Search Results (10)

Foreign-exchange decisions rest on hierarchically organized evidence whose latent structure is inadequately captured by Euclidean representations. Reinforcement-learning agents trained on flat embeddings inherit stability guarantees that do not transfer to the manifold supporting the latent state. We address both limitations through a hybrid architecture in which a schema-constrained structured chain-of-thought is embedded into a Poincaré ball, transported to a qubit register via angle encoding, and processed by an L-layer hardware-efficient variational ansatz on a state-vector backend. The circuit exposes two read-outs to the policy, namely, a scalar Pauli-Z observable and a projected quantum kernel inducing a fidelity-based similarity over magnet-price attractors, the latter identified via kernel-weighted recurrence density and finite-time Lyapunov statistics. The Lipschitz constraint on the action-value function is lifted from the hyperbolic geodesic distance to a joint metric on ${\mathbb{B}}_{\kappa }^n\times \mathbb{P}\left(\mathcal{H}\right)$. A stability theorem yields an explicit bound depending on the read-out operator norm, on the depth–width product of the ansatz, and on the curvature–Hilbert balance. The pipeline is evaluated on nine major FX crosses over a 2015–2025 out-of-sample window, with rolling-origin walk-forward retraining and broker-published transaction costs. The system attains $2.55\%$ pair-averaged non-compounded monthly P&L and $8.83\%$ maximum drawdown, with Sharpe $1.78$, Calmar $3.43$, and Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio exceeding $0.95$ on every cross. The gain remains significant under a deflated-Sharpe-ratio test with $N_{\mathrm{trials}}=42$ correction. Block-wise ablations exhibit strictly monotone degradation: removing the projected kernel costs $-4.15$ p.p. on annualized P&L, the joint Lipschitz penalty $-6.42$ p.p., the attractor module $-7.64$ p.p., and the hyperbolic embedding $-8.40$ p.p. The quantum block thereby instantiates a structurally non-classical, geometry-aware regularizer identifiable through ablation rather than asymptotically advantageous. Full article

Reliable solar energy harvesting demands advanced control strategies capable of maintaining thermal precision despite inherent environmental unpredictability. This research addresses the critical challenge of temperature regulation in the solar furnace system, which is hindered by severe non-linearities and stochastic environmental uncertainties. The study aims to transition Fractional-Order PID (FOPID) control from theoretical design to reliable industrial application by accounting for the Uncertain Design Vector (UDV) during the tuning phase. A Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) framework is proposed, utilizing a hybrid Multi-Objective Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (MOICA) integrated with Monte Carlo Analysis (MCAR). This approach simultaneously optimizes the Maximum Sensitivity (Ms), the integral of Time-weighted Absolute Error (ITAE) and their sensitivities, while ensuring physical realizability through the FOPID structure. Crucially, the simulation results demonstrate that the RBDO-tuned FOPID design achieves optimal performance levels comparable to deterministic methods while significantly reducing the overall system sensitivity by 35% to 55% compared to both deterministic and literature-based methods (GA-FOPID and PSO-FOPID). The study concludes that integrating probabilistic reliability into multi-objective metaheuristics provides a robust control strategy for high-temperature solar facilities, effectively mitigating the performance degradation caused by real-world parameter fluctuations and ensuring consistent operational stability. Full article

Sustainable pavement solutions that lessen the dependency on virgin materials are required due to mounting environmental and economic pressures. Although recycled asphalt concrete (RAC) has structural and environmental advantages, binder heterogeneity and non-linear material interactions make it difficult to predict the ideal bitumen content in RAC mixtures. This study predicts the bitumen content of asphalt mixtures infused with RAC by combining sophisticated machine learning (ML) with traditional laboratory testing. While this study combines AI-driven predictions with experimental insights to create a state-of-the-art framework for sustainable pavement engineering, 780 data points were obtained from the preparation and testing of three mixtures (0%, 30%, and 50% RAC) for volumetric and mechanical characteristics. Controlled Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA), Swapped Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), radial basis function artificial neural network (RBF), bagging (BAG), multilayer perceptron (MLP) artificial neural network, and boosting (BOT) ensembles were among the models created. BAG-CARIMA-LGM is a new hybrid model that combines logistic probabilistic generalization, ensemble variance reduction, and time-series forecasting. Higher predictive accuracy and resilience across different RAC levels were attained by the hybrid BAG-CARIMA-LGM model, which performed noticeably better than standalone algorithms. The findings demonstrated improved Marshall stability and controlled flow along with a progressive decrease in mean bitumen content as RAC increased. While 50% RAC with rejuvenators maintained durability and structural integrity, the 30% RAC mixture produced the most balanced performance. The model’s capacity to manage non-linear interactions, volumetric variability, and aging effects was validated by statistical analyses. The BAG-CARIMA-LGM hybrid model optimizes RAC incorporation in asphalt mixtures, supports circular economy goals, and improves technical accuracy. The results point to a revolutionary route towards intelligent, environmentally friendly road systems that support international sustainability objectives. Full article

As global efforts to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) enter a critical phase, there is a growing need for analytical tools that reflect the complexity and heterogeneity of development pathways. This study introduces a probabilistic classification framework designed to uncover latent typologies of national performance across the seventeen Sustainable Development Goals. Unlike traditional ranking systems or composite indices, the proposed method uses raw, standardised goal-level indicators and accounts for both structural variation and classification uncertainty. The model integrates a Bayesian decision tree with penalised spline regressions and includes regional covariates to capture context-sensitive dynamics. Based on publicly available global datasets covering more than 150 countries, the analysis identifies three distinct development profiles: structurally vulnerable systems, transitional configurations, and consolidated performers. Posterior probabilities enable soft classification, highlighting ambiguous or hybrid country profiles that do not fit neatly into a single category. Results reveal both monotonic and non-monotonic indicator behaviours, including saturation effects in infrastructure-related goals and paradoxical patterns in climate performance. This typology-sensitive approach provides a transparent and interpretable alternative to aggregated indices, supporting more differentiated and evidence-based sustainability assessments. The findings provide a practical basis for tailoring national strategies to structural conditions and the multidimensional nature of sustainable development. Full article

In this work, we propose a novel quantum-informed epistemic framework that extends the classical notion of probability by integrating plausibility, credibility, and possibility as distinct yet complementary measures of uncertainty. This enriched quadruple (P, Pl, Cr, Ps) enables a deeper characterization of quantum systems and decision-making processes under partial, noisy, or ambiguous information. Our formalism generalizes the Born rule within a multi-valued logic structure, linking Positive Operator-Valued Measures (POVMs) with data-driven plausibility estimators, agent-based credibility priors, and fuzzy-theoretic possibility functions. We develop a hybrid classical–quantum inference engine that computes a vectorial aggregation of the quadruples, enhancing robustness and semantic expressivity in contexts where classical probability fails to capture non-Kolmogorovian phenomena such as entanglement, contextuality, or decoherence. The approach is validated through three real-world application domains—quantum cybersecurity, quantum AI, and financial computing—where the proposed model outperforms standard probabilistic reasoning in terms of accuracy, resilience to noise, interpretability, and decision stability. Comparative analysis against QBism, Dempster–Shafer, and fuzzy quantum logic further demonstrates the uniqueness of architecture in both operational semantics and practical outcomes. This contribution lays the groundwork for a new theory of epistemic quantum computing capable of modelling and acting under uncertainty beyond traditional paradigms. Full article

Uncertainties are widely present in the design and simulation of aero-engine combustion systems. Common non-probabilistic convex models are only capable of processing independent or correlated uncertainty variables, while conventional precise probabilistic sensitivity analysis based on ideal conditions also fails due to the presence of uncertainties. Given the above-described problem, an imprecise p-box sensitivity analysis method is proposed in this study in accordance with a multi-dimensional parallelepiped model, comprising independent and correlated variables in a unified framework to effectively address complex hybrid uncertainty problems where the two variables co-exist. The concepts of the correlation angle and correlation coefficient of any two parameters are defined. A multi-dimensional parallelepiped model is built as the uncertainty domain based on the marginal intervals and correlation characteristics of all parameters. The correlated variables in the initial parameter space are converted into independent variables in the affine space by introducing an affine coordinate system. Significant and minor variables are filtered out through imprecise sensitivity analysis using pinching methods based on p-box characterization. The feasibility and accuracy of the method are verified based on the analysis of the numerical example and the outlet temperature distribution factor. As indicated by the results, the coupling between the variables can be significantly characterized using a multi-dimensional parallelepiped model, and a notable difference exists in the sensitivity ranking compared with considering only the independence of the variables, in which input parameters (e.g., inlet and outlet pressure, density, and reference flow rate) are highly sensitive to changes in the outlet temperature distribution factor. Furthermore, the structural parameters of the flame cylinder exert a secondary effect. Full article

Indoor localization systems using wireless sensor networks (WSNs) are widely used to track the positions of workers, robots, and equipment. In indoor spaces, the occasional obstruction of radio propagation by physical objects such as furniture, appliances, and humans is referred to as the non-line-of-sight (NLOS) problem and has been a challenge for indoor localization. In this study, a new indoor localization algorithm to overcome the NLOS problem is proposed. We propose a new method to use redundant fixed nodes and nearest neighbor (NN) measurements, which increases the probability of avoiding NLOS-contaminated measurements. In addition, we propose a novel localization algorithm that can handle the contaminated measurements as clutters. The proposed algorithm is based on the hybrid filtering structure in which probabilistic data association (PDA) filter and a finite impulse response (FIR) filter are used as main and assisting filters, respectively. We adopt the extended minimum variance FIR (EMVF) filter as an assisting FIR filter, which recovers the main PDA filter from failures. Thus, the resulting filter is referred to as hybrid PDA/FIR filter (HPFF). Extensive simulations using an indoor localization scenario in a long corridor were performed for evaluation of the proposed localization algorithm. The EKF using NN measurements improves localization accuracy under temporary NLOS conditions, and the PDA filter further enhances the localization accuracy of EKF. However, EKF and PDA filter cannot completely overcome NLOS problem and exhibit significant increase in errors under certain conditions. The HPFF produced localization accuracy with the root time-averaged mean square (RTAMS) position error under 0.4 m and did not fail under NLOS conditions. The accurate and reliable localization performance of HPFF was demonstrated in comparison with the EKF and PDA filter through extensive WSN-based indoor localization simulations. Full article

A new reliability estimation method based on partial multiplicative dimensional reduction is proposed for probabilistic and non-probabilistic hybrid structural systems. The proposed method is characterized by decorrelating interval input variables from random input variables using the partial multiplicative dimensional reduction method in conjunction with the weakest-link theory. In this method, the failure statistics of the original performance function are equivalent to a statical chain of two elements, in which one of the two elements represents the failures due to random input variables and the other represents the failures due to interval variables. Rather than yielding an estimated interval of failure probability, the proposed method produces a single value for failure probability, which is more meaningful for engineering. In addition, the accuracy, validity, and superiority of the proposed method are demonstrated, and the error-related properties of the proposed method are investigated. Full article

Intelligent fault diagnosis of complex machinery is crucial for industries to reduce the maintenance cost and to improve fault prediction performance. Acoustic signal is an ideal source for diagnosis because of its inherent characteristics in terms of being non-directional and insensitive to structural resonances. However, there are also two main drawbacks of acoustic signal, one of which is the low signal to noise ratio (SNR) caused by its high sensitivity and the other one is the low computational efficiency caused by the huge data size. These would decrease the performance of the fault diagnosis system. Therefore, it is significant to develop a proper feature extraction method to improve computational efficiency and performance in both periodic and irregular fault diagnosis. To enhance SNR of the acquired acoustic signal, the correlation coefficient (CC) method is employed to eliminate the redundant intrinsic mode functions (IMF), which comes from the decomposition procedure of pre-processing known as ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), because the higher the correlated coefficient of an IMF is, the more significant fault signatures it would contain, and the redundant IMF would compromise both the SNR and the computational cost performance. Singular value decomposition (SVD) and sample Entropy (SampEn) are subsequently used to extract the fault feature, by exploiting their sensitivities to irregular and periodic fault signals, respectively. In addition, the proposed feature extraction method using sparse Bayesian based pairwise coupled extreme learning machine (PC-SBELM) outperforms the existing pairwise-coupling probabilistic neural network (PC-PNN) and pairwise-coupling relevance vector machine (PC-RVM) by 1.8% and 2%, respectively, to achieve an accuracy of 93.9%. The experiments conducted on the periodic and irregular faults in the gears and bearings have demonstrated that the proposed hybrid fault diagnosis system is effective. Full article

Acoustic signals are an ideal source of diagnosis data thanks to their intrinsic non-directional coverage, sensitivity to incipient defects, and insensitivity to structural resonance characteristics. However this makes prevailing signal de-nosing and feature extraction methods suffer from high computational cost, low signal to noise ratio (S/N), and difficulty to extract the compound acoustic emissions for various failure types. To address these challenges, we propose a hybrid signal processing technique to depict the embedded signal using generally effective features. The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) is adopted as the fundamental pre-processor, which is integrated with the sample entropy (SampEn), singular value decomposition (SVD), and statistic feature processing (SFP) methods. The SampEn and SVD are identified as the condition indicators for periodical and irregular signals, respectively. Moreover, such a hybrid module is self-adaptive and robust to different signals, which ensures the generality of its performance. The hybrid signal processor is further integrated with a probabilistic classifier, pairwise-coupled relevance vector machine (PCRVM), to construct a new fault diagnosis system. Experimental verifications for industrial equipment show that the proposed diagnostic system is superior to prior methods in computational efficiency and the capability of simultaneously processing non-stationary and nonlinear condition monitoring signals. Full article