1. Introduction
West Virginia (WV), a mountainous state in the southern United States, was the nation’s fifth-largest energy producer in 2023. It was also a top exporter of electricity, generating 52,286,784 MWh and exporting nearly two-fifths of this to neighboring states [
1,
2]. In terms of carbon emissions, the WV power generation industry produces 0.873 kg of carbon dioxide (CO
2) for every kilowatt hour (kWh) of electricity generated, the highest CO
2 emissions rate per kWh in the USA [
2,
3]. The average CO
2 emissions factor for the USA is 0.389 kg/kWh.
Table 1 shows the CO
2 generation (kg/kWh) for different states.
WV’s electrical generation has long been dominated by coal; this share is expected to decline as more coal-fired power plants are being retired. Before 2013, natural gas was rarely used for power generation; however, as local reserves were tapped and distribution infrastructure was brought online across sections of the state, its portion of the state energy portfolio has slowly expanded. The 2023–2027 WV economic outlook forecasts that upward price pressures stemming from the 2022 invasion of Ukraine and incentives from H.R.5376, commonly known as the Inflation Reduction Act, will prompt an expansion of natural gas production in the state by 5% per year, on average [
4]. As shown in
Figure 1, it is evident that WV remains highly dependent on locally produced coal for power generation (85%) in 2024, with negligible dependency on solar and other renewable energy resources. In contrast, states, such as California and Texas, are transitioning away from traditional sources, with renewable sources, like solar, accounting for 32.21% and 7.82% of their respective power generation capacities.
The generation capacity of PV panels installed on rooftops has been extensively studied across many states in the USA. For instance, a national level study by Sigrin and Mooney [
6] found that rooftop solar could theoretically meet a significant proportion of demand for the entire USA grid. A study in Georgia found that rooftop solar generation capacity is rapidly expanding; however, despite the pace of installation, there remains a 92% disparity between the achievable and technical potential for rooftop solar [
7]. A simulation of rooftop PV systems in both small and medium/large buildings in 128 cities across every state in the USA by Gagnon et al. showed that 23% of small buildings are suitable for PV installation, while 26% of their total rooftop area is viable for development [
8]. Regardless of the sheer quantity of viable small buildings that are suitable, these provide a substantial generating potential of 1118 GW of installed capacity. This 1118 GW translates to an estimated 1432 TWh of annual energy generation, 39% of total national electricity sales. A study using the multi-level estimation methodology to model the rooftop PV potential of commercial and residential buildings in California, Arizona, and New Jersey, the three top states for solar PV generation, showed that the states could supply 35%, 43%, and 61% of state electricity demand with solar PV, respectively. It was found that, compared to the current generating capacity, the states could increase their PV capacity by 20 times, 30 times and 40 times, respectively, as reported by Kurdgelashvili et al. [
9]. A study of roof-top PV solar systems in Brownsville, Texas by Mangiante et al., using LiDAR and local records, found that while roof-top systems could supply roughly 11% of the local utility’s energy demands, the average internal rate of return (IRR) stood at a mere 2.9%, a payback period of beyond 15 years [
10].
A study conducted in Texas [
11] evaluated the performance of a rooftop grid-tied 3360 kW PV system. In regions abundant in solar energy, such as Texas, it is economically feasible to utilize solar power to diminish dependence on fossil fuel-based electricity generation. This approach addresses both the energy needs and environmental concerns associated with burgeoning urban development. Emissions from coal-fired power plants specifically—the most carbon-intensive fossil fuel power source—have been studied extensively in the USA [
12,
13,
14]. Studies on these topics have concluded that many of the regions supplied by these coal plants could achieve substantial reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through the installation of local PV arrays to generate a portion of their power needs. In the eastern USA, Abel et al. showed that by replacing 17% of current fossil fuel-generating capacity with solar PV systems, emissions of nitrogen oxide (NO
x), sulfur oxide (SO
x), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) emissions could be reduced by 20%, 15% and 4.7%, respectively [
15].
WV generates a large quantity of electricity from high GHG-emitting sources, making it an excellent candidate for adopting renewable energy to reduce GHG emissions. Unfortunately, the WV geography is generally not well suited for modern renewable technologies [
1,
8,
16]. Rooftop PV systems present a practical solution in the state, as a solar panel system capable of providing 75% or more of a household’s energy needs can be installed on the roof of an average home [
17]. It must be noted, however, that the low cost of coal-generated power and low solar irradiance across much of the state makes even these rooftop solar arrays economically unattractive. Solar energy in WV presents a clear and often-seen dichotomy for developers and governments in many northern states—substantial emissions reductions for every kWh generated, but at a distinctly noncompetitive price point that requires subsidies to reasonably challenge the entrenched fossil fuel-generating capacity [
2,
8,
18].
Prior subsidies, and, most recently, the clean energy investment tax credit provisions within the Inflation Reduction Act have facilitated substantial development of clean energy generation capacity in the USA, which otherwise would not have occurred. Recently, the Fort Martin Power Station, in Maidsville, WV, installed roughly 50,000 solar panels spread across an 80-acre site that can produce up to 18.9 megawatts (MW) of solar power, contributing significantly to renewable energy generation in the area. This site is the first solar project out of five planned by Mon Power and its affiliate, Potomac Edison [
19]. The Toyota Motors Manufacturing Plant in Buffalo, WV, hosts a 6-acre solar panel installation capable of producing 2.6 megawatts of power. This output is sufficient to supply electricity to over 400 homes. Additionally, the solar panels help to reduce the plant’s CO
2 emissions by approximately 4 million pounds annually [
20]. Yeager Airport in Charleston, WV, installed over 1800 solar modules on top of one of its parking garages. These panels not only power the parking facility but also reduce the overall electricity costs for the airport [
21]. The solar project at Wesleyan College in Buckhannon, WV features about 1328 bi-facial PV panels, covering about 13% of the campus’s annual power needs. This system generates sufficient renewable energy to power over 63 homes and prevents the emission of 727 tons of CO
2 annually [
22]. Tecnocap, a global metal packaging manufacturer in WV, decided to install solar panels as part of a roof renovation on their 220,000 square foot facility. The 1709 solar panels installed now supply about one-third of the building’s energy needs and are projected to save the company around USD 150,000 annually, with the exact savings to be determined in the coming years [
23]. However, there is a lack of research on the performance evaluation of rooftop solar panel systems installed in WV, making this article a valuable resource for exploring the potential of solar energy in the region.
4. Economic Analysis: Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
To assess the financial viability of the MLTA rooftop photovoltaic (PV) system, an internal rate of return (IRR) analysis was conducted using a discounted cash flow (DCF) approach over a 25-year horizon.
Table 7 indicates the relevant financial and operational parameters of the PV power plant.
Table 8 indicates several assumptions made for calculating the internal rate of return (IRR) for this system.
The IRR is the discount rate that sets the Net Present Value (NPV) of all cash flows to zero, as defined by the following equation:
where,
In year 13, an additional deduction for inverter replacement is included:
Inverter Replacement: A one-time cost of USD 0.15/WDC (USD 21,015 for 140.1 kW) in year 13.
Downtime: External (non-system) downtime is zero, thus no adjustments were made for downtime-related losses.
Analysis Horizon: 25 years
Using a numerical root-finding method to solve NPV(r) = 0, the IRR for the PV system was calculated to be 7.98%, indicating the project’s financial viability.
5. Future Recommendations
The assessment found significant degradation to the insulation layer of the roof, which is causing a leakage problem for the facility. However, it should be noted that the insulation layer degradation was not caused by the solar array, as sections of the roof not covered by solar panels were similarly degraded. The solar array can be temporarily removed for the roof insulation layer to be repaired and re-installed after the completion of the roof repair. This necessary maintenance will be an excellent opportunity to fix some of the issues found in this study.
The tilt angle of the current solar panel array was measured at 8.10–11.40°, as shown in
Table 6.
Figure 15 shows the impact of the tilt angle on solar energy productivity in kWh in Morgantown, simulated using PVWatts web calculator (Version 8.5.2) [
31]. As shown below, the optimal panel tilt angle in Morgantown is approximately 25°.
Table 9 compares the simulated solar panel production of this PV solar system using the current 9.78° and optimal tilt angle of 25° (using PVWatts web calculator (Version 8.5.2) [
32]). By using the optimal tilt angle of 25°, it would be possible to generate the same amount of electricity with fewer installed solar panels. The modification of the tilt angle from 9.78° to 25° will increase the annual electricity production from 154,747 kWh to 159,645 kWh, an improvement of 3.16%. Increasing the tilt angle from the current 9.78° to the optimal tilt angle can increase the electricity produced by 4898 kWh each year, mitigating 4276 kg of CO
2/year. The necessary repair of the roof insulation layer provides an excellent opportunity to modify the array as the panels must be removed and re-installed after the replacement of the roof insulation layer.
Moreover, optimization of the azimuth angle could lead to improved energy output. The current azimuth angle obtained for the system is 210° (south-west), whereas it should be 180° (true south), based on PVWatts web calculator (Version 8.5.2). Since the building entrance is at 120° (east–southeast), the panels were installed in the 210° direction. The main reasons for this choice are roof orientation, shading, structural, and cost factors, with minimal energy loss compared to due south. Simulations show that at mid-latitudes, azimuth deviations have only a minor impact on annual yield, especially at low tilt; most of the loss results from the tilt being far from optimum rather than from azimuth tweaks [
32]. Additionally, studies show that for fixed-tilt PV systems, being 20–30° off from due south often results in ~2–5% lower annual energy yield compared to the optimal (due south) azimuth [
33]. Thus, it is highly recommended that the tilt angle should be optimized near 25°, as this significantly increases the power generation, even though the azimuth remains the same, considering the roof orientation and cost factors. Observations for the deviation in the tilt angle and azimuth angle from the optimal value indicate that the tilt and azimuth angles were selected to maximize the number of panels while minimizing shadowing, even if that compromised optimal energy production. Although the current CUH is below the WV average of 4.3 sun-hours/day, the present tilt angle (9.78°) likely contributes significantly to this reduction.
In addition, the lack of scheduled cleaning has been identified as a major factor affecting PV system performance. Even in clean environments, dust gradually accumulates and adheres to the panels, which normal rainfall cannot fully remove. Dust creates a barrier, blocking the sunlight, which can reduce efficiency by 30–40%, which can reduce the power production by up to 86%. To address this, cost-effective cleaning methods, such as manual cleaning, a water-spray nozzle system, truck-mounted cleaning or electrodynamic screens, should be evaluated [
34]. Implementing a periodic cleaning routine is strongly recommended to sustain optimal performance.
6. Conclusions
This paper presents a performance evaluation of a 140 kW rooftop solar panel system installed at the MLTA in Morgantown, WV, USA, covering the period from 2013 to 2024. The assessment encompasses electricity generation, solar irradiance, tilt angle, CUH (both daily and annual), PV system efficiency, and the reductions in GHG over the past decade. The key findings of the study are summarized as follows:
The highest average GTI, ranging from 6.4 to 5.9 kWh/m2/day, was observed in June and July, while the lowest average GTI, between 1.5 and 2 kWh/m2/day, occurred in December and January. The maximum ambient temperature at the plant location was recorded in July, ranging from 25 to 30 °C;
From 2013 to 2024, the 140 kW PV system in WV generated a total of 1588 MWh of electricity, mitigating 1,413,497 kg of CO2. The highest annual electricity generation was recorded in 2013 at 154.54 MWh, while 2024 had the lowest production, of 67.83 MWh. In 2023, the system offset approximately 132,461 kg of CO2, 76 kg of NOx, and 103 kg of SOx;
On 20 April 2024, from 8 AM. to 7 PM, the average daily AC power efficiency was found to be 10.70%. The maximum efficiency recorded was 14.30%, observed at the solar irradiance of 967 W/m2 at 2:00 pm, which is comparable to the rated panel efficiency of 14.60%, as stated by the manufacturer;
The highest average daily CUH was observed in June at 4.62 h, while the lowest was in January at 1.05 h. The average daily and annual CUH of the 140 kW system from 2013 to 2023 were 2.93 h and 1077 h, respectively;
The use of corrosion-resistant and environmentally durable materials is recommended for solar panel installations, to prevent structural degradation. Concrete blocks are not a viable long-term solution for maintaining the tilt angle and alternative mounting options should be explored;
From 2013 to 2016, the average yearly degradation of this solar panel system was 2.28%. In comparison, the average yearly degradation of this system from 2017 to 2023 was comparatively mild (0.17%);
After analyzing electricity generation at different tilt angles, it is recommended to reinstall the solar system at the optimum tilt angle of 25°, as this will improve power production, increase CUH, and enhance efficiency.
However, for future PV installations in Morgantown, WV, and adjacent areas, we strongly recommend an optimal tilt of 25° and a south-facing azimuth of 180°. Our analysis indicates that adhering to these angles will significantly improve electricity production, efficiency, and CUH. The current PV system underperforms in part because its installation angles are not optimal; future projects should explicitly account for this during design. Finally, this manuscript is intended as a baseline, lessons-learned study rather than a blanket statement on statewide rooftop PV potential.