1. Introduction
Photovoltaic systems have become one of the most important components of the global energy transition [
1,
2]. Their development is supported by climate policy, growing demand for low-emission energy sources, declining technology costs, efforts to enhance energy security, and the need to diversify electricity generation [
3,
4]. In recent years, photovoltaics has ceased to be a niche technology and has become one of the main directions for developing new generation capacity, both in large industrial installations and in distributed sources operating directly at end-user sites [
5,
6].
As deployment has expanded, not only installed capacity but also the actual productivity of PV systems under operating conditions has become increasingly important [
7,
8]. Energy production from real installations depends on a range of factors that are not always fully considered at the design stage. These include local solar-radiation availability, module temperature, panel orientation and tilt angle, shading, soiling, inverter characteristics, grid constraints, and system downtime [
9,
10,
11,
12,
13]. For this reason, studies based on monitored data are becoming increasingly valuable because they make it possible to assess the actual behavior of installations over multiple years of operation [
14]. Small rooftop and prosumer installations form a particularly important group because their technical configuration is often constrained by the existing building architecture [
15,
16,
17]. Unlike large photovoltaic farms, where module orientation, tilt, and arrangement can be designed with energy optimization in mind, rooftop microinstallations are usually mounted on available roof surfaces [
18,
19,
20]. In practice, systems with similar nominal capacities may achieve different energy yields when they operate at different azimuths, tilt angles, levels of local shading, or under other differing operating conditions [
21,
22,
23,
24]. This issue is important not only technically but also practically. From the perspective of the prosumer, designer, grid operator, and local authorities, nominal installation capacity alone is insufficient to evaluate performance [
25,
26]. It is also important to determine whether a given installation actually uses the available solar-radiation potential and which factors limit its productivity. Such an assessment is particularly important as the share of distributed energy sources increases, because the actual operating profiles of microinstallations affect self-consumption, local balancing, and distribution-grid loading [
27,
28].
In Poland, the rapid development of photovoltaic microinstallations has made the assessment of their actual yields important for both individual users and entities responsible for planning the local energy transition [
25,
26]. Prosumer installations are most often implemented on existing residential buildings; therefore, their orientation and tilt are more often determined by mounting conditions than by model-based production optimization [
29,
30,
31,
32,
33]. Consequently, national and regional data on solar potential should be supplemented with analyses of actual installations operating under specific local conditions [
7,
8,
34,
35]. The literature on PV-system performance emphasizes that annual production expressed in kWh or MWh alone is not a sufficient measure of effectiveness [
7,
14]. Comparing installations with different capacities requires normalization of the results, most commonly by using specific yield, capacity factor, performance ratio, or other indicators relating actual energy production to system potential [
36,
37]. Specific yield is particularly useful for microinstallations because it allows systems with different nominal capacities to be compared and reduces the risk of the erroneous interpretation that greater installation capacity automatically means higher efficiency [
10,
11,
12].
One of the key factors differentiating PV-system productivity is module orientation [
18,
22]. In the Northern Hemisphere, south-facing exposure usually favors maximum annual energy production; however, southeast-, southwest-, and west-facing configurations are also common in prosumer installations [
19,
20]. Such configurations may reduce total annual yield while changing the daily production profile, which may be beneficial for energy self-consumption [
21,
22]. Assessing the effect of orientation therefore requires not only annual-value analysis but also comparison of normalized indicators and system seasonality [
23,
24]. Temperature is another important factor. From a physical perspective, an increase in silicon-cell temperature reduces voltage and the instantaneous efficiency of modules [
38,
39,
40,
41]. At the same time, in analyses based on monthly data, mean air temperature may show a positive correlation with energy production because the highest temperatures usually occur in months with the greatest solar-radiation availability [
10,
13,
42]. A positive seasonal correlation does not mean that high temperature improves module efficiency; rather, temperature co-occurs with a greater solar-energy input [
40,
41].
The Sandomierz Basin is an interesting area for assessing the real-world operation of photovoltaic microinstallations [
43]. It is a macroregion in southeastern Poland characterized by relatively favorable solar-energy conditions while also encompassing diverse lowland and valley environments [
43,
44,
45]. The presence of large river valleys, variations in air humidity, the possible occurrence of fog, local temperature inversions, and variable cloud cover may cause the actual operation of microinstallations to differ from expectations based solely on averaged solar-resource maps [
46,
47,
48]. In this context, it is particularly important to evaluate microinstallations operating not only in the same climatic region but also under different local environmental conditions [
7,
8]. In the Sandomierz Basin, differences among urban, suburban, and rural areas may affect PV-system operating conditions through local variation in shading, humidity, ventilation, air temperature, and fog frequency [
43,
47,
48]. From the perspective of prosumer-energy assessment, it is therefore important to determine whether microinstallations operating in an apparently similar region achieve comparable productivity or whether their results are clearly differentiated by the local installation and operating context [
9,
10,
11,
12]. Previous photovoltaic studies in Poland have focused mainly on energy potential, economic analyses, individual rooftop installations, technology comparisons, or general conditions for PV-market development [
25,
26,
30,
31,
32,
35]. Less attention has been paid to multi-year comparative analyses of several real prosumer microinstallations operating within one macroregion but in different local environments and with different module orientations [
7,
8,
33,
34]. It also remains less well understood to what extent greater nominal capacity translates into higher specific productivity and how individual operating events affect the statistical assessment of system performance [
7,
14].
Against this background, this article presents a four-year assessment of the actual productivity of prosumer photovoltaic microinstallations operating under the meteorological conditions of the Sandomierz Basin in southeastern Poland. The analysis covers 2022–2025 and is based on monthly production data from the SolarEdge monitoring system and meteorological data from the IMGW Sandomierz station. Energy production was evaluated both as an absolute value and after normalization by installed capacity, using specific yield, capacity factor, and a model-based estimate of the performance ratio (PRAP). This approach enables installations with different capacities and orientations to be compared while reducing the risk of interpreting their operation solely through annual energy totals. The analysis was directed toward three research and application issues: comparing the productivity of installations with similar capacities but different module orientations; determining the relationship among monthly sunshine duration, air temperature, and energy production; and assessing the effect of a documented failure in one installation on average productivity indicators and statistical relationships.
The originality of the study results from combining four elements: actual operating data from several prosumer microinstallations, a four-year observation period, a comparison of installations operating within one macroregion but in different local environments, and a sensitivity analysis of a failure event. Unlike studies based solely on solar potential or simulation models, this study shows how PV microinstallations behave in practice under actual constraints related to building architecture, module orientation, weather seasonality, and continuity of operation. The results have practical relevance for prosumers, designers, and local entities responsible for developing distributed energy. For prosumers, they show that nominal installation capacity alone is not a sufficient basis for assessing quality or profitability. For designers, they emphasize the importance of module orientation, continuity of system operation, and monitoring deviations from expected production. For municipalities and local institutions planning renewable-energy development, they indicate that assessment of PV-microinstallation potential should include not only solar-resource maps but also actual operating data and local environmental conditions.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area and General Analytical Concept
The study covered four prosumer photovoltaic microinstallations located in the northern part of the Podkarpackie Voivodeship, within the Sandomierz Basin in southeastern Poland. Two installations were located in Tarnobrzeg, one in Stalowa Wola, and one in Wrzawy. All analyzed facilities were rooftop installations operating under real prosumer conditions. The locations of the analyzed microinstallations and the meteorological reference point are shown in
Figure 1. For the analysis, a common meteorological reference point was adopted: the IMGW Sandomierz station, located approximately 15–30 km from the studied installations. Using a single meteorological station enabled monthly energy production to be related consistently to sunshine duration and air temperature in the region. The meteorological variables were therefore treated as regional reference data rather than as exact site-specific exposure measurements. No correction for local microclimatic differences was applied because parallel meteorological observations were not available for the individual PV locations. Sunshine duration is not equivalent to plane-of-array irradiance and was not treated as a substitute for direct irradiance measurements at the PV arrays. In the statistical analyses, it was used only as a regional meteorological proxy describing the temporal variability of solar-resource conditions. At the same time, this approach does not eliminate possible local differences among the sites resulting, among other factors, from surrounding buildings, roof exposure, shading, ventilation, or the immediate surroundings of the installations.
The analysis was based on monthly electricity-production data from the SolarEdge monitoring system and monthly meteorological data covering sunshine duration and mean air temperature from the IMGW Sandomierz station. The study period covered 2022–2025. Production data were combined with the technical parameters of the installations, particularly nominal capacity and module orientation, which enabled comparison of systems with different technical configurations. The general analytical procedure is presented in
Figure 2. In the first stage, monthly production and meteorological data were collected and organized. Data completeness was then checked, and atypical events were identified, including the month in which one installation produced no energy because of a failure. Next, productivity indicators were calculated, including annual energy production, specific yield, capacity factor, and the model-based PR
AP estimate. Monthly, annual, and seasonal analyses were then performed, and relationships between energy production and sunshine duration and air temperature were assessed using correlation and regression. For the installation affected by the failure, results from the complete dataset were additionally compared with results obtained after excluding the failure month.
2.2. Characteristics of the PV Installations
Four grid-connected prosumer photovoltaic microinstallations installed on the roofs of single-family houses were analyzed. All systems were fixed, three-phase installations operating on-grid without physical energy storage. The analyzed systems were equipped with SolarEdge Technologies Ltd. (Herzliya, Israel) inverters and module-level power optimizers. The optimizers reduce the effect of electrical mismatch among individual modules and partial shading on the operation of the entire module string, although they do not completely eliminate losses resulting from local installation and operating conditions. Energy production was recorded in the SolarEdge monitoring system, which enabled monthly energy-yield values to be compiled for all analyzed installations. For the purposes of this article, the installations were assigned the codes PV-I, PV-II, PV-III, and PV-IV, which are used consistently throughout the paper, in the tables, figures, and statistical analyses. These codes serve only for identification and do not indicate a hierarchy or an assessment of system quality. The installations were equipped with three-phase SolarEdge inverters with nominal AC power ratings of 5 kW for PV-I, 4 kW for PV-II, and 5 kW for PV-III and PV-IV, together with module-level power optimizers. Installation capacity is reported as the nominal installed DC-side capacity, expressed in kWp. The analyzed microinstallations form two comparison groups in terms of nominal capacity. Systems PV-I and PV-II had the same installed capacity of 4.69 kWp and used 14 Astronergy CHSM60-HC-335 monocrystalline modules rated at 335 W each (Haining, Zhejiang, China). However, they differed in location, optimizer type, inverter capacity, and module orientation: PV-I faced south, whereas PV-II faced southwest. The rooftop layout and arrangement of PV modules in the analyzed systems are shown in
Figure 3.
The second group comprised PV-III and PV-IV, each with a capacity of 5.04 kWp. PV-III, located in Wrzawy, consisted of 14 Longi LR4-60HPH-360M monocrystalline modules rated at 360 W each and faced southeast (Xi’an, Shaanxi, China). PV-IV, located in Tarnobrzeg, consisted of 18 CHSM6610P-280 Astro Halo polycrystalline modules rated at 280 W each and faced west (Haining, Zhejiang, China). In this comparison pair, the same nominal capacity was achieved using different numbers of modules. The set of analyzed installations makes it possible to assess the real-world productivity of PV systems in a comparative framework in which nominal capacity is not the only factor differentiating system operation. The technical characteristics of the analyzed microinstallations are presented in
Table 1.
2.3. Production and Meteorological Data
The analysis covered the period from January 2022 to December 2025. Monthly AC electricity production values obtained from the SolarEdge monitoring system were used for each of the four installations. Hourly production data were not available for this study. In total, the dataset contained 48 monthly observations for each installation, or 192 installation–month observations. Production data were treated as AC electricity recorded by the monitoring system at the whole-installation level. For PV-IV, no energy production was recorded in August 2024 because of a system failure. This observation was marked in the dataset as an atypical event. It was subsequently used to determine the extent to which a single failure month affected average productivity indicators. The meteorological data comprised monthly sunshine-duration totals and mean monthly air temperatures from the IMGW Sandomierz station. These variables characterize regional monthly meteorological conditions and do not represent the irradiance incident on the plane of the individual PV arrays. Annual sunshine-duration totals were 2213.2 h in 2022, 2012.8 h in 2023, 2254.5 h in 2024, and 2068.8 h in 2025. The highest annual sunshine duration was recorded in 2024 and the lowest in 2023. Differences among years indicate clear variability in meteorological conditions during the analysis period, justifying comparison of PV production with sunshine-duration and air-temperature data. The meteorological data were used as a common reference background for all analyzed installations. This approach ensures consistency in comparisons among systems but does not fully capture local microclimatic differences that may have occurred among Tarnobrzeg, Stalowa Wola, Wrzawy, and Sandomierz. Annual meteorological conditions are summarized in
Table 2, and their monthly variability is shown in
Figure 4.
2.4. Indicators for Assessing Energy Productivity and Seasonality
Differences in the nominal capacities of the analyzed microinstallations prevent meaningful comparison based solely on absolute energy production. Therefore, the results were normalized by the nominal installed DC-side capacity of the PV generator. The analysis used specific yield, capacity factor, the seasonal structure of production, and a supplementary indicator relating actual production to model-estimated solar-radiation resources. The methodological origin of each indicator is specified below, distinguishing IEC-defined metrics from indicators adapted or calculated for the purposes of this study.
The primary productivity indicator was the specific yield,
Yf, corresponding to the final PV-system yield defined in IEC 61724-1 [
36]:
where
Yf—specific yield during the analyzed period [kWh/kWp];
EAC—AC electricity production during the analyzed period [kWh];
P0—nominal installed DC-side capacity of the PV generator [kWp].
Specific yield was calculated monthly and annually. This indicator enables installations with different nominal capacities to be compared but is not a direct measure of the efficiency of converting solar-radiation energy into electricity.
The capacity factor (CF), a commonly used energy-performance indicator, was calculated as the ratio of actual energy production to the energy that the installation could have produced if it had operated at nominal capacity throughout the analyzed period [
49]:
where
For annual calculations, 8760 h was used for 2022, 2023, and 2025, and 8784 h for the leap year 2024. For monthly analyses, the actual number of hours in each month was used.
For the comparative purposes of this study, the seasonal structure of production was determined from the share of energy produced in a given season in the total energy production of the analyzed installation:
where
fs—share of energy production in season s [%];
EAC,s—energy produced during the months included in season s [kWh];
EAC,tot—total energy production during 2022–2025 [kWh];
s—season (winter, spring, summer, or fall).
The following seasonal division was adopted: winter—December, January, and February; spring—March, April, and May; summer—June, July, and August; fall—September, October, and November. Seasonal shares were calculated separately for each microinstallation using data from the entire study period.
The performance ratio is defined in IEC 61724-1 [
36]. However, because plane-of-array irradiation was not measured directly at the analyzed installations, the present study used a model-based adaptation of this indicator. The actual specific yield was related to the model-estimated plane-of-array irradiation,
HPOA,AP, obtained from the adopted irradiation model [
50]. On this basis, the model-based performance-ratio estimate, PR
AP, was calculated:
where
PRAP—model-based estimate of the performance ratio calculated using model-estimated plane-of-array irradiation during the analyzed period [%];
Yf—specific yield during the analyzed period [kWh/kWp];
HPOA,AP—model-estimated plane-of-array irradiation during the analyzed period [kWh/m2];
GSTC—reference irradiance under STC, equal to 1 kW/m2.
PRAP estimates were used only as a supplementary comparative indicator among the analyzed installations. Because plane-of-array irradiation was model-estimated rather than measured directly at the PV arrays, PRAP should not be interpreted as a conventional measurement-based performance ratio or as a direct measure of total system losses.
2.5. Statistical Analysis
EC 61724-1 provides the methodological framework for PV-system monitoring and the calculation of standardized performance metrics [
36]. The subsequent data analyses applied in this study, including monthly and seasonal comparisons, Pearson correlation, ordinary least-squares regression, hierarchical multiple regression, and sensitivity analysis of the documented failure event, were selected by the authors to address the specific objectives of the study and are not analytical procedures prescribed by IEC 61724-1.
Relationships between meteorological conditions and microinstallation productivity were assessed using monthly data from 2022 to 2025. Sunshine duration was included as a regional temporal proxy for solar-resource conditions and not as a substitute for measured plane-of-array irradiance. For each installation, Pearson’s correlation coefficient was calculated between monthly specific yield and sunshine duration and mean air temperature. The number of observations for each installation was n = 48. Statistical significance was assessed at α = 0.05.
For each installation, regression analysis was performed for specific yield as a function of sunshine duration and air temperature. A combined analysis was also performed for all installations, and model fit was evaluated using the coefficient of determination, R2. Accordingly, the regression coefficients quantify statistical associations within the analyzed dataset and should not be interpreted as physical response coefficients to site-specific irradiance. The effect of the PV-IV failure was assessed by comparing results for the complete dataset with those obtained after excluding the August 2024 observation.
To evaluate the incremental contribution of installation-specific, seasonal, and failure-related variables, the combined regression described above was extended hierarchically. Model 1 included sunshine duration and mean air temperature. Model 2 added installation dummy variables, with PV-I as the reference category. Model 3 additionally included season, with winter as the reference category, and Model 4 included failure status, coded as 1 for PV-IV in August 2024 and 0 otherwise. For each model, unstandardized coefficients, R2, adjusted R2, and ΔR2 were reported. Statistical significance of the regression coefficients was indicated using p-value thresholds. Multicollinearity was assessed using variance inflation factors.
4. Discussion
Assessment of the real-world operation of PV microinstallations should not be based solely on nominal capacity because it does not directly reflect energy performance. System productivity results from the combined effects of the solar resource, mounting geometry, technology, local surroundings, and continuity of operation [
51,
52,
53,
54]. In the analyzed dataset, PV-I and PV-II, each rated at 4.69 kWp, achieved both higher mean annual production and higher specific yield than PV-III and PV-IV, each rated at 5.04 kWp. This result confirms that greater installed capacity alone does not guarantee more energy per 1 kWp or better use of the available resource.
The mean specific yield was 1077.7 kWh/kWp/year for PV-I and 1061.7 kWh/kWp/year for PV-II, whereas PV-III and PV-IV achieved 908.6 and 779.6 kWh/kWp/year, respectively. These values fall within the range of variation observed in actual rooftop installations operating in different configurations. Hołota et al. reported yields in Poland ranging from 831 to 1169 kWh/kWp/year, and comparisons of measured and simulated data indicate that differences ranging from more than ten to several tens of percent may also occur among systems operating in similar climatic zones. The results obtained are therefore not unusual for operational PV analyses but demonstrate the scale of differences possible even within a single macroregion [
52,
55,
56,
57].
The highest productivity was achieved by south-facing PV-I; however, the yield of southwest-facing PV-II was only 1.5% lower, and after accounting for sunshine duration and temperature, the difference from PV-I was not statistically significant. This agrees with findings indicating that moderate deviation from south usually causes smaller annual losses than east- or west-facing orientation [
58]. Optimal geometry also depends on tilt angle and local meteorological conditions [
59]; therefore, roof-surface orientation and slope should be considered jointly at the design stage [
60]. Southwest-facing configurations may also shift part of production toward the afternoon, which can be beneficial for matching production to demand [
61,
62]. However, the lower production results of PV-III and PV-IV cannot be attributed solely to their southeast and west orientations, respectively. The comparison of PV-II and PV-III is particularly informative because the same mean model-estimated plane-of-array irradiation was adopted for both installations. Nevertheless, PV-III achieved a yield that was 153.1 kWh/kWp/year lower and a PR
AP estimate that was 11.9 percentage points lower.
The identical annual model-estimated irradiation values do not mean that the two systems operated under identical real conditions or converted the available solar resource into AC electricity in the same way. PV-II and PV-III differed in azimuth, module and inverter configuration, and local installation conditions. Moreover, southeast- and southwest-facing arrays receive peak irradiance at different times of day, so differences in morning and afternoon cloudiness, shading, module temperature, and ventilation may affect their actual yield even when annual modeled irradiation is similar. Shading effects and grid-related voltage constraints are also recognized factors influencing PV-system productivity [
63,
64]. Because these factors were not monitored separately, their individual effects cannot be determined separately, and the 153.1 kWh/kWp/year difference should be interpreted as the combined effect of installation-specific and local operating conditions rather than orientation alone.
PV-IV also differed from the remaining systems in module technology, using polycrystalline silicon modules, whereas PV-I–PV-III used monocrystalline modules. Differences in module technology may influence long-term operating performance and energy yield under real environmental conditions [
65]. However, the lower productivity of PV-IV cannot be attributed independently to module technology because this system also differed in orientation, module model and rating, optimizer configuration, local operating conditions, and experienced the documented failure in August 2024. Module technology should therefore be considered one of several system-specific factors that may have contributed to the observed performance difference.
Among the meteorological variables analyzed, monthly sunshine duration showed the strongest relationship with specific yield. Correlation coefficients ranged from r = 0.830 to 0.983, and sunshine duration remained a positive and significant factor in all installation-specific models. This strong monthly association is consistent with the expected seasonal coupling between PV generation and solar-resource conditions; however, sunshine duration itself is not a measure of the irradiance incident on the plane of the PV array [
66]. However, a strong monthly relationship does not mean that annual sunshine duration alone is sufficient to predict productivity. In 2024, despite the highest sunshine-duration total, all installations reached their lowest model-based PR
AP estimates. This result confirms the need to verify regional resources and simulation results using operating data [
52,
55]. The positive correlation between monthly yield and air temperature primarily reflected the common seasonality of the two variables: warmer months were also months with longer sunshine duration. After sunshine duration was included, temperature was not a significant factor in the combined analyses and reached significance only for PV-III in the installation-specific models. This result cannot be interpreted as a beneficial effect of high temperature on modules because increasing cell temperature physically reduces power, and temperature losses may increase discrepancies between measured and simulated production [
55,
57]. The common IMGW-station data used in this study provided a consistent comparison background but did not fully represent conditions at the plane of each generator. Persistent differences between PV-I/PV-II and PV-III/PV-IV, despite the use of the same regional sunshine-duration data, show that solar-potential maps and meteorological-station data can serve only as reference points and cannot replace local installation monitoring. The lowland-and-valley character of the macroregion justifies such field verification, but without measurements at the installations, lower yields cannot be attributed to specific phenomena such as fog, humidity, or local temperature inversions.
Using specific yield, capacity factor, and the model-based PR
AP estimate made it possible to compare installations independently of their nominal capacities. Installation rankings were similar for specific yield and CF, whereas the PRAP estimate related production to model-estimated irradiation for the adopted orientation. Similar PR
AP estimates for PV-I and PV-II, 82.2% and 82.5%, respectively, indicate a similar relationship between production and the reference resource. Values of 70.6% for PV-III and 65.5% for PV-IV indicate a larger gap from model potential. However, the difference from 100% cannot be interpreted as a directly measured total loss because H
POA,AP was not obtained from sensors installed at the modules [
52,
55]. The combined regression model, covering data from all installations, explained 88.8% of the variability in monthly yield. After accounting for sunshine duration and temperature, PV-II results did not differ significantly from those of PV-I, whereas PV-III and PV-IV still achieved significantly lower yields. This means that the lower productivity of these installations did not result solely from monthly variation in the common meteorological data. However, the installation effect jointly included all fixed differences among facilities, including orientation, tilt, technology, surroundings, and operating characteristics. The model is therefore comparative and does not allow the observed differences to be causally assigned to a single parameter.
A particularly important result was the quantitative assessment of the effect of the PV-IV failure. After the August 2024 month with no production was excluded from the analyses, the R
2 of the sunshine-duration–yield relationship increased from 0.689 to 0.812, and the fit of the combined model increased from 0.888 to 0.921. However, the adjusted PV-IV effect remained negative and significant, meaning that the failure worsened the poor result but did not explain the entire difference from PV-I. As indicated in the literature, inverter downtime in other long-term analyses also increased discrepancies between measured and predicted production, and assessment of residential-system reliability required consideration of both degradation and trends in inverter and MPPT-system failures. Failure events should therefore be reported separately and analyzed rather than removed without comment as data errors [
67,
68]. The results emphasize that monitoring should be part of productivity maintenance, not merely an energy-recording tool. Even simple measurement systems can support identification of atypical operation, whereas effective diagnostics requires appropriate selection of sensors, measurement locations, and sampling frequency [
69,
70]. Monthly data were sufficient to detect the complete shutdown of PV-IV, but shorter production constraints, voltage-related shutdowns, and gradual performance deterioration require regular review of monitoring data.
In addition to continuity of operation, the local environmental context is important for interpreting installation productivity. Such local verification is particularly important in the Sandomierz Basin, where variation among urban, suburban, and rural areas and the location of part of the study area within the broad valleys of the Vistula and lower San Rivers may favor local differences in cloud cover, humidity, haze, and ventilation. Because the meteorological analysis was based on a single regional station, these local differences could not be corrected separately for each installation. The regression results should therefore be interpreted as relationships with regional meteorological conditions rather than as fully site-specific exposure models. Under such conditions, module orientation may affect not only annual production but also the time of day at which energy is generated. South- and southwest-facing installations mainly use conditions occurring during the middle and later parts of the day, whereas southeast- and west-facing configurations depend more strongly on morning and afternoon conditions, respectively. The differences obtained among the analyzed systems therefore show that assessment of PV potential in this macroregion should combine regional meteorological data with results from the actual operation of installations with different configurations. This approach enables spatial variation in productivity to be identified more effectively and reduces the risk of directly applying averaged regional values to individual locations. More broadly, this means that assessment of PV-microinstallation productivity should always account for both regional data and the local operating conditions of the specific system [
43,
62,
71].
As an additional regional comparison, measured PV systems operating under Polish climatic conditions were compared with the present results. Gułkowski analyzed nine rooftop PV systems located in southeastern Poland and reported a mean annual specific yield of 990.2 kWh/kWp. The highest value was 1102.9 kWh/kWp, while the remaining systems achieved values ranging from 868.8 to 1075.5 kWh/kWp [
7]. In a three-year study of a 9.6 kWp rooftop installation in eastern Poland, Gułkowski and Krawczak found that the annual specific yield exceeded 1000 kWh/kWp in each analyzed year [
8]. Zdyb and Sobczyński reported an annual yield of 1033 kWh/kWp and a performance ratio of 83% for a PV system operating under Polish temperate-climate conditions [
72]. Kazanecka and Olczak obtained specific yields of 1019.17 kWh/kWp for a residential installation in southern Poland and 965.67 kWh/kWp for an installation in central Poland in 2022 [
73]. Against these measured Polish reference values, PV-I and PV-II in the present study, with mean annual specific yields of 1077.7 and 1061.7 kWh/kWp, respectively, were within the upper part of the reported range. PV-III, at 908.6 kWh/kWp, remained within the broader range reported for Polish systems, whereas PV-IV, at 779.6 kWh/kWp, was below the cited values.
In light of the analyses performed, from the prosumer’s perspective, an investment decision should not be limited to maximizing the number of kWp that can be placed on the roof. Azimuth, tilt, geometry, and potential shading of the roof surface, inverter configuration, grid conditions, and the possibility of continuous monitoring should also be assessed. The performance of PV-II shows that the absence of ideal south-facing exposure does not necessarily preclude high productivity when the overall system configuration is favorable [
54,
60]. From an economic perspective, the normalized production differences observed among the installations would directly affect their potential annual financial benefits under otherwise identical cost and electricity-price assumptions. However, the economic ranking could change depending on the temporal match between PV generation and household electricity demand. For example, a west-facing installation may produce less electricity annually but could potentially increase the share of energy consumed directly in a household with relatively high afternoon demand. Because hourly production and consumption profiles, self-consumption levels, electricity prices, and investment costs were not available, this potential effect could not be quantified in the present study. Future techno-economic assessments should therefore combine normalized performance indicators with time-resolved production and consumption data. For designers and service technicians, it should therefore be important to use regionally specific yield benchmarks and automatically detect deviations from the expected profile. The PV-IV case shows that a single month without production can clearly alter annual indicators and statistical relationships. Analysis of inverter data together with weather data can help distinguish a decline in production caused by weather from a failure or grid-voltage problems [
64,
70].
In the broader context of local planning, it is important to distinguish between the scale of photovoltaic development and its actual productivity. The number of installations and their total capacity alone do not show how much energy is actually generated in a given area. Anonymous collection of specific-yield data, identification of areas in which installation constraints frequently occur, and development of local reference values could improve the accuracy of PV-development planning and assessment of support-program effectiveness [
56]. However, interpretation of the presented results requires consideration of the study limitations. The study included four installations, and common meteorological data came from one station; therefore, they did not fully reproduce conditions occurring directly at the individual systems. Module temperature, shading, soiling, and grid parameters were also not measured, limiting the ability to identify the causes of productivity differences unambiguously. Future studies should therefore include direct monitoring of module temperature, site-specific shading assessment, and systematic evaluation of soiling losses. Expanding similar analyses to a larger number of installations and to data with even higher temporal resolution could improve the reliability of production forecasts and methods for detecting abnormal PV-system operation. In particular, hourly production series would enable the analysis of intraday generation profiles and more precise identification of the timing and duration of abnormal operating events.
PV-system performance is generally assessed by combining production and meteorological data, normalized indicators, and analyses of reliability and deviations from expected operation.
Figure 13 synthesizes these commonly used elements and organizes them into a single analytical sequence that can support a comprehensive assessment of the real-world productivity of PV installations. The diagram presents successive stages of evaluation: from technical and meteorological conditions, through measurement of AC energy production, normalization of results, and data analysis, to assessment of productivity and reliability and applications in design, anomaly detection, monitoring, and energy planning. This framework shows that installation performance should not be assessed solely on the basis of nominal capacity.
5. Conclusions
The four-year analysis of actual operating data from four prosumer photovoltaic microinstallations showed that greater nominal capacity does not guarantee higher energy productivity. The highest mean specific yields were achieved by PV-I and PV-II, each rated at 4.69 kWp and oriented south and southwest, respectively. These values were 1077.7 and 1061.7 kWh/kWp/year, whereas PV-III and PV-IV, each rated at 5.04 kWp, achieved 908.6 and 779.6 kWh/kWp/year, respectively. Relative to the south-facing PV-I system, the mean annual specific yield was 1.5% lower for PV-II (southwest), 15.7% lower for PV-III (southeast), and 27.7% lower for PV-IV (west). The corresponding capacity-factor differences were −0.18, −1.93, and −3.40 percentage points, respectively, while the differences in the model-based PRAP estimate were +0.3, −11.6, and −16.7 percentage points. These values should be treated as comparative results for the analyzed systems rather than as universal orientation-loss coefficients. The observed differences reflect the combined influence of system geometry, module technology, technical configuration, local operating conditions, and system availability, rather than orientation alone. The results indicate that differences in the actual productivity of microinstallations cannot be explained solely by installed capacity. They may also be related to technical configuration, module orientation and geometry, local operating conditions, and continuity of operation. Among the regional meteorological variables included in the statistical analysis, monthly sunshine duration showed the strongest association with specific yield. Pearson correlation coefficients between sunshine duration and yield ranged from r = 0.830 to 0.983, indicating a strong temporal association between regional sunshine conditions and electricity production. At the same time, the results of individual installations differed despite the use of a common regional meteorological data series. This means that information on regional solar resources alone is insufficient for assessing the operation of a specific system.
The use of normalized indicators, including specific yield, capacity factor, and the model-based PRAP estimate, confirmed that differences in installation productivity did not result solely from nominal capacity or the adopted irradiation resource. An important element of the analysis was also assessment of the effect of the PV-IV failure in August 2024. Excluding the month of zero production increased the coefficient of determination, R2, for the sunshine-duration–yield relationship from 0.689 to 0.812, but PV-IV productivity remained lower than that of the other systems. The failure therefore deepened the observed differences but was not their only cause. In the combined model, excluding the confirmed fault observation increased R2 from 0.888 to 0.921. Confirmed fault observations in household PV monitoring data should therefore be retained in the primary analysis and additionally assessed through a sensitivity analysis performed with and without the affected observation. This result emphasizes the importance of regularly reviewing monitoring data and separately accounting for failure events when evaluating installation performance.
From the perspective of SDG 7, the results support the development of affordable, reliable, and locally adapted renewable-energy systems. Planning of household PV in Poland should therefore not rely solely on nominal capacity or regional solar-resource maps. Design and support schemes should additionally consider roof orientation, expected specific yield, local shading conditions, monitoring capability, and the risk of operational downtime. At the regional level, PV-resource assessments should be supplemented with measured performance data from representative household installations and with locally differentiated reference values for specific yield. Such an approach would improve system sizing, facilitate early fault detection, and reduce the risk of overestimating the energy contribution of distributed PV installations.
The results obtained under the conditions of the Sandomierz Basin show that assessment of prosumer microinstallations should be based on a combination of actual operating data, regional meteorological information, and normalized indicators rather than solely on annual energy production or nominal system capacity. The approach used may serve as an example for similar analyses conducted in other regions, provided that their local environmental and technical conditions are taken into account. The scientific value of the study results from combining a four-year observation period, analysis of systems operating within one macroregion, comparison of two pairs of installations with equal capacities, a model-based reference of production to irradiation, and a quantitative assessment of the effect of a failure. This made it possible to assess not only absolute energy production but also the persistence of differences among installations after normalization of the results and inclusion of common meteorological variables.
The real-world operation of microinstallations should be interpreted as the combined effect of technical configuration, the local environment, and continuity of operation. The results may support PV-system design, detection of abnormal operation, and local planning of distributed-energy development, thereby improving the reliability and practical usefulness of household photovoltaics.