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Stochastic Modeling of the Charging Behavior of Electromobility

Institute of Energy Systems and Electrical Drives, TU Wien, 1040 Vienna, Austria
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Current address: Gusshausstrasse 25-29/370-3, 1040 Vienna, Austria.
World Electr. Veh. J. 2018, 9(3), 44;
Received: 29 August 2018 / Revised: 12 October 2018 / Accepted: 17 October 2018 / Published: 22 October 2018
PDF [987 KB, uploaded 22 October 2018]


As electric vehicle market penetration grows steadily and charging demand along with it, the analysis of daily usage gains in significance. We propose in this paper a simple yet powerful tool based on a Markov chain that can model the stochastic nature of day to day usage of a charging station if adequate datasets on travel patterns are available. The model is generic and therefore can be tailored to different locations with different features. Within this work, we conducted a case study with the aim to verify the algorithm. By an additional sensitivity analysis, impacts of the made assumptions are considered. With a final analysis of two charging tariff designs the model provides valuable stochastic information about electricity consumption and annual revenues at a location of interest. View Full-Text
Keywords: electromobility; electric vehicle; fast charging station; stochastic model; Markov chain; charging pattern electromobility; electric vehicle; fast charging station; stochastic model; Markov chain; charging pattern

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Sokorai, P.; Fleischhacker, A.; Lettner, G.; Auer, H. Stochastic Modeling of the Charging Behavior of Electromobility. World Electr. Veh. J. 2018, 9, 44.

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