1. Introduction
The tendency toward economic globalization has emphasized world merchandise trade as well as international seaborne trade. According to the Review of Maritime Transport (2017) [
1], the volume of international seaborne trade has expanded significantly over the last four decades, rising from 2.61 billion tons in 1970 to 4.01 billion tons in 1990, 8.41 billion tons in 2010, and 10.29 billion tons in 2016. Particularly, as shown in
Table 1, container trade has also increased from 1001 million tons loaded in 2005 to 1280 million tons loaded in 2010, reaching 1720 million tons loaded in 2016. The ever-increasing volume of seaborne trade drives the demand for maritime transport services, especially for container transport services [
2]. When providing container transport services, ports play a substantial role as a cluster of loading, unloading, and transshipment activities, shipbrokers, warehousing, and storage services [
3] (pp. 638–655), [
4]. In this sense, connectivity between the port and its inland container transport networks has a profound impact on port efficiency and port productivity, as well as on a country’s exports and imports.
When providing container transport services, better port connectivity with inland container transport networks is more likely to reduce transit and transport time, and lower transport costs, thereby decreasing the risk of product damage and ensuring product quality. Meanwhile, products unloaded at a port are likely to be delivered faster to customers, which can increase customer satisfaction with shippers, and consequently lead to positive word-of-mouth from satisfied customers. As a result, better port connectivity with inland container transport networks would enlarge a port’s overall captive area, and thereby enable it to serve larger hinterland markets [
5]. This potentially strengthens a port’s efficiency and promotes port development in a sustainable manner. In addition, the local economy can also benefit when ports and inland container transport networks are well-connected. For example, better connectivity usually indicates higher market reachability and accessibility to goods and services, and then potentially reduces local firms’ logistics costs and facilitates their import and export business, shaping a sustainable and healthy economy [
6]. Due to the decreased logistics costs, more foreign direct investments could be attracted to the local economy. In contrast, delivery delays and traffic congestions are more likely to occur when poor connectivity among roads, railways, and ports is observed. The congested container transport network can cause significant negative impacts not only on port users and port authorities, but also on local environment and residents [
7]. Policymakers need to identify bottlenecks in multi-modal transport networks. By doing so, they can improve the efficiency of transport investments among roads, railways, and ports to achieve a better integration of sustainability in transporting containers. Using container transport in South Korea as a case study, this paper aims to develop a transport network connectivity index (TNCI) to examine how containers are transported from the multi-modal perspective. After considering transport infrastructure and capacity, cargo flow, and capacity utilization, the difference between the link capacity and its cargo flow can be used to evaluate the container transport network connectivity, which enables port users to identify ports that have a better connection with inland container transport networks.
Connectivity is a fundamental concept in graph theory. In a representative graph consisting of nodes, arcs, and flows, a node is a connection point, a redistribution point, or a flow endpoint; an arc is a link between two different nodes reflecting costs, flow limits, or specific conditions; and flow shows the quantity of an object movement, which is described by the sequence of a node and arc where flow passes. Accordingly, connectivity can be defined as the minimum number of elements (nodes or edges) that need to be removed to disconnect the remaining nodes from each other [
8] (p. 173). Since a graph and a transport network have a lot in common, graph theory has been widely applied in the field of transportation. Specifically, in a transport network, a node generally refers to the cargo-handling facility or origin/destination of cargo; an arc can be a road, railway, sea route, or airway that connects nodes; and a flow usually represents the real cargo movement between two different regions. In this regard, connectivity is redefined as the number of paths or maximum flow quantity between two different nodes in this paper.
In the field of transportation, the air connectivity index (ACI) is a widely known connectivity indicator that seeks to measure the integration in the global air transport network. Using a generalized gravity model, Arvis and Shepherd defined the ACI as the importance of a nation as a node within the global air transport system, and pointed out that the ACI was strongly correlated with the degree of liberalization in air service markets [
9]. Apart from the ACI, the liner shipping connectivity index (LSCI) developed by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTD) in 2007 seeks to capture how well nations are connected to global shipping networks. Five components of the maritime transport sector involving the number of ships, their container-carrying capacity, maximum vessel size, number of services, and number of companies that deploy container ships in a nation’s ports are included in the LSCI. Hoffman and Wilmsmeier identified the LSCI and port infrastructure as important determinants of intra-Caribbean freight rates [
10]. Additionally, the KOF Swiss Economic Institute published the globalization index to reflect global connectivity, integration, and interdependence in the economic, social, technological, cultural, political, and ecological spheres. A closer inspection of the economic globalization index reveals that two different types of data are involved. One type represents actual flows regarding trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investment, and income payments to foreign nationals. The other type represents restrictions, such as hidden import barriers, the mean tariff rate, taxes on international trade, and capital account restrictions [
11].
Other popular applications of connectivity are as follows: transit connectivity measuring how equitable the distribution of transit access is in a region [
12,
13], network connectivity pertaining to the issue of non-motorized transport and university populations [
14], cultural heritage connectivity regarding transportation infrastructure planning [
15], city connectivity concerning infrastructure networks among 67 important South Asian cities [
16], and port connectivity in terms of inter-port relationships from the perspective of a supply chain [
17], its impact on the transportation network [
18,
19], transport costs [
20], transit time [
21], and transportation access [
22].
A more detailed discussion of port connectivity based on the graph theory can be found in [
20]. Focusing on degree, betweenness, and port accessibility index, they highlighted the crucial role of port connectivity in keeping transport costs under control. Jiang et al. introduced two models, the minimum transportation time model and the maximum transportation capacity model, to measure port connectivity from a global container liner shipping network perspective [
18]. Lam and Yap placed emphasis on shipping capacity, trade routes, and geographic regions, as well as on the extensity and intensity of inter-port relationships among ports [
17]. Unlike the aforementioned studies, we focus on transport infrastructure and capacity, cargo flow, and capacity utilization, and derive the TNCI to measure container port connectivity from the multi-modal perspective, rather than from the inter-port perspective. The calculated TNCI not only provides insight into port competitiveness, but also helps policymakers to identify bottlenecks in multi-modal transport networks. After taking appropriate measures, these bottlenecks could be eliminated, which in turn can improve the connectivity of container transport networks in South Korea.
The remainder of this paper is structured as follows.
Section 2 presents the potential methodological issues and derives the TNCI. Using the case of South Korea as an example,
Section 3 demonstrates data collection and parameter estimations.
Section 4 gives a detailed discussion of South Korea’s container transport network connectivity. Finally, relevant conclusions and directions for future research are shown in
Section 5.
2. Materials and Methods
Since the multi-modal transport network and the graph theory have a lot in common, it is widely accepted that a transport network can be represented as a graph, and then its connectivity can be examined using the graph theory. Using container transport as an example, a node represents the facility where a container is handled for transit, consolidation, or other specific purposes, while a link denotes the transport infrastructure that connects different nodes through roads/railways. Considering the capacity utilization rate and variance in cargo flow, we can compare the link capacity and the cargo flow to measure connectivity.
Specifically, when the link capacity is smaller than the cargo flow, it is generally believed that roads/railways have been over-utilized, resulting in serious congestion. Then, poor connectivity can be observed in the container transport network. On the other hand, when the link capacity is higher than the cargo flow, the roads/railways have not been fully utilized; the larger the difference between them, the lower the possibility of observing congestion. This can reduce the negative impacts of land transport on environment and then promote the economy in a sustainable manner [
23]. In other words, the container transport network is more likely to be well-connected, and better connectivity is likely to be seen. In this regard, the difference between the link capacity and its cargo flow can be regarded as a reasonable evaluation of connectivity, which can be used as a criterion for shipping lines’ port selection.
Before developing the TNCI, some parameters relevant to a multi-modal transport network are defined as follows:
set of nodes
set of links connecting two different nodes
variance in cargo flow from node to node
capacity utilization ratio of link connecting node and node
cargo flow from node to node at time
capacity of link connecting node and node
where and
First,
is the variance in
from node
to node
at time
, representing how far a set of cargo flows are spread out from their mean level over a given period. In general, frequent fluctuations in cargo flows between different nodes are more likely to cause a higher variance, which pose challenges to transport infrastructure and require adaptations. Subsequently, a congestion problem is more likely to occur due to the inappropriate provision of transport facilities and infrastructures. This, in turn, will negatively affect transport service providers and increase the transport time and transport costs. Let
be the mean of cargo flows from
to
over the given period, and then
can be defined as:
However, the accurate calculation of variance is very difficult in reality. For the sake of simplicity, we consider formula (2) as an alternative since cargo flows between different nodes are usually unevenly distributed over the time of day. Let
NTV be the nighttime traffic volume and
DTV be the daytime traffic volume. As a result, the calculated variance is 1.7522 for road cargo flow and is 2 for railway cargo flow in the case study.
Second,
is the capacity utilization rate of the link connecting two different nodes and is generally influenced by a variety of factors such as the accident ratio per mile and the number of accident-related deaths per registered vehicle or freight car. However, in practice, it is quite difficult to obtain an accurate
. We therefore consider the use of a proxy indicator. According to Chang and Xiang, a higher
often indicates a higher probability of accidents, because accidents are more likely to occur in jammed or disordered situations [
24]. This would reduce the overall utilization rate of the multi-modal transport network. In this sense,
can be calculated as:
where
is the total number of accidents, and
is the total number of registered vehicles (or freight cars). Nevertheless, the capacity utilization rate of the link connecting two different nodes based on Formula (3) is normally far below one, which generates an adjusted capacity that is close to zero. Meanwhile, the relation between cargo flow and capacity indicates that cargo flow can be higher or lower than capacity, which is affected by the utilization rate. Therefore, to avoid capacity depletion, a revised Formula (4) is applied to calculate the overall capacity utilization rate of the link [
24]. As a result, the calculated capacity utilization rates are 1.0177 and 1.0714 for the railway and road, respectively.
Third, with respect to
, the capacity of the link connecting two different nodes, current and future levels can be taken from government development plans, annual reports, and other guidelines or news released to the public. Up to now, current cargo flow values can be calculated based on container throughput, while their future values can be predicted using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model [
25,
26].
Finally, the connectivity of container transport network can be developed according to the following steps:
Step 1: For each pair of nodes , calculate the current and future values of cargo flow and capacity and , respectively.
Step 2: Calculate the total flow of cargo (
) transported to a port and the total capacity (
) as:
Step 3: Compute the difference between
and
, and then develop the TNCI:
Note that choosing different values of
in Formula (6) will result in the current and future TNCIs. In the case study, Formula (7) is employed to consider that containers are transported to ports mainly via roads (99.5%) and railways (0.5%) in South Korea. Tables 3–5 offer more details.
Whether a specific transport mode is a bottleneck in the multi-modal transport network can be determined by examining the difference between capacity and cargo flow. After taking appropriate measures, the identified bottlenecks can be eliminated, which can improve the container transport network connectivity.
To calculate the connectivity of the container transport network in South Korea, container throughput data in 2010 were collected from port authorities, while data on containers transported via roads and railways were obtained from the National Logistics Information Center, and other required data were obtained from Statistics Korea. It should be mentioned here that road transport uses tonnage as units of container transport, while railway transport uses twenty-feet equivalent units (TEU). To ensure the consistency of measurement units, tonnage data were converted into TEU data by dividing by 18, because the transport regulations in South Korea limit the maximum weight of a container cargo trailer to 18 tons.
From the graph theory perspective, a node indicates a city or province in the container transport network. As seen in
Figure 1, 16 nodes were identified. Except for Jejudo (geographically isolated from other regions, Jejudo has no railway lines; thus, we assume that there is only one cycle in Jejudo), each node has 56 arcs linking it to other nodes through roads and railways and one arc (the so-called “cycle”) denotes container transport within this region. As a result, there are 856 arcs (considering container incoming and outgoing, each node is connected to 14 other nodes through roads and railways, and each node has a cycle. Thus, we have (14 × 2 × 2 + 1) × 15 + 1 = 856 arcs in total) in total. However, for simplicity, we excluded arcs with volumes below a certain level in this case study.
4. Discussion
The calculated TNCIs provide valuable insights and guidance for policymakers. As suggested by Goldratt, the concept of a bottleneck, referring to a physical point or conceptual process that can decrease the efficiency of the whole system, is a suitable description of the container transport network in South Korea [
29]. Inspired by the bottleneck concept, nodes with negative connectivity are identified as bottlenecks. In the case study, the Busan and Incheon ports act as bottlenecks in the whole container transport network. Moreover, most containers are transported via roads in South Korea, and relatively low efficiency can be observed in road transport, which negatively affects the connectivity of container transport networks and influences the local economy in a non-sustainable manner.
Accordingly, specific strategies can be suggested for port development. For example, in the case of the Incheon port, a strategy for port capacity expansion seems to be appropriate, because the capacity is much lower than the actual container flow. Although the Busan port has a negative connectivity, the small difference between the capacity and the actual container flow suggests that a strategy for improvement in operational efficiency might be most suitable, such as the enhancement of cooperation among terminal operators or an emphasis on port employee training and qualifications. Regarding the Gwangyang port, a strategy for port hinterland expansion is needed to attract more container flows. In the meantime, port users can also benefit from the TNCIs that help them identify ports that have better inland transport connectivity. This in turn increases port users’ satisfaction and enhances port reputation as well as port competitiveness. In addition, container transport relies heavily on road transport in South Korea, placing a considerable burden on road transport. Meanwhile, the supply of railway container transport services is relatively low in South Korea. As a result, how to increase available railway container transport services is particularly important for policymakers. As an alternative transport mode, an increase in the demand for railway container transport would be helpful to reduce road container flows, and then could improve the overall connectivity of container transport networks.
5. Conclusions
Container transport has played an ever-important role in promoting South Korea’s sustainable economy, which requires a better connectivity of container transport networks. For this purpose, we develop an index to assess container transport network connectivity from the multi-modal transport perspective. The calculated connectivity index not only provides insight into the assessment of sustainable port competitiveness, it also helps policymakers identify bottlenecks in multi-modal transport networks. Specifically, from the congestion perspective, a well-connected port usually indicates that the capacity is higher than the usage of links. The lower the difference, the higher the possibility of observing congestion in container transport networks. This potentially reduces port attractiveness and moves shipping lines to call at other ports. In this sense, the connectivity index can be used as a criterion for shipping lines’ port selection. On the other hand, the probability of congestion becomes higher when the cargoes that are handled in a port are higher than the capacity, which usually indicates that the links are over-utilized. This also reflects that the container transport network is not well-connected because of insufficient capacity, which in turn motivates capacity investment. In this regard, the developed connectivity index can also be used as a criterion for policymakers’ investment decisions.
Using container transport in South Korea as a case study, some specific strategies are proposed to improve port operations. For the Incheon port, it is suggested that port capacity needs to be expanded to facilitate the increasing container flows, resulting in the lower possibility of observing congestions and delays. For the Busan port, more emphasis should be placed on improvements in operational efficiency by effectively cooperating with terminal operators and training port employees. For the Gwangyang port, the recommendation is to expand its hinterland and attract more container flows. At the same time, the bottleneck analysis also provides valuable insight and guidance for port users who would benefit from identifying ports with superior container transport network connectivity. In addition, expanding the supply of railway container transport services in South Korea could reduce its heavy reliance on road transport.
Nevertheless, some potential limitations still exist in the current paper. For example, we only consider connectivity for a single year, which may not enable us to explore the evolution of connectivity in container transport networks over time or model the future connectivity. Another limitation is the potential underestimation of the road container cargo flow when using the maximum weight of a container cargo trailer to convert the tonnage data. However, these limitations do present a new perspective and avenue for our future research.