Sustainable Development Projects Implementing in BANI Environment Based on AI Tools
Abstract
:1. Introduction
Instrumental Support | Marya et al., 2022 [28] | Afifa and Santoso, 2022 [29] | Bouguerra et al., 2024 [30] | De Haan, 2023 [31] | Khatibi 2022 [32] | Mousa et al., 2024 [33] | Steen et al., 2024 [34] | Dotsenko et al., 2021 [26] | Coronado-Maldonado, Benítez-Márquez, 2023 [35] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resilience organizing | + | + | + | + | + | ||||
Proactive risk mitigation strategies | + | + | + | + | + | + | |||
Functional cyber-resilience | + | ||||||||
Electronic human resource management | + | + | |||||||
Talent management practices in the extreme context | + | + | + | ||||||
Resilience engineering (RE) approach | + | + | + | ||||||
Functional redundancy | + | ||||||||
Emotional intelligence (EI) | + | + | + |
2. Materials and Methods
- Analyze the BANI environment. Identify the key characteristics of the BANI framework and their implications for sustainable development projects. Highlight the specific challenges that project managers face when implementing sustainability initiatives in such conditions.
- Examine the role of AI in PM. Investigate how AI tools can be utilized to enhance decision making, risk management, and resource optimization. Explore the capabilities of AI-driven systems, including predictive analytics, dynamic simulations, and stakeholder engagement platforms.
- Develop a conceptual framework. Design a structured approach for integrating AI tools into the various stages of sustainable development projects, from planning to execution and evaluation. Identify the critical factors influencing the successful application of AI in this context.
- Conduct a case study analysis. Apply the proposed framework to a real-world sustainable development project to validate its feasibility and effectiveness. Assess how AI tools contribute to overcoming challenges, improving outcomes, and ensuring alignment with global sustainability goals.
- Provide strategic recommendations. Offer actionable insights and best practices for project managers and stakeholders to leverage AI in sustainable development projects. Emphasize the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration and continuous learning to thrive in a BANI environment.
2.1. Analyze the BANI Environment
- Increased risk. Projects are more susceptible to disruptions due to the brittle nature of systems and nonlinear relationships.
- Stakeholder challenges. Anxiety and resistance among stakeholders can hinder progress and decision making.
- Demand for agility. Projects require dynamic approaches to adapt to incomprehensible and nonlinear shifts.
- Reliance on technology. AI tools and other advanced technologies become critical for analyzing, predicting, and managing complexity.
2.2. Examine the Role of AI in PM
2.3. Conceptual Framework for Sustainable Development Projects in a BANI Environment Using AI Tools
- Planning stage: Conduct a BANI assessment and establish project objectives. Deploy AI tools to analyze data and predict potential challenges.
- Execution stage: Use AI-driven processes to manage resources, mitigate risks, and adapt to changes. Monitor real-time data using AI dashboards for performance tracking.
- Evaluation stage: Assess project outcomes against predefined metrics using AI tools. Incorporate feedback to refine the framework for future projects.
- Ethical AI usage: ensure AI decisions align with sustainability principles and ethical standards.
- Stakeholder involvement: regularly engage stakeholders to validate AI-driven decisions.
- Scalability: adapt the framework for various project scales and sectors.
- Feedback mechanism: incorporate lessons learned to enhance future PM practices.
2.4. Risk Management for Sustainable Development Projects in a BANI Environment
3. Results
3.1. Mathematical Model for Managing Sustainable Development Projects in a BANI Environment Using AI Tools
3.1.1. Definitions and Variables
- G: Total project goal achievement value (the sustainability index is calculated based on AI-driven impact assessment models that evaluate environmental, social, and economic sustainability metrics). AI tools analyze historical project success rates, carbon footprint reductions, and community engagement levels to determine the sustainability index.
- T: the total time available for project completion is obtained from project schedules and adjusted dynamically using AI scheduling tools that optimize resource allocation and milestone tracking.
- B: the total budget allocated to the project is derived from financial reports and AI cost predictions, incorporating historical data on project expenditures and inflation-adjusted cost estimates.
- R: the resilience factor of the system (measures robustness) is quantified through risk analysis models that assess external disruptions (supply chain risks, regulatory uncertainties) and internal system redundancies.
- F: the flexibility factor of the system (measures adaptability) is determined using machine learning models that evaluate real-time responses to project deviations, enabling dynamic adjustments.
- E: the efficiency of resource utilization is measured using AI-based predictive resource allocation, ensuring optimal distribution of labor, materials, and energy.
- C: the stakeholder confidence level is assessed through sentiment analysis and AI-driven trust indices, incorporating community feedback and stakeholder engagement levels.
- A1: AI’s contribution to risk mitigation (reduces system brittleness). AI-driven risk assessment models evaluate external disruptions (e.g., supply chain failures, regulatory risks) and propose redundancy measures. AI stress-testing tools simulate extreme scenarios, allowing for proactive risk mitigation
- A2: AI’s predictive accuracy in identifying nonlinear trends. Machine learning models analyze historical trends, real-time data, and system feedback loops to detect nonlinear project dependencies and unexpected interactions. AI-enhanced forecasting helps predict disruptions, demand fluctuations, and emerging risks
- A3: AI’s ability to process incomprehensible data into actionable insights. AI utilizes natural language processing (NLP) and advanced data visualization tools to convert unstructured complex datasets into meaningful insights. This enables AI to support decision-making in uncertain or ambiguous project scenarios.
- A4: AI-driven resource optimization efficiency. AI dynamically allocates financial, human, and material resources based on real-time needs and constraints. AI scheduling models continuously optimize project workflows to minimize waste and maximize productivity.
- H—human resources.
- M—material resources.
- I—infrastructure resources.
- P—probability of disruption (represents brittleness of the environment).
- D—degree of stakeholder anxiety (affects confidence CCC).
- N—nonlinearity factor (quantifies unpredictable outcomes).
- U—uncertainty factor in data interpretation.
3.1.2. Objective Function
3.1.3. Constraints
3.1.4. AI-Driven Enhancements
3.1.5. Final Model
3.1.6. Implementation Steps
- Data collection: collect data on project objectives, resources, risks, and environmental factors.
- Model initialization: set initial values for w1, w2, w3, w4 and constraints based on project priorities.
- AI simulation: use AI tools to simulate various scenarios and adjust parameters A1,A2,A3,A4.
- Optimization algorithm: apply optimization techniques (e.g., linear programming, genetic algorithms) to solve the model.
- Monitoring and feedback: Use real-time data to iteratively update the model and refine strategies.
- This model provides a structured approach to managing sustainable development projects by leveraging AI to address the unique challenges of a BANI environment.
4. Discussion—Case: Implementing an AI-Driven Sustainable Education Program for Master’s Students in AI
4.1. Define Case Study Background
4.1.1. Project Objective
4.1.2. Key Challenges
4.1.3. AI Tools Used
4.2. Implementation Stages
4.2.1. Stage 1. Planning
4.2.2. Stage 2. Execution
4.2.3. Stage 3: Evaluation
4.3. Results and Key Insights
5. Strategic Recommendations for Managing Sustainable Development Projects in a BANI Environment with AI Tools
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
AI | Artificial intelligence. |
PM | Project management. |
SDG | Sustainable development goals. |
VUCA | Volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity. |
BANI | Brittle, anxious, nonlinear, incomprehensible. |
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BANI Characteristic | Description | Implications for Sustainable Development | Example |
---|---|---|---|
Brittle (B) | Fragile Systems and Over-Dependence | Over-reliance on finite resources or outdated infrastructure increases the risk of project failure. Projects require robust frameworks and redundant systems to withstand shocks. | A solar energy project dependent on a single supplier for photovoltaic panels may collapse if supply chains are disrupted. |
Anxious (A) | Emotional Uncertainty and Stress | Stakeholders may resist change or delay decisions due to perceived risks. Transparent communication and AI-driven decision-support systems can reduce anxiety. | Community resistance to a waste recycling project due to fears of health hazards, even when scientifically unfounded. |
Nonlinear (N) | Unpredictable Relationships | Cause-and-effect relationships are often unclear or disproportionate. Projects must account for unexpected outcomes and focus on adaptive strategies. AI tools can model complex interactions and predict nonlinear behaviors to mitigate risks. | Introducing a water conservation policy in one region might inadvertently cause scarcity in another due to interconnected ecosystems. |
Incomprehensible (I) | Lack of Clarity and Understanding | Decision makers may struggle to analyze data and foresee consequences. AI systems can synthesize vast amounts of information, identify patterns, and offer actionable recommendations. | A citywide energy efficiency project may falter because of misinterpretation of energy consumption patterns and future demand. |
Key Roles of AI in PM | Functionality | Benefits | Example |
---|---|---|---|
1. Predictive Analytics for Risk Management | Analyze historical and real-time data to identify potential risks and forecast future trends. | Enables early identification of bottlenecks and vulnerabilities. Supports contingency planning by simulating various scenarios. | A renewable energy project uses AI to predict supply chain disruptions based on weather patterns and geopolitical data. |
2. Resource Optimization | Optimize resource allocation by analyzing project requirements, timelines, and constraints. | Minimizes waste and enhances efficiency. Ensures the best use of financial, human, and material resources. | AI-driven scheduling tools allocate workforce and equipment efficiently in a green infrastructure project. |
3. Decision-Support Systems | Provide actionable insights by processing large datasets and highlighting key patterns and correlations. | Reduces cognitive load on project managers. Facilitates data-driven decisions in complex nonlinear systems. | AI dashboards for urban sustainability projects suggest optimal locations for implementing renewable energy solutions. |
4. Enhancing Collaboration and Communication | Improve communication by automating workflows, tracking progress, and providing real-time updates. | Enhances collaboration among diverse stakeholders. Quickly resolves issues through intelligent task management. | AI chatbots assist in coordinating between teams across different time zones in international development projects. |
5. Adaptive Project Planning | Enable dynamic project planning by continuously updating schedules and priorities based on changing conditions. | Ensures projects remain on track despite disruptions. Increases flexibility and responsiveness in volatile environments. | AI adjusts project timelines for an agricultural development initiative based on unexpected climate events. |
6. Monitoring and Performance Evaluation | Track project progress, measure performance metrics, and evaluate outcomes against predefined goals. | Improves accountability and transparency. Identifies areas for improvement in real time. | An AI-based tool monitors energy savings in a smart city project and provides periodic reports to stakeholders. |
Layer | Description | Key Activities |
---|---|---|
1. Input Layer: Defining Core Elements | Establish the foundation for the project. | Project objectives: define sustainability goals (e.g., environmental, social, economic). BANI analysis: assess the project’s context for fragility, anxiety, nonlinearity, and incomprehensibility. Data collection: gather relevant data (historical, real-time, and predictive) to inform AI models. Stakeholder engagement: identify and include key stakeholders to ensure alignment with goals. |
2. AI-Driven Processes | Leverage AI tools to address challenges and optimize PM. | Risk assessment and mitigation: AI algorithms evaluate potential risks, model scenarios, and recommend mitigation strategies. Example: AI predicts supply chain disruptions and suggests alternative suppliers. Resource optimization: AI dynamically allocates resources to minimize waste and maximize impact. Example: AI determines the optimal allocation of financial and human resources for renewable energy projects. Decision-support systems: AI tools provide actionable insights based on data analysis and scenario modeling. Example: AI recommends adaptive strategies to manage sudden market changes in sustainability programs. Predictive analytics and forecasting: AI uses machine learning models to forecast trends and outcomes. Example: AI predicts energy consumption patterns for an urban development initiative. Monitoring and evaluation: AI tracks project performance and provides real-time updates for informed decision making. Example: AI monitors progress toward carbon reduction targets and flags deviations. |
3. Output Layer: Project Outcomes | The desired results of integrating AI tools. | Enhanced resilience: projects are better equipped to handle disruptions and adapt to changes. Increased efficiency: resources are optimally utilized, reducing waste and costs. Improved decision making: data-driven insights lead to more informed and timely decisions. Stakeholder satisfaction: transparent and inclusive processes foster trust and collaboration. Sustainability goals achieved: projects deliver measurable benefits in environmental, social, and economic dimensions. |
Input Layer | AI-Driven Processes | Output Layer |
---|---|---|
Objectives and BANI Analysis | Risk Assessment and Mitigation | Enhanced Resilience |
Stakeholder Engagement | Resource Optimization | Increased Efficiency |
Data Collection | Decision-Support Systems | Improved Decision Making |
Predictive Analytics and Monitoring | Sustainability Goals Achieved |
Risk Category | Specific Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation Strategy | AI Role |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brittleness | System failure due to single-point dependencies | High | High | Implement redundancy in critical systems | Simulate stress scenarios |
Use modular project designs | Identify weak points and recommend redundancy measures | ||||
Supply chain disruptions | Medium | High | Diversify suppliers | Predict disruptions using AI-driven supply chain analysis | |
Maintain strategic reserves | |||||
Anxiety | Resistance to AI adoption by stakeholders | Medium | Medium | Conduct training sessions | Use explainable AI (XAI) to clarify decision-making processes |
Provide transparent explanations of AI tools and their benefits | |||||
Misinformation or miscommunication leading to stakeholder mistrust | Medium | High | Develop clear communication plans | Deploy AI chatbots and dashboards for accurate real-time stakeholder communication | |
Use interactive tools for real-time updates | |||||
Nonlinearity | Unpredictable chain reactions from minor changes | High | High | Conduct scenario planning | Use AI for scenario modeling and nonlinear trend prediction |
Maintain flexibility in project timelines and resources | |||||
Unforeseen regulatory changes impacting project scope | Low | Medium | Stay updated on policies | Monitor regulatory changes using AI-driven data analysis | |
Include compliance buffers in project plans | |||||
Incomprehensibility | Difficulty analyzing large complex datasets | High | High | Use data integration tools | Process and visualize large datasets with AI tools for actionable insights |
Employ specialized expertise in data interpretation | |||||
Unexpected environmental or social impacts | Medium | High | Conduct comprehensive impact assessments | Model potential impacts using AI-driven simulation tools | |
Engage with local communities | |||||
Budgetary Constraints | Escalating costs due to project delays | Medium | High | Implement strict budget tracking | Predict cost overruns with AI and recommend cost-saving adjustments |
Use contingency reserves | |||||
High upfront costs for AI and other technologies | Medium | Medium | Prioritize investments based on ROI | Analyze ROI of AI tools and recommend optimal investment strategies | |
Seek external funding or partnerships | |||||
Technological Risks | AI algorithm bias affecting decision making | Low | High | Conduct regular audits | Detect and mitigate biases through automated AI audits |
Use diverse datasets for training | |||||
AI system downtime affecting project continuity | Low | Medium | Maintain backup systems | Predict system failures and automate recovery mechanisms | |
Partner with reliable AI service providers | |||||
Human Resource Risks | Resistance to change or lack of skills for using AI tools | Medium | Medium | Provide regular training | Identify skill gaps using AI-driven performance analyses |
Incentivize adoption through rewards | |||||
High workload due to rapid project adjustments | Medium | Medium | Delegate tasks effectively | Automate routine tasks to reduce human workload | |
Use AI tools to automate repetitive tasks |
BANI Characteristic | Challenge | Strategies | Example |
---|---|---|---|
Brittle (B) | Fragile systems are prone to collapse under minor disruptions. | Diversify resources Implement robust frameworks Adopt modular approaches | A renewable energy project could use AI to model the impact of supply chain disruptions and design flexible contingency plans. |
Anxious (A) | Anxiety and resistance hinder decision making and project adoption. | Transparent communication Stakeholder engagement Training and support | Deploy an AI chatbot to answer common stakeholder questions and provide quick access to project data. |
Nonlinear (N) | Small changes can have unpredictable and outsized effects. | Dynamic project planning Scenario modeling Interdisciplinary collaboration | In urban sustainability projects, AI could help predict the ripple effects of a transportation policy on housing and energy use. |
Incomprehensible (I) | Complex systems are difficult to analyze and interpret. | Data integration Simplified visualizations Focus on explainable AI (XAI) | An AI-driven tool could provide real-time visualizations of carbon emissions data to help stakeholders understand the impact of sustainability interventions. |
Leveraging AI for Strategic Innovation | Staying ahead of disruptions while maintaining alignment with sustainability goals. | Innovation labs Predictive opportunity identification Focus on scalability | AI could identify regions with the highest potential for renewable energy expansion based on predictive analytics of environmental and economic factors. |
Balancing Ethical Considerations | AI tools must be used responsibly to ensure fairness and inclusivity. | AI governance frameworks Bias audits Community involvement | In a sustainable housing project, AI tools could be audited to ensure equitable allocation of resources among underserved communities. |
Measuring Success and Continuous Improvement | Ensuring projects remain aligned with objectives amidst evolving conditions. | Define clear metrics Feedback loops Scalable insights | AI could analyze post-project data to suggest improvements for scaling sustainable development initiatives. |
Aligning AI with Human Expertise | Maximizing the synergy between AI tools and human decision making. | Human–AI collaboration Capacity building Balanced decision making | AI could identify potential project risks, while human managers evaluate their broader implications. |
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Bushuyev, S.; Chumachenko, I.; Galkin, A.; Bushuiev, D.; Dotsenko, N. Sustainable Development Projects Implementing in BANI Environment Based on AI Tools. Sustainability 2025, 17, 2607. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062607
Bushuyev S, Chumachenko I, Galkin A, Bushuiev D, Dotsenko N. Sustainable Development Projects Implementing in BANI Environment Based on AI Tools. Sustainability. 2025; 17(6):2607. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062607
Chicago/Turabian StyleBushuyev, Sergey, Igor Chumachenko, Andrii Galkin, Denis Bushuiev, and Nataliia Dotsenko. 2025. "Sustainable Development Projects Implementing in BANI Environment Based on AI Tools" Sustainability 17, no. 6: 2607. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062607
APA StyleBushuyev, S., Chumachenko, I., Galkin, A., Bushuiev, D., & Dotsenko, N. (2025). Sustainable Development Projects Implementing in BANI Environment Based on AI Tools. Sustainability, 17(6), 2607. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062607