Hybrid Optimisation of PV/Wind/BS Standalone System for Sustainable Energy Transition: Case Study of Nigeria
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Motivation of This Study
1.2. Identified Research Gap
- i.
- Much of the existing literature lacks a holistic approach that itemises technical and energy–economic–environmental (3E) impacts on achieving energy transition plans (ETPs) [19].
- ii.
- There is a lack of sufficient research output on the variability of environmental factors and energy resources—specifically solar radiation and wind power—across different Nigerian climates and their impact on achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly Goal 7(affordable and clean energy) consumption and Goal 13 (climate action) [38].
- iii.
- Limited work focuses on exploring the renewable energy resource potentials of different locations in Nigeria. Also, the use of Hybrid Optimisation of Multiple Energy Resources (HOMER) Pro, developed by the National Renewable Laboratory (NREL) in the US, has proven its flexibility, adaptability, versatility, and robustness in solving microgrid energy problems, as it is adaptable to local areas and is utilised for this study.
- iv.
- There is insufficient renewable energy literature in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) considering the diverse climate characteristics of the region.
1.3. Contribution of This Work
- i.
- Shifting electricity consumption from fossil fuel, non-renewable to sustainable, economically viable, cleaner energy production free of emissions.
- ii.
- This work will not only create information for lawmakers but also provide environmentally friendly, techno-economic, and energy opportunities for energy investors and the public across the country.
- iii.
- This study aims to bring about economic optimality by transitioning from a fossil fuel-based economy to sustainable options via the hybrid energy resources (HES) of the country.
- iv.
- This study aims to investigate the technical advantage of promoting renewable energy options by utilising Nigeria’s diverse climate to generate reliable electricity for the growing demand.
- v.
- This research aims to bring about intergovernmental awareness for residential householders in Nigeria and other developing nations and regions that are also grappling with energy problems regarding the opportunities of a hybrid renewable energy system (HRES).
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Description of Energy System
2.2. Site Description
2.3. The Load Profile of the Energy System
2.4. Input Parameters
2.4.1. Solar Resource
2.4.2. Wind Resource
2.4.3. Battery Storage System
2.4.4. Converter
2.5. Optimisation Problem
2.5.1. Net Present Cost (NPC)
2.5.2. Cost of Energy (COE)
2.5.3. Total Electricity Production
2.5.4. Carbon Emission Index
2.6. Model Assumptions and Limitations
- Techno-economic analysis: HOMER pro has the capacity to compute the cost of energy (COE), net present cost (NPC), and operating cost of the lifecycle of different hybrid energy mixes. It identifies the most feasible, viable, and cost-optimal energy solution for a given system.
- Optimisation of hybrid energy system (HES): HOMER software can simulate hundreds of thousands of feasible energy components such as PV, wind, battery, and converter components. It sizes the components to establish optimal configurations and to meet the specific load profile of a given application.
- Tackling various energy resources: This software is designed in such a way to model and compute renewable energy resource variability and intermittency using site-specific meteorological data for a long period of time.
- Sensitivity analysis: In HOMER Pro, the uncertainty of and variability in different parameters, such as the discount rate, inflation rate, and renewable penetration, can be calculated for an energy investor to examine various scenarios that can occur over the lifespan of a project.
3. Experimental Results
3.1. Techno-Financial Feasibility of HRES
3.1.1. Technical Comparison of Optimal HRES
Technical Analysis of the Optimal Photovoltaic Arrays
The Technical Feasibility of the Optimal Wind Turbine Systems
Technical Analysis of the Optimal Battery Storage Systems
Technical Analysis of the Optimal Converter Systems
3.1.2. Optimal System Components
3.1.3. Optimal Energy Parameters
3.1.4. Economic Comparison
3.1.5. Carbon Emissions and Energy Sustainability
3.2. Sensitivity Analysis of Hybrid Renewable Energy System
4. Discussion
4.1. Energy Production
4.2. Technical Analysis
4.3. Economic Analysis
4.4. Environmental Emissions
4.5. Practical Implications of PV Penetration and Autonomy as It Affects Consumers
4.6. Technical–Energy–Economic–Environmental Comparison
5. Recommendations
- Policymakers should make policies that will encourage the energy transition and adequate implementation strategies.
- The government and private investors should establish companies for producing renewable energy technologies locally to reduce the cost of importation.
- The energy transition plan (ETP) of Nigeria can be implemented by exploring the renewable energy resources of the nation.
- The production of locally manufactured hybrid technologies would also boost the socio-economic status of citizens and create job opportunities for the youth.
- The government should provide incentives and tax holidays for local manufacturing companies of hybrid energy components.
- Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): Goal 7 (affordable and clean energy) and Goal 13 (climate action) can be achieved through the adoption of renewable energy resources as energy alternatives to improve the standard of living of citizens sustainably.
- The introduction of vocational training centres would help in educating the public and stakeholders to enhance the knowledge and know-how of the installation of various smart technologies, thereby creating employment opportunities for Nigerians and improving the standard of living of the citizens.
- Harnessing the renewable energy potential of the nation is a pathway to carbon neutrality, which will enable Nigeria to achieve its net-zero emission goal by 2060.
- An optimisation approach through the use of artificial intelligence (AI) can greatly enhance the accuracy of the hybrid energy system (HES) models and configurations in achieving a sustainable future.
6. Conclusions and Future Works
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Nomenclature
| Nomenclature | |
| NPC | Net present cost [$] |
| COE | Cost of energy [$/kWh] |
| O&M | Operation and maintenance [$] |
| Photovoltaic panel cell temperature under standard conditions [°C] | |
| kWh | Kilowatt-hour |
| kW | Kilowatt |
| PV cell temperature [°C] | |
| Global solar radiation [kW/m2] | |
| Solar transmittance PV array [%] | |
| Incident radiation on PV [kW/m2] | |
| Incident radiation under standard test conditions PV [kW/m2] | |
| Rating capacity of solar PV under standard test conditions [kW] | |
| PV derating factor [%] | |
| Ambient temperature [%] | |
| Ambient temperature at which NOCT is determined [%] | |
| Nominal temperature of PV cell [%] | |
| Electric conversion efficiency of PV [%] | |
| Global inclined solar irradiance [W/m2] | |
| Solar absorption of PV [%] | |
| Battery charging efficiency [%] | |
| GDP | Gross domestic product |
| NREL | National Renewable Energy Laboratory |
| NOCT | Nominal operating cell temperature [°C] |
| GHG | Greenhouse gas [kg/year] |
| Direct beam radiation transposition factor | |
| Transposition models | |
| Ground transposition models | |
| Slope angle between plane and solar radiation | |
| Latitude angle of sun | |
| Declination angle | |
| Air density [kg/m3] | |
| Photovoltaic | |
| WT | Wind turbine |
| TB | Total benefit |
| Latitude hour angle of sun | |
| Solar incident angle | |
| Sun’s zenith angle | |
| Battery power discharge | |
| Battery discharge efficiency | |
| Converter’s electrical power output | |
| AC | Alternating current |
| DC | Direct current |
| Temperature coefficient of power [%/°C] | |
| Environmental damage from greenhouse gas [kg/year] | |
| Cost of environmental damage from greenhouse gas [$/year] | |
| NASA | National Aeronautics and Space Administration |
| Parameters | |
| Charge and discharge efficiency of BS | |
| Minimum State of Charge (SOC) of BSS [%] | |
| Initial state of charge of BS [%] | |
| BS minimum energy level [kWh] | |
| BS maximum energy level [kWh] | |
| Battery system capital energy level [kWh] | |
| Capital cost of battery system [$/kW] | |
| Capital cost of PV array [$/kW] | |
| Replacement cost of PV array [$/kW] | |
| Capital cost of wind turbine [$/kW] | |
| Replacement cost of wind turbine [$/kW] | |
| Operation and maintenance cost of wind turbine [$/kW] | |
| Replacement cost of PV array [$/kW] | |
| Photovoltaic lifetime [yrs] | |
| Wind turbine lifetime [yrs] | |
| Battery system lifetime [yrs] |
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| Optimal Configuration/Ref. | SDG7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) NPC (USD)/COE (USD/kWh) | SDG13 (Climate Action) CO2 Emission (kg/year) | Year | Optimisation Method (Approach) | Key Result | Sector/Region |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV/BS [24] | /0.21 | 0 | 2020 | ArcGIS 10.2 | Best configuration with high-performance HES of PV/BS, 100% renewable energy in Biskra and Tamenrast | Residential building/Algeria. |
| PV/Grid [25] | 748,413/0.0894 | 0 | 2024 | HOMER Pro (version 3.14.2) | Optimal sizing of HES of grid-connected PV for medium-energy-consumption building in Constantine city. | Institute of Nutrition, Food, and Agro-Food Technologies (INATAA)/Algeria. |
| PV/Wind/DG [26] | 6,490,000/0.348 | 0.00081 tons | 2022 | HOMER Pro | Off-grid HES, with payback period of 1.8 years for COVID-19 centre in Gaza Strip. | COVID-19 Quarantine centre/Gaza. |
| PV/BS/Grid [27] | 129,951/0.220 | 0/657,729 (embodied CO2) | 2022 | Firefly Optimisation Algorithm (FA) | Hybrid grid-connected PV/BS for severe electricity blackouts in northern region of Maroua, Cameroon. | 12 residential households/ Cameroon. |
| PV/DG/BS [28] | 9583/0.180 | 2395.41 | 2024 | HOMER Pro | Rural residential application of HES using solar tracking technique to enhance sustainable development in M’sila province. | Residential building/Algeria |
| Grid/PV/Biogas [29] | 76,616/0.164 | 0 | 2021 | HOMER Pro | HES for unreliable on-grid electrification. | Abbatoir/Nigeria. |
| PV/Grid [30] | 928,116/0.1892 | 6852 tons | 2024 | HOMER Pro | Techno-financial–environmental analysis of HES for on-grid solar PV panel integration in college building in Siirt province. | Educational building/Turkey. |
| PV/Wind/BS [31] | 350,688/0.03 | 0 | 2024 | HOMER Pro | HES of PV/Wind/BS in rural, remote coastal area of Patenga. | Community/Bangladesh. |
| PV/H2 [32] | 29.7/0.97 | 0 | 2024 | HOMER Pro | HES of PV/H2 storage system for 422 residential buildings in Sultanate of Oman. | Residential community/Oman. |
| PV/Grid/BiG [33] | 79,511.05/0.095 | 20,356 | 2023 | HOMER Pro and CRITIC-PROMETHEE II Approaches | Techno-economic evaluation of PV/Wind/Fuel cell in school buildings in Rujewa rural area. | Educational buildings/Malawi. |
| PV/DG/BS [34] | 476,216/0.257 | 51,005 | 2024 | HOMER Pro AHP, TOPSIS, EDAS, and PROMETHEE II, using multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques. | HES for verification and comparative analysis of different algorithms for data accuracy of results from HOMER Pro. | Community buildings/Antil area, Cambodia. |
| PV/BS [35] | 0.511 million/2.26 | 0 | 2023 | HOMER Pro | Standalone hybrid energy configuration for net-zero energy (NZE) village electrification. | Rural residential community/Pakistan. |
| PV/Wind/Grid/BS [36] | 298,359/0.024 | 220 tons | 2023 | HOMER Pro | Techno-economic viability of HES for 350,000 citizens of Al-Karak governorate of Jordan. | Residential buildings/Jordan. |
| PV/Wind/DG/BS [37] | 324,003.40/0.4912 | 30.12 tons | 2025 | Hybrid Particle Whale Optimisation Algorithm (HPWOA) | Hybrid Particle Whale Optimisation Algorithm (HPWOA). | Commercial building/ Chennai, India. |
| S/N | Location | Climatic Classification | Zone | Latitude (° N) | Longitude (° E) | Altitude (m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kano | Tropical savanna | Northwest | 12.00 | 8.31 | 488 |
| 2 | Anambra | Tropical wet and dry | Southeast | 6.20 | 7.00 | 135 |
| 3 | Lagos | Tropical savanna climate | Southwest | 6.35 | 3.45 | 5 |
| Solar Photovoltaic Model | ||
| Parameter | Value | Unit |
| 3 | kW | |
| 80 | % | |
| 25 | years | |
| 1800 | USD/kW | |
| 1800 | USD/kW | |
| 18 | USD/kW | |
| Wind Turbine Model | ||
| Parameter | Value | Unit |
| 3 | kW | |
| 20 | years | |
| 17 | m | |
| 4000 | USD/kW | |
| 3200 | USD/kW | |
| 200 | USD/kW | |
| 1.225 | kg/m3 | |
| 17 | m | |
| Battery Storage Model | ||
| Parameter | Value | Unit |
| 16.7 | A | |
| 24.3 | A | |
| 40 | % | |
| 100 | % | |
| 100 | % | |
| 1 | kWh | |
| 300 | USD/kW | |
| 250 | USD/kW/year | |
| 5 | USD/kW | |
| 10 | years | |
| Converter Model | ||
| Parameter | Value | Unit |
| 95 | % | |
| 15 | years | |
| 300 | USD/kW | |
| 300 | USD/kW | |
| / | USD/kW | |
| 95 | % |
| System Configuration | PV (kW) | Wind (kW) | Battery (Units) | Converter (kW) | CAPEX (USD) | NPC (USD) | COE (USD/kW) | RF (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV/Wind/Battery/Converter | 4.33 | 1 | 30 | 3.09 | 21,724 | 32,213 | 0.607 | 100 |
| PV/Battery/Converter | 5.21 | - | 43 | 3.38 | 23,285 | 35,920 | 0.677 | 100 |
| Wind/Battery/Converter | - | 24 | 33 | 2.63 | 106,690 | 132,286 | 2.49 | 100 |
| System Configuration | PV (kW) | Wind (kW) | Battery (Units) | Converter (kW) | CAPEX (USD) | NPC (USD) | COE (USD/kW) | RF (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV/Battery/Converter | 9.50 | - | 45 | 3.38 | 31,613 | 45,672 | 0.861 | 100 |
| PV/Wind/Battery/Converter | 9.50 | 1 | 43 | 3.25 | 34,975 | 49,214 | 0.927 | 100 |
| Wind/Battery/Converter | - | 10 | 83 | 6.75 | 66,925 | 95,871 | 1.81 | 100 |
| System Configuration | PV (kW) | Wind (kW) | Battery (Units) | Converter (kW) | CAPEX (USD) | NPC (USD) | COE (USD/kW) | RF (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV/Battery/Converter | 10.0 | - | 44 | 3.27 | 32,265 | 46,185 | 0.871 | 100 |
| PV/Wind/Battery/Converter | 9.50 | 1 | 43 | 3.25 | 34,975 | 49,214 | 0.927 | 100 |
| Wind/Battery/Converter | - | 30 | 56 | 7.12 | 138,935 | 175,095 | 3.30 | 100 |
| Parameter | Kano | Anambra | Lagos | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rated capacity | 4.33 | 9.50 | 10.0 | kW |
| Mean output | 0.890 | 1.53 | 1.60 | kW |
| Mean output | 21.4 | 36.8 | 38.4 | kWh/d |
| Capacity factor | 20.5 | 16.1 | 15.9 | % |
| Total production | 7795 | 13,438 | 14,031 | kWh/year |
| Minimum output | 0 | 0 | 0 | kW |
| Maximum output | 4.22 | 9.05 | 9.58 | kW |
| PV penetration | 190 | 327 | 342 | % |
| Hours of penetration | 4449 | 4455 | 4314 | h/year |
| Parameter | Kano | Anambra | Lagos | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rated capacity | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | kW |
| Mean output | 0.362 | 0 | 0 | kW |
| Capacity factor | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | % |
| Total production | 3175 | 0 | 0 | kWh/year |
| Minimum output | 0 | 0 | 0 | kW |
| Maximum output | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | kW |
| Wind penetration | 77.3 | 0 | 0 | % |
| Hours of penetration | 6539 | 0 | 0 | h/year |
| Parameter | Kano | Anambra | Lagos | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batteries | 30.0 | 45.0 | 44.0 | Qty |
| String size | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | batteries |
| Autonomy | 38.4 | 57.7 | 56.4 | hour. |
| Nominal capacity | 30.0 | 45.0 | 44.0 | kWh |
| Lifetime throughput | 24,000 | 34,001 | 34,285 | kWh |
| Expected life | 9.22 | 10.0 | 10.0 | year |
| Energy in | 2909 | 3797 | 3829 | kWh/year |
| Energy out | 2327 | 3041 | 3067 | kWh/year |
| Storage depletion | 0.00384 | 4.23 | 3.95 | kWh/year |
| Losses | 582 | 760 | 766 | kWh/year |
| Annual throughput | 2602 | 3400 | 3429 | kWh/year |
| Parameter | Kano | Anambra | Lagos | Unit | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverter | Rectifier | Inverter | Rectifier | Inverter | Rectifier | ||
| Capacity | 3.09 | 3.09 | 3.38 | 3.38 | 3.27 | 3.27 | kW |
| Mean output | 0.320 | 0.0334 | 0.468 | 0 | 0.468 | 0 | kW |
| Minimum output | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | kW |
| Maximum output | 2.86 | 2.51 | 3.14 | 0 | 3.14 | 0 | kW |
| Capacity factor | 10.4 | 1.08 | 13.9 | 0 | 14.3 | 0 | % |
| Hours of operation | 6368 | 957 | 8758 | 0 | 8758 | 0 | h/year |
| Energy out | 2807 | 293 | 4104 | 0 | 4103 | 0 | kWh/year |
| Energy in | 2955 | 308 | 4320 | 0 | 4319 | 0 | kWh/year |
| Optimal Configuration of HES | Kano | Anambra | Lagos |
|---|---|---|---|
![]() Photovoltaic (PV) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
![]() Wind turbine | ✓ | X | X |
![]() Battery storage | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
![]() Converter | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| (USD/kW) | (USD/kW) | SR, ((GHI)kWh/m2/day) | WS (m/s) | IR (%) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kano | Anambra | Lagos | ||||
| 1700 | 3000 | 6.54 | 5.31 | 5.24 | 5.03 | 1.0 |
| 1800 | 3500 | 7.04 | 5.81 | 5.74 | 5.53 | 2.0 |
| 1900 | 4000 | 7.54 | 6.31 | 6.24 | 6.03 | 3.0 |
| 2000 | 4500 | 8.04 | 6.81 | 6.74 | 6.53 | 4.0 |
| 2100 | 5000 | 8.54 | 7.31 | 7.24 | 7.03 | 5.0 |
| Optimal System | Region/Country | Ref. | COE (USD/kWh) | CO2 (kg/yr) | Analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Energy | Econ. | Env. | |||||
| PV/Wind/BGG/BS/DG | Niger State/Nigeria | [11] | 0.148 | 30,240 | ✓ | X | ✓ | ✓ |
| Grid/PV | Rivers State/Nigeria | [67] | 0.0181–0.0185 | NR | ✓ | X | ✓ | ✓ |
| PV/DG/Wind/Biomass/BS | Ogun State/Nigeria | [12] | 0.26 | 16 | ✓ | X | ✓ | ✓ |
| PV/Wind/H2 | Phalandeba/South Africa | [68] | 2.34 | NR | X | ✓ | ✓ | X |
| PV/Grid | Constantine/Algeria | [25] | 0.0894 | 76,619 | ✓ | X | ✓ | ✓ |
| PV/BS | Oujda/Morocco | [69] | 0.218 | 0 | ✓ | X | ✓ | X |
| PV/BS | Biskra/Algeria | [24] | 0.21 | 0 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| PV/Wind/DG/BS/Converter | Dschang/Cameroon | [70] | 0.1691 | 795.527 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| PV/Wind/BS/Converter | Kano/Nigeria | Present study | 0.6072 | 0 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| PV/BS/Converter | Anambra/Nigeria | Present study | 0.8609 | 0 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| PV/BS/Converter | Lagos/Nigeria | Present study | 0.8706 | 0 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
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Babalola, K.Z.; Elenga, R.G.; Mushtaque, A.; Genovese, P.V.; Aborisade, M.A. Hybrid Optimisation of PV/Wind/BS Standalone System for Sustainable Energy Transition: Case Study of Nigeria. Energies 2026, 19, 89. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19010089
Babalola KZ, Elenga RG, Mushtaque A, Genovese PV, Aborisade MA. Hybrid Optimisation of PV/Wind/BS Standalone System for Sustainable Energy Transition: Case Study of Nigeria. Energies. 2026; 19(1):89. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19010089
Chicago/Turabian StyleBabalola, Kehinde Zacheaus, Rolains Golchimard Elenga, Ali Mushtaque, Paolo Vincenzo Genovese, and Moses Akintayo Aborisade. 2026. "Hybrid Optimisation of PV/Wind/BS Standalone System for Sustainable Energy Transition: Case Study of Nigeria" Energies 19, no. 1: 89. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19010089
APA StyleBabalola, K. Z., Elenga, R. G., Mushtaque, A., Genovese, P. V., & Aborisade, M. A. (2026). Hybrid Optimisation of PV/Wind/BS Standalone System for Sustainable Energy Transition: Case Study of Nigeria. Energies, 19(1), 89. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19010089





