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Keywords = mortality predictors

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15 pages, 2073 KB  
Article
Prognostic Value of the RVFWLS/PASP Ratio in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension
by Hongjie Bian, Qinhua Zhao, Fengling Ju, Lan Wang, Yupei Han, Hongling Qiu, Cijun Luo, Pei Gang, Ke Li and Xumeng Ding
J. Cardiovasc. Dev. Dis. 2026, 13(4), 151; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcdd13040151 (registering DOI) - 30 Mar 2026
Abstract
Background: The right ventricular free wall longitudinal strain to pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (RVFWLS/PASP) ratio is an emerging echocardiographic index for evaluating right ventricular–pulmonary artery (RV-PA) coupling. This study aimed to evaluate its prognostic significance and incremental value in risk stratification for patients [...] Read more.
Background: The right ventricular free wall longitudinal strain to pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (RVFWLS/PASP) ratio is an emerging echocardiographic index for evaluating right ventricular–pulmonary artery (RV-PA) coupling. This study aimed to evaluate its prognostic significance and incremental value in risk stratification for patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Methods: We conducted a retrospective–prospective cohort study of 149 adult PAH patients (87 idiopathic PAH and 62 connective tissue disease-associated PAH). RVFWLS was measured via speckle tracking echocardiography, and PASP was estimated using Doppler. The primary endpoint was event-free survival, defined as the first occurrence of all-cause mortality, lung transplantation, or rehospitalization for right heart failure. Kaplan–Meier and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors. Results: During a median follow-up of 32 months, 78 primary events occurred. Patients in the lower RVFWLS/PASP group (<0.246%/mmHg) exhibited significantly worse exercise capacity, higher NT-proBNP levels, and poorer hemodynamics compared with the higher group (≥0.246%/mmHg) (all p < 0.001). The event-free survival rate for the composite endpoint was significantly lower in the group with reduced RVFWLS/PASP compared with that observed in the higher RVFWLS/PASP group (log-rank p < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated RVFWLS/PASP ≥ 0.246%/mmHg was independently predictive of reduced risk for the primary endpoint (HR = 0.46, 95%CI 0.23–0.93, p < 0.05). Moreover, RVFWLS/PASP facilitated additional risk stratification among patients classified as low risk based on established models (FPHN, COMPERA 2.0, and REVEAL Lite 2). Conclusions: RVFWLS/PASP is a robust, independent determinant of long-term prognosis in patients with PAH. As a noninvasive measure of RV-PA coupling, it provides significant incremental value for clinical risk assessment and treatment monitoring. Full article
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13 pages, 431 KB  
Article
Clinical and Subclinical Congestion in Acute Heart Failure: A Multimodal Prognostic Assessment
by Sara Lozano-Jiménez, Paula Vela-Martín, Alba Martín-Centellas, Daniel de Castro, Cristina Mitroi, Francisco José Hernández-Pérez, Marta Cobo-Marcos, Sergio Martínez-Álvarez, Manuel Gómez-Bueno, Javier Segovia-Cubero, Jesús Álvarez-García and Mercedes Rivas-Lasarte
J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15(7), 2601; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072601 (registering DOI) - 29 Mar 2026
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Congestion is a hallmark of heart failure (HF) and a major determinant of outcomes. Non-invasive tools enable detection of subclinical congestion, but their correlation and prognostic relevance remain incompletely defined. The present study aimed to assess the prevalence, evolution, interrelationships, and prognostic [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Congestion is a hallmark of heart failure (HF) and a major determinant of outcomes. Non-invasive tools enable detection of subclinical congestion, but their correlation and prognostic relevance remain incompletely defined. The present study aimed to assess the prevalence, evolution, interrelationships, and prognostic impact of clinical and subclinical congestion markers in patients hospitalized for HF. Methods: This single-centre, prospective cohort study included adults admitted with HF who underwent serial evaluations at admission, 72 h, pre-discharge, early outpatient follow-up and at 6 months. Clinical congestion was assessed using a standardized physical examination score. Subclinical congestion was evaluated using lung ultrasound (LUS), Venous Excess Ultrasound Score (VExUS), and Remote Dielectric Sensing (ReDS). Patients were classified according to the presence of clinical and/or subclinical congestion at discharge. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality, HF readmission, or unscheduled visits requiring intravenous diuretics within six months. Results: Ninety-four patients (mean age 74 ± 11 years, 68% male) were included. While clinical congestion improved significantly during hospitalization, approximately 30% of patients remained clinically congested at discharge. Among clinically euvolemic patients, only 47% showed no evidence of subclinical congestion. Correlations between congestion markers were weak to moderate, suggesting complementary pathophysiological information. At discharge, pulmonary B-lines were the strongest predictor of the composite endpoint (hazard ratio [HR] 3.50, 95% CI 1.41–8.72), followed by clinical congestion (HR 2.67, 95% CI 1.13–6.30). Patients with clinical and subclinical congestion exhibited lower event-free survival. Conclusions: Subclinical congestion is common despite apparent clinical euvolemia and is associated with worse outcomes. Integrating clinical assessment with non-invasive congestion markers may improve post-discharge risk stratification in HF. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Cardiology)
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12 pages, 592 KB  
Article
Increased Three-Year Mortality Was Observed During COVID-19 Pandemic Among Patients Discharged from the Acute Rehabilitation Ward After Acetabular and Femoral Fracture Surgery
by Slađana Vuković Baras, Asija Rota Čeprnja, Dinko Pivalica, Renata Kožul Blaževski, Andrija Jukić, Ljupka Barić, Dušanka Martinović Kaliterna and Jure Aljinović
Medicina 2026, 62(4), 650; https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina62040650 (registering DOI) - 29 Mar 2026
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Hip fracture surgery is considered a major operation due to the risk of complications and increased mortality. COVID-19 is a newly recognized risk factor for increased mortality in regard to various diseases. Materials and Methods: The aim of this [...] Read more.
Background and Objectives: Hip fracture surgery is considered a major operation due to the risk of complications and increased mortality. COVID-19 is a newly recognized risk factor for increased mortality in regard to various diseases. Materials and Methods: The aim of this retrospective observational study, conducted from January 2018 to April 2022, was to analyze mortality among rehabilitation ward patients after surgical treatment of acetabular or femoral fractures in both the COVID-19 and pre-COVID-19 periods. The association between mortality and age, gender, comorbidity status, and number of complications during hospital stay was also examined. Results: Higher mortality was observed in the COVID-19-period group during all analyzed periods: cumulative three-year mortality was 2.3 times higher (14.2% vs. 6.2%, p = 0.013); two-year mortality was 3.7 times higher (9.2% vs. 2.5%, p = 0.005); and first-year mortality was 8.3 times higher (5.0% vs. 0.6%, p = 0.006). The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and admission during the COVID-19 period were strong predictors of mortality, while the number of complications, age, and gender did not significantly influence the mortality rate. An increase of one point in CCI resulted in a 42% increase in the likelihood of mortality, while hospitalization during the COVID-19 period was associated with an odds ratio of 2.44 for death compared to the pre-COVID-19 period (p = 0.013, 95% CI [1.19, 4.94]). Conclusions: The excess mortality may be attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic because the groups were comparable in all other aspects (Barthel index, CCI, complications, age, and gender). Additional five-year mortality data will be useful for analyzing mortality dynamics, as pre-COVID-19 patients will enter the COVID-19 period and COVID-19 patients will enter the post-COVID-19 period. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Epidemiology & Public Health)
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13 pages, 450 KB  
Article
Predictors of Adverse 30-Day Outcomes After Right Coronary Artery ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction
by Alexander P. Bate, Kyle B. Franke, Ethan Nguyen, Dominic Sutton, Ross L. Roberts-Thomson, Adam J. Nelson, Jessica A. Marathe and Peter J. Psaltis
J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15(7), 2595; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072595 (registering DOI) - 28 Mar 2026
Abstract
Background: There is limited contemporary evidence on predictors of adverse outcomes in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) involving the right coronary artery (RCA). We examined this in a single-centre retrospective cohort study, focusing on 30-day outcomes. Methods: Consecutive patients presenting to an Australian tertiary [...] Read more.
Background: There is limited contemporary evidence on predictors of adverse outcomes in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) involving the right coronary artery (RCA). We examined this in a single-centre retrospective cohort study, focusing on 30-day outcomes. Methods: Consecutive patients presenting to an Australian tertiary hospital between May 2022 and April 2024 with acute STEMI who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or rescue PCI were eligible. Patients were divided into STEMI due to RCA and non-RCA culprit lesions, and their characteristics were compared. The primary outcome was a composite of 30-day all-cause mortality and cardiogenic shock. Results: Among 320 included patients, the primary composite outcome was similar between the RCA and non-RCA groups (12% vs. 15%, p = 0.44), although 30-day mortality was lower in the RCA-STEMI group (2% vs. 8%, p = 0.01). In the RCA-STEMI cohort, right ventricular (RV) longitudinal dysfunction on echocardiogram, defined as a tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) < 17 mm or RV tissue doppler lateral annular systolic velocity (RV S′) < 10 cm/s (p = 0.04), and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow < 3 in the RV marginal branch post-PCI (p = 0.04) were independently associated with the primary outcome. The latter was also associated with a higher risk of intensive care unit admission for cardiogenic shock (p < 0.01) and heart failure requiring inpatient diuresis (p = 0.02). Conclusions: In patients with RCA-STEMI, compromised RV marginal branch flow post-PCI and impaired RV function were independently associated with the composite primary outcome of 30-day all-cause mortality and cardiogenic shock. These characteristics may assist early identification of at-risk individuals who could benefit from pro-active monitoring and early implementation of therapies for cardiogenic shock. Full article
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14 pages, 1500 KB  
Article
Ischemic Vascular Complications in Early Systemic Sclerosis (SSc): A Longitudinal Inception Cohort Study of Associated Clinical Factors and Mortality
by Suparaporn Wangkaew, Chammaliang Preecha, Narawudt Prasertwitayakij and Juntima Euathrongchit
J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15(7), 2575; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072575 - 27 Mar 2026
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Predictors of ischemic vascular complications (IVCs)—including coronary artery disease (CAD), ischemic stroke, and digital gangrene—in patients with early SSc remain insufficiently defined. Therefore, we aim to determine the incidence, risk factors, and mortality associated with IVCs in early SSc. Methods: An inception [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Predictors of ischemic vascular complications (IVCs)—including coronary artery disease (CAD), ischemic stroke, and digital gangrene—in patients with early SSc remain insufficiently defined. Therefore, we aim to determine the incidence, risk factors, and mortality associated with IVCs in early SSc. Methods: An inception cohort of patients with early SSc at the Rheumatology Clinic, Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital, Thailand, was studied from January 2010 to December 2023. Clinical, laboratory, and cardiopulmonary assessments were performed at baseline and annually thereafter. Results: A total of 146 patients (83 female, 119 DcSSc) were enrolled, with a mean disease duration of 11.5 ± 8.9 months from the first non-Raynaud’s phenomenon (NRP). The mean follow-up was 8.0 ± 3.9 years. Seventeen patients (11.6%) developed IVCs, three CAD, four ischemic stroke, eight digital gangrene, and two digital gangrene plus CAD. The median time to first IVCs was two years. The overall incidence rate of IVCs from the NRP was 1.44 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.89–2.32). Independent factors associated with IVCs included baseline (BL) digital ulcer, traumatic ulcer, LVEF < 50%, elevated pro-BNP, and any atrial fibrillation. BL pro-BNP and dyslipidemia were independently associated with CAD, whereas BL pro-BNP and any atrial fibrillation were associated with ischemic stroke. BL digital ulcer, traumatic ulcer, and any LVEF < 50% were associated with digital gangrene. All-cause mortality was higher among patients with IVCs than those without (9 [52.9%] vs. 37 [28.7], p = 0.043). Conclusions: In this study, IVCs were uncommon in early SSc, but were associated with increased mortality. Digital ulcers, traumatic ulcers, atrial fibrillation, impaired LVEF, and elevated pro-BNP identified the patients at higher risk of IVCs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Immunology & Rheumatology)
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14 pages, 1070 KB  
Article
Hemoglobin-to-Red Cell Distribution Width Ratio as a Prognostic Marker in Decompensated Heart Failure Patients: A Prospective Observational Study
by Ruxandra Maria Christodorescu, Călin Muntean, Minodora Andor, Daniel Lighezan, Adina Pop Moldovan, Andrei Blajevschi, Samuel Ardelean and Dan Darabanțiu
Life 2026, 16(4), 551; https://doi.org/10.3390/life16040551 - 27 Mar 2026
Viewed by 67
Abstract
Background and Methods: This prospective observational study investigated the prognostic value of the hemoglobin-to-red cell distribution width ratio (HRR) in 278 patients hospitalized with decompensated heart failure (HF). The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality or HF rehospitalization at 12 months. [...] Read more.
Background and Methods: This prospective observational study investigated the prognostic value of the hemoglobin-to-red cell distribution width ratio (HRR) in 278 patients hospitalized with decompensated heart failure (HF). The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality or HF rehospitalization at 12 months. Multivariable Cox regression was employed to adjust for risk factors including age, sex, NT-proBNP, LVEF, and eGFR. Results: The median HRR was 0.89. During follow-up, the primary endpoint occurred in 167 (60.1%) patients. Unadjusted analysis showed a lower HRR was significantly associated with reduced event-free survival (log-rank p = 0.027). However, after multivariable adjustment, this association was no longer statistically significant (p = 0.240). Older age and male sex remained independent predictors. Conclusions: In patients with decompensated HF, a lower baseline HRR correlates with increased risk but does not maintain independent prognostic value after adjusting for powerful confounders. HRR may serve as a simple, initial marker of risk rather than an independent predictor. Full article
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14 pages, 234 KB  
Article
The Prognostic Significance of the Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) and HALP Score in Hodgkin’s Lymphoma
by Kübra Oral and Ayşe Uysal
Diagnostics 2026, 16(7), 980; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16070980 - 25 Mar 2026
Viewed by 178
Abstract
Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of lymphocyte-associated inflammatory markers and the HALP score in patients with Hodgkin’s lymphoma. Methods: This was a retrospective study that included patients who were diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma and followed up between [...] Read more.
Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of lymphocyte-associated inflammatory markers and the HALP score in patients with Hodgkin’s lymphoma. Methods: This was a retrospective study that included patients who were diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma and followed up between 2004 and 2024. The inflammatory markers (NLR, PLR, MLR, SII, SIRI, and PIV) and HALP score were calculated from the patients’ biochemical and hematological parameters, and the relationship between these parameters and stage, spleen and liver involvement, relapse, mortality, overall survival, and progression-free survival was analyzed. Results: A total of 117 patients were included, and multivariate analysis indicated that progression-free survival was statistically and significantly associated with treatment type (p = 0.0285), PLR (p = 0.0188), and PIV (p = 0.0297). In terms of overall survival, age (p = 0.0011), treatment type (p = 0.0108), and SIRI (p = 0.0108) remained as statistically significant predictors. Although the HALP score showed a significant association with PFS in the univariate analysis (p = 0.0104), this association did not persist in the multivariate model. In addition, no statistically significant relationship between the HALP score and OS was observed in either the univariate or multivariate analysis. Conclusions: The SIRI is a prognostic marker in Hodgkin’s lymphoma and may be useful for predicting overall survival. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Clinical Laboratory Medicine)
26 pages, 4573 KB  
Article
Concurrent Prediction of Length of Stay, Mortality, and Total Charges in Patients with Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia Using Continuous Machine Learning
by Jiahui Ma, Elizabeth Johnson, Bradley M. Whitaker, Faraz Dadgostari, Hansjorg Schwertz and Bernadette McCrory
Informatics 2026, 13(4), 47; https://doi.org/10.3390/informatics13040047 - 24 Mar 2026
Viewed by 156
Abstract
Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) presents significant clinical challenges due to its genetic complexity and high relapse rates. While outcomes like length of stay (LOS), mortality, and total charges (TCs) are critical quality indicators, most existing models rely on static data and separate outcome [...] Read more.
Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) presents significant clinical challenges due to its genetic complexity and high relapse rates. While outcomes like length of stay (LOS), mortality, and total charges (TCs) are critical quality indicators, most existing models rely on static data and separate outcome modeling. This study utilized the HCUP National Inpatient Sample (NIS) to develop a dynamic, concurrent prediction model for prolonged LOS and mortality (PLOSM), alongside a framework for TCs. By integrating temporally updated patient information, the concurrent approach outperformed single-outcome models. Within the first seven days of hospitalization, the model achieved accuracy and precision above 90%, with recall and F1-scores exceeding 80%. Key predictors of these outcomes included age, race, insurance type, financial indicators, and elective surgery status. Notably, both prolonged LOS and mortality were significant drivers of TCs. By bridging predictive modeling and real-time clinical data, this framework enables data-driven decision-making to optimize patient management, enhance safety, and mitigate the financial burden of ALL care. Full article
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14 pages, 1164 KB  
Article
Albumin-Anchored Composite Ratios of Blood Urea Nitrogen, C-Reactive Protein, Lactate, and Creatinine for Predicting Mortality in Chronically Ill Intensive Care Unit Patients
by Nilgün Şahin, Semih Aydemir, Nazan Has Selmi, İbrahim Ertaş, Yavuz Kutay Gökçe, Cihan Döğer, Gökçen Terzi, Mesher Ensarioğlu and Recep Dokuyucu
J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15(7), 2470; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072470 - 24 Mar 2026
Viewed by 155
Abstract
Background: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic performance of four albumin-anchored ratios—blood urea nitrogen/albumin ratio (BAR), C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), lactate/albumin ratio (LAR), and albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR)—in predicting short-term mortality among intensive care unit (ICU) patients with pre-existing chronic comorbidities. Additionally, we [...] Read more.
Background: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic performance of four albumin-anchored ratios—blood urea nitrogen/albumin ratio (BAR), C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), lactate/albumin ratio (LAR), and albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR)—in predicting short-term mortality among intensive care unit (ICU) patients with pre-existing chronic comorbidities. Additionally, we assessed their incremental prognostic value beyond established severity scores such as APACHE II and SOFA. Materials and Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 520 chronically ill adult ICU patients admitted between July 2022 and July 2025. Patients with missing laboratory data, ICU stay <24 h, or postoperative monitoring only were excluded. BAR, CAR, LAR, and ACR were calculated from admission laboratory values. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, multivariate logistic regression, and model improvement metrics (C-statistics, NRI, IDI) were used to assess predictive performance. Results: Non-survivors had significantly higher BAR (15.0 vs. 8.2), CAR (39.2 vs. 19.1), and LAR (0.86 vs. 0.44) values and lower ACR (2.0 vs. 3.4) (all p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, all four ratios independently predicted 28-day mortality (p < 0.001 for each). CAR showed the highest AUC (0.80), followed by LAR (0.79), BAR (0.78), and ACR (0.76). Incorporating all four ratios improved model discrimination (C-statistic 0.872 vs. 0.823; Δ = +0.049, p < 0.001) and reclassification (NRI = 0.162; IDI = 0.052). Conclusions: BAR, CAR, LAR, and ACR are independent and complementary predictors of short-term mortality in ICU patients with chronic comorbidities. Among them, CAR exhibited the best discriminative power. The combined use of these ratios enhanced risk prediction beyond traditional severity scores, suggesting their utility as simple, cost-effective markers for early mortality assessment. Because these indices are calculated from routinely measured laboratory parameters, they may represent practical and widely accessible tools for mortality risk stratification in routine ICU practice. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Clinical Management for Anesthesia Critical Care)
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16 pages, 764 KB  
Article
Integrating Tumor Biology and Host Factors in mCRPC: The Prognostic Value of ‘Time to Castration Resistance’, Systemic Inflammation, and Comorbidity Burden in Patients Treated with Enzalutamide
by Seda Sali, Arife Ulaş, Sibel Oyucu Orhan, Sevgi Topçu, Muharrem Koçar, Mürsel Sali, Birol Ocak, Adem Deligönül, Türkkan Evrensel and Erdem Çubukçu
Diagnostics 2026, 16(6), 950; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16060950 - 23 Mar 2026
Viewed by 153
Abstract
Background: Outcomes with enzalutamide in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) are influenced by tumor burden, disease kinetics, and host factors. We evaluated the relative prognostic impact of metastatic pattern, laboratory markers, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics in a real-world cohort. Methods: We retrospectively [...] Read more.
Background: Outcomes with enzalutamide in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) are influenced by tumor burden, disease kinetics, and host factors. We evaluated the relative prognostic impact of metastatic pattern, laboratory markers, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics in a real-world cohort. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 72 patients with mCRPC treated with enzalutamide. Progression-Free Survival (PFS) and Overall Survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to identify independent predictors of survival, incorporating clinical variables (visceral metastases, bone tumor burden), kinetic parameters (Time to Castration Resistance [TTCR], Time to PSA Nadir [TTN]), and host factors (Charlson Comorbidity Index [CCI], Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS), Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index [SII], HALP score). Results: Visceral metastasis was a dominant predictor of poor outcomes, increasing the risk of death by 4.0-fold (HR: 4.05; 95% CI: 1.84–8.89; p < 0.001). A high skeletal tumor burden (≥5 bone lesions) was identified as a critical threshold, associated with a 5.5-fold increase in mortality risk (HR: 5.53; p < 0.001). Delays in initiating enzalutamide significantly compromised survival, with each 1-month delay increasing the risk of death by 7.3% (HR: 1.07; p = 0.003). While early PSA decline (≥50% at 3 months) did not independently predict OS, a prolonged TTN (>12 months) was associated with superior survival. Notably, host-related factors, including age, CCI, and ECOG PS, were not found to be significantly associated with survival outcomes in this specific dataset. Conclusions: Our preliminary findings suggest that survival in real-world mCRPC patients treated with enzalutamide may be influenced predominantly by intrinsic tumor biology—specifically anatomical extent and resistance kinetics—rather than host frailty or comorbidity burden. However, given the retrospective and single-center nature of this study, these findings should be considered hypothesis-generating and require validation in larger, multi-center cohorts. Host-related variables (including age and CCI) were evaluated but were not retained as independent predictors in the final multivariable model. Early initiation of therapy and monitoring of kinetic markers like TTN and TTCR offer superior prognostic stratification compared to static baseline characteristics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Prostate Cancer: Innovations in Diagnosis and Risk Stratification)
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11 pages, 358 KB  
Article
Pan-Immune-Inflammation Value as a Novel Predictor of Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in Patients Treated with Primary PCI for STEMI
by Gökhan Çiçek, Sadık Kadri Açıkgöz, Eser Açıkgöz and Servet Altay
J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15(6), 2456; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15062456 - 23 Mar 2026
Viewed by 244
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing procedures that require intravascular contrast administration. Therefore, the early identification of high-risk individuals is paramount, above all for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients in need [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing procedures that require intravascular contrast administration. Therefore, the early identification of high-risk individuals is paramount, above all for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients in need of urgent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods: This retrospective study evaluated the prognostic value of the Pan-Immune-Inflammation Value (PIV), a composite inflammatory index, in predicting CA-AKI among patients presenting with STEMI who received urgent PCI within a 12 h window from the onset of symptoms. Results: This study recruited 2325 patient. CA-AKI was defined as a >25% or ≥0.5 mg/dL increase in serum creatinine within 48–72 h after the procedure. Patients were categorized into CA-AKI (+) and CA-AKI (−) groups. PIV levels were significantly higher in patients who developed CA-AKI (502.5 ± 324.5 vs. 264.7 ± 165.8; p < 0.001). ROC analysis identified a PIV cutoff value of >320, yielding an AUC of 0.753 (95% CI: 0.740–0.787; p < 0.001), with 67% sensitivity and 66.9% specificity. Multivariate logistic regression confirmed that PIV > 320 independently predicted CA-AKI (OR 2.118; 95% CI: 1.329–3.790; p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, age, Killip class, contrast volume, and PIV > 320 were identified as independent predictors of CA-AKI. Conclusions: Elevated admission PIV serves as an independent and practical biomarker for predicting CA-AKI in STEMI patients undergoing PCI. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Cardiology)
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27 pages, 420 KB  
Review
The Role of GDF-15 in Heart Failure and Biomarker Potential—From Basic Science to Clinical Praxis
by Mário Barbosa, Maria Ana Martins, Joana Fernandes-Silva, Ana Melício and Álvaro M. Martins
Biology 2026, 15(6), 516; https://doi.org/10.3390/biology15060516 - 23 Mar 2026
Viewed by 235
Abstract
Heart failure (HF) prognosis, particularly readmission and mortality, remains poor irrespective of advances in its management. Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a member of the transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-β) superfamily that arises as a promising biomarker to improve HF management, still despite two [...] Read more.
Heart failure (HF) prognosis, particularly readmission and mortality, remains poor irrespective of advances in its management. Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a member of the transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-β) superfamily that arises as a promising biomarker to improve HF management, still despite two decades of extensive investigation some issues remain controversial. We performed a search in PubMed using the following Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) to identify relevant studies published in the last five years (after the latest updates of the guidelines by major Scientific Societies): “Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15)”, “heart failure”, “prognosis” and “diagnosis”. The search was supplemented by data previous to this period, considered of utmost importance. A total of 115 articles written in English were retrieved. Extensive evidence supports GDF-15 as an independent predictor of adverse outcomes across the heterogeneous HF spectrum and its addition to risk scores based on traditional biomarkers improves prognostic power. However, limited tissue specificity restricts its diagnostic value. Tailored treatment strategies and its role as a therapeutic target remain speculative, as the effect of HF therapies on GDF-15 levels is unclear and clinical trials have been unsuccessful. Large prospective studies are needed to validate its reliability for routine clinical use. Full article
20 pages, 621 KB  
Review
Risk Stratification for Postoperative Mortality in Cardiac Surgery: “Quo Vadis”?
by Radu-Alexandru Iacobescu, Tiberiu Lunguleac, Sabina Antoniu, Vlăduț Mirel Burduloi, Virgil Bulimar and Grigore Tinica
Medicina 2026, 62(3), 606; https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina62030606 - 23 Mar 2026
Viewed by 138
Abstract
Risk assessment for immediate mortality is a vital component of the preoperative assessment in elective cardiac surgeries of the adult population. It is generally used to inform consent and plan postoperative care, but can also help identify patients who need preoperative optimization. Risk [...] Read more.
Risk assessment for immediate mortality is a vital component of the preoperative assessment in elective cardiac surgeries of the adult population. It is generally used to inform consent and plan postoperative care, but can also help identify patients who need preoperative optimization. Risk assessment for open cardiac interventions remains difficult, as an absolute risk assessment tool is still lacking. In this narrative review, we examine recent data on the predictive performance of commonly used risk assessment tools in cardiac surgery and explore missed opportunities to improve predictive performance, including overlooked independent predictors and alternative calculation strategies, such as machine learning. The literature shows that the most popular risk assessment tools are the Parsonnet score, EuroSCORE II, STS-PROM, and ACEF. These have reasonable discriminative capabilities across most populations but occasionally suffer from poor calibration and over- or underprediction. Preoperative inflammation, functional status, physical performance, nutrition, and frailty are potentially relevant clinical factors that could improve mortality prediction modeling using traditional approaches. By far, the largest advancement comes from artificial intelligence-based models that demonstrate superior predictive capabilities utilizing the same predictors. These models are still in development, have not received external validation, are not yet trusted by physicians, and may not be accessible to all institutions due to computing limitations, and thus are not ready for global rollout. Further research in identifying novel predictors of mortality is required, and efforts are needed to validate machine learning models in external cohorts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Cardiology)
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22 pages, 1037 KB  
Article
Risk Factors for Mortality in Critically Ill Patients with Diabetes Admitted to the ICU: A Single-Center Retrospective Observational Study
by Mădălina Diana Daina (Fehér), Codrin Dan Nicolae Ilea, Cosmin Mihai Vesa, Alina Cristiana Venter, Simona Daciana Birsan, Timea Claudia Ghitea, László Fehér and Cristian Marius Daina
J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15(6), 2439; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15062439 - 23 Mar 2026
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Abstract
Background and Objectives: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a highly prevalent comorbidity among critically ill patients and may significantly influence intensive care unit (ICU) outcomes through metabolic, immune, and cardiovascular mechanisms. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of DM on clinical profile, [...] Read more.
Background and Objectives: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a highly prevalent comorbidity among critically ill patients and may significantly influence intensive care unit (ICU) outcomes through metabolic, immune, and cardiovascular mechanisms. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of DM on clinical profile, comorbidities, complications, need for intensive support, and mortality in adult ICU patients. Materials and Methods: A retrospective observational study was conducted between January and December 2024 in a tertiary ICU, including 1344 adult patients. Among them, 435 (32.37%) had DM. Demographic data, admission diagnoses, laboratory parameters, comorbidities, complications, therapeutic interventions, and outcomes were analyzed. Comparative statistical analysis and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify independent predictors of ICU mortality. Results: Patients with DM were significantly older than patients without diabetes mellitus (non-DM group) (69.62 ± 10.26 vs. 67.16 ± 14.26 years, p < 0.001) and more frequently female (57%, p = 0.0002). At admission, they presented higher glycemia (204.7 vs. 134.0 mg/dL, p < 0.00001), reduced glomerular filtration rate (47.2 vs. 59.5 mL/min/1.73 m2, p < 0.00001), and more pronounced lymphocytopenia (p = 0.025). Cardiovascular and renal comorbidities were significantly more prevalent in DM, including hypertension (76.3%), heart failure (32.4%), and chronic kidney disease (33.1%) (all p < 0.01). DM was associated with increased odds of sepsis (OR 1.56), acute kidney injury (OR 1.51), and obesity (OR 2.57). ICU mortality was significantly higher in patients with DM (54.9% vs. 46.3%, p = 0.004; RR 1.19). Independent predictors of death included mechanical ventilation (OR 36.48), inotropic therapy (OR 4.74), hemodialysis (OR 2.57), elevated lactate, neutrophilia, and reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR). Conclusions: DM was associated with increased ICU mortality and a higher burden of cardio-renal comorbidities and complications; however, mortality in the multivariate model was primarily driven by markers of organ dysfunction and the need for advanced supportive therapies. Early risk stratification and individualized management strategies are essential to improve outcomes in critically ill patients with diabetes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Intensive Care)
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12 pages, 1012 KB  
Article
A Risk Model Incorporating the Novel Inflammatory Biomarker CD64 for Predicting Bloodstream Infection in Suspected Cases
by Teng Xu, Yu Zhou, Bei Wang, Li Wang, Yinglu Wan, Shi Wu and Haihui Huang
Antibiotics 2026, 15(3), 322; https://doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics15030322 - 23 Mar 2026
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Abstract
Background/Objectives: Bloodstream infection (BSI) is a significant cause of mortality. The availability of a convenient tool for predicting the risk of BSI at the early stage would be beneficial for clinicians, allowing them to improve the outcomes of BSI and avoid antibiotic [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Bloodstream infection (BSI) is a significant cause of mortality. The availability of a convenient tool for predicting the risk of BSI at the early stage would be beneficial for clinicians, allowing them to improve the outcomes of BSI and avoid antibiotic overuse. Methods: A multivariate prediction model was constructed based on conventional laboratory test results and novel serum inflammatory markers in a cohort of patients with suspected BSI over a one-year period using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression. Results: BSI was confirmed in 99 (32.0%) of the 309 enrolled patients. Five readily available markers were identified as independent predictors: the presence of local infection, platelet count, and C-reactive protein, procalcitonin (PCT), and CD64 levels. A nomogram based on these five variables achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.85 in predicting the risk of BSI. The nomogram was superior to PCT alone in terms of the net clinical benefits obtained in a rather wide range of threshold probabilities. Conclusions: The simple five-variable nomogram developed in this study is useful for timely prediction of individuals at high risk of BSI. It may be used in clinical practice to facilitate timely decision-making on antimicrobial treatment and avoid inappropriate overuse of antibiotics. Full article
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