Modeling the Distribution of Wild Cotton Gossypium aridum in Mexico Using Flowering Growing Degree Days and Annual Available Soil Water
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area and Species under Study
2.2. Plant Databases
2.3. Climate Database and Parameters
2.3.1. Annual Available Soil Water
2.3.2. Growing Degree Days for Flowering
2.4. Characterization of the Sites
2.5. Model Construction
2.6. Model Calibration
2.7. Model Validation
2.8. Sensitivity Analysis
2.9. Statistical Analysis
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Characterization of the Sites
3.2. Model Construction
3.3. Model Calibration
3.4. Model Validation
3.5. Sensitivity Analysis
4. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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MODEL | FGDD ¥ | AASW § |
---|---|---|
1 | 330–580 | 4–110 |
2 | 460–766 | 4–77 |
3 | 330–766 | 4–103 |
4 | 460–860 | 0.0–77 |
5 | 275–460 | 150–210 |
Models | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
Kappa | 0.58 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.43 |
Overall accuracy | 0.79 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
Sensitivity | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 0.79 | 0.82 |
Specificity | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
Positive Predictive power | 0.73 | 0.66 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
Negative Predictive power | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 0.86 |
Odds ratio | 16 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
MODEL | FGDD ¥ | AASW § |
---|---|---|
A | 330–860 | 4–110, 150–210 |
B | 460–860 | 4–110, 150–210 |
C | 330–860 | 4–110 |
D | 460–860 | 4–110 |
Model | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Test | A | B | C | D |
Kappa | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.55 |
Overall accuracy | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.83 | 0.77 |
Sensitivity | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.84 |
Specificity | 0.84 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.72 |
Positive Predictive power | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
Negative Predictive power | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.86 |
Odds ratio | 21 | 11 | 26 | 14 |
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Baez-Gonzalez, A.D.; Melgoza-Castillo, A.; Royo-Marquez, M.H.; Kiniry, J.R.; Meki, M.N. Modeling the Distribution of Wild Cotton Gossypium aridum in Mexico Using Flowering Growing Degree Days and Annual Available Soil Water. Sustainability 2022, 14, 6383. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116383
Baez-Gonzalez AD, Melgoza-Castillo A, Royo-Marquez MH, Kiniry JR, Meki MN. Modeling the Distribution of Wild Cotton Gossypium aridum in Mexico Using Flowering Growing Degree Days and Annual Available Soil Water. Sustainability. 2022; 14(11):6383. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116383
Chicago/Turabian StyleBaez-Gonzalez, Alma Delia, Alicia Melgoza-Castillo, Mario Humberto Royo-Marquez, James R. Kiniry, and Manyowa N. Meki. 2022. "Modeling the Distribution of Wild Cotton Gossypium aridum in Mexico Using Flowering Growing Degree Days and Annual Available Soil Water" Sustainability 14, no. 11: 6383. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116383