Adapting the 15-Minute City to North America: A Framework for Neighborhood Clusters with Urban Agriculture and Green Mobility
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methodology
2.1. Methodology for Development of a Neighborhood Cluster Containing Features of a 15-Minute City
2.2. Methodology for Implementation of UA and Determining Annual Production and Food Self-Sufficiency
2.3. Methodology for Implementation of Green Transportation System Powered by PV
2.4. Methodology for Developing Food Production and Transportation Framework (FPTF)
2.4.1. Methodology for FPTF: CO2 Emission Reduction from Green Transportation
2.4.2. Methodology for FPTF: Present Value of Project Cost and Payback Period
3. Results
3.1. Results for Neighborhood Cluster Comprising Food Outlets: Trip Length
3.2. Results for Urban Agriculture: Annual Production and Food Self-Sufficiency
3.3. Results for Implementation of Green Transportation System Powered by PV
3.3.1. Results for Number of Trips for Food Truck and Automobile Trip Lengths and Annual CO2 Emission
3.3.2. Results for Present Value of Project Costs and Payback Period
3.4. Results for Decision-Making Metric (DMM)
4. Discussion and Recommendations
- A NC consisting of ten Neighborhood Units (NU) is hypothesized where amenities are available within a 15 min walking trip from residential units. Supply related amenities are placed at every NU of the NC, significantly reducing the trip length. The food outlets are placed at walking distances from residential units, which reduces automobile dependency and promotes active modes of transportation.
- A collaborative approach among NUs is warranted, where multiple vegetables are cultivated in one NU, resulting in Food Self-Sufficiency (FSS) achievement for the chosen vegetables. An area optimization schedule called FPS is developed, depicting multiple combinations of cultivation areas. The results demonstrated that achieving an average FSS of 100% for an entire NC is feasible with area usage as low as 13.8% for rooftops, 10% for facades (south and west side), and 15% for lot spaces. This finding highlights the importance of community-based strategic planning and scheduling for UA to achieve FSS for certain crops.
- Density of amenities for this study is 3.18 amenity outlets per km2 of a NU, resulting in amenity availability at a walkable distance of less than 15 min for its dwellers. Spatial redistribution of amenities and placing them at walkable distances from the residential units resulted in reductions in long trip lengths and corresponding annual CO2 emissions. Achieving FSS with chosen vegetables in the NC with an UA strategy also supported community-based local contributions for sustainable development.
- Production of resources and re-distribution of only one amenity in the neighborhood resulted in reductions of 98.41% of annual CO2 emissions. Carbonless food distribution is achieved by operating GT units powered by sidewalk PVs. Investment affiliated to the PV has a payback period of less than 3 years in comparison to the fuel cost of regular fossil-fuel based operations.
- Decision-Making Metric (DMM) and Framework Performance Coefficient (FPC) analyze the Food Production and Transportation Framework (FPTF) and quantify the strategies. The DMM yields positive results for all the five criteria described in the methodology. Also, the FPC value is 0.19, indicating the effectiveness of the current set of strategies. This study designed DMM and FPC in a quantifiable manner, indicating that decision makers have the flexibility to modify the framework and compare among different neighborhood scenario, strategies etc.
- Three strategies examined in this study have the potential to contribute towards achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 2, 7, 11, and 13. Spatial re-distribution of amenities in urban neighborhood adds to the attainment of inclusive communities and decreased trip length, i.e., CO2 emission (SDGs 11 and 13) [70] (p. 11), [71] (p. 13). Self-sufficiency achieved upon implementation of UA contributes towards reaching food security and resilience in terms of SDGs 2 and 13, respectively [71] (p. 13), [72] (p. 2). This study also observes that transporting the UA produce using GT units powered by sidewalk PVs promotes SDGs 7 and 13, where affordable and sustainable energy sources are contributing towards alleviation of climate change effects.
Study Limitations and Roadmap for Future Work
5. Concluding Remarks
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
DMM | Decision-Making Metric |
EV | Electric Vehicle |
FM | Farmers Market |
FMC | 15-Minute City |
FPC | Framework Performance Coefficient |
FPTF | Food Production and Transportation Framework |
FSS | Food Self-Sufficiency |
GHG | Greenhouse Gas |
GS | Grocery Stores |
GT | Green Transportation |
NC | Neighborhood Cluster |
NU | Neighborhood Unit |
PV | Photovoltaic |
SDGs | Sustainable Development Goals |
UA | Urban Agriculture |
VSS | Vegetable Self-Sufficiency |
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Strategy and DMM Condition | Decision | Framework Performance Coefficient (FPC) |
---|---|---|
(A) Neighborhood Cluster | If all conditions are met and all responses are positive, then implement the FPTF. Special Condition: If condition (B.i.) is not satisfied, then the FPTF can still be implemented by utilizing GT to transport the remaining food products (=annual demand − annual production) from outside sources to neighborhood food outlets. | Annual production of food (kg/year)/Annual reduction in CO2 emission due to FPTF (kg/year) |
(A.i.) Availability of food outlets in neighborhood (Yes or No) | ||
(A.ii.) Trip length from residence to food outlet ≤ comfortable walking distance (≈1 km) (Yes or No) | ||
(B) Urban Agriculture (UA) | ||
(B.i.) Annual production ≥ annual demand of food product (Yes or No) | ||
(C) Green Transportation (GT) | ||
(C.i.) Energy generation of sidewalk PV system ≥ energy required to operate GT system (Yes or No) | ||
(C.ii.) Present value of sidewalk PV to power GT ≤ present value of fuel for traditional transportation system in NU without UA and GT system (Yes or No) |
Case Scenarios for Vegetable Production | Vegetable Cultivation Area (%) | Cultivation Area (Square Meter) | Quantity of Annual Vegetable Production from One Neighborhood Cluster (Metric Ton/Year) | Status of FSS (Percentage) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roof Top Area * | Facade | Empty Lot Space | ||||
Case-1 | Constant | 10 | 5 | 23,198.64 | 625.10 | Not Achieved (86.1%) |
Case-2 | Constant | 10 | 10 | 32,405.24 | 784.03 | Not Achieved (98%) |
Case-3 | Constant | 10 | 15 | 41,611.84 | 768.77 | Achieved (100%) |
Case-4 | Constant | 20 | 5 | 28,392.54 | 664.35 | Not Achieved (93%) |
Case-5 | Constant | 20 | 10 | 37,599.14 | 890.142 | Achieved (100%) |
Case-6 | Constant | 20 | 15 | 46,805.74 | 919.66 | Achieved (100%) |
Case-7 | Constant | 30 | 5 | 33,586.44 | 823.78 | Not Achieved (98%) |
Case-8 | Constant | 30 | 10 | 42,793.04 | 876.47 | Achieved (100%) |
Case-9 | Constant | 30 | 15 | 51,999.64 | 897.03 | Achieved (100%) |
Description | Results | |
---|---|---|
Required load carrying capacity of EV | 2.55 Metric Ton/day | |
Design EV | Load carrying capacity | 0.8 Metric Ton |
Battery capacity | 92.5 kW-Hr | |
Range | 675 km | |
Daily trip length of design EV | 106 km | |
Charging frequency | 0.194 times/day | |
Annual power demand for design EV | 6551.75 kW-Hr | |
Maximum PV area for minimum solar insolation | 97.61 m2 | |
Annual power generation by design PV | 19,719.99 kW-Hr |
Description | Results | |
---|---|---|
Number of trips | 3.4 trips/person/day | |
Total number of annual trips generated from 1 NU | 2,482,000 trips/year | |
Annual grocery-purchase-oriented trips | % of trips | Number of annual trips |
3 | 74,460 | |
4 | 99,280 | |
5 | 124,100 | |
5.32 | 132,130 | |
6 | 148,920 | |
7 | 173,740 | |
CO2 emission due to grocery purchase | ||
Annual CO2 emission by food truck | 167.81 Metric Ton/year | |
Annual CO2 emission by automobiles (MT) | % of trips | Annual CO2 emission |
3 | 227.70 | |
4 | 303.60 | |
5 | 379.50 | |
5.32 | 404.60 | |
6 | 455.40 | |
7 | 531.30 | |
Base case annual CO2 emission due to grocery purchase for 1 NU (e.g., West 5)/NC | 572.41 Metric Ton (1 NU) | |
Base case annual per capita CO2 emission | 286.20 kg/person/year | |
15 min neighborhood annual CO2 emission due to grocery purchase for one NU | 9.07 Metric Ton (1 NU) | |
15 min neighborhood annual per capita CO2 emission | 4.54 kg/person/year | |
Percentage reduction upon implementation of three strategies | 98.41% |
Description | Result |
---|---|
Design PV area | 98 m2 |
Present value of fuel cost | C$3.21 million (100%) |
Present value of fuel cost by trucks | C$0.22 million (6.88%) |
Present value of fuel cost by automobiles | C$2.99 million (93.12%) |
Present value of sidewalk PV system | C$0.37 million (100%) |
Present value of initial cost | C$0.13 million (35.59%) |
Present value of maintenance cost | C$0.16 million (44.35%) |
Present value of rehabilitation cost | C$0.073 million (20.06%) |
Fuel cost reduction with respect to PV cost over 20-year life period | 88.44% |
Cost per unit of power generated by sidewalk PVs | C$0.92/kW-Hr |
Payback period | 2.58 years |
Strategy and DMM Result | Decision | Framework Performance Coefficient (FPC) |
---|---|---|
(A) Neighborhood Cluster | All Positive. FPTF is acceptable. | 0.19 |
(A.i.) Yes. 5 GS and 5 FM. (A.ii.) Yes. All distances < 1 km | ||
(B) Urban Agriculture (UA) | ||
(B.i.) Yes. FSS achieved. 768.77 metric ton/year | ||
(C) Green Transportation (GT) | ||
(C.i.) Yes. 19,719.9 ≥ 6551.75 (kW-h/ year) (C.ii.) Yes. C$0.37million ≤ C$3.205 |
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Kabir, M.F.; Sohail, M.F.; Hachem-Vermette, C. Adapting the 15-Minute City to North America: A Framework for Neighborhood Clusters with Urban Agriculture and Green Mobility. Sustainability 2025, 17, 8196. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188196
Kabir MF, Sohail MF, Hachem-Vermette C. Adapting the 15-Minute City to North America: A Framework for Neighborhood Clusters with Urban Agriculture and Green Mobility. Sustainability. 2025; 17(18):8196. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188196
Chicago/Turabian StyleKabir, Md Faisal, Mahnoor Fatima Sohail, and Caroline Hachem-Vermette. 2025. "Adapting the 15-Minute City to North America: A Framework for Neighborhood Clusters with Urban Agriculture and Green Mobility" Sustainability 17, no. 18: 8196. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188196
APA StyleKabir, M. F., Sohail, M. F., & Hachem-Vermette, C. (2025). Adapting the 15-Minute City to North America: A Framework for Neighborhood Clusters with Urban Agriculture and Green Mobility. Sustainability, 17(18), 8196. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188196