Influence Analysis and Stepwise Regression of Coal Mechanical Parameters on Uniaxial Compressive Strength Based on Orthogonal Testing Method

Uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) and peak strain (PS) are essential indices for studying the mechanical properties of coal and rock masses, and they are closely related to mechanical parameters such as the elastic modulus (E), Poisson’s ratio (υ), cohesion (C) and internal friction angle (Φ) of coal and rock masses. This study took the No. 2-1 coal seam of Zhaogu No. 2 Mine, in Henan Province, China, as the research object. An RMT-150B servo testing machine was used to test all mechanical parameters, including the E, υ, C and Φ of coal and rock masses. Based on the principle of orthogonal testing, Three Dimensions Fast Lagrangian Analysis of Continua (FLAC3D) was used to select E, υ, C, Φ, tensile strength (R_m) and dilation angle (Ψ) as initial participation factors. Using these six parameters and a five-level combination scheme (L₂₅ (5⁶)), the influence of coal mechanical parameters on UCS and PS was investigated, using the software SPSS for stepwise regression analysis, and a uniaxial pressure-resistant regression prediction equation was established. The research showed that, under uniaxial compression conditions, the main parameters controlling UCS of coal masses are C and Φ; conversely, the main parameters controlling PS are E and C. UCS and PS exhibit significant linear relationships with these main controlling parameters. Here, a stepwise regression prediction equation was established through reliability verification analysis using the main controlling parameters. This prediction method produces very small errors and a good degree of fit, thus allowing the rapid prediction of UCS. The precision of the stepwise regression model depends on the number of test samples, which can be increased in the later stages of a design project to further improve the precision of the projection model.