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22 pages, 9790 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Hazard of Flooding from Breaching of the Alacranes Dam in Villa Clara, Cuba
by Victor Manuel Carvajal González, Carlos Lázaro Castillo García, Lisdelys González-Rodriguez, Luciana Silva and Jorge Jiménez
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6864; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156864 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 1025
Abstract
Flooding due to dam failures is a critical issue with significant impacts on human safety, infrastructure, and the environment. This study assessed the potential flood hazard that could be generated from breaching of the Alacranes dam in Villa Clara, Cuba. Thirteen reservoir breaching [...] Read more.
Flooding due to dam failures is a critical issue with significant impacts on human safety, infrastructure, and the environment. This study assessed the potential flood hazard that could be generated from breaching of the Alacranes dam in Villa Clara, Cuba. Thirteen reservoir breaching scenarios were simulated under several criteria for modeling the flood wave through the 2D Saint Venant equations using the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System (HEC-RAS). A sensitivity analysis was performed on Manning’s roughness coefficient, demonstrating a low variability of the model outputs for these events. The results show that, for all modeled scenarios, the terrain topography of the coastal plain expands the flood wave, reaching a maximum width of up to 105,057 km. The most critical scenario included a 350 m breach in just 0.67 h. Flood, velocity, and hazard maps were generated, identifying populated areas potentially affected by the flooding events. The reported depths, velocities, and maximum flows could pose extreme danger to infrastructure and populated areas downstream. These types of studies are crucial for both risk assessment and emergency planning in the event of a potential dam breach. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hazards and Sustainability)
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20 pages, 16378 KiB  
Article
Ice Avalanche-Triggered Glacier Lake Outburst Flood: Hazard Assessment at Jiongpuco, Southeastern Tibet
by Shuwu Li, Changhu Li, Zhengzheng Li, Lei Li and Wei Wang
Water 2025, 17(14), 2102; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17142102 - 15 Jul 2025
Viewed by 508
Abstract
With ongoing global warming, glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) and associated debris flows pose increasing threats to downstream communities and infrastructure. Glacial lakes differ in their triggering factors and breach mechanisms, necessitating event-specific analysis. This study investigates the GLOF risk of Jiongpuco Lake, [...] Read more.
With ongoing global warming, glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) and associated debris flows pose increasing threats to downstream communities and infrastructure. Glacial lakes differ in their triggering factors and breach mechanisms, necessitating event-specific analysis. This study investigates the GLOF risk of Jiongpuco Lake, located in the southeastern part of the Tibetan Plateau, using an integrated approach combining remote sensing, field surveys, and numerical modeling. Results show that the lake has expanded significantly—from 2.08 km2 in 1990 to 5.43 km2 in 2021—with the most rapid increase observed between 2015 and 2016. InSAR data and optical imagery indicate that surrounding moraine deposits remain generally stable. However, ice avalanches from the glacier terminus are identified as the primary trigger for lake outburst via wave-induced overtopping. Mechanical and geomorphological analyses suggest that the moraine dam is resistant to downcutting erosion, reinforcing overtopping as the dominant failure mode. To assess potential impacts, three numerical simulation scenarios were conducted based on different avalanche volumes. Under the extreme scenario involving a 5-million m3 ice avalanche, the modeled peak discharge at the dam site reaches approximately 19,000 m3/s. Despite the high flood magnitude, the broad and gently sloped downstream terrain facilitates rapid attenuation of flood peaks, resulting in limited impact on downstream settlements. These findings offer critical insights for GLOF hazard assessment, disaster preparedness, and risk mitigation under a changing climate. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Water-Related Landslide Hazard Process and Its Triggering Events)
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18 pages, 6970 KiB  
Article
Study on Lateral Erosion Failure Behavior of Reinforced Fine-Grained Tailings Dam Due to Overtopping Breach
by Yun Luo, Mingjun Zhou, Menglai Wang, Yan Feng, Hongwei Luo, Jian Ou, Shangwei Wu and Xiaofei Jing
Water 2025, 17(14), 2088; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17142088 - 12 Jul 2025
Viewed by 336
Abstract
The overtopping-induced lateral erosion breaching of tailings dams represents a critical disaster mechanism threatening structural safety, particularly in reinforced fine-grained tailings dams where erosion behaviors demonstrate pronounced water–soil coupling characteristics and material anisotropy. Through physical model tests and numerical simulations, this study systematically [...] Read more.
The overtopping-induced lateral erosion breaching of tailings dams represents a critical disaster mechanism threatening structural safety, particularly in reinforced fine-grained tailings dams where erosion behaviors demonstrate pronounced water–soil coupling characteristics and material anisotropy. Through physical model tests and numerical simulations, this study systematically investigates lateral erosion failure patterns of reinforced fine-grained tailings under overtopping flow conditions. Utilizing a self-developed hydraulic initiation test apparatus, with aperture sizes of reinforced geogrids (2–3 mm) and flow rates (4–16 cm/s) as key control variables, the research elucidates the interaction mechanisms of “hydraulic scouring-particle migration-geogrid anti-sliding” during lateral erosion processes. The study revealed that compared to unreinforced specimens, reinforced specimens with varying aperture sizes (2–3 mm) demonstrated systematic reductions in final lateral erosion depths across flow rates (4–16 cm/s): 3.3–5.8 mm (15.6−27.4% reduction), 3.1–7.2 mm (12.8–29.6% reduction), 2.3–11 mm (6.9–32.8% reduction), and 2.5–11.4 mm (6.2–28.2% reduction). Smaller-aperture geogrids (2 mm × 2 mm) significantly enhanced anti-erosion performance through superior particle migration inhibition. Concurrently, a pronounced positive correlation between flow rate and lateral erosion depth was confirmed, where increased flow rates weakened particle erosion resistance and exacerbated lateral erosion severity. The numerical simulation results are in basic agreement with the lateral erosion failure process observed in model tests, revealing the dynamic process of lateral erosion in the overtopping breach of a reinforced tailings dam. These findings provide critical theoretical foundations for optimizing reinforced tailings dam design, construction quality control, and operational maintenance, while offering substantial engineering applications for advancing green mine construction. Full article
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22 pages, 8042 KiB  
Article
Assessing Flood Risks of Small Reservoirs in Huangshan, Anhui Province, China
by Ning Yang, Gang Wang, Minglei Ren, Qingqing Sun, Rong Tang, Liping Zhao, Jintang Zhang and Yawei Ning
Water 2025, 17(12), 1786; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17121786 - 14 Jun 2025
Viewed by 557
Abstract
Based on the regional disaster system theory, this study constructed a comprehensive flood risk indicator system for small reservoirs, covering the entire flood disaster process from three dimensions: hazard, vulnerability, and exposure. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and entropy weight method (EW) were [...] Read more.
Based on the regional disaster system theory, this study constructed a comprehensive flood risk indicator system for small reservoirs, covering the entire flood disaster process from three dimensions: hazard, vulnerability, and exposure. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and entropy weight method (EW) were used to determine indicator weights, and a risk assessment was conducted for small reservoirs in Huangshan City, Anhui Province, China. The results indicate that most reservoirs exhibit medium–low overall risk, yet distinct localized high-risk zones exist. High-economic-density areas such as Tunxi District, the central–eastern parts of Huangshan District, and the central and eastern parts of Qimen County have become high-risk clusters due to prominent exposure indicators (numbers of villages and medical facilities). Reservoirs in western and northern regions exhibit higher hazard levels, primarily driven by rainfall and catchment areas. Dam height and reservoir capacity are the main factors affecting vulnerability, with no significant spatial clustering for high-vulnerability reservoirs. Through the decoupling of three-dimensional indicators, this study reveals the differentiated driving mechanisms of “hazard–vulnerability–exposure,” providing a scientific basis for optimizing flood control engineering (e.g., reservoir capacity expansion, dam reinforcement) and risk zoning management (e.g., emergency evacuation planning in high-exposure areas) for small reservoirs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Flood Risk Assessment on Reservoirs)
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20 pages, 3319 KiB  
Article
Calculation of Overtopping Risk Probability and Assessment of Risk Consequences of Cascade Reservoirs
by Meirong Jia, Xin Lu, Xiangyi Ding, Junying Chu, Xinyi Ma and Xiaojie Tang
Sustainability 2025, 17(11), 4839; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114839 - 24 May 2025
Viewed by 514
Abstract
In the case of extreme disasters such as local rainstorm and excessive flood, the safety risk analysis and prevention and control of cascade reservoirs face new challenges. Therefore, this article conducted a risk analysis based on typical watersheds and proposed a method for [...] Read more.
In the case of extreme disasters such as local rainstorm and excessive flood, the safety risk analysis and prevention and control of cascade reservoirs face new challenges. Therefore, this article conducted a risk analysis based on typical watersheds and proposed a method for calculating the risk rate of overtopping in cascade reservoir groups, dynamically simulated the evolution process of overtopping floods in cascade reservoirs under different scenarios, delineated the scope of flood inundation, and evaluated the risk of overtopping of cascade reservoirs under different scenarios. Research has shown that dam failure floods in cascade reservoirs have both cumulative and cumulative effects, with scenario 3 being the most unfavorable. In scenario 3, the peak flow rates at the dam sites of each reservoir reached 24,500, 19,200, and 20,100 m3/s. According to the comprehensive risk assessment criteria, scenarios 1 and 2 are classified as moderate risks, while scenario 3 is classified as mild risk. Research has found that although the probability of dam overflow is extremely low, the high vulnerability calculated for each scenario indicates that a breach will cause significant social losses. This study can provide reference for the risk assessment of overtopping in cascade reservoirs and flood control and disaster reduction. Full article
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30 pages, 9646 KiB  
Review
Overtopping-Induced Embankment Breaching Experiments: State-of-the-Art Review on Measurement and Instrumentation
by Filmon Tquabo Gebremariam, Asfafaw Haileselassie Tesfay, Fjóla Guðrún Sigtryggsdóttir, Haddush Goitom and Leif Lia
Water 2025, 17(7), 1051; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17071051 - 2 Apr 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 957
Abstract
The breaching of embankments have devastating consequences for the economic, human, cultural, and environmental assets. One of the most widely used approaches for understanding the characteristics of embankment breaching is through laboratory and field-scale experiments. Despite the advancements in instrumentation and measurement techniques [...] Read more.
The breaching of embankments have devastating consequences for the economic, human, cultural, and environmental assets. One of the most widely used approaches for understanding the characteristics of embankment breaching is through laboratory and field-scale experiments. Despite the advancements in instrumentation and measurement techniques of embankment breaching experiments, there is a lack of comprehensive documentation. In this review, the advancements and state-of-the-art instrumentation and measurement techniques employed in overtopping-induced embankment breaching of laboratory and field-scale experiments are discussed. The key parameters commonly measured in experimental modeling are breach morphological changes, reservoir and flow depth, velocity, breach outflow, and pore water pressure. Instrumentation for breach morphological change detection, including mechanical, photography, photogrammetry, electronic sensors, and laser technologies, are reviewed. The various flow velocity measuring techniques, such as Particle Tracking Velocimetry (PTV), Particle Imaging Velocimetry (PIV), acoustic, and radar-based techniques, are discussed. Instrumentation for water level, flow rate, and pore pressure measurements are also briefly documented. The challenges and constraints encountered during embankment breaching experiments are discussed. The review further suggests future perspectives in improving the accuracy of breach detection, velocity, and pore pressure measurement techniques. Additionally, improving scale effects by incorporating geotechnical factors is also recommended. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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24 pages, 12892 KiB  
Article
The Impact of a Clay-Core Embankment Dam Break on the Flood Wave Characteristics
by Cristina-Sorana Ionescu, Daniela-Elena Gogoașe-Nistoran, Constantin Alexandru Baciu, Andrei Cozma, Iana Motovilnic and Livioara Brașovanu
Hydrology 2025, 12(3), 56; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12030056 - 10 Mar 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1258
Abstract
Flood hazard studies for dam break cases are of utmost importance for understanding potential risks and minimizing the impact of such accidents. Siriu Dam, which has a clay core, is ranked as the third highest embankment dam in Romania. A fully dynamic 2D [...] Read more.
Flood hazard studies for dam break cases are of utmost importance for understanding potential risks and minimizing the impact of such accidents. Siriu Dam, which has a clay core, is ranked as the third highest embankment dam in Romania. A fully dynamic 2D hydraulic numerical model was developed using HEC-RAS software to simulate the routing of the flood waves formed by breaching this dam. Four different failure scenarios were considered: two for overtopping and two for piping. The breach parameters were chosen based on the dam characteristics in accordance with appropriate empirical relationships. The flood hazard was quantified and analyzed in terms of depths, velocities, depth x velocity values, and flooded areas. The results provide useful information concerning flood risk mitigation, such as the dam break wave routing, peak discharges, arrival time, travel velocity, and inundation boundary. The influence of the scenario and site characteristics (topography, river morphology, and constructions) on the results was analyzed. Depths and velocities over 10 m and 15 m/s, respectively, were obtained close to the dam, while those in Buzău City (90 km away) were under 1 m and 2 m/s, respectively. The city was flooded 7–8.5 h after the breach (depending on the scenario), and over 15 to 50% of its total area was affected. Moreover, the flood hazard parameters were compared for the different scenarios, providing the practical details necessary to develop flood risk management plans and the associated response measures for the inhabited areas. This is the first numerical study to simulate the impact of a potential break accident that can occur for this dam. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Processes and Modelling)
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43 pages, 20613 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Black Sea Mesozooplankton Community Following the Nova Kakhovka Dam Breach
by Elena Bisinicu and Luminita Lazar
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(1), 67; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13010067 - 2 Jan 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1133
Abstract
In June 2023, following the breach of the Nova Kakhovka Dam during the Ukraine-Russia war, a comprehensive study was conducted along the Romanian Black Sea coast to assess water quality and mesozooplankton communities. Surface water analyses revealed significant gradients in nutrient levels and [...] Read more.
In June 2023, following the breach of the Nova Kakhovka Dam during the Ukraine-Russia war, a comprehensive study was conducted along the Romanian Black Sea coast to assess water quality and mesozooplankton communities. Surface water analyses revealed significant gradients in nutrient levels and salinity, particularly from north to south, influenced by the influx of freshwater and nutrients from riverine sources and the dam breach. Flooding was found to significantly impact nutrient dynamics and species distributions, with increased concentrations of SiO4 and NO3 in flooded stations. A strong relationship was observed between environmental factors and biological assemblages, with silicates identified as a key driver. Biodiversity patterns varied across regions, with the Shannon–Wiener Index indicating lower zooplankton diversity in transitional waters, reflecting environmental stress. Statistical methods, including correlation analysis, multidimensional scaling, t-tests, and canonical analysis, were employed to investigate the links between mesozooplankton communities and environmental variables. These findings underscore disruptions in trophic dynamics and ecosystem balance, emphasizing the need for integrated environmental management strategies to mitigate further degradation and foster the ecological recovery of the Black Sea. Full article
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17 pages, 1875 KiB  
Review
Bibliometric-Based Research Status and Development Trends of Dam Breach Studies
by Pengtao Wang, Wei Guo, Chunling Liang, Bingyi She and Donghu Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(1), 209; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17010209 - 30 Dec 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1447
Abstract
Dam breach can trigger severe flood disasters, threatening life and property safety, and having long-term impacts on the environment, society, and the economy. Dam breach floods also contaminate water bodies, degrading water quality and its sustainability. This study analyzes the characteristics and trends [...] Read more.
Dam breach can trigger severe flood disasters, threatening life and property safety, and having long-term impacts on the environment, society, and the economy. Dam breach floods also contaminate water bodies, degrading water quality and its sustainability. This study analyzes the characteristics and trends of dam breach research using research findings included in the CNKI (China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Beijing, China) database and the Web of Science (WoS) core database. Bibliometric methods, including word frequency analysis, co-citation analysis, and clustering analysis, were applied to the retrieved data. Using the CiteSpace (v6.3.R2) visualization tool, the study conducted statistical analyses and generated maps for publication trends, research institutions, and research hotspots. The findings indicate the following. (1) From 2000 to 2023, the number of research outcomes has been continuously growing both domestically and internationally with significantly more foreign-language publications than Chinese ones. (2) Chinese research institutions, notably the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, have substantial international influence. (3) In terms of research hotspots, Chinese studies focus on the failure mechanisms of earth-rock dams, while foreign studies emphasize dam breach flood flows. (4) Establishing numerical models has emerged as a common trend in both Chinese and foreign research. These insights help identify deficiencies in current methods and technologies, allowing for the proposal of more scientific strategies for dam safety assessment. Based on these conclusions, some insights are proposed with the aim of reducing the risk of dam breaches, ensuring sustainable water resource management and utilization, promoting environmental protection, and fostering harmonious socio-economic development. Full article
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20 pages, 20532 KiB  
Article
Hydraulic Reconstruction of Paleolandslide-Dammed Lake Outburst Flood Using Water–Sediment Mixture Flow Modeling: A Case Study of Xuelongnang, Upstream Jinsha River
by Hanfang Lv, Jian Chen and Ruichen Chen
Water 2024, 16(24), 3713; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16243713 - 23 Dec 2024
Viewed by 861
Abstract
Debris content plays an important role in controlling erosion capacity and sedimentation characteristics during outburst floods. Numerical models should incorporate sediments in hazard analyses to obtain more accurate assessments of outburst flood magnitudes and downstream behaviors. In this paper, we propose a novel [...] Read more.
Debris content plays an important role in controlling erosion capacity and sedimentation characteristics during outburst floods. Numerical models should incorporate sediments in hazard analyses to obtain more accurate assessments of outburst flood magnitudes and downstream behaviors. In this paper, we propose a novel water–sediment mixture flow model to reconstruct the ancient outburst floods at Xuelongnang and demonstrate the performance of this model through comparisons with field evidence. The simulated outburst flood reaches a maximum breach discharge of 10,697.35 m3/s and a peak sediment discharge of 65.29 m3/s, traveling downstream for 87 km within 5.43 h. Based on simulations of riverbed changes, inundation depth, velocity, shear stress, and Froude number, our findings suggest that topographic controls influence hydraulic patterns, which subsequently affect erosional and depositional processes and contribute to landscape evolution. During the downstream propagation of the outburst flood in narrowed valley sections, simulated sediment-simulated deposition occurs downstream while erosion occurs upstream, coinciding with the maximum inundation depths attributed to hydraulic jump phenomena. We also discuss the formation processes of the outburst deposits, identifying areas of greatest channel aggradation. Calculated bed shear stress suggests that sediment transport by the flood deposits on the riverbed decreases as the flood stage wanes, forming the rhythmite-interbedded structures observed in field investigations. This work provides a viable and promising approach to understanding hydro-sediment-morphodynamic processes in flood pathways and the erosional and depositional features left by outburst floods, supporting modern outburst flood hazard prevention and mitigation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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22 pages, 7428 KiB  
Article
An Integrated Model for Dam Break Flood Including Reservoir Area, Breach Evolution, and Downstream Flood Propagation
by Huiwen Liu, Zhongxiang Wang, Dawei Zhang and Liyun Xiang
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(23), 10921; https://doi.org/10.3390/app142310921 - 25 Nov 2024
Viewed by 1599
Abstract
The reasonable and efficient prediction of dam failure events is of great significance to the emergency rescue operations and the reduction in dam failure losses. This work presents a model that is based on the physical mechanism. It is coupled with a multi-architecture [...] Read more.
The reasonable and efficient prediction of dam failure events is of great significance to the emergency rescue operations and the reduction in dam failure losses. This work presents a model that is based on the physical mechanism. It is coupled with a multi-architecture (multi-CPU and GPU) open-source two-dimensional flood model, which is based on high-precision terrain and land use data. The aim is to enhance the accuracy of dam break flood process simulations. The model uses DEM data as a computational grid and updates it at each time step to reflect breach evolution. Simultaneously, the breach evolution model incorporates an analysis of stress on sediment particles, establishing the initial erosion state and lateral expansion model while accounting for seepage. The determination of the overflow of the breach is resolved through the application of a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model. This approach achieves a robust connection between the upstream reservoir, the dam structure, and the downstream inundation area. The coupled model is utilized to calculate the failure of earth-rock dams and landslide dams, and a sensitivity analysis is conducted. Taum Sauk Dam and Tangjiashan landslide dam were selected to represent earth dam break and barrier lake break, respectively, which are the main types of dam breaks. The obtained results demonstrate strong concurrence with the measured data, the relative errors of the four important parameters of the application case, the peak discharge of the breach, the top width of the final breach, the depth of the breach and the arrival time of the maximum peak discharge are all within ±10%. Although the relative error of the completion time of the final breach is greater than 10%, it is about 30% less than the relative error of the physical model. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Earth Sciences)
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21 pages, 12616 KiB  
Article
Numerical Simulations Using iRIC Nays2DH for Sediment Transport Behaviors in Dam Breach Tests
by Zheng-Yi Feng, Zhi-You Chen and Su-Chin Chen
Water 2024, 16(22), 3205; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16223205 - 8 Nov 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1755
Abstract
After the breach of a landslide dam, the sediment in the breach opening will be carried downstream by the breach flood. The river channel will also be eroded by the flood, resulting in bed load transport. Three large-scale dam breach tests were conducted [...] Read more.
After the breach of a landslide dam, the sediment in the breach opening will be carried downstream by the breach flood. The river channel will also be eroded by the flood, resulting in bed load transport. Three large-scale dam breach tests were conducted to investigate the sediment transport behavior after a dam breach. The topography data of the creek channel were measured before and after the dam breach tests to understand the sediment transport behavior. The sediment transport simulations of the dam breach tests were conducted using the iRIC Nays2DH software. The simulations focused on three types of test setups: the single dam, single dam with a spur dike, and double dam models. The terrain (DEM) for the numerical model input was designated based on the LiDAR results, and a flow hydrograph during the dam breach tests was applied. The accuracy of the simulations was assessed using the “coverage index” and “mean absolute percentage error”. A numerical parametrical study was performed to find the major parameters that influenced the simulations. The results showed that the dynamic behavior of water flow and sediment during the dam breach processes were effectively captured by the iRIC Nays2DH simulation, but with limitations. The average flow velocity of the flood in the single dam case was the fastest among the three types of dam breaches. Due to the contraction of the creek channel caused by the spur dike, severe erosion occurred locally, and the flow rate increased in the narrowed section. Water impoundment between the two dams after the first dam breach and the consequent breach of the second dam were also well-simulated for the double dam breach. The findings and simulations in this study help explain dam breaches better and can guide researchers working on sediment transport during dam-breach floods. Full article
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13 pages, 6176 KiB  
Article
Study of Flooding Behavior and Discharge from Karot Dam in the Event of a Possible Breach by Using the Hydrodynamic Model
by Lilian Thomas Momburi, Changwen Li, Frank N. M. Masami, Minglei Ren and Isaac Otoo
Water 2024, 16(20), 2922; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16202922 - 14 Oct 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1430
Abstract
This study utilizes the MIKE 11 hydrodynamic model developed by the Danish Hydraulic Institute to simulate flood behavior downstream of Karot Dam under multi-year in-flow conditions. The key parameters analyzed include breach characteristics, flood duration, water depth, flow velocity, discharge rate, and downstream [...] Read more.
This study utilizes the MIKE 11 hydrodynamic model developed by the Danish Hydraulic Institute to simulate flood behavior downstream of Karot Dam under multi-year in-flow conditions. The key parameters analyzed include breach characteristics, flood duration, water depth, flow velocity, discharge rate, and downstream distance. After dam failure, the peak discharge reaches 33,171 m3/s, exceeding the 10,000-year recurrence peak flow of 32,300 m3/s, with a breach duration of 2 h. The estimated peak discharge after simulation using empirical equations and comparative analyses showed maximum flood discharges of 28,187 m3/s, 28,922 m3/s, and 29,769 m3/s, with breach widths of 181 m, 256 m, and 331 m, respectively. The peak discharge predicted to reach the outlet with travel time ranging from 4 h 25 min to 4 h 40 min. Under multi-year average inflow conditions, Mangla Dam faces no risk of failure, with a maximum outflow of 12,097 m3/s and a spillway capacity of 30,147 m3/s. The model accurately predicted discharge values, with a strong correlation coefficient of R2 = 0.9653, indicating strong agreement between the actual water level data and predicted discharge. These insights are essential for developing effective emergency response strategies to mitigate the risks associated with dam failure. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Hydraulic and Water Resources Research (2nd Edition))
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18 pages, 13407 KiB  
Article
The Coupled Application of the DB-IWHR Model and the MIKE 21 Model for the Assessment of Dam Failure Risk
by Junling Ma, Feng Zhou, Chunfang Yue, Qiji Sun and Xuehu Wang
Water 2024, 16(20), 2919; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16202919 - 14 Oct 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1363
Abstract
The phenomenon of global climate change has led to an increase in the frequency of extreme precipitation events, an acceleration in the melting of glaciers and snow cover, and an elevation of the risk of flooding. In this study, the DB-IWHR model was [...] Read more.
The phenomenon of global climate change has led to an increase in the frequency of extreme precipitation events, an acceleration in the melting of glaciers and snow cover, and an elevation of the risk of flooding. In this study, the DB-IWHR model was employed in conjunction with the MIKE 21 hydrodynamic model to develop a simulation system for the dam failure flow process of an earth and rock dam. The study concentrated on the KET reservoir, and 12 dam failure scenarios were devised based on varying design flood criteria. The impact of reservoir failures on flood-risk areas was subjected to detailed analysis, with consideration given to a range of potential failure scenarios and flood sizes. It was determined that under identical inflow frequency conditions, the higher the water level, the more rapid the breakout process and the corresponding increase in flood peak discharge. Conversely, for a given frequency of incoming water, an elevated water level results in a transient breach process, accompanied by a reduction in flood peak flow. Moreover, for a given water level, an increase in water frequency results in a reduction in breaching time, an extension of flood duration, and an increase in flood peak flow. The observed trend of flood spreading is generally north-south, and this process is highly compatible with the topographic and geomorphological features, demonstrating good adaptability. Full article
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14 pages, 16751 KiB  
Article
Characterization of Seismic Dynamic Response of Uranium Tailings Dams Based on Discrete Element Method
by Ming Lan, Hongyu Huang and Yan He
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(18), 8389; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14188389 - 18 Sep 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1069
Abstract
Tailings dams play a critical role in ensuring the safety of mining operations. However, earthquakes can cause breaches in these dams, resulting in significant casualties and property damage. This study investigates the dynamic response characteristics of uranium tailings dams subjected to seismic loading, [...] Read more.
Tailings dams play a critical role in ensuring the safety of mining operations. However, earthquakes can cause breaches in these dams, resulting in significant casualties and property damage. This study investigates the dynamic response characteristics of uranium tailings dams subjected to seismic loading, employing the discrete element method. It specifically analyzes how seismic wave amplitude, frequency, and the friction angle of tailings sand affect the dams’ dynamic response. The results reveal that the peak ground acceleration ratio (PGAR) exhibits an increasing–decreasing–increasing pattern with elevation. When the friction angle of the tailings sand exceeds 35°, the overall stability of the dam improves. Conversely, a friction angle below 25° significantly increases the risk of dam failure. Additionally, the dam shows a reduced dynamic response to seismic waves with frequencies exceeding 15 Hz. At lower frequencies, deformation and damage are primarily concentrated on the slope face, while at higher frequencies, damage is predominantly located at the bottom of the model. These findings provide a theoretical foundation and reference for the safe operation of tailings dams, highlighting their practical significance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Advances in Rock Mass Engineering)
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