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Sustainability
Volume 14
Issue 22
10.3390/su142214844
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Perspective

Transformative Change Needs Direction

by
Sander Jacobs
1,2,*,
Fernando Santos-Martín
3,
Eeva Primmer
4,
Fanny Boeraeve
5,
Alejandra Morán-Ordóñez
6,
Vânia Proença
7,
Martin Schlaepfer
8,
Lluis Brotons
6,
Robert Dunford
9,
Sandra Lavorel
10,
Antoine Guisan
11,
Joachim Claudet
12,
Zuzana V. Harmáčková
13,
Inge Liekens
14,
Jennifer Hauck
15,
Kasper Kok
16,
Yves Zinngrebe
17,
Simona Pedde
16,
Bálint Czúcz
18,
Cosimo Solidoro
19,
Matthew Cantele
20,
Christian Rixen
21,
Anna Heck
1,2,
Jomme Desair
1,
Tobias Plieninger
22 and
Paula A. Harrison
23add Show full author list remove Hide full author list
1
Research Team Nature and Society, Research Institute for Nature and Forest, 1000 Brussels, Belgium
2
Belgian Biodiversity Platform BBPF, WTC III, Boulevard Simon Bolivar 30, 1000 Brussels, Belgium
3
Departamento Tecnología Química y Ambiental, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, 28933 Madrid, Spain
4
Finnish Environment Institute SYKE, 00790 Helsinki, Finland
5
Département GxABT, Biodiversité et Paysage, Université de Liège-Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, 5030 Gembloux, Belgium
6
Centre de Recerca Ecològica i Aplicacions Forestals (CREAF), 08193 Barcelona, Spain
7
Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal
8
enviroSPACE Laboratory, Université de Genève, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland
9
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford LL57 2UW, UK
10
Alpine Ecology Laboratory, French National Centre for Scientific Research CNRS, 38610 Grenoble, France
11
Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
12
French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), 38610 Paris, France
13
Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300 Brno, Czech Republic
14
Vlaamse Instelling voor Technologisch Onderzoek VITO, 2400 Mol, Belgium
15
CoKnow, 04838 Jesewitz, Germany
16
Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University & Research WUR, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands
17
Helmholtz-Zentrum für Umweltforschung UFZ, 04318 Leipzig, Germany
18
MTA Centre for Ecological Research, Institute of Ecology and Botany, H-2163 Vácrátót, Hungary
19
Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale OGS, 34010 Sgonico, Italy
20
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
21
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland
22
Faculty of Organic Agricultural Sciences, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, 37077 Göttingen, Germany
23
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Bailrigg, Lancaster LA1 4AP, UK
 
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*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2022, 14(22), 14844; https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844
Submission received: 20 September 2022 / Revised: 7 November 2022 / Accepted: 8 November 2022 / Published: 10 November 2022
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ecosystem Restoration and Biodiversity Conservation for Sustainable Development)
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Abstract

Comparing the impacts of future scenarios is essential for developing and guiding the political sustainability agenda. This review-based analysis compares six IPBES scenarios for their impacts on 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 20 biodiversity targets (Aichi targets) for the Europe and Central Asia regions. The comparison is based on a review of 143 modeled scenarios synthesized in a plural cost–benefit approach which provides the distances to multiple policy goals. We confirm and substantiate the claim that transformative change is vital but also point out which directions for political transformation are to be preferred. The hopeful message is that large societal losses might still be avoided, and multiple benefits can be generated over the coming decades and centuries. Yet, policies will need to strongly steer away from scenarios based on regional competition, inequality, and economic optimism.
Keywords: transformation; plural valuation; Sustainable Development Goals; policy scenarios transformation; plural valuation; Sustainable Development Goals; policy scenarios

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MDPI and ACS Style

Jacobs, S.; Santos-Martín, F.; Primmer, E.; Boeraeve, F.; Morán-Ordóñez, A.; Proença, V.; Schlaepfer, M.; Brotons, L.; Dunford, R.; Lavorel, S.; et al. Transformative Change Needs Direction. Sustainability 2022, 14, 14844. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844

AMA Style

Jacobs S, Santos-Martín F, Primmer E, Boeraeve F, Morán-Ordóñez A, Proença V, Schlaepfer M, Brotons L, Dunford R, Lavorel S, et al. Transformative Change Needs Direction. Sustainability. 2022; 14(22):14844. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844

Chicago/Turabian Style

Jacobs, Sander, Fernando Santos-Martín, Eeva Primmer, Fanny Boeraeve, Alejandra Morán-Ordóñez, Vânia Proença, Martin Schlaepfer, Lluis Brotons, Robert Dunford, Sandra Lavorel, and et al. 2022. "Transformative Change Needs Direction" Sustainability 14, no. 22: 14844. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844

APA Style

Jacobs, S., Santos-Martín, F., Primmer, E., Boeraeve, F., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Proença, V., Schlaepfer, M., Brotons, L., Dunford, R., Lavorel, S., Guisan, A., Claudet, J., Harmáčková, Z. V., Liekens, I., Hauck, J., Kok, K., Zinngrebe, Y., Pedde, S., Czúcz, B., ... Harrison, P. A. (2022). Transformative Change Needs Direction. Sustainability, 14(22), 14844. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844

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