Short-Term Creep Prediction Model for Composite Geomembranes with Varying Film Thicknesses
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Test Materials
2.2. Test Methods
3. Test Result and Analysis
3.1. Creep Test Curve
3.2. Film Thickness–Strain Relationship
4. Data Analysis
4.1. Model Establishment
4.2. Statistical Analysis
5. Conclusions
- (1)
- Under the applied constant load, the creep strain of the composite GM exhibited an inverse relationship with film thickness. As the film thickness increased from 0.4 to 0.9 mm, the final stabilized strain decreased from approximately 40% to 9%, corresponding to an average reduction of approximately 6% per 0.1 mm increase in thickness. This relationship remained consistent across different time intervals, indicating a strongly thickness-dependent strain response.
- (2)
- The long-term creep behavior can be adequately described by a thickness-dependent logarithmic function model, in which both the creep index a and the initial strain value b vary with the dimensionless thickness level Di according to quadratic polynomial functions, yielding high fitting accuracy. This confirms that film thickness significantly influences the parameter values of the logarithmic creep model.
- (3)
- Statistical analysis of the model parameters revealed that after 72 h of testing, the coefficients of variation for both the creep index a and the initial strain b were below 10%, indicating that the short-term dataset achieved acceptable statistical stability. The short-term creep model established on this basis yielded Pearson correlation coefficients ranging from 0.94 to 0.97 with the 90-day measured values, as well as RMSEs between 0.49% and 2.45% and MAPEs between 0.03 and 0.07. Therefore, within the experimental framework of this study, 72 h data enabled a reasonable extrapolation of creep strain up to 90 days.
Author Contributions
Funding
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Film Thickness (mm) | Rupture Strength (kN/m) | Elongation at Break (%) | CBR Burst Strength (kN) | Tear Strength (kN) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longitudinal | Transverse | Longitudinal | Transverse | Longitudinal | Transverse | ||
| 0.4 | 14.4 | 14.6 | 51 | 51 | 2.7 | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| 0.5 | 16.3 | 16.9 | 56 | 53 | 3.1 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| 0.6 | 18.1 | 18.4 | 66 | 66 | 3.6 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| 0.7 | 21.3 | 21.6 | 69 | 67 | 4.4 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| 0.8 | 23.9 | 24.2 | 73 | 69 | 5.2 | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| 0.9 | 26.8 | 27.3 | 88 | 92 | 6.9 | 0.91 | 0.92 |
| T | Different Film Thickness (mm) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | ||||||||
| a | b | a | b | a | b | a | b | a | b | a | b | ||
| min | 5 | 2.30 | 39.12 | 1.66 | 29.94 | 1.67 | 24.65 | 1.30 | 19.50 | 0.12 | 14.66 | 0.91 | 9.49 |
| 10 | 2.18 | 38.64 | 1.55 | 29.49 | 1.49 | 23.92 | 1.13 | 18.81 | 1.09 | 14.17 | 0.71 | 8.70 | |
| 30 | 1.95 | 37.76 | 1.40 | 28.95 | 1.19 | 22.81 | 0.95 | 18.14 | 0.86 | 13.31 | 0.54 | 8.06 | |
| h | 1 | 1.81 | 37.28 | 1.36 | 28.81 | 1.07 | 22.37 | 0.84 | 17.77 | 0.73 | 12.85 | 0.46 | 7.77 |
| 2 | 1.70 | 36.91 | 1.29 | 28.57 | 0.99 | 22.12 | 0.77 | 17.52 | 0.64 | 12.54 | 0.41 | 7.61 | |
| 5 | 1.59 | 36.58 | 1.16 | 28.19 | 0.91 | 21.86 | 0.70 | 17.30 | 0.55 | 12.26 | 0.37 | 7.49 | |
| 15 | 1.54 | 36.43 | 1.10 | 28.02 | 0.87 | 21.74 | 0.66 | 17.20 | 0.52 | 12.18 | 0.36 | 7.46 | |
| 30 | 1.38 | 36.07 | 0.96 | 27.70 | 0.76 | 21.50 | 0.58 | 17.01 | 0.46 | 12.04 | 0.34 | 7.40 | |
| 72 | 1.24 | 35.80 | 0.85 | 27.49 | 0.68 | 21.35 | 0.52 | 16.90 | 0.42 | 11.97 | 0.33 | 7.38 | |
| d | 5 | 1.16 | 35.66 | 0.79 | 27.38 | 0.63 | 21.26 | 0.49 | 16.85 | 0.40 | 11.93 | 0.32 | 7.38 |
| 9 | 1.09 | 35.58 | 0.74 | 27.32 | 0.59 | 21.21 | 0.46 | 16.82 | 0.38 | 11.91 | 0.32 | 7.38 | |
| 15 | 1.02 | 35.50 | 0.69 | 27.27 | 0.56 | 21.18 | 0.44 | 16.79 | 0.36 | 11.89 | 0.32 | 7.38 | |
| 25 | 0.96 | 35.46 | 0.66 | 27.24 | 0.53 | 21.16 | 0.41 | 16.77 | 0.35 | 11.88 | 0.32 | 7.37 | |
| 40 | 0.93 | 35.45 | 0.64 | 27.23 | 0.51 | 21.15 | 0.40 | 16.77 | 0.34 | 11.88 | 0.31 | 7.37 | |
| 80 | 0.88 | 35.45 | 0.61 | 27.24 | 0.49 | 21.15 | 0.38 | 16.77 | 0.32 | 11.88 | 0.31 | 7.37 | |
| T | Different Film Thickness (mm) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | ||||||||
| M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | ||
| min | 5 | 1.45 | 31 | 1.03 | 33 | 0.86 | 41 | 0.67 | 41 | 0.50 | 47 | 0.42 | 40 |
| 10 | 1.39 | 29 | 0.99 | 31 | 0.81 | 36 | 0.62 | 35 | 0.53 | 41 | 0.39 | 28 | |
| 30 | 1.33 | 26 | 0.94 | 29 | 0.75 | 30 | 0.58 | 30 | 0.49 | 33 | 0.36 | 18 | |
| h | 1 | 1.28 | 24 | 0.90 | 28 | 0.72 | 27 | 0.55 | 27 | 0.46 | 27 | 0.35 | 13 |
| 2 | 1.23 | 22 | 0.86 | 26 | 0.68 | 24 | 0.53 | 24 | 0.43 | 22 | 0.34 | 9 | |
| 5 | 1.18 | 20 | 0.82 | 23 | 0.65 | 22 | 0.50 | 21 | 0.41 | 18 | 0.33 | 6 | |
| 15 | 1.13 | 18 | 0.78 | 20 | 0.62 | 19 | 0.48 | 18 | 0.39 | 15 | 0.33 | 5 | |
| 30 | 1.08 | 15 | 0.74 | 15 | 0.59 | 15 | 0.46 | 14 | 0.38 | 11 | 0.32 | 3 | |
| 72 | 1.04 | 12 | 0.71 | 11 | 0.57 | 11 | 0.44 | 11 | 0.37 | 9 | 0.32 | 2 | |
| d | 5 | 1.01 | 9 | 0.69 | 9 | 0.55 | 9 | 0.43 | 9 | 0.36 | 7 | 0.32 | 1 |
| 9 | 0.98 | 7 | 0.67 | 7 | 0.54 | 7 | 0.42 | 7 | 0.35 | 6 | 0.32 | 2 | |
| 15 | 0.95 | 5 | 0.65 | 4 | 0.52 | 5 | 0.41 | 5 | 0.34 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | |
| 25 | 0.92 | 4 | 0.64 | 3 | 0.51 | 3 | 0.40 | 3 | 0.34 | 4 | 0.31 | 2 | |
| 40 | 0.91 | 3 | 0.63 | 2 | 0.50 | 2 | 0.39 | 3 | 0.33 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | |
| 80 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.61 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | |
| T | Different Film Thickness (mm) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | ||||||||
| M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | M | CV (%) | ||
| min | 5 | 36.51 | 3 | 28.06 | 3 | 21.96 | 5 | 17.39 | 5 | 12.49 | 7 | 7.71 | 8 |
| 10 | 36.33 | 3 | 27.92 | 3 | 21.77 | 4 | 17.24 | 3 | 12.34 | 5 | 7.58 | 5 | |
| 30 | 36.15 | 2 | 27.80 | 2 | 21.60 | 2 | 17.12 | 2 | 12.19 | 4 | 7.49 | 3 | |
| h | 1 | 36.01 | 2 | 27.71 | 2 | 21.50 | 2 | 17.04 | 2 | 12.10 | 2 | 7.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 35.90 | 1 | 27.60 | 2 | 21.43 | 2 | 16.97 | 1 | 12.03 | 2 | 7.42 | 1 | |
| 5 | 35.80 | 1 | 27.51 | 1 | 21.36 | 1 | 16.92 | 1 | 11.98 | 1 | 7.40 | 1 | |
| 15 | 35.71 | 1 | 27.43 | 1 | 21.30 | 1 | 16.88 | 1 | 11.95 | 1 | 7.39 | 0 | |
| 30 | 35.62 | 1 | 27.36 | 1 | 21.25 | 1 | 16.84 | 0 | 11.92 | 0 | 7.38 | 0 | |
| 72 | 35.56 | 0 | 27.31 | 0 | 21.21 | 0 | 16.81 | 0 | 11.91 | 0 | 7.38 | 0 | |
| d | 5 | 35.52 | 0 | 27.28 | 0 | 21.19 | 0 | 16.80 | 0 | 11.90 | 0 | 7.38 | 0 |
| 9 | 35.49 | 0 | 27.26 | 0 | 21.17 | 0 | 16.78 | 0 | 11.89 | 0 | 7.37 | 0 | |
| 15 | 35.47 | 0 | 27.25 | 0 | 21.16 | 0 | 16.78 | 0 | 11.88 | 0 | 7.37 | 0 | |
| 25 | 35.45 | 0 | 27.24 | 0 | 21.15 | 0 | 16.77 | 0 | 11.88 | 0 | 7.37 | 0 | |
| 40 | 35.45 | 0 | 27.24 | 0 | 21.15 | 0 | 16.77 | 0 | 11.88 | 0 | 7.37 | 0 | |
| 80 | 35.45 | 0 | 27.24 | 0 | 21.15 | 0 | 16.77 | 0 | 11.88 | 0 | 7.37 | 0 | |
| Film Thickness (mm) | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Improved logarithmic function model | RMSE (%) | 1.18 | 1.13 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| MAE (%) | 0.92 | 0.97 | 0.58 | 0.74 | 0.48 | 0.41 | |
| MAPE | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Pearson Correlation Coefficient | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.97 | |
| Short-term prediction model | RMSE (%) | 1.97 | 2.45 | 1.64 | 0.69 | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| MAE (%) | 1.74 | 2.09 | 1.39 | 0.59 | 0.39 | 0.60 | |
| MAPE | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.07 | |
| Pearson Correlation Coefficient | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.97 | |
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Hao, Y.; Wang, X.; Feng, S.; Ma, J.; Yang, W.; Ma, S. Short-Term Creep Prediction Model for Composite Geomembranes with Varying Film Thicknesses. Materials 2026, 19, 2622. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19122622
Hao Y, Wang X, Feng S, Ma J, Yang W, Ma S. Short-Term Creep Prediction Model for Composite Geomembranes with Varying Film Thicknesses. Materials. 2026; 19(12):2622. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19122622
Chicago/Turabian StyleHao, Yufan, Xiaodong Wang, Sheng Feng, Jing Ma, Wu Yang, and Shuhan Ma. 2026. "Short-Term Creep Prediction Model for Composite Geomembranes with Varying Film Thicknesses" Materials 19, no. 12: 2622. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19122622
APA StyleHao, Y., Wang, X., Feng, S., Ma, J., Yang, W., & Ma, S. (2026). Short-Term Creep Prediction Model for Composite Geomembranes with Varying Film Thicknesses. Materials, 19(12), 2622. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19122622
