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Review

The Role of AI in Predictive Modelling for Sustainable Urban Development: Challenges and Opportunities

by
Elda Cina
*,
Ersin Elbasi
,
Gremina Elmazi
and
Zakwan AlArnaout
College of Engineering and Technology, American University of the Middle East, Egaila 54200, Kuwait
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2025, 17(11), 5148; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17115148
Submission received: 27 April 2025 / Revised: 27 May 2025 / Accepted: 2 June 2025 / Published: 3 June 2025

Abstract

:
As urban populations continue to rise, cities face mounting challenges related to infrastructure strain, resource management, and environmental degradation. Sustainable urban development has emerged as a crucial strategy to balance economic growth, social equity, and environmental preservation. In this context, artificial intelligence offers transformative potential, particularly through predictive modeling, which enables data-driven decision making for more efficient and resilient urban planning. This paper explores the role of AI-powered predictive models in supporting sustainable urban development, focusing on key applications such as infrastructure optimization, energy management, environmental monitoring, and climate adaptation. The study reviews current practices and real-world examples, highlighting the benefits of predictive analytics in anticipating urban needs and mitigating future risks. It also discusses significant challenges, including data limitations, algorithmic bias, ethical concerns, and governance issues. The discussion emphasizes the importance of transparent, inclusive, and accountable AI frameworks to ensure equitable outcomes. In addition, the paper presents comparative insights from global smart city initiatives, illustrating how AI and IoT-based strategies are being applied in diverse urban contexts. By examining both the opportunities and limitations of AI in this domain, the paper offers insights into how cities can responsibly harness AI to advance sustainability goals. The findings underscore the need for interdisciplinary collaboration, ethical safeguards, and policy support to unlock AI’s full potential in shaping sustainable, smart cities.

1. Introduction

Urbanization is one of the most significant trends of the 21st century, with more than half of the world’s population currently residing in cities, a figure projected to reach nearly 10.3 billion people in the mid-2080 [1]. As urban areas expand, they face mounting challenges in managing limited resources, increasing energy demands, rising pollution levels, and the social implications of rapid population growth. These challenges pose significant threats to sustainable development, as cities account for approximately 70% of global carbon dioxide emissions and consume nearly 75% of the world’s energy [2]. To address these challenges, the concept of sustainable urban development has gained prominence, emphasizing the need for cities to balance economic growth, social inclusivity, and environmental sustainability [3,4,5,6].
Sustainable urban development aims to create cities that are resilient, resource-efficient, and capable of improving the quality of life for current and future residents [7]. It requires a holistic strategy that combines economic, environmental, and social factors to ensure that urban expansion supports sustainability without harming the environment or disadvantaging vulnerable populations [8]. As urban populations expand, it becomes increasingly vital to create innovative strategies that empower planners and policymakers to design, manage, and enhance city spaces in alignment with sustainability objectives [9]. Figure 1 illustrates the three main pillars of sustainable urban development: Environment, Economy and Society.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool for addressing the complexities of sustainable urban development. By leveraging AI’s capacity to analyze large datasets, identify patterns, and make accurate predictions, cities can enhance their planning processes, optimize resource allocation, and improve their adaptability to future challenges [10]. Predictive modeling stands out as one of the most promising uses of AI in this field, leveraging historical data and machine learning (ML) techniques to anticipate future trends, evaluate potential risks, and support informed decision making [11,12,13,14].
Figure 2 illustrates a sustainable urban landscape model featuring key AI-integrated components such as smart buildings with solar panels, clean energy sources (e.g., wind turbines), electric public transport, green spaces, and pedestrian-friendly infrastructure, demonstrating the synergy between urban development and sustainability principles.
Predictive modeling enables cities to shift from reactive to proactive planning by anticipating potential problems such as infrastructure stress, energy shortages, or environmental degradation. For instance, AI-driven models can optimize traffic flow, forecast energy consumption, and predict air quality levels, contributing to more efficient and sustainable urban management [15]. Additionally, predictive models can help cities prepare for the impacts of climate change by simulating the effects of rising sea levels, extreme weather events, and changing temperature patterns on urban infrastructure [16].
Despite its potential, the use of AI in urban planning comes with its own set of challenges. The effectiveness of AI-driven models depends heavily on data quality, availability, and the capacity of cities to leverage technology effectively [17,18]. Moreover, there are ethical concerns related to data privacy, algorithmic bias, and the transparency of AI decision-making processes, which must be addressed to ensure that AI contributes positively to urban sustainability [19]. Without careful consideration of these issues, AI applications risk exacerbating existing inequalities and creating unintended social and environmental consequences [20].
This paper explores the role of AI in advancing sustainable urban development, with a focus on the use of predictive modeling to address critical urban challenges. It examines the applications of AI in optimizing infrastructure, managing resources, and enhancing urban resilience. By discussing the opportunities, challenges, and future prospects of AI-driven urban planning, this paper aims to provide insights into how cities can harness AI to achieve sustainability goals in the face of rapid urbanization and climate change. In doing so, it emphasizes the need for a balanced approach that considers both the technological potential and the ethical implications of AI in shaping the cities of tomorrow. The remainder of this paper is structured as follows: Section 2 presents an overview of sustainable urban development. Section 3 and Section 4 examine the role of AI in predictive modeling and explore key applications of AI in advancing sustainable urban development. Section 5 and Section 6 provide a comprehensive review of the major challenges and emerging opportunities associated with the use of AI in predictive modeling for urban environments. Section 7 discusses selected case studies from global smart city initiatives. Section 8 offers a detailed discussion on strategies to overcome identified challenges and to maximize the opportunities presented by the new era of AI-driven predictive modeling. Finally, Section 9 presents concluding remarks and recommendations for future research and practice.

2. Overview of Sustainable Urban Development

The concept of sustainable urban development has evolved significantly over the past decades, emerging as a critical framework for addressing the complex challenges facing modern cities [21,22]. At its core, sustainable urban development represents an integrated approach to city planning and management that seeks to balance economic prosperity, environmental stewardship, and social equity [23]. These dimensions are interdependent, forming the foundation for creating urban areas that are resilient, equitable, and livable. The United Nations Human Settlements Programme [1] emphasizes that sustainable urbanization must meet the needs of present urban populations while ensuring that future generations can fulfill their own needs without compromising environmental integrity. This comprehensive approach is encapsulated in the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goal 11, which aims to “make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable.” [1]. Achieving this goal necessitates addressing various recent challenges, including population growth, climate change, wasteful sources, and infrastructure demands [22].
Rooted in the three-pillar framework, sustainable urban development seeks to harmonize all the dimensions rather than treat them as separate entities [24]. Economically, it involves fostering adaptive urban economies that not only generate long-term value but also prioritize resource efficiency and ecological preservation. By embedding social inclusion and environmental responsibility into economic systems, sustainable urban development transcends traditional growth models, offering a pathway to resilient and regenerative urban ecosystems [24]. According to Satterthwaite, urban economies must prioritize inclusive growth that addresses poverty and inequality while ensuring that economic activities do not compromise environmental integrity in ways that minimize ecological harm and mitigate climate change. By aligning urban economic policies with these principles, cities can create a dynamic framework where economic expansion contributes to long-term social and environmental well-being [25].
On the other hand, environmental preservation is a critical pillar of sustainable urban development, requiring policies and practices that safeguard natural resources and reduce ecological footprints. Urban areas, while covering only 2–3% of the Earth’s land surface, are responsible for approximately 75% of natural resource consumption and up to 80% of energy consumption. They also account for about 70% of global greenhouse gas emissions and 50% of waste production [26]. These statistics underscore the significant environmental impact of cities and highlight the importance of sustainable urban development in addressing climate change. Cities must integrate green infrastructure, renewable energy solutions, water use, land use, and sustainable transportation to mitigate these impacts [27].
Urban areas often reflect societal inequities, with disparities in housing, education, and healthcare contributing to urban poverty and exclusion. Participatory planning processes that actively involve communities in decision making can bridge these gaps, fostering greater equity and cohesion. A study by Fainstein emphasizes the importance of the “just city” concept, advocating for urban policies that promote inclusivity and democracy [28]. Similarly, the role of social cohesion in sustainable urban development is underscored by research highlighting how inclusive public spaces and active community engagement are vital for fostering social inclusion [29]. By prioritizing these principles, cities can create environments where all individuals feel valued, empowered, and able to contribute to collective progress.
However, achieving sustainable urban development faces significant challenges, including rapid urbanization, population growth, and climate change, which exacerbate existing resource limitations and environmental pressures. These are compounded by limited financial resources, political resistance, and the complexities of integrating diverse stakeholder needs into cohesive urban strategies. Rapid urbanization is one of the primary drivers, with urban populations expected to grow by 2.5 billion by 2050 [30]. This growth reflects a combination of natural population increase and rural-to-urban migration, driven by economic opportunities, industrialization, and better access to services in urban centers [31,32]. The concentration of people in cities also exacerbates environmental challenges, including increased waste production, higher energy demand, and significant contributions to greenhouse gas emissions [33]. Encouraging community participation in resource management fosters a sense of ownership and responsibility among residents, leading to more sustainable consumption patterns and support for environmental initiatives [34]. Implementing integrated resource planning can optimize the use of water, energy, and materials, thereby reducing waste and enhancing efficiency. For example, an integrated urban water management strategy that examines technological integration, urban focus, and alignment with sustainable development goals can effectively address water demand in growing cities [35].
Given these interconnected challenges, predictive tools have become indispensable in urban planning. Traditional approaches, which often rely on historical data and reactive planning, are insufficient for addressing the complexities of modern urban systems. Predictive tools, powered by AI and big data analytics, enable cities to anticipate challenges and complexities by focusing on innovative planning approaches. These tools facilitate the analysis of vast datasets, uncovering concepts and trends that inform decision-support processes [36].
Predictive tools are particularly valuable for long-term planning. By modeling future scenarios, they allow planners to assess the impacts of policies on housing demand, transportation systems, and resource consumption over decades. The integration of ML algorithms with urban data infrastructure has revolutionized the capacity to forecast urban development patterns, urban mobility, and environmental changes with unprecedented accuracy [37,38]. These advanced analytical capabilities enable urban planners to simulate multiple development scenarios, providing crucial insights into the outcomes of different models and predictions [39]. Additionally, participatory sensing and citizen-generated data have democratized the planning process, fostering more inclusive urban development strategies that reflect diverse community needs and aspirations [40].
The continuous evolution of these tools, coupled with improvements in data quality and computational capabilities, is transforming urban planning into a proactive, evidence-based practice capable of addressing the complexities of 21st century urbanization.

3. AI in Predictive Modeling

Urban development is undergoing a transformation due to advancements in AI and predictive modeling. Cities are becoming smarter, more efficient, and sustainable through AI-driven solutions. Predictive modeling leverages historical and real-time data to forecast future trends, enabling better decision making in urban planning, traffic management, energy consumption, and public safety. This section explores predictive modeling techniques, AI sub-areas such as IoT and computer vision, and their applications in urban development.

3.1. What Is Predictive Modeling?

Predictive modeling is an advanced statistical and computational approach that leverages ML, data mining, and AI to forecast future events or behaviors by analyzing historical and real-time data [41]. This technique is widely applied across various industries, including finance, healthcare, and urban development, to facilitate data-driven decision making. Figure 3 below summarizes the stages of predictive modeling in urban development.
The process involves the following stages:
Data Collection: structured data such as numerical records from databases and unstructured data like text or images from social media and IoT sensors are gathered. For instance, smart cities utilize traffic cameras and GPS devices to collect real-time vehicle movement data, which is then used to predict congestion patterns.
Feature Selection: this stage involves identifying the most relevant variables that influence the prediction, such as location and crime rates for housing price models and transforming raw data into meaningful inputs. Techniques like Principal Component Analysis (PCA) are often employed to reduce dimensionality and eliminate noise, thereby enhancing model efficiency.
Algorithm Selection: selecting an appropriate algorithm is another crucial aspect, with different models suited for varying predictive tasks. Regression models like linear regression and decision trees are used for continuous outcomes, such as energy demand forecasting, while classification models like logistic regression and random forests are applied to categorical outcomes, such as identifying high-crime zones. For temporal data, time-series forecasting methods like ARIMA and LSTM networks are utilized, whereas deep learning techniques such as CNNs and RNNs are employed for complex data like images, enabling tasks like pothole detection from street camera feeds.
Model Training and Validation: this stage ensures the accuracy and reliability of predictions. During training, the model learns patterns from historical data, such as past traffic records, to forecast future congestion. Validation techniques like cross-validation, which split data into training and testing sets, help prevent overfitting. Performance metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and mean absolute error (MAE) are used to evaluate the model’s effectiveness. Once validated, the model is deployed into decision-making systems, enabling real-time applications like dynamic traffic signal adjustments. This comprehensive process underscores the transformative potential of predictive modeling in urban development, where it is increasingly used to address complex challenges such as traffic congestion, energy inefficiency, and public safety.

3.2. Importance in Urban Development

Predictive modeling plays a pivotal role in the evolution of smart cities by enabling proactive urban planning, resource optimization, and risk mitigation. The following are the most important applications of predictive modeling in urban planning and development.
Traffic management and congestion forecasting are one of the most significant applications. Urban traffic congestion not only leads to economic losses but also contributes to environmental pollution. Predictive models address this issue by analyzing real-time GPS data, traffic camera feeds, and historical patterns to forecast congestion hotspots [42,43]. For example, Singapore’s Intelligent Transport System (ITS) leverages AI to predict traffic jams and dynamically adjust signal timings, while Google Maps’ Live Traffic employs ML to suggest optimal routes based on predictive analytics. These applications demonstrate how predictive modeling can enhance urban mobility and reduce commute times.
Energy efficiency is another critical area where predictive modeling is making a substantial impact. Cities consume approximately 75% of the world’s energy, necessitating innovative solutions for efficient distribution [44]. AI models predict peak energy demand by integrating weather data, historical usage patterns, and inputs from IoT sensors [45]. Tesla’s Autobidder, for instance, uses predictive analytics to optimize energy storage in power grids, while Barcelona’s Smart Lighting System adjusts streetlight intensity based on predictions of pedestrian movement. These implementations not only reduce energy waste but also contribute to sustainability goals, showcasing the potential of predictive modeling in creating greener urban environments.
Public safety and crime prediction represent another vital application of predictive modeling in urban development. Rising crime rates in cities necessitate preventive measures, and predictive policing models provide a solution by analyzing crime records, weather data, and socio-economic indicators to identify high-risk areas [41]. Chicago’s Strategic Subject List (SSL) uses ML to pinpoint individuals at high risk of involvement in violent crimes, while PredPol, a predictive policing software, assists law enforcement in efficiently allocating patrols. These tools enable authorities to intervene proactively, thereby enhancing urban safety.
Disaster management and risk assessment also benefit significantly from predictive modeling, particularly in the face of increasing climate-related risks. AI models analyze satellite imagery, weather data, and historical disaster records to predict events like floods, earthquakes, and fires. IBM’s PAIRS Geoscope, for example, forecasts flood risks using AI and geospatial data, while Japan’s Earthquake Early Warning System issues alerts seconds before tremors by leveraging predictive algorithms. These advancements underscore the life-saving potential of predictive modeling in mitigating the impact of natural disasters on urban populations. Figure 4 illustrates the different applications of predictive modeling in urban development.
In conclusion, predictive modeling is a powerful tool that is transforming urban development by enabling cities to become smarter, safer, and more sustainable. By harnessing the capabilities of AI, IoT, and big data analytics, urban planners can anticipate challenges and optimize infrastructure proactively. Future advancements in edge AI, 5G, and quantum computing are expected to further enhance predictive capabilities, paving the way for fully autonomous smart cities. The integration of these technologies will not only address current urban challenges but also unlock new possibilities for efficient and resilient urban living.

3.3. AI Techniques Used in Predictive Modeling

Predictive modeling leverages various AI techniques to analyze historical and real-time data, enabling accurate forecasts for urban development. The most prominent AI methods include machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and reinforcement learning (RL), each offering unique advantages depending on the application.

3.3.1. Machine Learning in Predictive Modeling

Machine learning is the backbone of predictive modeling, encompassing supervised and unsupervised learning techniques. Supervised learning involves training models on labeled datasets to predict future outcomes. Regression models, for instance, are widely used to forecast continuous variables such as housing prices [46], while classification models help categorize data—such as identifying high-risk zones for urban flooding. Unsupervised learning, on the other hand, deals with unlabeled data, where clustering algorithms group similar data points (e.g., identifying urban hotspots for crime or traffic congestion) and dimensionality reduction techniques (e.g., Principal Component Analysis) help simplify complex datasets for better interpretability. ML models are particularly valuable in urban planning due to their scalability, interpretability, and adaptability to different datasets.

3.3.2. Deep Learning (DL) for Complex Urban Data

Deep learning, a subset of ML, utilizes neural networks with multiple layers to process large-scale, unstructured data such as images, videos, and sensor readings. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) excel in computer vision applications, enabling urban surveillance systems to detect anomalies, monitor traffic flow, and analyze pedestrian movement [47,48]. Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), particularly Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, are effective in time-series forecasting, such as predicting electricity demand in smart grids or air pollution trends. While DL models achieve higher accuracy in handling complex datasets, they require significant computational power and large training datasets, making them more resource-intensive than traditional ML approaches.

3.3.3. Reinforcement Learning (RL) for Dynamic Urban Systems

Reinforcement learning differs from supervised and unsupervised learning by relying on trial-and-error interactions with an environment to maximize rewards. In urban development, RL is particularly useful in autonomous traffic control systems [49], where AI agents learn to optimize traffic signal timings in real-time to reduce congestion. Another application is in energy management, where RL algorithms dynamically adjust the power distribution in smart grids based on demand fluctuations. The key strength of RL is its ability to adapt to changing environments without explicit reprogramming, making it ideal for dynamic urban systems. However, RL models require extensive simulation training before deployment and can be computationally expensive.

3.3.4. Comparative Analysis of AI Techniques in Urban Predictive Modeling

Each AI technique has distinct strengths and limitations when applied to urban development:
  • ML is best suited for structured data analysis, such as predicting real estate trends or classifying urban zones, due to its interpretability and efficiency.
  • DL outperforms traditional ML in processing unstructured data (images, videos, sensor streams), making it ideal for smart surveillance and environmental monitoring.
  • RL is optimal for real-time decision making in dynamic environments, such as traffic optimization, but requires significant computational resources.
The choice of technique depends on the specific urban challenge, data availability, and computational constraints. Integrating multiple AI approaches—such as combining ML for initial data processing and DL for image-based insights—can enhance predictive accuracy in smart city applications.

3.3.5. Large Language Modeling in Urban Development

In recent years, the rapid development of generative AI, especially large language models (LLMs), has begun to reshape urban development. These advanced models, trained on vast and diverse datasets, are now being used in a variety of ways to support urban planning, policy design, data interpretation, and community engagement [50].
One of the most promising areas of application is urban planning and design. LLMs can quickly analyze extensive materials such as planning reports, zoning regulations, environmental guidelines, and public feedback. This enables planners to draft proposals more efficiently, identify potential legal or regulatory conflicts, and anticipate the outcomes of development projects. Importantly, these models also play a role in participatory planning by translating technical documents into language that is easier for the public to understand, thus promoting greater transparency and inclusivity in the decision-making process [51,52].
At the same time, today’s cities generate enormous amounts of unstructured data—from IoT sensors to social media to citizen service requests. LLMs can make sense of these data, identifying patterns in public sentiment, categorizing complaints for municipal response, and integrating various data streams into cohesive knowledge systems that can inform urban policy and operations. In terms of governance, LLMs are already helping public institutions draft more inclusive and data-informed policies. They can summarize feedback from public consultations, produce multilingual documents, and present policy explanations in plain language, making government decisions more accessible to a wider audience [53].
However, despite these benefits, the use of LLMs in urban settings raises serious ethical questions. Issues of bias and fairness are especially important, as these models can unintentionally reinforce existing social or spatial inequalities that are present in the data they were trained on. There are also concerns about transparency, since the internal workings of LLMs are often difficult to interpret, which complicates accountability in public sector use. Moreover, when these models are applied to datasets that include sensitive citizen information, important questions arise around privacy, consent, and data governance [54].
In the future, large language models (LLMs) are likely to play an important role in shaping how cities grow and function. They can help make sense of complex urban data such as traffic patterns, housing trends, or environmental reports, and turn it into useful insights for city planners and decision-makers. LLMs also have the potential to improve how governments communicate with residents by breaking down technical information into more understandable language. As cities face challenges like climate change, population growth, and resource management, these models could support smarter, more flexible planning [55].
On the other hand, there are several issues that should be considered. Running and training LLMs takes a lot of computing power, which means a lot of energy, sometimes enough to undermine the very sustainability goals they are meant to support. There are also issues around data privacy and fairness, especially when large amounts of urban data are collected from communities that may not benefit equally from technology. And as these models produce more and more content, there is a risk of flooding systems with repetitive or low-value information, which can end up doing more harm than good if not carefully managed [56].

3.4. AI Sub-Areas in Urban Development

Internet of Things (IoT): The Internet of Things (IoT) plays a pivotal role in modern urban development by integrating smart sensors and connected devices into city infrastructure. These sensors collect real-time data on various environmental and operational parameters, such as air quality, traffic flow, energy consumption, and waste management. For instance, IoT-enabled air quality monitors can detect pollution levels and provide insights for policymakers to implement corrective measures [57]. Similarly, smart traffic sensors help optimize signal timings and reduce congestion by analyzing vehicle movement patterns. Additionally, IoT applications in energy management allow cities to monitor electricity usage in real-time, facilitating demand–response strategies that enhance energy efficiency. The seamless connectivity of IoT devices ensures that urban planners have access to actionable data, enabling smarter decision making and sustainable city growth.
Computer Vision: Computer vision, a subset of AI, is increasingly being utilized in urban development for tasks such as traffic monitoring, pedestrian detection, and infrastructure inspection. Advanced image recognition algorithms analyze video feeds from surveillance cameras to detect traffic violations, manage crowd movements, and enhance public safety. For example, AI-powered traffic cameras can identify congestion hotspots and automatically adjust signal timings to improve flow [58]. In infrastructure management, computer vision systems inspect bridges, roads, and buildings for structural defects using drone-captured imagery, reducing the need for manual inspections. Furthermore, pedestrian detection systems enhance urban safety by alerting authorities to potential accidents in real-time. The ability of computer vision to process vast amounts of visual data makes it indispensable for modern smart cities.
Natural Language Processing (NLP): Natural Language Processing (NLP) contributes to urban development by extracting meaningful insights from textual data, such as social media posts, public feedback, and government reports. Sentiment analysis, a key NLP application, helps city planners gauge public opinion on urban policies, infrastructure projects, and community services. For instance, analyzing tweets and online forums can reveal residents’ concerns about transportation, housing, or environmental issues, allowing authorities to address them proactively [59]. Additionally, NLP-powered chatbots and virtual assistants improve citizen engagement by providing instant responses to queries about municipal services. By processing unstructured text data, NLP enables a more data-driven and citizen-centric approach to urban governance.
Big Data Analytics: Big data analytics is fundamental to urban development, as it processes vast datasets generated by IoT devices, social media, and municipal records to identify trends and optimize city operations. Urban planners leverage predictive analytics to forecast population growth, traffic patterns, and energy demands, ensuring efficient resource allocation. For example, analyzing historical traffic data helps in designing better road networks, while real-time data streams enable dynamic adjustments to public transit schedules [60]. Moreover, big data techniques facilitate disaster management by modeling flood risks or earthquake impacts based on geographical and climatic data. The ability to synthesize and interpret large-scale urban data makes big data analytics a cornerstone of smart city initiatives, driving innovation in sustainability and livability. Table 1 below provides a comparison of different AI methods in urban applications.

3.5. Case Studies and Real-World Applications

3.5.1. Singapore’s Smart Nation Initiative

Singapore has emerged as a global leader in smart urban development through its Smart Nation Initiative, which extensively integrates IoT and AI to enhance traffic management, energy efficiency, and public services. One of the key components of this initiative is the use of AI-driven traffic prediction systems that analyze real-time data from sensors, GPS devices, and surveillance cameras to optimize traffic flow and reduce congestion [61]. For instance, the Green Link Determining (GLIDE) system employs ML algorithms to adjust traffic signal timing dynamically, reducing waiting times at intersections.
Additionally, Singapore leverages AI for energy management through smart grids that predict electricity demand using historical consumption patterns and weather forecasts. The Open Electricity Market (OEM) initiative allows AI algorithms to optimize energy distribution, reducing wastage and lowering costs for consumers. Furthermore, AI-powered predictive maintenance is applied to public infrastructure, such as predicting faults in MRT (Mass Rapid Transit) systems before they occur, ensuring minimal service disruptions. These innovations highlight how predictive modeling and AI can transform urban mobility and sustainability.

3.5.2. Barcelona’s IoT-Driven Urban Planning

Barcelona has pioneered the use of IoT and big data analytics to enhance urban efficiency, particularly in waste management and water conservation. The city deployed a network of smart waste bins equipped with fill-level sensors that transmit real-time data to municipal authorities [62]. AI algorithms analyze these data to optimize waste collection routes, reducing fuel consumption and operational costs. This system not only improves efficiency but also minimizes environmental impact by reducing unnecessary truck emissions.
Another significant application is smart water management, where IoT sensors monitor water usage across the city, detecting leaks and predicting demand spikes. The Sentilo platform, an open-source IoT sensor network, collects data from thousands of sensors to optimize irrigation in public parks and manage water distribution in real time. This has led to a significant reduction in water waste, showcasing how predictive analytics can contribute to sustainable urban development.

3.5.3. Comparative Insights

Both Singapore and Barcelona demonstrate the transformative potential of AI and IoT in urban planning, yet their approaches differ based on city-specific needs. Singapore focuses on large-scale AI integration in transportation and energy, while Barcelona emphasizes IoT-driven sustainability in waste and water management. These case studies illustrate that predictive modeling is not a one-size-fits-all solution; rather, its success depends on tailored implementations that address unique urban challenges. By examining these real-world applications, policymakers and urban planners can gain valuable insights into how AI-driven predictive modeling can be adapted to different city environments, ensuring smarter, more efficient, and sustainable urban futures. The following comparative framework synthesizes insights from Singapore and Barcelona, evaluating their AI approaches across key urban development metrics.
1.
Comparative Framework for AI Techniques
The framework evaluates AI techniques (ML, DL, RL, IoT, Computer Vision, NLP) based on the following dimensions shown in Table 2.
While DL excels in handling unstructured data and offers high predictive accuracy, it often suffers from a lack of interpretability. In contrast, RL is well-suited for dynamic environments requiring continuous adaptation but typically depends on complex simulations for effective training. The suitability of each approach varies by application context:
  • Structured data: Traditional ML methods are most effective (e.g., housing price prediction).
  • Unstructured data: DL models are ideal (e.g., traffic video surveillance).
  • Real-time control and decision making: RL performs best (e.g., smart energy management systems).
2.
Evaluation Metrics for Case Studies
The case studies (Singapore and Barcelona) are assessed using metrics aligned with urban sustainability goals as shown in Table 3.
While Singapore emphasizes large-scale AI-driven efficiency, particularly in areas like traffic optimization and energy management, the city accepts high initial investment costs with the expectation of long-term operational savings. In contrast, Barcelona has focused on sustainability by leveraging IoT technologies for services such as waste collection and water management. This approach has resulted in scalable and cost-effective solutions, particularly suitable for cities that already have established sensor networks.

4. Key Applications of AI in Sustainable Urban Development

AI is revolutionizing urban development by enabling smarter, more sustainable cities. As urbanization accelerates, cities face challenges such as energy consumption, pollution, waste management, and infrastructure strain. AI offers data-driven solutions to optimize resource use, enhance efficiency, and mitigate environmental impacts. This section explores four key applications of AI in sustainable urban development: smart infrastructure planning, energy efficiency and management, environmental monitoring and climate adaptation, and waste and resource management.

4.1. Smart Infrastructure Planning

AI in Urban Design and Transportation: AI enhances infrastructure planning by analyzing vast datasets to optimize urban layouts, transportation networks, and utility systems. ML models predict population growth, traffic patterns, and infrastructure demands, enabling proactive planning [63].
Autonomous Traffic Management: AI-powered traffic signal systems, such as Pittsburgh’s Surtrac, have demonstrated significant improvements in urban traffic efficiency and environmental impact. Developed by Carnegie Mellon University’s Robotics Institute, Surtrac utilizes real-time data and AI to adapt traffic light timings based on actual traffic conditions. This decentralized approach allows each intersection to independently optimize its signals while coordinating with neighboring intersections, leading to a more responsive and efficient traffic flow [64]. In Pittsburgh, the implementation of Surtrac has led to a 25.79% reduction in average travel times and a 21.48% decrease in vehicle emissions. Additionally, the system has achieved a 40.64% reduction in wait times at intersections and a 31.34% decrease in the number of stops vehicles make. These improvements not only enhance commuter experience but also contribute to environmental sustainability by reducing fuel consumption and associated emissions [65].
Predictive Maintenance: Powered by AI and IoT technologies, it is revolutionizing the way we monitor and maintain critical infrastructure like bridges and roads. By continuously analyzing data from embedded sensors, AI systems can detect early signs of structural weaknesses, enabling timely interventions that prevent failures and enhance safety. Recent studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of AI-driven predictive maintenance.
High Accuracy in Damage Detection: ML algorithms have achieved over 90% accuracy in identifying cracks and fatigue in bridge structures, surpassing traditional inspection methods [66].
Cost Reduction: Implementing predictive maintenance models has led to a 30–50% reduction in maintenance costs by optimizing repair schedules and minimizing emergency interventions [66].
Enhanced Monitoring Capabilities: The integration of IoT-enabled wireless sensor networks and fiber optic sensors has improved real-time monitoring, reducing the data acquisition time by 65% and allowing for continuous structural assessments without disrupting operations [66].
These advancements not only extend the lifespan of infrastructure but also contribute to public safety and economic efficiency. As AI and sensor technologies continue to evolve, their role in infrastructure maintenance is expected to become increasingly pivotal.

4.2. Energy Efficiency and Management

AI for Smart Grids and Renewable Integration: AI technologies are playing a pivotal role in transforming energy systems by enhancing efficiency, reducing waste, and facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into smart grids. Through advanced ML algorithms, AI enables more accurate demand forecasting, dynamic pricing models, and optimized energy distribution, thereby contributing to a more sustainable and resilient energy infrastructure.
Demand Forecasting: ML models are instrumental in predicting energy consumption patterns with high precision. By analyzing vast amounts of historical and real-time data, these models can anticipate fluctuations in energy demand, allowing grid operators to make informed decisions that enhance grid stability and efficiency. This predictive capability is crucial for balancing supply and demand, especially with the increasing incorporation of variable renewable energy sources like wind and solar power. For instance, a study demonstrated that a DL model using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks achieved a mean absolute error of just 1.4% in short-term energy demand forecasting, significantly outperforming traditional methods [67].
Dynamic Pricing: AI also facilitates dynamic pricing strategies by adjusting electricity prices in real time based on current demand and supply conditions. This approach not only incentivizes consumers to shift their energy usage to off-peak times but also helps in flattening peak demand curves, reducing the need for additional power generation capacity. A notable example is Google’s application of DeepMind’s AI, which achieved a 40% reduction in energy used for cooling its data centers, translating to a 15% overall decrease in power usage effectiveness (PUE) overhead [68].
AI-Driven Behavioral Insights for Household Sustainability: A European study [69] analyzed appliance maintenance behaviors across 809 households, revealing critical gaps between awareness and action related to reactive maintenance, cost-driven replacement, and energy waste. The study showed that AI-driven nudges (e.g., maintenance alerts, efficiency tips) reduced waste by 12% in pilot programs.
In summary, the integration of AI into smart grids and renewable energy systems offers significant benefits, including improved demand forecasting, efficient energy distribution, and cost savings through dynamic pricing. These advancements are essential for the transition towards a more sustainable and reliable energy future.

4.3. Environmental Monitoring and Climate Adaptation

AI for Pollution Control and Disaster Prediction: I is increasingly instrumental in environmental monitoring and disaster prediction, offering advanced capabilities to analyze vast datasets from satellites, sensors, and other sources. This technology enhances our ability to monitor air quality, track deforestation, and predict extreme weather events with greater accuracy and lead time.
Air Quality Prediction: IBM’s Green Horizon Initiative: IBM’s Green Horizon project, in collaboration with Beijing’s municipal government, leverages AI to forecast air pollution levels. The system utilizes data from optical sensors, air quality monitors, and satellites to predict pollution dispersion and intensity. This initiative has contributed to a 20% reduction in ultra-fine particulate matter (PM2.5) levels in Beijing during the first three quarters of the year, moving closer to the city’s goal of a 25% reduction by 2017 [70,71].
Flood Modeling: Google’s AI-Powered Flood Forecasting: Google’s Flood Hub employs AI to provide riverine flood forecasts up to seven days in advance across over 80 countries, covering approximately 460 million people. The system has demonstrated improved accuracy compared to traditional models, particularly in data-scarce regions, by integrating diverse data sources and ML techniques [72].
These advancements in AI-driven environmental monitoring and disaster prediction are crucial for timely interventions and informed decision making, ultimately enhancing public safety and resilience against environmental challenges.

4.4. Waste and Resource Management

AI for Recycling and Circular Economy: AI is revolutionizing waste management by enhancing sorting processes, reducing landfill dependency, and promoting recycling efficiency. Innovative technologies such as smart bins and AI-driven robotics are central to this transformation.
Smart Bins Optimizing Waste Collection: Smart bins equipped with fill-level sensors enable the real-time monitoring of waste accumulation. For instance, Ekocharita, a textile waste collection company, implemented Sensoneo’s smart sensors across 600 containers. This initiative led to a 20% reduction in waste collection costs and a 30% decrease in the time required to collect one ton of textile waste. The sensors allowed for more efficient route planning and reduced unnecessary collections [73].
AI-Powered Recycling: Enhancing Sorting Accuracy: AMP Robotics has developed an AI platform, AMP Neuron™, which utilizes computer vision and ML to identify and sort recyclables with remarkable precision. Their robotic system, AMP Cortex™, can process up to 80 items per minute with an accuracy rate of up to 99%. This technology not only increases the volume of materials recycled but also improves the purity of sorted commodities, making recycling processes more economically viable [74,75,76].
By integrating AI technologies like smart bins and advanced robotics, waste management systems become more efficient, cost-effective, and environmentally friendly. These innovations play a crucial role in advancing towards a more sustainable and circular economy.

5. Challenges in Implementing AI-Powered Predictive Models

Rapid urbanization has brought about several challenges, including rising energy demands, infrastructure strain, and environmental degradation. Sustainable urban development has emerged as a critical approach to address these issues by promoting efficient resource use, equitable growth, and environmental stewardship. AI, with its capacity for data-driven decision making and predictive analytics, has proven to be a transformative tool in this context. Predictive models powered by AI enable urban planners to anticipate trends, optimize resource allocation, and design systems that adapt dynamically to urban challenges [77]. AI’s application spans diverse areas of urban development, including traffic management, disaster mitigation, energy optimization, and waste management. For example, predictive models can forecast urban growth patterns, enabling policymakers to plan for infrastructure expansion while minimizing environmental impact. Similarly, AI-driven systems have been employed to predict and mitigate the effects of climate change on urban ecosystems, such as flooding and heatwaves, thus improving urban resilience [78]. The integration of AI-powered predictive models in sustainable urban development presents several challenges that must be addressed to ensure their effective implementation and long-term viability. Table 4 demonstrates challenges in AI-powered models in sustainable urban development.
The integration of AI into building environments offers opportunities to enhance occupant comfort by considering both physiological and psychological factors. Traditional thermal comfort models, such as Fanger’s Predicted Mean Vote (PMV), primarily focus on environmental and physiological parameters. However, recent studies highlight the influence of mood states on thermal perception, suggesting that AI systems should incorporate psychological data to optimize comfort [81]. By acknowledging the psychological dimensions of thermal comfort, AI-driven environmental controls can move towards more holistic and personalized approaches, enhancing occupant satisfaction and overall building performance.
Nowadays, the development of green smart cities is also facing environmental, social, economic, and technological challenges such as resource efficiency, energy sources, cost, and privacy and security concerns. Napisa et al. proposed Explainable AI (XAI) and Interpretable AI (IAI) solutions in areas like energy optimization, traffic and waste management, water resources, and green building development. However, there are some limitations in the usage of AI, including adaptability to novel scenarios, user hesitance due to algorithm opacity, and ethical concerns related to AI development and accountability [85]. Le et al. worked on the transformative role of vision–language models, particularly RemoteCLIP, in advancing urban management practices. Satellite imagery-based research shows the potential in urban growth monitoring, infrastructure development, and environmental impact. On the other hand, there are some challenges, such as privacy, adaptation of the system, and data complexity [86].
Yao et al. proposed challenges of urban tourism by using AI-based city-wide data-driven analysis and personalized solutions. Shanghai City was used as a case study, and web scraping and GIS analysis were used to optimize tourist attraction layouts and transportation systems. There are several challenges in AI-based tourism solutions, as in the Shanghai case [87], including the following: privacy and data storage for sensitive users; gathering accurate, real-time, and comprehensive tourism data from various sources such as transportation, attractions, and reviews; and the complexity of geographic and traffic data for processing.
Data quality and availability are among the most significant challenges in implementing AI-powered predictive models for sustainable urban development. This points out that urban datasets often suffer from issues such as incompleteness, inconsistency, fragmentation, and temporal gaps, which directly affect the reliability and accuracy of predictive analytics. Feature selection and extraction methods in ML increase the accuracy, efficiency, and interpretability of predictive models. The following methods also improve the data quality in AI-based urban development [70,71,72,73,74,75].
  • Investment in IoT sensors, smart meters, and satellite monitoring improves real-time, high-resolution data collection.
  • Implementing standardized data protocols and open data policies to improve interoperability and encourage collaboration among stakeholders.
  • Processes for data validation and cleaning are emphasized to ensure that the data fed into AI models is accurate and trustworthy.
To minimize bias in predictive models, it is essential to use training datasets that capture the full range of social, economic, and geographic diversity within a city. Without such representation, models risk producing biased or uneven results. It is also important to apply ML techniques specifically designed to reduce bias, such as reweighting data or incorporating fairness constraints during training. Additionally, using explainable AI tools can make model decisions more transparent and easier for stakeholders to understand and trust. Finally, bringing together experts from diverse fields such as data science, ethics, urban planning, and local communities can help ensure that technology reflects a broad range of perspectives and promotes equitable outcomes.

6. Opportunities for Future Development in AI-Powered Urban Development

There are several opportunities in AI-powered urban development. IoT- and ML-based methodologies solve problems and increase productivity. Research works in the literature address the challenges urban areas face in managing traffic to reduce emissions and improve air quality. In this work, an AI-based traffic signal system is proposed to reduce the waiting time and decrease the traffic jams [83,88,89]. The authors of [90] worked on the impact of on-street parking within urban road networks and its impact on traffic jams, while [91] presents a traffic-responsive control model using deterministic and stochastic ML algorithms, enabling dynamic traffic signaling adjustments. The authors of [92] developed regional demand management with signal control strategies to improve traffic efficiency. Rauniyar et al. [93] present AI-based methodology, which is a real-time noise and exhaust emissions monitoring system to emphasize sustainability. Thangavel et al. [94] discussed a distributed satellite system for real-time wildfire management. The experimental results show that the proposed models are very promising for urban development. Table 5 demonstrates a summary of the opportunities in AI-powered models in sustainable urban development.
Velayudhan et al. [98] present a comprehensive review of IoT-enabled water distribution systems. Liu [96] and Mohanty [97] proposed DL-based algorithms to manage city energy systems. Both algorithms increase efficiency and sustainability in urban areas energy consumption. Alcaraz et al. [99] developed an AI-based model for tourism destination prediction. Predicted models are valuable for strategic tourism planning and management. Ghosh et al. [101] proposed a ML model which reduces transmission delays and energy consumption. Al-Mushayt et al. [102] discussed AI-based e-government services. The authors proposed neural network algorithm-based models that can reduce costs and increase citizen satisfaction. Talley et al. [103] discussed increasing natural disasters and the importance of monitoring and early detection systems. They proposed models based on AI, IoT, and robotics-based systems to reduce the harm of these disasters. These methodologies include data collection with sensors, image and video processing, and ML-based classification and prediction. Several works and applications are completed in this area, with high impact on city development and sustainability. Sultana et al. [104] proposed methodologies for surveillance systems to aid in crime prevention and predicting criminal activities within smart home environments. Intelligent systems with hardware such as computers and sensor systems can monitor the whole city and easily predict abnormal activities. Basthikodi et al. [105] focused on integrated AI and ML technologies in CCTV to analyze real-time city activities. There are also several works being performed in AI-based health services, such as patient and elderly citizen home monitoring, remote diagnosis and treatment, hospital management, etc. In particular, computer-based diagnosis and treatment have several applications via ML algorithms and image technologies [106,107]. The future of AI in city development is full of potential, creating opportunities for safer, more sustainable, and more efficient urban living. As technology advances, AI will continue to play a significant role in shaping the cities of tomorrow.

7. Comprehensive Case Studies of Global Smart City Initiatives

The rapid urbanization in the 21st century poses a big challenge for urban planners, environmentalists, and policymakers. With urban populations growing in many parts of the world, traditional urban planning approaches have become less effective. AI has developed as a changing technology proposing innovative resolutions for multifaceted city challenges, epitomizing a paradigm shift in how cities design, conceptualize, and handle urban ecosystems [112]. Unlike other technological interventions, AI brings dynamism, prediction, and adaptability to urban development in a way that has never been seen before, moving cities beyond reactive strategies to proactive, data-driven urban management.
As this technological shift unfolds, a key challenge lies in translating AI’s transformative potential into existing urban frameworks, where predictive modeling must be integrated not in abstract, but within the constraints and complexities of real-world infrastructure systems.
Integrating AI-driven predictive modeling into existing urban infrastructure systems offers significant potential for improving city operations, yet it also presents considerable challenges. While AI can enhance forecasting accuracy, operational efficiency, and system responsiveness, its application to legacy infrastructure is often constrained. Many urban systems, particularly in older or resource-limited cities, were not originally designed for digital interoperability, resulting in issues such as system incompatibility, fragmented data, and institutional inertia.
Compounding these challenges, many smart city developments continue to be implemented on the outskirts of existing urban areas, following the modernist “New Town” model [113]. This strategy, while technologically ambitious, frequently leads to urban sprawl, increased car dependency, and ecologically unsustainable patterns of land use. As such, the integration of AI into already developed urban cores requires a more nuanced and context-sensitive approach.
Nonetheless, these obstacles can be addressed through phased, strategic implementation. AI and advanced data processing have emerged as critical tools in confronting urban decline and promoting sustainable transformation. A foundational step in this process involves identifying key strategic dimensions and measurable indicators that correlate with quality of life, thereby enabling planners to propose evidence-based improvements tailored to the specific deficiencies of each urban environment [114]. Applying AI in this manner can substantially improve urban sustainability by reducing pollution, minimizing energy consumption, and enabling the optimal allocation of resources, including land and infrastructure [114]. Table 6 describes which AI approaches and applications have been embraced for the current smart city initiatives.
To ensure minimal disruption during integration, urban planners must first conduct comprehensive audits of existing systems to assess technological readiness and identify suitable integration points for predictive modeling tools [115]. Modular AI systems capable of interfacing with legacy infrastructure should be prioritized, alongside the use of digital twins, virtual replicas that allow the simulation and testing of AI-driven interventions in controlled digital environments. These tools have proven particularly effective in infrastructure management, allowing planners to visualize urban systems through the integration of 3D modeling, AI, and IoT technologies, and to identify potential risks and inefficiencies before physical deployment [116].

7.1. Singapore

The transformation of the city of Singapore into a smart city perfectly epitomizes how effective strategic planning, technological innovation, and farsighted urban management are integrated. Since the inception of the Smart Nation initiative in 2014, Singapore has embarked on systematically transforming its urban infrastructure through sophisticated AI applications that permeate every sphere of city life. This approach exceeds mere technological application, developing a combined ecosystem where data-driven decision making aids as the foundation of urban governance for the existing city environment [117]. The Smart Nation initiative goals are to harness technology to improve daily life and adaptive innovation, with goals including improved connectivity, citizen engagement, and sustainability [117]. AI-powered schemes are instrumental in forming sustainable, intelligent urban environments and influencing city plans and operations.
Transportation represents one of the most sophisticated domains of Singapore’s AI integration. The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has developed an advanced predictive modeling system that transforms urban mobility through cutting-edge ML algorithms [118]. By aggregating real-time data from a vast network of IoT sensors and comprehensive previous traffic records, these systems enable precise predictions of congestion patterns and traffic flow dynamics [119]. In particular, the AI-powered traffic prediction system developed by the LTA in collaboration with Aimsun enables real-time traffic simulation and demand forecasting. This system allows for the dynamic adjustment of signal timings and congestion mitigation strategies, thereby improving both fuel efficiency and commuter travel times [120]. This data-driven approach not only enhances operational efficiency but also anticipates potential issues, allowing for proactive measures to mitigate traffic-related challenges.
The predictive powers go way beyond mere traffic management to real-time route optimization, dynamic signal adjustments, and personalized mobility recommendations down to the individual commuter. One of the most famous features of Singapore’s system is electronic road pricing (ERP), a congestion management tool that changes the fees for using the roads at different times of the day. By incentivizing off-peak travel and reducing vehicle volume through high-demand stages, ERP plays a vital role in maintaining flatter traffic flow and dropping emissions [121]. This system is a good example of how AI-driven policies can promote sustainability while addressing urban mobility challenges.
Apart from predictive modeling and congestion management, Singapore has been a pioneer in incorporating both autonomous and electric vehicles into its transport strategy. Autonomous vehicles (AV) offer a sustainable resolution for public and private transportation, fewer accidents, ideal use of roads, and new job roles [118]. Adopting electric vehicles aligns with Singapore’s commitment to reducing its carbon footprint. This is a transition the government has supported by investing in both EV charging infrastructure and incentivizing its wide adoption.
In contrast, the Urban Redevelopment Authority of Singapore has developed a set of in-house digital tools and AI to illustrate the process of smart planning [122]. By highlighting the application of sophisticated technologies like digital twins and geospatial analytics, these tools will permit planners to combine real-time data analysis of urban trends and make informed decisions that are going to balance development requirements with sustainability. The main initiatives include the “Virtual Singapore” platform and ePlanner tools, enhancing clarity and public engagement in emerging resilient and livable urban spaces in streak with long-term national plans. These technologies are being integrated to further enhance association among government agencies and other stakeholders in formulating urban strategies that are data-driven and aligned with Singapore’s vision for sustainable innovation and growth. These also help in predictive modeling, allowing planners to predict future challenges in urbanization, such as population growth, congestion, and climate-related risks. In integrating AI-driven insights, the approach of URA is assuring that not only is the process of urban planning made more effective, but also that the infrastructure and resources of the city are well-equipped to cater to developing demands and doubts [122].
An illustrative case of AI deployment in sustainability is the Virtual Singapore platform, a 3D digital twin that allows urban planners to simulate and evaluate various planning decisions before implementation [123]. For example, predictive modeling within this platform enables authorities to assess how new building developments might influence wind flow, solar exposure, and urban heat distribution, thereby supporting climate-resilient and energy-efficient urban planning [123]. These capabilities have been crucial in guiding policy decisions about zoning, green cover, and ventilation corridors in densely built areas such as Marina Bay and the Downtown Core. Lessons learned from these projects highlight several critical success factors. First, the integration of AI models was only possible through strong inter-agency collaboration and shared data infrastructure. Second, the government’s proactive role in setting national standards for data governance and digital infrastructure significantly lowered institutional resistance to technology adoption. Third, Singapore’s focus on pilot testing and feedback loops, particularly through the Living Lab framework, allowed the continuous refinement of AI applications based on real-time performance. Finally, the importance of citizen engagement and transparency became apparent, as trust in AI tools, especially those involving surveillance or behavioral nudging, was directly linked to the degree of public participation in their design and rollout [124].
In parallel with these strategic and digital advancements, Singapore has also addressed pressing environmental challenges through targeted institutional reforms and technology-driven sustainability programs. The city-state faces serious environmental pressures due to its limited landmass, growing population, and high temperatures. In order to respond to such issues, the government has created two large agencies under the Ministry of Sustainability and the Environment (MSE): the National Environment Agency (NEA) and the Public Utilities Board (PUB) [61]. The NEA is tasked with ensuring a clean and green environment, including the implementation of initiatives such as smart waste management systems. For instance, smart recycling boxes and lockers have been presented to encourage citizens to practice good recycling. These systems, through the use of technology, monitor waste levels and reward citizens for correct recycling, therefore reducing contamination rates.
The PUB emphasizes the sustainability and efficiency of the water supply in the country. Under the Smart PUB Roadmap, the agency has started rolling out smart water meters that display real-time consumption, serving to detect leaks and encourage water-saving habits among citizens [125]. At the same time, agencies like Singapore Power offer mobile applications to citizens for monitoring their water and electricity usage, viewing their billing information, and submitting meter readings in a move toward efficient resource use [126].
The various challenges in this process stand in the transformation of Singapore into a smart city. The continuity of seamless connectivity and the management of heterogeneous forms of data present significant problems. The secure collection, storage, and real-time processing of data prove intricate, especially in crucial sectors like healthcare, where dependability becomes very critical. Addressing these challenges will require well-defined standards both at the country and manufacturer levels, with scalable systems to match the increasing demands [127]. Despite its successes, the vision of universal connectivity remains unmet, with critics pointing out its lack of public appeal and government-centric approach, which sideline private sector involvement. Concerns over data privacy, distrust in government data protection, and limited attention to stakeholders need further progress. The disparities in inclusivity continue to exist, particularly as elderly individuals and economically disadvantaged populations face challenges related to the accessibility of smart technologies and internet connectivity. Specialists underscore the importance of adopting a more citizen-centered strategy that addresses participation disparities, enhances collaborations, and guarantees that no individual is marginalized [61]. Although Singapore has progressed, the realization of its aspirational Smart Nation objectives remains ambiguous.

7.2. Copenhagen

Urban planning in Copenhagen has developed as a role model in integrating innovation, citizen-focused design, and sustainability. Leading globally in climate adaptation, the city utilizes predictive models and AI to supervise climate risks, generating adaptive systems that dynamically respond to ecological challenges. Copenhagen addresses heat islands, flooding, and biodiversity through blue–green infrastructure, including green roofs and wetlands. The focal point of citizen engagement certifies that climate solutions are following community necessities for sustainability and resilience. This technique highlights how organizing natural systems with urban growth helps functional and sustainable cities [128].
Copenhagen utilizes AI, backed by real-time sensors, satellite images, past sea-level data, and maps of the land to foresee dangers and propose solutions that can help avoid flooding [129]. Secondly, the Cloudburst Management Plan of the city integrates blue–green systems that manage rainwater and enhance the storm-handling capability of the city [130,131]. These illustrate how actively Copenhagen works in water management and climate change adaptation.
The energy management scheme in Copenhagen shows the way AI can help cities be more sustainable. Using advanced models that predict energy needs, the city has enhanced the way energy is shared and has included renewable sources with ease. These AI tools give real-time forecasts of energy use, regulate grid loads as desired, and help preserve infrastructure before problems arise. For instance, utilizing energy scheme models like Balmorel for Greater Copenhagen demonstrates the low-carbon energy choices aids in controlling the costs of heat and electricity, together with CO₂ emissions. This technique shows that Copenhagen is devoted to actual, clean energy results [132].
Additionally, activities also include teamwork between Copenhagen Solutions Lab and municipalities in a plan to reduce energy consumption in city buildings through AI enhancement [133].
Urban smart mobility is one of the important attempts of Copenhagen’s intelligent design rules, with solutions that bring client convenience, efficiency, and sustainability. The city has a combined public transportation scheme wherein buses, metro lines, and trains are joined into one ticketing structure for travel. Real-time information panels at stops display the real times of arrival, increasing ease for travelers [134]. Copenhagen has devoted bike paths and infrastructure to keep cyclists safe as well. The city has a bike-sharing plan that offers economy rentals and inspires cycling as a key, eco-friendly method to counteract both tourists and inhabitants [135].
A particularly strong example of AI integration within Copenhagen’s broader sustainability efforts is the Copenhagen Solutions Lab, the city’s dedicated smart city incubator [133]. In collaboration with academic and private sector partners, the Lab has implemented AI-based energy optimization tools in municipal buildings, allowing for predictive maintenance, temperature regulation, and real-time adjustments based on occupancy and weather data. By analyzing data such as weather patterns and building usage, the system will anticipate energy demand and adjust heating and electricity consumption to avoid peak load times, shifting usage to periods when renewable energy is more readily available and cost-effective. This flexible approach helps the city decrease reliance on fossil fuels during high-demand periods by preheating or rescheduling ventilation without affecting user comfort or operational safety. Indoor climate metrics like temperature, humidity, and CO₂ levels are continually monitored to ensure standards are upheld. As a nationally recognized signature project, this effort will not only provide practical experience with implementing AI in real-time energy systems but will also generate best-practice recommendations for other municipalities through its collaboration with the National Association of Municipalities [133]. Similarly, the city’s City Data Exchange platform, developed in partnership with Hitachi, enables predictive modeling by integrating private and public datasets related to traffic, weather, and energy consumption. This supports both urban resilience planning and commercial innovation [133]. From these projects, key success factors include Copenhagen’s emphasis on open data governance, cross-sectoral collaboration, and a regulatory environment that encourages experimentation while safeguarding citizen privacy. The city’s ability to link AI-driven insights directly to infrastructure outcomes, such as reduced energy consumption or faster flood response times, demonstrates how predictive modeling can yield measurable benefits in urban sustainability.
Despite its inspiring technological expansion, the example of Copenhagen’s smart city development offers significant challenges that emphasize the difficulty of applying AI-powered answers. Data privacy and security have become increasingly relevant concerns within the context of smart systems’ ever-growing reliance on data-sharing and processing [136].

7.3. NEOM Saudi Arabia

While Singapore and Barcelona demonstrate the practical integration of AI predictive modeling within existing urban frameworks, NEOM offers insights into the possibilities when designing a city with AI at its foundation.
NEOM in Saudi Arabia will be the first city in the world with AI city planning models. It is supposed to be a hub of technology, new thinking, and sustainability, and will act as an example for cities of the future in the world. Saudi Arabia has a ‘Vision 2030’ where the country will have less dependency on oil by 2030, for which AI is supporting the achievement of this objective. In the long term, the building of NEOM linear megacity is considered a strategy for making Saudi Arabia increasingly sustainable in energy, water, transport, and biotechnology [137]. Among others, one of the key points of “Vision 2030” involves giving importance to renewable energy sources while trying to lower the per capita energy consumption at the same time [138].
NEOM relies on various technologies like AI, ML, DL, NLP, integrated information control systems, IoT, and networked robots for environmental improvement and enhanced urban management [139].
Among the practical applications, intelligent aerial systems have been deployed to monitor construction zones autonomously. Drones equipped with high-resolution sensors collect and analyze visual data in real time, reducing the need for manual site inspections, improving safety, and supporting the early detection of construction issues [140]. At the same time, the project applies AI in off-site manufacturing, where automated fabrication systems precisely produce structural elements. This approach supports NEOM’s environmental priorities by lowering material usage, reducing human labor requirements, and increasing construction efficiency. These AI applications are already delivering measurable results. Adaptive scheduling algorithms, for example, have reduced project timelines by 15% by adjusting plans in response to weather forecasts, resource availability, and traffic data. Construction robots have accelerated project execution by 25% while reducing accident rates and physical labor requirements. Predictive maintenance tools, drawing on sensor data such as temperature and vibration, have cut equipment downtime, extended operational lifespan, and lowered maintenance costs. Additionally, AI-enabled digital twins and materials management systems provide real-time oversight of site operations, improving resource allocation and minimizing environmental impact across NEOM’s large-scale infrastructure projects [140].
AI technologies are also being applied to reshape NEOM’s transportation and environmental systems. Predictive algorithms monitor traffic conditions, allowing for dynamic route optimization and reduced congestion, while also contributing to lower carbon emissions [141]. Autonomous electric vehicles and intelligent public transit networks are key elements of this system, designed to improve efficiency and support the city’s low-emission goals [142]. At the same time, advanced monitoring tools are being deployed to oversee environmental conditions in real time, ensuring that urban mobility and sustainability efforts remain closely aligned.

7.4. Barcelona

Barcelona has been driving the edge in smart city programs through AI and predictive modeling in urban sectors. In managing traffic, for example, the city uses advanced modeling techniques such as ARIMA and XGBoost to assess and forecast traffic trends. Unlike traditional models, XGBoost can effectively manage non-linear variables, providing a deeper understanding of complex traffic behavior. With such information, urban planners can actively counteract congestion, streamline traffic flow, and maximize overall efficiency in urban mobility. Such technological breakthroughs present a glimpse of AI’s potential in transforming traditional traffic networks into data-driven, adaptable networks [143].
Apart from traffic management, Barcelona’s bike-share scheme, Bicing, takes advantage of predictive maintenance through ML. By analyzing usage and employing survival statistics, the system can forecast maintenance for both mechanical and electric bicycles. This kind of system can prolong the functional life of bike components while minimizing downtime, thereby paving the way for a smoother experience for cyclists. The adoption of AI-powered maintenance techniques reflects a larger drive towards improving urban mobility at a reduced cost in terms of wasted resources. What is more, such predictive tools allow the city to adapt its operations according to changing demand, a reflection of its drive towards efficiency and innovation in transportation [144]. AI is also utilized to make forecasts for occupancy at service stations for bicycles, employing algorithms such as Random Forest in order to determine when service stations will have reached full capacity or will have no bikes at all. With such a feature, urban planning can maximize user happiness through increased service dependability and availability [145].
The utilization of predictive analysis in Barcelona extends to its water infrastructure, utilizing survival analysis and algorithms in ML to predict future failures in its potable water pipe system. By identifying areas most at risk for such failures, utility operators can schedule maintenance work in a proactive manner, minimizing disruptions and providing a reliable water source for their citizens. Examples of such predictive modeling illustrate Barcelona’s modern outlook, showcasing urban spaces utilizing AI to address infrastructure concerns and promote sustainability and the overall quality of life [146].

8. Discussion

There is no discussion that integrating AI into predictive modeling for sustainable urban development presents a transformative potential, offering innovative solutions to complex challenges. As cities grapple with rapid urbanization, climate change, and resource depletion, AI emerges as a key tool for optimizing urban sustainability and resilience. The studies mentioned in Section 5 and Section 6 explored the challenges and opportunities of AI in predictive modeling, drawing insights from various research papers to provide a comprehensive analysis. In this section, we explore strategies to overcome the key challenges confronting AI predictive models and highlight ways to fully harness their potential in today’s urban landscape.

8.1. Scalability and Contextual Adaptation of AI in Sustainable Urban Development

The AI solutions discussed in this study demonstrate a high level of theoretical scalability, supported by modular design and cloud-based architecture. However, their practical adaptability is highly contingent on local infrastructural capacity, governance models, and resource availability. Effective scaling requires alignment with broader urban development goals, robust data governance frameworks, and organizational readiness, including skilled personnel and flexible operational workflows [147]. Each phase of implementation, from initiation to deployment, introduces specific requirements such as stakeholder coordination, adaptive procurement mechanisms, and reliable digital infrastructure. Importantly, successful AI integration must go beyond technical feasibility to deliver measurable public value, thereby securing long-term support, integration, and systemic impacts [147].
In practice, cities with limited digital infrastructure, underdeveloped IoT networks, constrained financial resources, cybersecurity vulnerabilities, and a lack of standardization often struggle to deploy real-time, data-intensive AI systems [147,148]. For example, advanced initiatives like Singapore’s smart transportation systems and NEOM’s autonomous electric vehicles depend on extensive connectivity and robust digital backbones—capabilities not universally available [149]. Furthermore, the operation of such systems necessitates not only financial investment but also a highly skilled workforce, comprehensive data governance, and interoperable technological protocols [150].
Governance structures also shape the adaptability of AI-driven urban solutions. Centralized, top–down frameworks like Singapore’s Smart Nation strategy may be difficult to replicate in regions where national and municipal policies are not aligned or where governance is decentralized [151]. Financial constraints further compound these challenges, as the high upfront costs of infrastructure, software development, and ongoing system maintenance often exceed the budgets of resource-constrained municipalities. In such cases, phased implementation strategies—supported by strategic planning and cost-effective AI applications—can facilitate more manageable and scalable adoption [152].
Public–private partnerships (PPPs) offer additional pathways for scalability and contextual relevance. For instance, Copenhagen Solutions Lab serves as a municipal innovation incubator through which smart solutions are developed in collaboration with private sector partners, while Barcelona’s Bicing system exemplifies a mobility-focused PPP that integrates digital infrastructure and public service delivery [133,144].
Despite these advancements, many smart city projects continue to be developed on the peripheries of existing urban centers, following the modernist “New Town” planning model [113]. This approach often results in urban sprawl, increased car dependency, and unsustainable patterns of land use. Moreover, much of the current literature emphasizes standardized, off-the-shelf technological solutions designed for newly constructed urban environments, while offering limited insight into how smart technologies can be effectively integrated into the complex fabric of existing cities [113].

8.2. Addressing Challenges in Implementing AI-Powered Predictive Models for Sustainable Urban Development

The successful implementation of AI-powered predictive models in sustainable urban development hinges on overcoming a variety of well-documented challenges. These include data quality, ethical concerns, security and privacy issues, methodological bias, legacy infrastructure limitations, transparency, and resource constraints. Below is a discussion on how these barriers can be addressed to enhance the effectiveness and reliability of AI-driven solutions in urban environments.
Improving Data Quality and Availability—AI models rely heavily on high-quality, timely, and representative data. In many cities, particularly in developing regions, data are often fragmented, outdated, or incomplete. To address this, governments and urban agencies should invest in modern data collection infrastructures such as IoT sensors, smart meters, and satellite monitoring [153,154]. Standardized data protocols and open data policies should be adopted to enable interoperability between systems and encourage data sharing [155,156]. Data validation mechanisms and cleaning processes must be institutionalized to ensure accuracy and reliability [157,158].
Addressing Ethical Concerns and Bias—AI systems risk reinforcing existing societal inequalities if not carefully designed. Ethical frameworks such as the EU’s Guidelines for Trustworthy AI should be adopted to guide development and deployment. Inclusive datasets that represent diverse populations can reduce model bias [159]. Multidisciplinary ethics committees can be established to evaluate AI applications and ensure fairness, accountability, and social responsibility [160,161,162].
Strengthening Security and Privacy—Predictive models often involve sensitive data, including mobility, health, or consumption patterns. Data encryption, anonymization, and secure cloud infrastructure should be mandated for all AI-related data processes [163]. Regulations like the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) should be used as benchmarks to implement strict data privacy controls [164,165]. Citizens should be made aware of how their data are used through transparent policies and opt-in models.
Mitigating Methodological Bias—Bias in algorithms can result from flawed training data or unrepresentative sampling. The regular auditing of AI models using fairness-aware ML techniques can help identify and correct biases. Diverse teams of developers and urban planners should work collaboratively to ensure models are built with holistic perspectives. The use of explainable AI (XAI) can make the decision-making process more transparent and help to identify biases [166,167].
Integrating with Legacy Systems—Many cities operate on outdated infrastructure that may not be compatible with modern AI technologies. Incremental integration strategies, starting with pilot projects, can gradually modernize systems without major disruption. APIs and middleware solutions can be used to link legacy systems with AI platforms. Government incentives and partnerships with the private sector can accelerate the digital transformation of public infrastructure [168,169].
Ensuring Transparency and Explainability—Lack of transparency can hinder public trust and informed decision making. AI models should be designed to be interpretable and explainable, especially when used for high-stakes decisions. Public dashboards and reporting tools can be used to visualize model outputs and insights in a user-friendly manner. Stakeholder engagement, including citizen participation in design and review processes, promotes accountability [170,171,172].
Addressing Resource Constraints—Resource limitations, particularly in financial and human capital, are common barriers in developing cities. Public–private partnerships can mobilize funds and expertise for AI implementation [173,174]. International development agencies can support capacity-building and infrastructure investments in under-resourced cities. Training programs for public officials and urban planners on AI literacy can bridge skill gaps and promote sustainable adoption [175].

8.3. Ensuring Accountability in AI-Driven Urban Decision Making

As cities increasingly adopt AI to support decision making, ensuring accountability becomes essential, particularly where transparency is prioritized. Effective governance requires frameworks that align with ethical, legal, and operational standards to prevent misuse, bias, or data manipulation.
One such mechanism is the Algorithmic Impact Assessment (AIA), a structured tool to evaluate risks and fairness before deploying AI systems [176]. Cities like Amsterdam and Helsinki use AIAs to publicly document data sources, intended use, and decision logic for municipal AI projects. Similarly, Human-in-the-Loop (HITL) oversight ensures critical decisions, such as in welfare, urban policing, or zoning, remain subject to human judgment, reducing the risk of unchecked automation [177,178].
Open data and model transparency further enable public scrutiny by disclosing non-sensitive datasets, model documentation, and rationale behind predictions [179,180]. Tools like model cards and dataset datasheets improve explainability and trust. Additionally, cities like New York have established AI ethics and accountability boards to evaluate municipal algorithms, ensuring they align with societal values [181].
Frameworks based on GDPR principles, such as local data charters and urban data trusts, reinforce privacy rights and consent-based data usage [182]. Complementary to this, audit trails and logging mechanisms create traceable records of AI actions, aiding post-deployment analysis. Lastly, public consultation and participatory design introduce civic input into AI implementation, improving legitimacy and inclusiveness.
By proactively addressing these challenges through strategic planning, policy development, ethical design, and inclusive governance, cities can unlock the full potential of AI-powered predictive models. These measures not only improve model performance but also build public trust and ensure that technological advancements contribute equitably to sustainable urban development goals.

8.4. Minimizing the Environmental Footprint of AI Technologies

While AI has demonstrated significant potential in optimizing energy use and reducing urban emissions, it is critical to address the environmental impact of AI technologies themselves [183]. The training and deployment of large-scale AI models often require substantial computational resources, contributing to considerable energy consumption and carbon emissions. To ensure that AI contributes positively to sustainability goals, its own development must adhere to environmentally responsible practices [184].
The concept of green AI emphasizes the importance of computational efficiency and the environmental costs associated with AI research [184]. Models should be evaluated not only by their performance metrics but also by their energy consumption and carbon footprint [185]. Public agencies and AI developers can adopt lightweight models, employ techniques like model pruning, transfer learning, and quantization, and deploy models on energy-efficient hardware or edge devices to reduce reliance on data centers.
Moreover, integrating carbon accounting tools, such as those provided by the Carbon Tracker or Hugging Face, into the AI development cycle can facilitate carbon-aware decision making [186,187]. Cities can lead by example by incorporating sustainability criteria in AI procurement policies, ensuring that vendors disclose energy usage and environmental impact as part of compliance.
Ultimately, a shift toward energy-conscious design, lifecycle monitoring, and sustainable AI infrastructure is essential to prevent AI from becoming a net contributor to environmental degradation.

8.5. Leveraging Opportunities in AI-Powered Predictive Models for Better Urban Performance

The implementation of AI-powered predictive models presents a wide array of opportunities that can significantly enhance the performance, efficiency, and resilience of urban systems. These opportunities span various domains, including transportation, urban planning, citizen services, safety and security, and healthcare. For these opportunities to be fully realized, strategic integration, infrastructure readiness, and human-centered design must be prioritized. Below is a discussion on how these potential benefits can be effectively addressed and maximized for better urban performance.
Transportation: Traffic Management and Optimization—AI models offer substantial potential in optimizing traffic flow, reducing congestion, and improving public transportation systems.
Real-time Data Integration: To improve traffic management, cities must integrate AI with real-time data sources such as GPS, traffic sensors, and surveillance cameras [188,189].
Dynamic Traffic Prediction: Predictive algorithms can help city authorities adjust traffic signals, suggest alternate routes, and improve emergency vehicle response times [190,191].
User-Centered Applications: Mobile apps with AI-enabled route suggestions and travel time estimations enhance commuter convenience and reduce emissions [192,193].
Urban Planning: Monitoring and Energy Optimization—AI can support urban planning by forecasting infrastructure demands, optimizing land use, and managing energy consumption.
Urban Growth Modeling: Predictive models can simulate urban sprawl and guide zoning regulations, helping prevent unplanned expansion and resource misallocation [194,195,196].
Smart Energy Grids: AI can forecast energy demand patterns, enabling smarter energy distribution and the integration of renewable sources [197,198,199].
Building Efficiency: AI can also be embedded in smart buildings to monitor energy usage, automate climate control, and reduce carbon footprints [200].
Personalized Services: Smart Tourism and Citizen Services—AI enhances the personalization of services for both residents and visitors, improving engagement and satisfaction.
Smart Tourism: AI-powered systems can provide personalized travel recommendations, crowd control strategies, and interactive guides based on visitor preferences and behavior patterns [201,202].
Citizen Engagement Platforms: Chatbots, recommendation engines, and sentiment analysis tools can tailor services to individual needs and improve the responsiveness of municipal systems [203,204].
Multilingual and Inclusive Interfaces: Designing services to be linguistically and culturally inclusive ensures broader accessibility and citizen trust [205,206].
Safety and Security: Disaster and Crime Management—Predictive analytics can significantly improve urban safety by anticipating risks and enabling timely responses.
Disaster Preparedness: AI can predict natural disasters like floods or heat waves by analyzing climate data, enabling early warning systems and emergency planning [207,208].
Crime Prevention: Predictive policing tools can identify high-risk areas and inform resource allocation, while respecting privacy and avoiding bias [209,210,211].
Public Surveillance with Ethics: AI-enabled video analytics must be combined with ethical oversight to prevent misuse and ensure community support [212,213].
Health: Health Services and Hospital Management—AI holds transformative potential for public health monitoring and healthcare delivery in urban environments.
Predictive Healthcare: AI can forecast disease outbreaks, monitor public health trends, and inform policy decisions [214,215].
Smart Hospital Systems: Predictive tools can help hospitals manage patient flows, optimize resource allocation, and forecast medicine supply needs [216,217].
Telemedicine Integration: Coupling AI with telehealth services expands healthcare access, especially for remote or underserved populations [218,219,220].
To fully harness the opportunities offered by AI-powered predictive models in urban development, cities must adopt a strategic and inclusive approach. This includes investing in robust data infrastructure, fostering cross-sector collaboration, and ensuring ethical AI use. Additionally, urban governments must engage citizens in the design and deployment of AI systems to ensure that services are accessible, fair, and responsive to real needs. When implemented thoughtfully, these opportunities can significantly boost the sustainability, livability, and resilience of modern cities.

9. Conclusions

The rapid pace of urbanization presents a complex array of challenges that demand innovative, data-informed approaches to ensure cities develop sustainably. This paper has examined the transformative potential of AI, particularly through predictive modeling, as a strategic enabler for sustainable urban development. AI-driven models offer substantial benefits in forecasting infrastructure demands, optimizing resource consumption and enhancing resilience to environmental and social stressors.
Through the analysis of real-world case scenarios, it becomes evident that cities around the world are increasingly leveraging AI to manage transportation systems, monitor environmental conditions, forecast energy needs, and improve public service delivery. These practical applications underscore AI’s capacity to enhance urban performance and support data-driven decision making. Simultaneously, a thorough review of the literature reveals that significant barriers remain, including data quality concerns, ethical issues, algorithmic bias, privacy risks, and the need for transparency and regulatory frameworks.
Beyond the challenges, this study has also highlighted numerous opportunities, ranging from improved traffic optimization and disaster prediction to personalized citizen services and smarter healthcare systems. Harnessing these opportunities requires not only technological integration but also interdisciplinary collaboration, inclusive governance, and strong ethical safeguards.
To fully realize the benefits of AI-powered predictive models in sustainable urban planning, it is essential to adopt a holistic and responsible implementation strategy. This includes investing in robust data infrastructure, fostering public–private partnerships, building institutional capacity, and ensuring active citizen participation. When guided by thoughtful research, inclusive policymaking, and ethical innovation, AI can become a powerful tool for driving the transition toward smarter, more equitable, and sustainable cities worldwide.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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Figure 1. The three main pillars of sustainable urban development.
Figure 1. The three main pillars of sustainable urban development.
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Figure 2. Sustainable urban development featuring key AI-enabled components.
Figure 2. Sustainable urban development featuring key AI-enabled components.
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Figure 3. Predictive modeling workflow in urban development.
Figure 3. Predictive modeling workflow in urban development.
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Figure 4. AI applications in smart cities (traffic, energy, safety, disaster).
Figure 4. AI applications in smart cities (traffic, energy, safety, disaster).
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Table 1. Comparison of AI methods in urban applications.
Table 1. Comparison of AI methods in urban applications.
AI TechniqueApplicationAdvantagesLimitations
Machine LearningHousing price predictionHigh accuracy, interpretabilityRequires large datasets
Deep LearningTraffic surveillanceHandles unstructured data (images)Computationally expensive
Reinforcement LearningSmart traffic lightsAdapts in real-timeComplex implementation
IoTAir quality monitoringReal-time data collectionSecurity vulnerabilities
Computer VisionPedestrian detectionImproves urban safetyHigh hardware costs
Table 2. Key takeaways from case studies.
Table 2. Key takeaways from case studies.
DimensionEvaluation MetricsAI Techniques
AccuracyPredictive performance (e.g., MAE, F1-score, precision)- DL > ML > RL for complex data (e.g., images, time-series).
ScalabilityAbility to handle large datasets or city-wide deployments- IoT and big data analytics excel in scalability.
InterpretabilityEase of understanding model decisions (critical for policymaking)- ML models (e.g., regression) are more interpretable than DL.
Resource IntensityComputational power, training data, and infrastructure requirements- DL and RL are resource-intensive; IoT requires hardware but is less computation-heavy.
AdaptabilityFlexibility to dynamic urban environments (e.g., real-time traffic changes)- RL excels (e.g., traffic lights); IoT adapts via real-time data streams.
Cost EfficiencyImplementation and maintenance costs- ML is cost-effective; DL and IoT have higher upfront costs.
Table 3. Smart city solutions and alignment with the sustainability goals.
Table 3. Smart city solutions and alignment with the sustainability goals.
MetricSingaporeBarcelona
Traffic Efficiency25% reduction in delays (AI-driven GLIDE system).N/A (focus on waste/water).
Energy SavingsOptimized grid distribution (Open Electricity Market).N/A
Waste ManagementN/A30% cost savings (smart bins).
Water ConservationN/A25% reduction in wastage (IoT sensors).
Public SafetyPredictive policing (e.g., SSL for crime hotspots).N/A
Implementation CostHigh (large-scale AI integration).Moderate (IoT-focused).
ScalabilityHigh (replicable in megacities).Moderate (requires sensor infrastructure).
Table 4. Challenges and descriptions of AI-powered models in sustainable urban development.
Table 4. Challenges and descriptions of AI-powered models in sustainable urban development.
ChallengeDescriptionReferences
Data QualityAI models require vast amounts of high-quality data for accurate predictions. However, in the context of urban planning, datasets often suffer from issues such as incompleteness, inconsistency, and temporal gaps.Yang et al. [79]
Security and PrivacyAI systems used in urban environments often depend on data collected from sensors, surveillance systems, and IoT devices. These technologies raise significant ethical and privacy concerns, as individuals may not always consent to or be aware of how their data are being used.Cui et al. [80]
Psychological ImpactAI systems in intelligent buildings could benefit from incorporating real-time mood assessments, potentially through wearable sensors or behavioral analyses, to adjust environmental controls dynamically. However, implementing such systems necessitates careful consideration of privacy, consent, and ethical data usage to ensure occupant trust and well-being.Turhan et al. [81]
Ibrahim et al. [82]
Methodology BiasModels trained on biased datasets can perpetuate or exacerbate inequities in urban systems, such as housing allocation, traffic management, and resource distribution.Chen et al., [78]
Ashokkumar et al. [83]
Legacy SystemMost urban planning departments rely on legacy systems that are not compatible with advanced AI tools, making integration a daunting task. Additionally, stakeholders often require training to utilize AI technologies effectively, which can strain already limited resources.Allam et al. [77]
TransparencyThe lack of transparency in many AI systems, especially DL models, undermines their acceptance and trust among stakeholders. These “black box” models often fail to provide interpretable insights into their decision making processes, limiting their usefulness in participatory urban planning.Samek et al. [84]
ResourcesImplementing AI systems in urban planning requires significant resources, including financial investment, technical infrastructure, and skilled personnel.Chen et al. [78]
Table 5. AI-based urban development opportunities and references.
Table 5. AI-based urban development opportunities and references.
OpportunitiesFieldReferences
TransportationTraffic managementAshokkumar et al. [83]
Makanadar et al. [88]
Sultana et al. [89]
Chen et al. [78]
OptimizationWang et al. [90]
Febbraro et al. [91]
Zhou et al. [92]
Planning MonitoringRauniyar et al. [93]
Berkani et al. [95]
Thangavel et al. [94]
EnergyLiu et al. [96]
Mohanty et al. [97]
Velayudhan et al. [98]
Personalized ServicesSmart tourismAlcaraz et al. [99]
Kumi et al. [100]
Citizen servicesGhosh et al. [101]
Al-Mushayt et al. [102]
Safety and SecurityDisaster managementTalley et al. [103]
Yang et al. [79]
Crime managementSultana et al. [104]
Basthikodi et al. [105]
HealthHealth servicesTaimoor et al. [106]
Kumar et al. [107]
Ahmad et al. [108]
Hospital managementAlsinglawi et al. [109]
Liu et al. [110]
Khattak et al. [111]
Table 6. Smart city AI models and applications.
Table 6. Smart city AI models and applications.
CityAI ModelsApplication Summary
SingaporeMachine Learning Algorithms
Digital Twins
Predictive Modeling
Geospatial Analytics
Urban mobility prediction, real-time traffic simulation, digital twin-based urban planning, and smart utility management
CopenhagenPredictive Models
Real-Time Sensors
AI Energy Optimization Tools (Balmorel)
Copenhagen Solution Lab
Climate risk and flood prediction, municipal energy optimization, and integrated urban analytics
NEOMAdaptive Scheduling Algorithms
AI Drones with Sensors
Digital Twins
Predictive Maintenance AI
AI-driven construction management, real-time monitoring, resource optimization, and sustainable transport planning
BarcelonaARIMA
XGBoost
Random Forest
Survival Analysis (Machine Learning)
Traffic forecasting, predictive maintenance for bikes, occupancy prediction, and water pipe failure prevention
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Cina, E.; Elbasi, E.; Elmazi, G.; AlArnaout, Z. The Role of AI in Predictive Modelling for Sustainable Urban Development: Challenges and Opportunities. Sustainability 2025, 17, 5148. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17115148

AMA Style

Cina E, Elbasi E, Elmazi G, AlArnaout Z. The Role of AI in Predictive Modelling for Sustainable Urban Development: Challenges and Opportunities. Sustainability. 2025; 17(11):5148. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17115148

Chicago/Turabian Style

Cina, Elda, Ersin Elbasi, Gremina Elmazi, and Zakwan AlArnaout. 2025. "The Role of AI in Predictive Modelling for Sustainable Urban Development: Challenges and Opportunities" Sustainability 17, no. 11: 5148. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17115148

APA Style

Cina, E., Elbasi, E., Elmazi, G., & AlArnaout, Z. (2025). The Role of AI in Predictive Modelling for Sustainable Urban Development: Challenges and Opportunities. Sustainability, 17(11), 5148. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17115148

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