 *** | 0.040 *** | −0.530 *** | 1.000 | |||
| SOE | 0.202 *** | 0.224 *** | 0.271 *** | −0.060 *** | 1.000 | ||
Appendix B. Placebo Test Results

Appendix C. Parallel Trend Test Results

Appendix D. Balance Test Results
| Variables | Unmatched | Mean | %Bias | %Reduct | t-Test | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matched | Treated | Control | |Bias| | t | p > |t| | ||
| SIZE | U | 22.336 | 21.983 | 27.5 | 96.7 | 27.20 | 0.000 |
| M | 22.330 | 22.318 | 0.9 | 0.87 | 0.386 | ||
| Employee | U | 7.787 | 7.435 | 28.3 | 87.9 | 27.98 | 0.000 |
| M | 7.782 | 7.739 | 3.4 | 3.33 | 0.001 | ||
| AGE | U | 1.924 | 2.154 | −24.7 | 94.1 | −24.47 | 0.000 |
| M | 1.924 | 1.938 | −1.5 | −1.40 | 0.163 | ||
| ROA | U | 0.048 | 0.029 | 32.0 | 97.1 | 31.85 | 0.000 |
| M | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.9 | 1.04 | 0.300 | ||
| LEV | U | 0.399 | 0.436 | −17.8 | 93.2 | −17.63 | 0.000 |
| M | 0.399 | 0.397 | 1.2 | 1.22 | 0.221 | ||
| Fixed | U | 0.204 | 0.209 | −3.7 | 59.2 | −3.64 | 0.000 |
| M | 0.204 | 0.206 | −1.5 | −1.50 | 0.134 | ||
| TOP1 | U | 35.438 | 33.185 | 15.2 | 92.9 | 15.03 | 0.000 |
| M | 35.399 | 35.238 | 1.1 | 1.06 | 0.289 | ||
| Board | U | 2.126 | 2.119 | 3.7 | 92.9 | 3.68 | 0.000 |
| M | 2.126 | 2.127 | −0.3 | −0.26 | 0.794 | ||
| Indep | U | 37.939 | 37.192 | 13.9 | 84.9 | 13.79 | 0.000 |
| M | 37.916 | 37.803 | 2.1 | 2.04 | 0.041 | ||
| SOE | U | 0.342 | 0.301 | 8.9 | 93.0 | 8.78 | 0.000 |
| M | 0.342 | 0.339 | 0.6 | 0.62 | 0.538 | ||
Appendix E. The Calculation Method for the Firm’s Upstream Degree
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| Variable Type | Variable Name | Symbol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dependent Variable | Product Market Performance | MktShare | firm annual sales/total sales of all firms in the same industry-year |
| Independent Variable | Firms’ ESG Performance | ESG | Measured by the CSI ESG rating/index |
| Mediation Variables | Product Quality | Markup | Output elasticity with respect to variable inputs is estimated from a translog production function, and markup is then derived using the ratio of operating revenue to variable cost |
| Green_Patent | ln(1 + number of green patent applications filed in year t) | ||
| Service Level | Labor_Flow | 1 if Employees_t > Employees_(t − 1); 0 otherwise | |
| Labor_Edu | employees with a master’s degree or above/total employees | ||
| Control Variables | Firm size | SIZE | ln(year-end total assets) |
| employee size | Employee | ln(number of employees at year-end) | |
| firm age | AGE | ln(current year—listing year + 1) | |
| return on assets | ROA | net profit/total assets | |
| leverage | LEV | total liabilities/total assets | |
| fixed asset ratio | Fixed | fixed assets/total assets | |
| ownership concentration | TOP1 | shares held by the largest shareholder/total shares | |
| board size | Board | ln(number of board members) | |
| the proportion of independent directors | Indep | independent directors/total board members |
| Variables | F.MktShare | F.MktShare |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| ESG | 1.699 *** | 0.856 *** |
| (8.340) | (4.456) | |
| SIZE | 0.502 *** | |
| (12.383) | ||
| Employee | 0.165 *** | |
| (5.939) | ||
| AGE | −0.039 | |
| (−1.340) | ||
| ROA | 0.857 *** | |
| (8.069) | ||
| LEV | 0.095 | |
| (1.122) | ||
| Fixed | 0.163 | |
| (1.446) | ||
| TOP1 | −0.001 | |
| (−0.771) | ||
| Board | −0.089 | |
| (−0.886) | ||
| Indep | −0.002 | |
| (−0.590) | ||
| SOE | −0.149 *** | |
| (−2.709) | ||
| Firm FE | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES |
| N | 34,057 | 34,057 |
| adj. R2 | 0.842 | 0.862 |
| Panel A: Alternative Measures of MktShare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | F.MktShare1 | F.MktShare2 | F.MktShare3 | F.MktShare4 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
| ESG | 0.843 *** | 0.827 *** | 0.911 *** | 0.957 *** |
| (3.832) | (4.437) | (4.158) | (3.919) | |
| Controls | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 34,043 | 34,043 | 34,043 | 34,043 |
| adj. R2 | 0.840 | 0.864 | 0.872 | 0.804 |
| Panel B: Alternative measures of ESG | ||||
| Variables | F.MktShare1 | F.MktShare2 | F.MktShare3 | F.MktShare4 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
| ESG1 | 0.038 *** | |||
| (4.479) | ||||
| Wind_ESG | 2.981 *** | |||
| (5.904) | ||||
| Bloomberg_ESG | 0.580 *** | |||
| (3.039) | ||||
| SynTao_ESG | 0.059 * | |||
| (1.707) | ||||
| Controls | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 34,057 | 12,556 | 13,105 | 4309 |
| adj. R2 | 0.862 | 0.865 | 0.943 | 0.931 |
| Variables | F.MktShare | F.MktShare | F.MktShare | F.MktShare | F.MktShare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| ESG | 0.798 *** | 0.829 *** | 0.777 *** | 0.777 *** | 0.777 *** |
| (3.852) | (4.439) | (3.840) | (3.620) | (4.082) | |
| Controls | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| City × Year FE | YES | NO | YES | YES | YES |
| Industry × Year FE | NO | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| cluster_level | Firm | Firm | Firm | City | Industry |
| N | 32,279 | 33,995 | 32,217 | 32,217 | 32,217 |
| adj. R2 | 0.858 | 0.872 | 0.868 | 0.868 | 0.869 |
| Variables | The First Stage | The Second Stage |
|---|---|---|
| ESG | F.MktShare | |
| (1) | (2) | |
| Fundnumber | 0.000 *** | |
| (4.893) | ||
| ESG | 29.406 *** | |
| (3.797) | ||
| Controls | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES |
| N | 37,233 | 32,197 |
| Variables | F.MktShare | F.MktShare |
|---|---|---|
| DID | PSM | |
| (1) | (2) | |
| ESG_DID | 0.261 *** | |
| (5.689) | ||
| ESG | 0.439 ** | |
| (2.344) | ||
| Controls | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES |
| N | 34,057 | 26,147 |
| adj. R2 | 0.862 | 0.962 |
| Variables | F.MktShare | Markup | F.MktShare | Green_Patent | F.MktShare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| ESG | 0.856 *** | 0.079 *** | 0.864 *** | 0.756 *** | 0.769 *** |
| (4.456) | (3.706) | (4.321) | (7.019) | (4.145) | |
| Markup | 0.326 ** | ||||
| (2.354) | |||||
| Green_Patent | 0.107 *** | ||||
| (5.454) | |||||
| Controls | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 34,057 | 35,482 | 30,659 | 39,336 | 34,057 |
| adj. R2 | 0.862 | 0.708 | 0.868 | 0.643 | 0.862 |
| Variables | F.MktShare | Labor_Edu | F.MktShare | Labor_Flow | F.MktShare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (5) | (6) | |
| ESG | 0.856 *** | 1.228 ** | 0.706 *** | 0.166 ** | 0.851 *** |
| (4.456) | (2.494) | (3.157) | (2.337) | (4.439) | |
| Labor_Edu | 0.018 *** | ||||
| (3.218) | |||||
| Labor_Flow | 0.038 *** | ||||
| (3.818) | |||||
| Controls | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 34,057 | 26,999 | 22,746 | 39,338 | 34,057 |
| adj. R2 | 0.862 | 0.883 | 0.889 | 0.219 | 0.862 |
| Variables | F.MktShare | F.MktShare |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| ESG | 0.500 * | 0.510 * |
| (1.946) | (1.723) | |
| High_Tec | 0.340 *** | |
| (4.436) | ||
| ESG × High_Tec | 0.727 * | |
| (1.927) | ||
| Down_Idu | 0.233 *** | |
| (4.043) | ||
| ESG × Down_Idu | 0.769 ** | |
| (2.004) | ||
| Controls | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES |
| N | 34,057 | 34,057 |
| adj. R2 | 0.862 | 0.862 |
| Variables | F.NetMktShare | F.Customer_MktShare | F.MktShare | F.MktShare | F.MktShare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| ESG | 0.203 *** | 1.262 * | |||
| (3.685) | (1.723) | ||||
| E | 0.460 *** | ||||
| (2.754) | |||||
| S | 0.201 * | ||||
| (1.897) | |||||
| G | 0.474 *** | ||||
| (3.925) | |||||
| Controls | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 34,057 | 782 | 34,057 | 34,057 | 34,057 |
| adj. R2 | 0.070 | 0.626 | 0.861 | 0.861 | 0.861 |
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Share and Cite
Tan, Y.; Gong, Z.; Yang, N.; Luo, Z. The Effect of ESG on Firms’ Product Market Performance and Supply Chain Spillover Effects. Sustainability 2026, 18, 4717. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18104717
Tan Y, Gong Z, Yang N, Luo Z. The Effect of ESG on Firms’ Product Market Performance and Supply Chain Spillover Effects. Sustainability. 2026; 18(10):4717. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18104717
Chicago/Turabian StyleTan, Yilin, Ziyang Gong, Ning Yang, and Zichen Luo. 2026. "The Effect of ESG on Firms’ Product Market Performance and Supply Chain Spillover Effects" Sustainability 18, no. 10: 4717. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18104717
APA StyleTan, Y., Gong, Z., Yang, N., & Luo, Z. (2026). The Effect of ESG on Firms’ Product Market Performance and Supply Chain Spillover Effects. Sustainability, 18(10), 4717. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18104717
