Changing Climatic Scenarios Anticipate Dwindling of Suitable Habitats for Endemic Species of Himalaya—Predictions of Ensemble Modelling Using Aconitum heterophyllum as a Model Plant
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Biovariables | GLM | GBM | GAM | CTA | ANN | SRE | FDA | RF | MARS | MaxEnt | Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
bio1 | 0.073 | 0.058 | 0.502 | 0.130 | 0.090 | 0.219 | 0.100 | 0.110 | 0.165 | 0.068 | 0.151 |
bio2 | 0.043 | 0.018 | 0.521 | 0 | 0.007 | 0.212 | 0.008 | 0.153 | 0.049 | 0.045 | 0.105 |
bio4 | 0.086 | 0.226 | 0.560 | 0.201 | 0.120 | 0.109 | 0.455 | 0.259 | 0.382 | 0.406 | 0.280 |
bio8 | 0.181 | 0.101 | 0.479 | 0.041 | 0.073 | 0.213 | 0.188 | 0.050 | 0.269 | 0.231 | 0.282 |
bio12 | 0.901 | 0.706 | 0.832 | 0.863 | 0.001 | 0.556 | 0.971 | 0.457 | 0.900 | 0.949 | 0.713 |
bio15 | 0.055 | 0.012 | 0.426 | 0 | 0.078 | 0.267 | 0.003 | 0.042 | 0.034 | 0.080 | 0.099 |
Scenario | Ensemble Type | Loss | Absent | Stable | Gain | Loss (%) | Gain (%) | Range Change (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP4.5 2050 | Committee averaging | 14,495 | 281,129 | 16,475 | 2622 | 43.80 | 8.46 | −38.33 |
RCP4.5 2070 | Committee averaging | 18,857 | 281,217 | 12,113 | 2534 | 60.88 | 8.18 | −52.70 |
RCP8.5 2050 | Committee averaging | 18,312 | 281,725 | 12,658 | 2026 | 59.12 | 6.54 | −52.58 |
RCP8.5 2070 | Committee averaging | 20,715 | 280,563 | 10,255 | 3188 | 66.88 | 10.29 | −56.59 |
RCP4.5 2050 | Weighted mean | 15,013 | 281,510 | 14,119 | 4079 | 51.53 | 14.02 | −37.53 |
RCP4.5 2070 | Weighted mean | 18,000 | 281,659 | 11,132 | 3930 | 61.78 | 13.49 | −48.29 |
RCP8.5 2050 | Weighted mean | 17,983 | 281,478 | 11,149 | 4111 | 61.72 | 14.11 | −47.61 |
RCP8.5 2070 | Weighted mean | 19,919 | 280,331 | 9213 | 5258 | 68.37 | 18.04 | −50.32 |
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Wani, Z.A.; Ridwan, Q.; Khan, S.; Pant, S.; Siddiqui, S.; Moustafa, M.; Ahmad, A.E.; Yassin, H.M. Changing Climatic Scenarios Anticipate Dwindling of Suitable Habitats for Endemic Species of Himalaya—Predictions of Ensemble Modelling Using Aconitum heterophyllum as a Model Plant. Sustainability 2022, 14, 8491. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14148491
Wani ZA, Ridwan Q, Khan S, Pant S, Siddiqui S, Moustafa M, Ahmad AE, Yassin HM. Changing Climatic Scenarios Anticipate Dwindling of Suitable Habitats for Endemic Species of Himalaya—Predictions of Ensemble Modelling Using Aconitum heterophyllum as a Model Plant. Sustainability. 2022; 14(14):8491. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14148491
Chicago/Turabian StyleWani, Zishan Ahmad, Qamer Ridwan, Sajid Khan, Shreekar Pant, Sazada Siddiqui, Mahmoud Moustafa, Ahmed Ezzat Ahmad, and Habab M. Yassin. 2022. "Changing Climatic Scenarios Anticipate Dwindling of Suitable Habitats for Endemic Species of Himalaya—Predictions of Ensemble Modelling Using Aconitum heterophyllum as a Model Plant" Sustainability 14, no. 14: 8491. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14148491