Modelling the Effect of Microsite Influences on the Growth and Survival of Juvenile Eucalyptus globoidea (Blakely) and Eucalyptus bosistoana (F. Muell) in New Zealand †
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Experimental Sites
2.2. Data Collection and Preparation
2.2.1. Tree Data
2.2.2. Topographic Data
2.2.3. Climatic Data
2.3. Modelling Strategy
2.4. Model Testing and Validation
2.5. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Juvenile Height Models
3.2. Key Variables for Microsite Height Growth
3.3. Juvenile Survival Model
3.4. Key Variables Influencing Juvenile Microsite Survival
4. Discussion
4.1. Juvenile Microsite Models
4.2. Microsite Variables Affect Juvenile Tree Height Growth
4.3. Microsite Variability on Juvenile Tree Survival
4.4. Data Constraints
5. Summary and Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Site | A | B | C | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Est. (Year) | 2011 | 2009 | 2012 | |||||||||
Area (ha) | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 | |||||||||
Trees/ha | 2243 | 1460 | 1767 | |||||||||
Age (year) | 6 | 8 | 5 | |||||||||
Variable | Height | Survival | Height | Survival | Height | Survival | ||||||
Fitting | Validation | Fitting | Validation | Fitting | Validation | Fitting | Validation | Fitting | Validation | Fitting | Validation | |
Plots (n) | 217 | 65 | 217 | 65 | 112 | 38 | - | - | 81 | 27 | 81 | 27 |
Mean | 1.54 | 1.48 | 0.75 | 0.74 | 4.88 | 4.99 | - | - | 2.11 | 2.04 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
Min | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.98 | 1.07 | - | - | 1.29 | 1.26 | 0.89 | 0.92 |
Max | 4.58 | 3.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 13.47 | 13.66 | - | - | 3.74 | 2.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
SD | 0.84 | 0.73 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 2.60 | 2.69 | - | - | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Site | Soil Series | Dominant Soil Type | Class Name | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|
A | Flaxbourne | Hill soils | Typic argillic pallic | Argillic pallic soils have a clay accumulation in the sub-soils |
B | Flaxbourne | Hill soils | Typic argillic pallic | |
C | Wither | Hill soils | Argillic-sodic fragic pallic | Fragic pallic soils are predominantly silty and severely restrict root movement |
Attributes | Site A | Site B | Site C | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Min | Max | Mean | SD | Min | Max | Mean | SD | Min | Max | Mean | SD | |
Aspect (°) | 4.57 | 356.20 | 127.01 | 136.8 | 55.7 | 345.9 | 124.5 | 83.6 | 208.7 | 330.1 | 265.7 | 26.44 |
Slope (°) | 13.9 | 31.70 | 24.60 | 3.54 | 11.95 | 30.37 | 21.35 | 3.22 | 8.56 | 29.38 | 21.70 | 4.56 |
Elevation (m asl) | 13.4 | 79.22 | 44.87 | 16.93 | 134 | 168.1 | 148.7 | 9.62 | 232.9 | 277.5 | 257.2 | 12.38 |
Total curvature | −2.40 | 3.81 | 0.11 | 1.15 | −1.83 | 4.93 | 0.20 | 1.17 | −3.34 | 2.78 | 0.30 | 1.31 |
Prof. curvature | −2.79 | 1.82 | −0.01 | 0.69 | −2.21 | 1.30 | −0.11 | 0.62 | −1.79 | 3.12 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
Plan curvature | −1.83 | 2.32 | 0.10 | 0.79 | −1.27 | 2.73 | 0.09 | 0.75 | −1.76 | 2.40 | 0.30 | 0.76 |
TRI | 0.47 | 1.24 | 0.92 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.03 |
TPI | −2.25 | 3.52 | 0.12 | 0.96 | −13.80 | 13.12 | −0.81 | 7.30 | −14.4 | 10.42 | −1.44 | 6.92 |
TWI | 0 | 3.90 | 0.89 | 0.68 | −0.05 | 2.83 | 0.89 | 0.52 | 0 | 6.91 | 3.45 | 3.70 |
WEI | 0.98 | 1.10 | 1.02 | 0.02 | 0.88 | 1.20 | 0.99 | 0.08 | 0.96 | 1.10 | 1.03 | 0.03 |
MPI | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.03 |
DIST (m) | 0.38 | 140.58 | 65.40 | 33.22 | 1.64 | 103.55 | 44.76 | 25.53 | 7.58 | 80.98 | 36.93 | 18.64 |
Species | Site | Action | RMSE | MAE | BIAS | SE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. globoidea | A | Fitting | 0.453 | 0.338 | 0.009 | 0.435 |
Validation | 0.348 | 0.273 | 0.011 | 0.350 | ||
E. bosistoana | B | Fitting | 0.518 | 0.385 | 0.032 | 0.521 |
Validation | 0.603 | 0.429 | 0.024 | 0.614 | ||
C | Fitting | 0.342 | 0.274 | 0.001 | 0.347 | |
Validation | 0.322 | 0.251 | 0.001 | 0.339 |
Variables | p-Values at Different Sites | ||
---|---|---|---|
A | B | C | |
Maximum daily temperature | NS | NS | NS |
Prof. curvature | NS | NS | NS |
Plan curvature | NS | 0.0001** | NS |
TPI | NS | 2.72e−08*** | 0.0020** |
WEI | 0.0033** | 0.0002 | 0.0010** |
TWI | NS | NS | 0.0184* |
MPI | 0.0008*** | <2e−16*** | 7.43e−05*** |
Distance from the top ridge (DIST) | <2e−16*** | <2e−16*** | 2.22e−05*** |
Species | Site | Action | RMSE | MAE | BIAS | SE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. globoidea | A | Fitting | 0.108 | 0.076 | −0.001 | 0.109 |
Validation | 0.097 | 0.068 | −2.086e−06 | 0.099 | ||
E. bosistoana | C | Fitting | 0.019 | 0.013 | −7.951e−06 | 0.020 |
Validation | 0.021 | 0.015 | 2.980e−05 | 0.022 |
Variables | p-Values at Different Sites | |
---|---|---|
A | C | |
Maximum daily temperature | NS | NS |
Prof. curvature | 0.0004*** | 0.0272* |
Plan curvature | 0.0387* | NS |
TPI | NS | NS |
WEI | 4.68e−09*** | NS |
TWI | NS | NS |
MPI | NS | NS |
DIST | 6.81e−09*** | NS |
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Salekin, S.; Mason, E.G.; Morgenroth, J.; Bloomberg, M.; Meason, D.F. Modelling the Effect of Microsite Influences on the Growth and Survival of Juvenile Eucalyptus globoidea (Blakely) and Eucalyptus bosistoana (F. Muell) in New Zealand. Forests 2019, 10, 857. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10100857
Salekin S, Mason EG, Morgenroth J, Bloomberg M, Meason DF. Modelling the Effect of Microsite Influences on the Growth and Survival of Juvenile Eucalyptus globoidea (Blakely) and Eucalyptus bosistoana (F. Muell) in New Zealand. Forests. 2019; 10(10):857. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10100857
Chicago/Turabian StyleSalekin, Serajis, Euan G. Mason, Justin Morgenroth, Mark Bloomberg, and Dean F. Meason. 2019. "Modelling the Effect of Microsite Influences on the Growth and Survival of Juvenile Eucalyptus globoidea (Blakely) and Eucalyptus bosistoana (F. Muell) in New Zealand" Forests 10, no. 10: 857. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10100857