Hazard-Consistent Earthquake Scenario Selection for Seismic Slope Stability Assessment
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Method
2.1.1. Fully Probabilistic Approach
2.1.2. Conditional Probability of Slope Failure Under Seismic Loading
2.1.3. Probability of Occurrence of Ground Shaking Intensity
2.1.4. Occurrence Hazard Deaggregation
2.2. Materials
2.2.1. Studied Area
2.2.2. Geomechanical Slope Model
2.2.3. Seismic Source Model and GMPEs
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Soil type | , kpa | , m | , deg | , kN/m3 | , deg | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siltstone | 15.4 | 5.7 | 23 | 22 | 9.8 | 29.7 | 1 |
Seismic Source | Annual Rate of Earthquakes with Magnitude Greater than | Value | Minimum Magnitude | Maximum Magnitude | Source Mechanism |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
D1 | 0.759 | 0.840 | 4.0 | 7.5 | Reverse |
D2 | 0.794 | 1.000 | 4.0 | 7.0 | Reverse |
D3 | 0.813 | 0.970 | 4.0 | 6.0 | Reverse |
D4 | 0.427 | 1.110 | 4.0 | 5.5 | Reverse |
D5 | 0.229 | 0.680 | 4.0 | 5.5 | Reverse |
D7 | 0.151 | 0.730 | 4.0 | 5.7 | Reverse |
D8 | 0.282 | 1.040 | 4.0 | 5.7 | Reverse |
D9 | 0.204 | 1.340 | 4.0 | 5.5 | Reverse |
D10 | 1.622 | 0.900 | 4.0 | 6.0 | Reverse |
D11 | 0.447 | 0.710 | 4.0 | 6.0 | Reverse |
L-0948 | 0.007 | 1.110 | 5.6 | 6.0 | Reverse |
L-0940 | 0.007 | 0.970 | 6.1 | 7.5 | Reverse |
L-0950 | 0.019 | 0.680 | 5.6 | 6.0 | Reverse |
L-0943 | 0.001 | 1.340 | 5.6 | 6.5 | Reverse |
L9 | >0.001 | >1.340 | >5.6 | >7.0 | >Reverse |
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Konovalov, A.; Gensiorovskiy, Y.; Stepnov, A. Hazard-Consistent Earthquake Scenario Selection for Seismic Slope Stability Assessment. Sustainability 2020, 12, 4977. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12124977
Konovalov A, Gensiorovskiy Y, Stepnov A. Hazard-Consistent Earthquake Scenario Selection for Seismic Slope Stability Assessment. Sustainability. 2020; 12(12):4977. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12124977
Chicago/Turabian StyleKonovalov, Alexey, Yuriy Gensiorovskiy, and Andrey Stepnov. 2020. "Hazard-Consistent Earthquake Scenario Selection for Seismic Slope Stability Assessment" Sustainability 12, no. 12: 4977. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12124977