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Background:
Systematic Review

Prevalence and Variability of Clinical Manifestations of Dengue in Peru: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

by
Darwin A. León-Figueroa
1,2,
Edwin Aguirre-Milachay
3,
Dorothy Luisa Meléndez Morote
4,
Miguel Villegas-Chiroque
5,
Víctor J. Vera-Ponce
6,
Oriana Rivera-Lozada
5 and
Mario J. Valladares-Garrido
5,7,*
1
Facultad de Medicina Humana, Universidad de San Martín de Porres, Chiclayo 15011, Peru
2
EpiHealth Research Center for Epidemiology and Public Health, Lima 15001, Peru
3
Hospital Nacional Almanzor Aguinaga Asenjo, EsSalud, Chiclayo 14001, Peru
4
Programa de Odontología, Universidad de San Martín de Porres, Chiclayo 15011, Peru
5
Escuela de Medicina Humana, Universidad Señor de Sipán, Chiclayo 14001, Peru
6
Facultad de Medicina (FAMED), Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas, Chachapoyas 01001, Peru
7
Oficina de Inteligencia Sanitaria, Red Prestacional EsSalud Lambayeque, Chiclayo 14001, Peru
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Viruses 2026, 18(7), 732; https://doi.org/10.3390/v18070732
Submission received: 20 February 2026 / Revised: 20 March 2026 / Accepted: 27 March 2026 / Published: 2 July 2026

Abstract

Dengue remains a major public health challenge in Peru, where recurrent outbreaks show marked variation in clinical presentation. This systematic review and meta-analysis synthesized available evidence to quantify the frequency and variability of dengue manifestations in Peruvian patients and to identify clinically relevant patterns for early recognition. We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, Google Scholar, Virtual Health Library, and Scielo for observational studies published between 1993 and January 2025. Two reviewers independently selected studies, extracted data, and assessed methodological quality. Pooled prevalence estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random-effects models. Twenty-eight studies including 4418 patients were analyzed. The most frequent manifestations were fever (95%; 95% CI: 90–98%), headache (86%; 95% CI: 80–91%), malaise (82%; 95% CI: 71–91%), myalgia (69%; 95% CI: 58–79%), arthralgia (64%; 95% CI: 56–73%), and retro-orbital pain (56%; 95% CI: 47–66%). Gastrointestinal symptoms were also common, including nausea/vomiting (40%; 95% CI: 33–48%) and abdominal pain (33%; 95% CI: 21–45%), whereas hemorrhagic and severe manifestations were less frequent, such as hematemesis (6%; 95% CI: 2–10%), petechiae (6%; 95% CI: 2–10%), jaundice (3%; 95% CI: 1–7%), and melena (1%; 95% CI: 0–6%). Heterogeneity was high across most outcomes (I2 generally >90%), suggesting substantial between-study variability. This heterogeneity is likely related to differences in geographic region, outbreak period, circulating serotypes, diagnostic methods, and case severity definitions across studies. These findings highlight a consistent core symptom profile of dengue in Peru while also demonstrating important clinical variability. This information may support earlier clinical suspicion, triage, and surveillance in endemic settings. However, pooled estimates should be interpreted cautiously given the high heterogeneity, moderate methodological rigor of included studies, and lack of individual-level data. Future analyses stratified by region, study period, and diagnostic method are needed to generate more clinically precise estimates.

1. Introduction

Dengue is an infectious disease caused by dengue virus (DENV), a single-stranded RNA virus belonging to the family Flaviviridae and genus Flavivirus [1]. This virus has four known serotypes (DENV 1, DENV 2, DENV 3, and DENV 4) [2,3]. Transmission of this virus occurs through the bite of female mosquitoes of the genus Aedes spp., mainly by Ae. aegypti and occasionally by Ae. albopictus [4,5]. Ae. aegypti was first described by Linnaeus in 1762, while Ae. albopictus was described by Skuse in 1894 [6].
According to the World Health Organization (WHO), dengue is classified into two main categories: dengue (with/without warning signs) and severe dengue [7]. According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, common symptoms of dengue include fever, headache, myalgia, arthralgia, retroocular pain, nausea, vomiting, and rash [8]. These symptoms usually last 2 to 7 days, and most people recover in about a week [8].
Dengue has affected over 14.6 million people worldwide in 2024, with a particularly significant impact in tropical and subtropical regions, making it the year with the highest number of recorded cases to date [7]. In 2025, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) reported over 4.4 million suspected cases of dengue and more than 1.6 million confirmed cases in the Americas region [9]. By 2026, as of epidemiological week 9, more than 359,000 suspected cases and over 76,000 confirmed cases were reported. In terms of country-specific impact, Brazil is the most affected, with over 280,000 reported cases, followed by Colombia with more than 20,000, Bolivia with over 14,000, Mexico with over 10,000, and Peru with over 8000 cases [10].
In recent years, Peru has experienced periodic outbreaks of dengue fever, with changes in incidence and a variety of clinical manifestations observed, ranging from asymptomatic patients to severe dengue cases [11]. According to data provided by the dengue situational room of the Peruvian National Center for Epidemiology, Prevention, and Disease Control (CDC), more than 895 thousand cases of dengue were recorded, with more than 1200 deaths, from 2014 to week 9 of 2026 [12]. The increase in dengue in Peru is mainly influenced by the meteorological conditions of the Coastal El Niño phenomenon, a lack of a solid and efficient health care system, political problems, and rapid unplanned urbanization [13,14,15,16]. This has had a considerable impact on public health in the country.
Recognizing specific clinical manifestations is essential for early detection of severe dengue, enabling timely diagnosis and the application of more effective clinical interventions. Furthermore, understanding the factors influencing disease progression can inform prevention strategies and improve healthcare management protocols, ultimately reducing dengue-related morbidity and mortality in Peru [11]. Although previous studies from Latin America and other endemic settings have described the clinical spectrum of dengue, their findings are not directly generalizable to Peru because of differences in circulating serotypes, outbreak intensity, ecological conditions, and access to healthcare. In addition, the available evidence in Peru remains fragmented across studies conducted in different regions and time periods, with substantial variation in reported clinical manifestations. To our knowledge, no previous systematic review and meta-analysis has specifically synthesized Peruvian observational studies to provide pooled estimates of the prevalence of dengue clinical manifestations at the national level. This gap is particularly relevant in the context of the recent increase in dengue cases in Peru, which underscores the need for an updated country-specific synthesis to support early clinical recognition, risk stratification, and public health decision-making [17,18].
Therefore, this study aims to determine the prevalence of clinical manifestations of dengue in Peruvian patients, thereby addressing an important evidence gap in the national literature and providing a detailed and updated overview to enhance early diagnosis and clinical management. The findings are expected to support public health and clinical strategies for better prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of dengue. Additionally, the information obtained could serve as a valuable resource for future research and health policy decision-making related to dengue in the region [19].

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Protocol and Registration

The present investigation was carried out following the guidelines of Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) (Table S1) [20], as well as a protocol registered in the Prospective International Registry of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) with identification number CRD42024541811. Additionally, systematic reviews and meta-analyses conducted in Peru on infectious diseases were reviewed and followed, allowing for adherence to a rigorous methodology and a better understanding of the clinical variables [21,22,23]. This systematic review was carried out in several stages: development of a protocol, identification of key words, database searches for article selection, definition of inclusion and exclusion criteria, critical appraisal of studies, data selection and analysis, and presentation and interpretation of results.

2.2. Eligibility Criteria

This review included observational studies, such as retrospective, prospective, cohort, case–control, and cross-sectional studies, which investigated the prevalence of clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients diagnosed with dengue. Only those cases diagnosed either through laboratory tests—such as IgM ELISA (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay), IgG ELISA, NS1 tests detecting the non-structural protein 1 (NS1), and RT-PCR (reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction)—or based on clinical criteria (a set of observed characteristics, signs, and symptoms) as per national and international guidelines, were included in the analyses. Studies that did not meet the established criteria, such as case reports, editorials, letters to the editor, randomized clinical trials, conference abstracts, and narrative or systematic reviews, were excluded. Although randomized clinical trials may provide useful baseline data on clinical manifestations, they were excluded because this review focused on observational studies designed to estimate symptom prevalence in the general population. Future studies may consider RCTs to explore baseline characteristics and clinical progression in greater detail. Likewise, patients with coinfections of dengue and other diseases (such as COVID-19, Zika, and chikungunya) were excluded.

2.3. Information Sources and Search Strategy

Eight databases were searched, including PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, Google Scholar, Virtual Health Library (VHL), and Scielo, until 12 January 2025, with no language or development period restrictions. The following MeSH (Medical Subject Headings) terms were used in the search: “dengue”, “dengue fever”, and “Peru”, combined using the Boolean operators AND and OR. The search strategy was independently validated by two authors (V.J.V-P and M.J.V-G) and is detailed in Table S2. In addition, other search methods were carried out, such as reviewing bibliographic studies, consulting article references, and exploring publications in Peruvian specialized journals on infectious and communicable diseases. However, the potential studies identified were within the scope of the search strategy employed.

2.4. Study Selection

The results of the search strategy were stored in EndNote version X9 software (Clarivate [formerly part of Thomson Reuters], New York, NY, USA). Subsequently, duplicate articles, as well as repeated titles and abstracts, were removed. Next, the titles and abstracts of the articles were independently reviewed (D.L.M.M., M.V.-C., and O.R-L) to select those that met the inclusion criteria. Finally, a thorough review of the full articles was performed to determine their compliance with the inclusion criteria. Any discrepancies identified were resolved by mutual agreement.

2.5. Outcomes

The main objective is to establish the prevalence of clinical manifestations among Peruvian patients diagnosed with dengue.

2.6. Quality Assessment

The JBI-MAStARI (Joanna Briggs Institute Meta-Analysis of Statistics Assessment and Review Instrument) tool was used to assess the quality and risk of bias of the articles included in the meta-analysis. The assessment considered several elements, including study context, outcomes and explanatory variables, specific inclusion criteria, measurement methods used, a detailed description of the topic, and rigorous statistical analysis. The quality of the studies was classified as high (≥7 points), moderate (4 to 6 points), or low (<4 points) based on their scores [24] (Table S3).
Additionally, a critical analysis of the studies was conducted to evaluate the methodological rigor and consistency of the reported outcomes [25]. This involved assessing the appropriateness of study designs in relation to the research question, the validity of outcome measures, the handling of confounding variables, and the applicability of findings across diverse clinical contexts. Studies with inconsistent or poorly defined outcomes, inadequate control of confounders, or methodological limitations that could compromise the validity of frequency and association measures were carefully examined and discussed. This process ensured that the heterogeneity among studies did not hinder the feasibility and validity of combining frequency and association measures in the meta-analysis [26,27].

2.7. Data Collection Process and Data Items

The data from the articles was compiled into an Excel spreadsheet (Table S4). Two authors (D.A.L-F and E.A-M) manually and independently extracted a series of data including: author, year of publication, study design, study sample, region of development, sex (male and female), age of participants, dengue subtypes, study period, sample characteristics, types of dengue diagnostic techniques (RT-PCR, ELISA, and immunofluorescent assay) or through clinical criteria, types of biomarkers detected (IgM and IgG), final outcome (recovered and deceased), data collection methods, and clinical manifestations of dengue patients (chills, fever, headache, retro-orbital pain, myalgia, arthralgia, malaise, nausea/vomiting, abdominal pain, diarrhea, hematemesis, rash, jaundice, lumbago, cough, sore throat, melena, petechiae, and ecchymosis).
The selection of clinical manifestations and diagnostic methods was based on the guidelines provided by the WHO for the diagnosis and management of dengue, as well as on the recommendations of the Peruvian Ministry of Health. Data were extracted strictly for cases where the diagnosis of dengue had been previously established in the primary studies, either by laboratory techniques (such as RT-PCR, ELISA, and immunofluorescent assay) or based on standardized clinical criteria, as outlined by national and international health guidelines. Criteria for the selection of signs and symptoms included their frequency, clinical relevance, and usefulness in differentiating between dengue and other febrile illnesses [28,29].
At a meeting, the extractions performed by the two independent authors (D.A.L-F and E.A-M) were compared, and discrepancies were resolved by mutual agreement. Subsequently, to ensure the accuracy and quality of the extracted data, a rigorous review and verification process was carried out by a third independent investigator (M.J.V-G).

2.8. Data Analysis

A prevalence meta-analysis (proportions) was performed using R software version 4.2.3 (https://www.r-project.org/, accessed on 20 March 2025) (Table S5). An inverse variance-weighted random effects model was used to calculate the pooled prevalence of clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients diagnosed with dengue. The Cochrane Q statistic was applied to assess between-study variability. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed using the Inconsistency Index (I2), classifying heterogeneity as low if it was less than 25%, moderate if it was between 25% and 50%, and high if it exceeded 75% [30,31].
Prior to data synthesis, the relevance and comparability of the primary studies were thoroughly evaluated to ensure consistency with the research question. This assessment considered the alignment of study objectives, population characteristics, diagnostic methods for dengue, and definitions of clinical manifestations. Only studies with sufficient methodological and clinical similarity were included in the meta-analysis, ensuring that the combination of results was both appropriate and scientifically valid [26].
To assess possible publication bias, two methods were used: visual inspection of the funnel plot and Egger’s test. The latter was applied only to clinical manifestations with at least 10 studies included in the meta-analysis, since the test has less power to detect real asymmetry when fewer studies are included. This threshold of 10 studies for Egger’s test is explicitly stated in the Results section. Bias was considered to exist in the results when the resulting p-value was less than 0.05 [32].
The results of the investigation were presented in tables and descriptive graphs. The combined prevalence of clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients diagnosed with dengue was graphically illustrated using a forest plot, including 95% confidence intervals for a more accurate presentation of the data.

3. Results

3.1. Study Selection

A total of 1147 studies were retrieved through database searches. After eliminating duplicate articles (n = 341), the authors reviewed the remaining 806 through titles and abstracts. Subsequently, 58 articles were evaluated in full text, of which 28 met the inclusion criteria for the systematic review and meta-analysis [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60]. The selection process is detailed in the PRISMA flow chart, shown in Figure 1.

3.2. Characteristics of the Included Studies

The analysis was based on a review of 28 observational articles published between 1993 and 2024 that investigated the prevalence of clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients diagnosed with dengue (Table 1) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60]. A total of 4418 patients with dengue were included, of whom, with available data, approximately 40.6% (1794) were men and 40.4% (1786) were women. The most frequent age group was 20 to 40 years old [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60]. The studies were conducted in 12 regions of Peru, with a main focus on Piura and Loreto (Figure 2).
The most prevalent serotype was DENV2 (29.56%; 301/1018), followed by DENV3 (26.52%; 270/1018), while DENV1 and DENV4 have lower prevalences, 16.50% (168/1018) and 14.93% (152/1018), respectively [35,42,44,46,50,51,52,54,55,58]. Patients with dengue were diagnosed by screening tests, including ELISA for the nonstructural glycoprotein NS1, as well as detection of IgM or IgG antibodies and RT-PCR. Most patients recovered, although 56 deaths were reported (Table 1) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60].

3.3. Quality of the Included Studies and Publication Bias

Study quality was assessed using the JBI critical appraisal tools designed specifically for observational research. All studies included in the analysis were found to demonstrate a moderate level of quality, as indicated in Table S3 [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60]. The absence of high-quality studies was mainly due to common methodological limitations in observational research, such as incomplete control of confounding variables, variability in outcome measurement, and limited reporting of methodological procedures. Despite these limitations, the studies met the inclusion criteria and provided sufficient methodological rigor to estimate frequency and association measures [61]. Therefore, although the overall quality was moderate, the consistency of findings across studies supports the reliability of the pooled estimates, and the results should be interpreted with appropriate caution.
In the analyses aimed at evaluating the clinical manifestations of Peruvian patients with dengue, it was observed that when Egger’s test was applied to assess publication bias, the following results were obtained: fever (p = 0.8505) [34,35,36,37,38,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,54,55,56,57,58,59,60], headache (p = 0.3265) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,54,55,56,57,58,59,60], retro-orbital pain (p = 0.0980) [33,34,35,36,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,48,49,50,51,52,55,56,57,58,59,60], myalgia (p = 0.4298) [33,34,35,36,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,54,55,56,58,59,60], general malaise (p = 0.6333) [34,36,46,47,51,56,57,58,59,60], nausea/vomiting (p = 0.0530) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,48,50,51,52,53,54,55,57,58,59,60], abdominal pain (p = 0.0977) [33,34,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,46,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59], diarrhea (p = 0.3986) [33,34,37,38,39,42,44,46,51,52,53,54,55,57,58], rash (p = 0.5834) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,44,48,49,50,51,52,54,55,57,58,59,60], and low back pain (p = 0.7819) [33,35,36,38,40,41,42,44,45,48,49,50,58,59,60]. These results suggest that there is no evidence of publication bias in the studies reviewed. However, when evaluating studies that reported chills (p = 0.0294) [37,40,44,46,50,51,52,55,56,57,58,59,60] and arthralgia (p = 0.0242) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,48,49,50,51,52,55,56,57,58,59,60], a possible publication bias was found (Table 2).

3.4. Clinical Manifestations of Peruvian Patients with Dengue Fever

An analysis of the prevalence of clinical manifestations was performed according to the data in Table S6. The most frequent clinical findings in Peruvian patients with dengue fever were fever at 95% (95% CI: 90–98%; I2 = 96%) [34,35,36,37,38,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,54,55,56,57,58,59,60], followed by headache at 86% (95% CI: 80–91%; I2 = 96%) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,54,55,56,57,58,59,60], malaise at 82% (95% CI: 71–91%; I2 = 93%) [34,36,46,47,51,56,57,58,59,60], myalgia at 69% (95% CI: 58–79%; I2 = 97%) [33,34,35,36,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,54,55,56,58,59,60], and arthralgia at 64% (95% CI: 56–73%; I2 = 97%) [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,48,49,50,51,52,55,56,57,58,59,60]. The complete pooled prevalence for all other assessed clinical manifestations, including less common symptoms such as melena and jaundice, is detailed in Table 3. In addition, Figure 3 shows the most frequent clinical findings, which support the statements of the World Health Organization [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60].

4. Discussion

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we compiled updated data on the prevalence of clinical manifestations of dengue in the Peruvian population. The results of our study allow for more effective follow-up of dengue patients, facilitate early detection of complications, and improve clinical outcomes. In addition, knowing the common manifestations of dengue helps to make prevention campaigns more targeted, improving early detection and medical care. These data are crucial for resource planning and control measures in Peru and can guide health policy makers in strengthening surveillance and response systems. The prevalence of specific symptoms guides the allocation of resources for diagnosis and treatment, allowing the development of more effective response protocols and better training of health professionals [21]. We will then critically examine these findings and discuss their relevance for public health and clinical practice.
Our results indicate that the most prevalent clinical manifestations were fever (95%), headache (86%), malaise (82%), myalgia (69%), arthralgia (64%), and retro-orbital pain (56%) (Figure 3). A meta-analysis conducted in the Pacific Islands by Kharwadkar et al. reported similar results, highlighting that the most frequent symptoms referred for dengue cases were fever (97.45%), headache (81.62%), myalgia (74.20%), chills (65.29%), and arthralgia (57.47%) [62]. However, a meta-analysis by Asish PR et al. reported that about 59.26% of dengue cases are asymptomatic and may play an important role in disease transmission [63]. In addition, dengue viruses cause a nonspecific acute febrile illness in about 25% of those infected, and about 5% of those with symptoms develop severe dengue, characterized by plasma leakage, hemorrhage, shock, or severe organ damage. Infants, the elderly, pregnant women, people with a second dengue infection, and those with certain underlying conditions are at increased risk of experiencing severe dengue [64].
The variety of clinical manifestations observed can provide guidance on the severity levels of dengue, thus facilitating early diagnosis and appropriate treatment [21,65]. According to PAHO, there are three levels of severity, each with characteristic symptoms [66]. Dengue without alarm signs includes fever, nausea, vomiting, rash, headache, retroorbital pain, myalgia, arthralgia, petechiae or positive tourniquet test, and leukopenia. Dengue with alarm signs presents with severe abdominal pain, persistent vomiting, fluid accumulation, mucosal bleeding, lethargy or irritability, lipothymia, hepatomegaly >2 cm, and a progressive increase in hematocrit. Finally, severe dengue is characterized by shock or respiratory distress due to severe plasma extravasation, severe bleeding, and severe organ involvement, such as liver damage, central nervous system (altered consciousness), heart (myocarditis), or other organs (Figure S3) [66].
A meta-analysis conducted in Latin America by Paraná VC et al. reported that risk factors associated with severe dengue include secondary dengue infection, female sex, white or Caucasian ethnicity, and certain specific signs and symptoms, such as headache, myalgia and/or arthralgia, vomiting and nausea, abdominal pain or tenderness, diarrhea, prostration, lethargy, and fatigue, among others [2]. Peres IT, et al. described the profile of critically ill dengue patients admitted to intensive care units in Brazil. Significant risk factors for complications included age ≥ 80 years, chronic kidney disease, cirrhosis, low platelet count (<50,000 cells/mm3), and high white blood cell count (>7000 cells/mm3) [67]. A study conducted by Singh U, et al. identified clinical and biochemical determinants associated with mortality in hospitalized dengue patients. Mortality was significantly associated with advanced age, abdominal pain, difficulty breathing, and weakness. Biochemical predictors included thrombocytopenia, elevated transaminases, bilirubin, and renal markers such as urea and creatinine. Non-survivors also showed a higher prevalence of systemic complications like pleural effusion and ascites [68]. A study by Pham O, et al. examined the clinical phenotypes and outcomes of severe dengue in adults in Vietnam, including 891 cases with a mean age of 29 years. The most prevalent severe phenotype was dengue shock syndrome (DSS), affecting 82.7% of patients. Severe bleeding occurred in 10.1% of cases, and 23.7% experienced organ dysfunction, with liver failure being the most common. Factors associated with recurrent shock episodes included a BMI ≥ 25, illness duration ≤ 5 days, and a history of prior COVID-19 infection [69].
According to the CDC of Peru, as of week 52 of 2025, the departments with the highest incidence of dengue cases are San Martín, Cajamarca, Loreto and Amazonas. As of June 2025, Aedes aegypti, the dengue vector, had been reported in 24 regions, 110 provinces, and a total of 609 districts. The most frequent dengue serotype in Peru is dengue type 2 (Genotype II Cosmopolitan). In addition, 31.29% of the cases have been reported in people between 30 and 59 years of age, and 22.95% of the cases in individuals between 18 and 29 years of age. These data reflect the continued expansion of dengue in the country and the need to intensify vector control and epidemiological surveillance measures (Figure S4) [12].
The diagnosis of dengue can be determined from clinical evaluation and laboratory tests, such as molecular tests (PCR), antibody tests (ELISA), and antigen detection tests (NS1) [21,70]. In Peru, differential diagnosis presents a significant challenge due to overlapping clinical features with other endemic vector-borne diseases such as Zika, chikungunya, malaria, and leishmaniasis [21,71]. This situation is exacerbated by the limited availability of laboratory diagnostic facilities [21].
Furthermore, variability in diagnostic methods (including NS1, IgM, IgG, RT-PCR, and clinical definitions) is influenced not only by the stage of infection at which cases are identified but also by the clinical and epidemiological context guiding diagnostic criteria and test indication. These differences may shape the spectrum of reported symptoms, affecting how dengue manifestations are synthesized across studies. Variability in diagnostic methodologies and case definitions accounts for the heterogeneity observed in the pooled analyses. Factors such as study design, sampling strategies, healthcare settings, and the timing of dengue outbreaks influence clinical prevalence estimates. Consequently, while pooled figures provide a global overview of dengue symptomatology in Peru, these findings should be interpreted with caution; they may reflect specific local epidemiological patterns rather than a uniform national clinical profile.
To address diseases transmitted by insect vectors, the WHO has created the “Global Vector Control Response 2017–2030 (GVCR). This plan provides guidelines for countries to strengthen their vector control strategies, with the aim of preventing diseases and managing outbreaks [72]. The initiative involves restructuring current programs, improving technical capacity, optimizing infrastructure, intensifying surveillance, and mobilizing the community [73,74,75].
Peru is a country with a diversity of subtropical and tropical climates, influenced by two determining factors that significantly modify its ecological conditions: the Andes Mountains and the Humboldt and El Niño Ocean currents. A systematic review proposed by Delrieu M. et al. reported that climate change and increased temperatures favor the expansion of mosquito vectors and diseases such as dengue, Zika, and chikungunya, especially in the long term. Most studies show that temperatures above 28 °C enhance the transmission of these viruses, increasing the risk of outbreaks in temperate regions and increasing the burden in tropical regions [76]. Another systematic review conducted in Latin America and the Caribbean by Santos LLM et al. reported that environmental and socioeconomic factors facilitated vector proliferation and adaptation, and host-related factors were reported to aggravate dengue [77]. A study by Lorenz C, et al. analyzed the influence of climate and heatwaves on dengue transmission in São Paulo and Natal, Brazil. Higher minimum temperatures were associated with an increased risk of dengue, while higher maximum temperatures and total precipitation had a negative effect. Heatwaves reduced the risk in São Paulo by 70%, but had no significant impact in Natal, suggesting that the climate-dengue relationship varies by location [78].
This systematic review and meta-analysis provide valuable insights into the clinical manifestations of dengue in the Peruvian population, yet several limitations must be acknowledged. One of the main constraints is the high heterogeneity observed across the included studies, which may stem from variations in diagnostic criteria, study periods, sample sizes (ranging from 24 to 967 participants), and population characteristics, including age distribution and disease severity. Additionally, differences in dengue serotypes over time could have influenced symptomatology and clinical outcomes, further contributing to the variability of results. The moderate methodological quality of several included studies may undermine the robustness of the pooled estimates. Factors such as small sample sizes, retrospective designs, and incomplete reporting introduce uncertainty and exacerbate inter-study variability. Consequently, although this meta-analysis provides a comprehensive synthesis of the available evidence, the conclusions must be weighed against the potential impact of these methodological limitations and heterogeneity on the reliability of the findings.
The reliance on observational studies introduces potential biases, such as selection bias and unmeasured confounders, which may impact prevalence estimates. Furthermore, the lack of standardized case definitions complicates direct comparisons between studies, while the overrepresentation of data from Piura and Loreto—likely due to higher endemicity, better surveillance infrastructure, or increased research activity in these regions—may limit the generalizability of the findings. Another limitation is the exclusion of gray literature, including conference abstracts, technical reports, and institutional documents. Although this decision was made to prioritize peer-reviewed evidence and ensure methodological consistency, gray literature may contain preliminary or region-specific data that are not yet formally published. Consequently, the exclusion of these sources may have limited the identification of additional studies or recent epidemiological information, potentially affecting the comprehensiveness and timeliness of the evidence synthesis. These methodological limitations highlight the need for further research incorporating broader geographic representation and a longitudinal approach to assess the impact of these findings on clinical practice and public health strategies.
Despite these challenges, this study represents the first systematic review and meta-analysis focused on evaluating dengue clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients. The research rigorously adhered to PRISMA guidelines, employed a specific search strategy for each database, and ensured methodological robustness by conducting all procedures independently by two or more investigators. The findings offer crucial information for updating national management guidelines, particularly in resource-limited settings where early diagnosis and accurate interpretation of diagnostic tests are essential for timely interventions and improved clinical outcomes. Additionally, this research, conducted by a multidisciplinary team, has demonstrated in previous work that it is essential to integrate both quantitative and qualitative synthesis of prevalence studies across different contexts and diseases [79,80,81].
Given the variability in reported symptoms, it is imperative to enhance health personnel training in recognizing clinical signs and interpreting diagnostic results, particularly in areas with limited access to advanced technology. Strengthening these capacities will enable more effective management strategies adapted to local realities, ultimately contributing to a better response to future dengue outbreaks. Moreover, further research—such as meta-regression and sensitivity analyses—could help clarify whether pooled estimates accurately represent the clinical profile of dengue or if methodological factors have influenced the observed trends.

5. Conclusions

Given that dengue is endemic in our country and considering the various outbreaks that have occurred in recent years, our data show a high prevalence of variability in the clinical manifestations of the disease. The most common manifestations in Peruvian patients include fever, headache, malaise, myalgia, arthralgia, and retro-orbital pain. However, it should be acknowledged that the heterogeneity in symptom presentation may be due to factors such as age distribution, disease severity, and differences in diagnostic criteria, which limit the generalizability of our results.
This study highlights the need to strengthen epidemiological surveillance, as well as to optimize diagnostic and treatment protocols in endemic areas of Peru. Additionally, it is essential to promote educational campaigns on dengue prevention and management and conduct further research to better understand the factors contributing to symptom heterogeneity. These measures will not only improve the response to outbreaks but also address the methodological challenges identified, contributing to a sustained reduction in dengue incidence in the country and fostering broader, standardized data collection at the regional and national levels.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at: https://www.mdpi.com/article/10.3390/v18070732/s1, Table S1: PRISMA Checklist (PRISMA 2020 Main Checklist and PRISMA Abstract Checklist); Table S2: The adjusted search terms as per the electronic databases searched; Table S3: Quality of the dengue studies included in the review; Table S4: Database; Table S5: R version 4.2.3. script; Table S6: Summary of studies on clinical manifestations in patients with dengue included in the review; Figure S1: Forest diagram illustrating the combined prevalence of clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients with dengue; Figure S2: Funnel plot and Egger’s test illustrate the publication bias of the included studies; Figure S3: Classification of the severity of dengue according to the Pan American Health Organization; Figure S4: Dengue cases in Peru during 2014–2025 (week 52) were reported by the National Center for Epidemiology, Prevention, and Disease Control of Peru.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, D.A.L.-F., E.A.-M. and M.J.V.-G.; methodology, D.L.M.M., M.V.-C., V.J.V.-P. and O.R.-L.; software, D.A.L.-F., E.A.-M., V.J.V.-P. and M.J.V.-G.; validation, D.L.M.M., M.V.-C. and V.J.V.-P.; formal analysis, D.A.L.-F., E.A.-M. and M.J.V.-G.; investigation, D.L.M.M., M.V.-C., V.J.V.-P. and O.R.-L.; resources, D.A.L.-F., E.A.-M. and M.J.V.-G.; data curation, D.L.M.M., M.V.-C., V.J.V.-P. and O.R.-L.; writing—original draft preparation, D.A.L.-F., E.A.-M., D.L.M.M., M.V.-C., V.J.V.-P., O.R.-L. and M.J.V.-G.; writing—review and editing, D.A.L.-F., E.A.-M., D.L.M.M., M.V.-C., V.J.V.-P., O.R.-L. and M.J.V.-G.; visualization, D.A.L.-F.; supervision, M.J.V.-G.; project administration, D.A.L.-F. and E.A.-M.; funding acquisition, M.J.V.-G. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

The publication fee (APC) was covered by Universidad Señor de Sipán (USS).

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this published article.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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Figure 1. Study selection process based on the PRISMA flowchart.
Figure 1. Study selection process based on the PRISMA flowchart.
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Figure 2. Geographic visualization of the regions where the studies were carried out in Peruvian patients with dengue: Piura (n = 6) [34,40,50,55,57,59], Loreto (n = 7) [37,46,47,52,53,54,60], Lima (n = 2) [39,58], La Libertad (n = 2) [41,45], Cajamarca (n = 4) [36,42,44,56], Lambayeque (n = 1) [49], Huánuco (n = 1) [48], Ica (n = 1) [43], Ucayali (n = 1) [33], Amazonas (n = 1) [35], Madre de Dios (n = 1) [51], and San Martín (n = 1) [38].
Figure 2. Geographic visualization of the regions where the studies were carried out in Peruvian patients with dengue: Piura (n = 6) [34,40,50,55,57,59], Loreto (n = 7) [37,46,47,52,53,54,60], Lima (n = 2) [39,58], La Libertad (n = 2) [41,45], Cajamarca (n = 4) [36,42,44,56], Lambayeque (n = 1) [49], Huánuco (n = 1) [48], Ica (n = 1) [43], Ucayali (n = 1) [33], Amazonas (n = 1) [35], Madre de Dios (n = 1) [51], and San Martín (n = 1) [38].
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Figure 3. Most frequent clinical manifestations of Peruvian patients with dengue [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60].
Figure 3. Most frequent clinical manifestations of Peruvian patients with dengue [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60].
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Table 1. Summary of dengue studies included in the review.
Table 1. Summary of dengue studies included in the review.
AuthorsYearStudio TypeSampleLocationM/FAge (Years)Dengue SubtypeStudy PeriodSample CharacteristicsMethod of DiagnosisFinal OutcomeData Collection MethodsStudy Period
Copaja-Corzo C, et al. [33]2024Retrospective cohort152Ucayali72/807–17 (63); 18–59 (69); ≥60 (20)NR2019 to 2023General populationIgM ELISA, and dengue NS1 antigen testDead (13)Medical records2019 to 2023
Luque N, et al. [34]2023Retrospective cohort24Piura8/16Mean: 46NR2017General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, dengue NS1 antigen test DeadMedical records2017
Ramírez-Orrego L, et al. [35]2023Retrospective cohort53Amazonas25/28Median: 37 (23–53.5)DENV1: 6% (3) DENV2: 94% (50)December 2021 to February 2022General populationDengue NS1 antigen test, RT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsDecember 2021 to February 2022
Tarazona-Castro Y, et al. [36]2022Cross-sectional34Cajamarca14/2011 (3); 12–17 (1); 18–39 (17); 40–59 (9); ≥60 (4)NRApril 2020 to March 2021General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, and RT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsApril 2020 to March 2021
Watts DM, et al. [37]2022Retrospective cohort967Loreto504/4631–14 (114); 15–29 (443); 30–44 (240); >44 (169)NR1993 to 1999General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, and Clinical criteriaRecoveredMedical recordsOctober 1993 to September 1997
Rodríguez-Gómez JH, et al. [38]2022Retrospective cohort102San Martín60/42Mean: 30.2NR2011–2016General populationNotification data (specific method NR)RecoveredMedical records2011 to 2016
Montalvo R, et al. [39]2022Retrospective cohort24Lima10/14Mean: 40NRJanuary 2018 to December 2020General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, dengue NS1 antigen test, RT-PCRRecovered (21)
Dead (3)
Medical records2018 to 2020
Del Valle-Mendoza J, et al. [40]2021Cross-sectional84Piura42/420–19 (17); 20–44 (29); 45–59 (14); >60 (24)NRMarch to August 2016General populationRT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsMarch to August 2016
Gutierrez-Portilla WE, et al. [41]2021Retrospective cohort141La Libertad90/51Mean: 35.5NR2012–2017General populationNotification data (specific method NR)RecoveredMedical records2012 to 2017
Aguilar-Luis MA, et al. [42]2021Retrospective cohort136CajamarcaNRNSDENV2: 11.24% (10/89)
DENV3: 77.53% (69/89)
Non-typeable DENV: 11.24% (10/89)
January 2017 to June 2017General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, dengue NS1 antigen test, RT-PCRRecoveredMedical records2013 to 2018
Reátegui A, et al. [43]2021Retrospective cohort44Ica16/28Mean: 38.6NR2017General populationNotification data (specific method NR)RecoveredMedical records2017
Del Valle-Mendoza J, et al. [44]2020Cross-sectional32Cajamarca22/10<5 (0); 5–11 (0); 12–17 (1); 18–39 (14); 40–59 (12); ≥60 (5)DENV2: 6.2% (2) DENV3: 12.5% (4)
Non-typeable DENV: 81.3% (26)
February to June 2016General populationRT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsFebruary to June 2016
Ruiz Chang WB, et al. [45]2020Retrospective cohort120La LibertadNRRange: 6 to 70NR2019General populationDengue NS1 antigen testRecoveredMedical recordsJanuary to December 2019
Elson WH, et al. [46]2020Retrospective cohort79Loreto38/41Median: 17 (12–27.5)DENV2: 96% (76)
DENV3: 4% (3)
2016–2019General populationRT-PCRRecoveredMedical records2016 to 2017
Schaber KL, et al. [47]2019Retrospective cohort62Loreto35/27Mean: 17NR2019General populationRT-PCR or viral nucleic acid test positiveRecoveredInterview2019
Palomares-Reyes C, et al. [48]2019Retrospective cohort69Huánuco27/420–4 (2), 5–11 (6), 12–17 (9), 18–39 (38), 40–59 (12), and ≥60 (2)DENV1, DENV2, DENV3, DENV4December 2015 to March 2016General populationRT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsDecember 2015 to March 2016
Perales Carrasco
JCT, et al. [49]
2019Retrospective cohort874Lambayeque412/462Mean: 27.6NRDecember 2016 to May 2017General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, dengue NS1 antigen test, RT-PCRRecovered (685)
Observation (176)
Dead (13)
Medical recordsDecember 2016 to May 2017
Sánchez-Carbonel J, et al. [50]2018Cross-sectional170Piura89/810–4 (10), 5–19 (40), 20–44 (55), 45–59 (30), and ≥60 (35)DENV1: 0% (0)
DENV2: 57.1% (97)
DENV3: 5.3% (9)
DENV4: 0% (0)
Undetermined: 37.6% (64)
May to August 2016General populationRT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsMay to August 2016
Halsey ES, et al. [51]2016Retrospective cohort51Loreto and Madre de Dios36/15Mean: 27.8DENV1: 12% (6)
DENV3: 88% (45)
January 2002 to March 2011General populationRT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsJanuary 2002 to March 2011
Olkowski S, et al. [52]2013Retrospective cohort194LoretoNSNSDENV3: 25.7% (50)
DENV4: 74.3% (144)
September 2006 to February 2011General populationRT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsSeptember 2006 to February 2011
Suárez-Ognio L, et al. [53]2011Case and control175LoretoNSNSDENV1, DENV2,
DENV4
October 2010 to February 2011General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, dengue NS1 antigen test, RT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsOctober 2010 to February 2011
Fiestas Solórzano V, et al. [54]2011Retrospective cohort41LoretoNRMean: 28.4DENV2: 41% (17/41)
DENV4: 5% (2/41)
Undetermined: 53.7% (22/41)
2011General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, dengue NS1 antigen test, RT-PCRObservation (38)
Dead (3)
Medical recordsJanuary to February 2011
Mamani E,
et al. [55]
2010Retrospective cohort73Piura28/450–10 (4), 10–20 (15), 20–30 (17), 30–40 (17), 40–50 (11), 50–60 (6), and ≥60 (3)DENV1: 39.7% (29)
DENV3: 46.6% (34)
DENV4: 5.5% (4)
DENV1 and 3: 8.2% (6)
2008General populationDengue NS1 antigen test, RT-PCRRecoveredMedical recordsMay to June 2008
Troyes R L, et al. [56]2006Retrospective cohort141CajamarcaNRNRNRMay 2004 to April 2005General populationIgM ELISA, dengue NS1 antigen testRecoveredMedical recordsMay 2004 to April 2005
Leiva Herrada CH, et al. [57]2004Cross-sectional retrospective31PiuraNR<15NRAugust 2000 to April 2001Pediatric populationIgM ELISA and Clinical criteriaRecoveredMedical records2004
Mostorino ER, et al. [58]2002Retrospective cohort236Lima113/1230–5 (3), 5–14 (29), 15–19 (27), 20–29 (65), 30–39 (44), 40–49 (28),50–59 (21), and ≥60 (14)DENV1: 55.1% (130)
DENV2: 20.3% (48)
DENV3: 23.7% (56)
DENV4: 0.8% (2)
2001
General populationIgM ELISA, IgG ELISA, and indirect immunofluorescence test (IFA)RecoveredMedical records2001
Moscol E, et al. [59]2002Retrospective cohort92Piura37/55Range: 0–80NRJanuary to June 2001General populationNotification data (specific method NR)RecoveredMedical records2001
Phillips I, et al. [60]1993Retrospective cohort217Loreto116/1010–10 (10), 11–20 (31), 21–30 (59), 31–40 (75), 41–50 (21), 51–60 (5), and ≥60 (4)DENV1 and DENV4March to July 1990General populationNotification data (specific method NR)RecoveredMedical records1993
NR: Not Reported; NS: Not Specified; ELISA: enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay; RT-PCR: reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction; DENV1: dengue type 1; DENV2: dengue type 2; DENV3: dengue type 3; DENV4: dengue type 4.
Table 2. Publication bias of the included studies according to the clinical manifestations of Peruvian patients with dengue.
Table 2. Publication bias of the included studies according to the clinical manifestations of Peruvian patients with dengue.
Clinical ManifestationsStudiesEgger’s TestPublication Bias
No or Possible
Supplementary Material
Chills13t = −2.50, df = 11, p-value = 0.0294PossibleFigure S2a
Fever25t = 0.19, df = 23, p-value = 0.8505NoFigure S2b
Headache27t = −1.00, df = 25, p-value = 0.3265NoFigure S2c
Retro-orbital pain25t = −1.72, df = 23, p-value = 0.0980NoFigure S2d
Myalgia25t = 0.80, df = 23, p-value = 0.4298NoFigure S2e
Arthralgia25t = −2.41, df = 23, p-value = 0.0242PossibleFigure S2f
General malaise10t = 0.50, df = 8, p-value = 0.6333NoFigure S2g
Nausea/vomiting25t = −2.04, df = 23, p-value = 0.0530NoFigure S2h
Abdominal pain21t = 1.74, df = 19, p-value = 0.0977NoFigure S2i
Diarrhea15t = −0.87, df = 13, p-value = 0.3986NoFigure S2j
Hematemesis9
Rash22t = −0.56, df = 20, p-value = 0.5834NoFigure S2k
Jaundice7
Low back pain15t = −0.28, df = 13, p-value = 0.7819NoFigure S2l
Cough9
Sore throat5
Melena5
Petechiae9
Ecchymosis6
⁂ It was not performed because there were fewer than 10 studies.
Table 3. Pooled prevalence of clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients diagnosed with dengue.
Table 3. Pooled prevalence of clinical manifestations in Peruvian patients diagnosed with dengue.
Clinical ManifestationsStudiesCasesSample SizeI2 (%)p-ValuePrevalence % (95% CI)Supplementary Material
Chills131640236799p < 0.0146 (22–71)Figure S1a
Fever253724406796p < 0.0195 (90–98)Figure S1b
Headache273658424396p < 0.0186 (80–91)Figure S1c
Retro-orbital pain252596414097p < 0.0156 (47–66)Figure S1d
Myalgia252124324597p < 0.0169 (58–79)Figure S1e
Arthralgia252991414097p < 0.0164 (56–73)Figure S1f
General malaise1076096793p < 0.0182 (71–91)Figure S1g
Nausea/vomiting251557334194p < 0.0140 (33–48)Figure S1h
Abdominal pain21845292198p < 0.0133 (21–45)Figure S1i
Diarrhea15444231790p < 0.0116 (11–22)Figure S1j
Hematemesis965147483p < 0.0106 (02–10)Figure S1k
Rash22936379794p < 0.0122 (16–28)Figure S1l
Jaundice73580278p < 0.0103 (01–07)Figure S1m
Low back pain151040251298p < 0.0139 (26–52)Figure S1n
Cough9434183897p < 0.0110 (03–21)Figure S1o
Sore throat5366166988p < 0.0123 (16–30)Figure S1p
Melena51146683p < 0.0101 (00–06)Figure S1q
Petechiae97199382p < 0.0106 (02–10)Figure S1r
Ecchymosis62168591p < 0.0103 (00–10)Figure S1s
Note: Confidence interval (CI).
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León-Figueroa, D.A.; Aguirre-Milachay, E.; Meléndez Morote, D.L.; Villegas-Chiroque, M.; Vera-Ponce, V.J.; Rivera-Lozada, O.; Valladares-Garrido, M.J. Prevalence and Variability of Clinical Manifestations of Dengue in Peru: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies. Viruses 2026, 18, 732. https://doi.org/10.3390/v18070732

AMA Style

León-Figueroa DA, Aguirre-Milachay E, Meléndez Morote DL, Villegas-Chiroque M, Vera-Ponce VJ, Rivera-Lozada O, Valladares-Garrido MJ. Prevalence and Variability of Clinical Manifestations of Dengue in Peru: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies. Viruses. 2026; 18(7):732. https://doi.org/10.3390/v18070732

Chicago/Turabian Style

León-Figueroa, Darwin A., Edwin Aguirre-Milachay, Dorothy Luisa Meléndez Morote, Miguel Villegas-Chiroque, Víctor J. Vera-Ponce, Oriana Rivera-Lozada, and Mario J. Valladares-Garrido. 2026. "Prevalence and Variability of Clinical Manifestations of Dengue in Peru: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies" Viruses 18, no. 7: 732. https://doi.org/10.3390/v18070732

APA Style

León-Figueroa, D. A., Aguirre-Milachay, E., Meléndez Morote, D. L., Villegas-Chiroque, M., Vera-Ponce, V. J., Rivera-Lozada, O., & Valladares-Garrido, M. J. (2026). Prevalence and Variability of Clinical Manifestations of Dengue in Peru: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies. Viruses, 18(7), 732. https://doi.org/10.3390/v18070732

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