Healthcare Access in the Aftermath: A Longitudinal Analysis of Disaster Impact on US Communities
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Sample
2.2. Measures
2.2.1. Exposure Variables
2.2.2. Covariates
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Differences in Counties by Changes in Healthcare Facilities (2000–2014)
3.2. Changes in Disasters (2000–2014) by Changes in Healthcare Facilities (2000–2014)
3.3. Change in Total Number of Healthcare Establishments in 2014 with Total Number of Moderate and Severe Disasters
4. Discussion
Strengths and Limitations
5. Conclusions and Further Research
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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No. (%) | |||||||||
Pharmacies | Hospitals | ||||||||
2000 Characteristic a | All counties (n = 3108) | Never e (n = 116) | Lose (n = 66) | Gain (n = 28) | Always (n = 2898) | Never (n = 307) | Lose (n = 86) | Gain (n = 150) | Always (n = 2565) |
Race/ethnicity b | |||||||||
Predominantly NH white | 2671 (85.9) | 96 (82.8) | 51 (77.3) | 24 (85.7) | 2500 (86.3) | 267 (87.0) | 63 (73.3) | 129 (86.0) | 2212 (86.2) |
Predominantly NH black | 45 (1.4) | 2 (1.7) | 2 (3.0) | 0 | 41 (1.4) | 5 (1.6) | 5 (5.8) | 3 (2.0) | 32 (1.2) |
Predominantly Hispanic/Latino | 33 (1.1) | 4 (3.4) | 2 (3.0) | 0 | 27 (0.9) | 4 (1.3) | 2 (2.3) | 5 (2.7) | 23 (0.9) |
Other or Racially/ethnically mixed | 359 (11.6) | 14 (12.1) | 11 (16.7) | 4 (14.3) | 330 (11.4) | 37 (10.1) | 16 (18.6) | 14 (9.3) | 298 (11.6) |
Living below poverty, mean (SD), % | 14.2 (6.5) | 16.6 (8.9) | 17.4 (8.5) | 15.3 (8.8) | 14.0 (6.3) | 16.1 (7.4) | 17.6 (7.5) | 15.0 (7.6) | 13.8 (6.2) |
Unemployed, mean (SD), % | 6.2 (3.4) | 6.0 (6.6) | 5.9 (4.2) | 6.2 (4.2) | 6.2 (3.1) | 5.7 (3.8) | 6.9 (3.4) | 6.2 (3.2) | 6.2 (3.3) |
College Educated, mean (SD), % | 16.5 (7.8) | 16.4 (6.0) | 15.6 (6.3) | 15.6 (7.8) | 16.5 (7.9) | 14.0 (5.6) | 12.3 (3.9) | 13.8 (7.7) | 17.1 (8.1) |
Ownership-Occupied Housing Units, mean (SD), % | 74.1 (7.6) | 73.2 (10.4) | 74.8 (5.8) | 76.2 (6.0) | 74.1 (7.5) | 77.0 (6.8) | 76.0 (8.4) | 77.9 (6.1) | 73.5 (7.5) |
Total Population, mean (SD) | 89,956.1 (293,542.8) | 3058.1 (2892.6) | 6659.0 (4560.4) | 8853.4 (7253.6) | 96,115.0 (303,068.1) | 7433.3 (6428.5) | 10,635.9 (6740.9) | 17,713.2 (12,661.53) | 106,717.2 (320,604.4) |
Index of Concentration at the Extremes (ICE) | |||||||||
ICEwnhinc c, mean (SD) | 0.10 (0.13) | 0.09 (0.18) | 0.07 (0.09) | 0.11 (0.19) | 0.11 (0.13) | 0.10 (0.07) | 0.02 (0.11) | 0.09 (0.11) | 0.11 (0.10) |
Climate-related Disaster (total number) d | |||||||||
Minor Disaster | 5355 | 42 | 55 | 19 | 5239 | 267 | 72 | 203 | 4813 |
Moderate Disaster | 603 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 548 | 66 | 15 | 19 | 503 |
Severe Disaster | 305 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 272 | 39 | 6 | 11 | 249 |
No. (%) | |||||||||
Ambulatory Care e | |||||||||
2000 Characteristic | Never (n = 495) | Lost (n = 21) | Gain (n = 201) | Always (n = 2391) | |||||
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||
Predominantly NH white | 403 (81.4) | 15 (71.4) | 172 (85.6) | 2081 (87.0) | |||||
Predominantly NH black | 14 (2.8) | 2 (9.5) | 6 (3.0) | 23 (1.0) | |||||
Predominantly Hispanic/Latino | 12 (2.4) | 1 (4.8) | 1 (0.5) | 19 (0.8) | |||||
Other or Racially/ethnically mixed | 66 (13.3) | 3 (14.3) | 22 (10.9) | 268 (11.2) | |||||
Living below poverty, mean (SD), % | 17.3 (7.7) | 17.2 (8.7) | 15.7 (7.1) | 13.4 (6.0) | |||||
Unemployed, mean (SD), % | 5.9 (4.4) | 7.8 (4.5) | 6.3 (3.6) | 6.2 (3.1) | |||||
College Educated, mean (SD), % | 13.3 (4.7) | 13.0 (3.4) | 13.0 (4.6) | 17.5 (8.3) | |||||
Ownership-Occupied Housing Units, mean (SD), % | 76.2 (7.0) | 77.5 (5.3) | 78.0 (4.8) | 73.3 (7.5) | |||||
Total Population, mean (SD) | 5585.2 (3751.8) | 9285.9 (3415.9) | 10,466.9 (4657.25) | 114,813.9 (330,653.4) | |||||
Index of Concentration at the Extremes (ICE) | |||||||||
ICEwnhinc, mean (SD) | 0.07 (0.09) | 0.04 (0.08) | 0.08 (0.13) | 0.12 (0.09) | |||||
Climate-related Disaster (total number) | |||||||||
Minor Disasters | 354 | 30 | 246 | 4725 | |||||
Moderate Disasters | 110 | 4 | 50 | 439 | |||||
Severe Disasters | 66 | 6 | 22 | 211 |
No. (%) | |||||
Pharmacies | |||||
Change in Characteristic (2000–2014) | All counties (n = 3108) | Never (n = 116) | Lose (n = 66) | Gain (n = 28) | Always (n = 2898) |
Climate-related Disaster, mean (SD),%: | |||||
Minor Disaster | 7.5 (221.1) | −13.8 (105.4) | 19.7 (129.2) | −21.4 (87.6) | −7.7 (227.0) |
Moderate Disaster | −5.8 (7.5) | 18.1 (61.3) | 10.6 (43.4) | 17.9 (39.0) | 5.1 (58.7) |
Severe Disaster | −2.1 (42.5) | 1.7 (47.5) | 3.0 (58.1) | −3.6 (57.6) | 2.1 (41.7) |
Hospitals | |||||
Change in Characteristic (2000–2014) | Never (n = 307) | Lose (n = 86) | Gain (n = 150) | Always (n = 2565) | |
Climate-related Disaster, mean (SD),%: | |||||
Minor Disaster | 9.4 (146.0) | 33.7 (192.0) | 2.5 (208.8) | 5.3 (230.0) | |
Moderate Disaster | −7.5 (60.3) | 4.6 (59.2) | −0.7 (53.7) | −6.2 (58.4) | |
Severe Disaster | −2.3 (49.5) | 3.5 (38.9) | −1.3 (30.6) | −2.3 (42.3) | |
Ambulatory Care | |||||
Change in Characteristic (2000–2014) | Never (n = 495) | Lose (n = 21) | Gain (n = 201) | Always (n = 2391) | |
Climate-related Disaster, mean (SD),%: | |||||
Minor Disaster | 13.1 (138.0) | −47.6 (143.6 | −0.50 (165.4) | 7.4 (239.0) | |
Moderate Disaster | −5.9 (62.6) | 4.6 (63.2) | −6.0 (75.3) | −5.8 (55.8) | |
Severe Disaster | −1.2 (49.7) | 3.5 (53.9) | 0 (40.0) | −2.2 (41.0) |
Pharmacies | Hospitals | Ambulatory Care | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Count (β) | SE | 95% CI | Count (β) | SE | 95% CI | Count (β) | SE | 95% CI | |
Climate-related Disasters | |||||||||
Moderate Disaster | 0.09 | 0.08 | (−0.06, 0.24) | 0.14 * | 0.06 | (0.03, 0.25) | 2.52 ** | 0.82 | (0.91, 4.12) |
Severe Disaster | 0.10 | 0.11 | (−0.12, 0.32) | −0.31 *** | 0.08 | (−0.47, −0.14) | −5.99 *** | 1.20 | (−8.35, −3.64) |
Model Fit | R2 = 0.97 | R2 = 0.97 | R2 = 0.99 | ||||||
N= | 3108 |
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Chang, K.; Hirsch, J.A.; Clay, L.; Michael, Y.L. Healthcare Access in the Aftermath: A Longitudinal Analysis of Disaster Impact on US Communities. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2025, 22, 733. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22050733
Chang K, Hirsch JA, Clay L, Michael YL. Healthcare Access in the Aftermath: A Longitudinal Analysis of Disaster Impact on US Communities. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2025; 22(5):733. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22050733
Chicago/Turabian StyleChang, Kevin, Jana A. Hirsch, Lauren Clay, and Yvonne L. Michael. 2025. "Healthcare Access in the Aftermath: A Longitudinal Analysis of Disaster Impact on US Communities" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 22, no. 5: 733. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22050733
APA StyleChang, K., Hirsch, J. A., Clay, L., & Michael, Y. L. (2025). Healthcare Access in the Aftermath: A Longitudinal Analysis of Disaster Impact on US Communities. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 22(5), 733. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22050733