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28 pages, 3390 KB  
Article
Enhancing Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning via Knowledge-Embedded Modular Framework for Online Basketball Games
by Junhyuk Kim, Jisun Park and Kyungeun Cho
Mathematics 2026, 14(3), 419; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030419 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
High sample complexity presents a major challenge in applying multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) to dynamic, high-dimensional sports such as basketball. To address this problem, we proposed the knowledge-embedded modular framework (KEMF), which partitions the environment into offense, defense, and loose-ball modules. Each module [...] Read more.
High sample complexity presents a major challenge in applying multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) to dynamic, high-dimensional sports such as basketball. To address this problem, we proposed the knowledge-embedded modular framework (KEMF), which partitions the environment into offense, defense, and loose-ball modules. Each module employs specialized policies and a knowledge-based observation layer enriched with basketball-specific metrics such as shooting success and defensive accuracy. These metrics are also incorporated into a dynamic and dense reward scheme that offers more direct and situation-specific feedback than sparse win/loss signals. We integrated these components into a multi-agent proximal policy optimization (MAPPO) algorithm to enhance training speed and improve sample efficiency. Evaluations using the commercial basketball game Freestyle indicate that KEMF outperformed previous methods in terms of the average points, winning rate, and overall training efficiency. An ablation study confirmed the synergistic effects of modularity, knowledge-embedded observations, and dense rewards. Moreover, a real-world deployment in 1457 live matches demonstrated the robustness of the framework, with trained agents achieving a 52.43% win rate against experienced human players. These results underscore the promise of the KEMF to enable efficient, adaptive, and strategically coherent MARL solutions in complex sporting environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Applications of Intelligent Game and Reinforcement Learning)
18 pages, 7389 KB  
Article
Enhanced Deep Convolutional Neural Network-Based Multiscale Object Detection Framework for Efficient Water Resource Monitoring Using Remote Sensing Imagery
by Sultan Almutairi, Mashael Maashi, Hadeel Alsolai, Mohammed Burhanur Rehman, Hanadi Alkhudhayr and Asma A. Alhashmi
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 404; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030404 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
Water resource monitoring can provide beneficial information supporting water management; however, present operational systems are small and provide only a subset of the information needed. Primary advancements consist of the clear explanation of water redistribution and water use from groundwater and river schemes, [...] Read more.
Water resource monitoring can provide beneficial information supporting water management; however, present operational systems are small and provide only a subset of the information needed. Primary advancements consist of the clear explanation of water redistribution and water use from groundwater and river schemes, achieving better spatial detail and increased precision as evaluated against hydrometric observation. In such cases, Earth Observation (EO) satellite systems are persistently creating extensive data, which is now essential for applications in different fields. With readily available open-source satellite imagery, aerial remote sensing is progressively becoming a quick and efficient tool for monitoring land and water resource development actions, demonstrating time and cost savings. At present, the deep learning (DL) model will be beneficial for monitoring water resources and EO utilizing remote sensing. In this paper, a Deep Neural Network-Based Object Detection for Water Resource Monitoring and Earth Observation (DNNOD-WRMEO) model is introduced. The main intention is to develop an effective monitoring and analysis framework for water resources and Earth surface observations using aerial remote sensing images. Initially, the Wiener filter (WF) model was used for image pre-processing. For object detection, the Yolov12 method was used for identifying, locating, and classifying objects within an image, followed by the DNNOD-WRMEO methodology, which implements the ResNet-CapsNet model for the backbone feature extraction method. Finally, the temporal convolutional network (TCN) model was implemented for the classification of water resources. The comparison analysis of the DNNOD-WRMEO methodology exhibited a superior accuracy value of 98.61% compared with existing models under the AIWR dataset. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing in Natural Resource and Water Environment II)
19 pages, 94440 KB  
Article
Prediction of Total Anthocyanin Content in Single-Kernel Maize Using Spectral and Color Space Data Coupled with AutoML
by Umut Songur, Sertuğ Fidan, Ezgi Alaca Yıldırım, Fatih Kahrıman and Ali Murat Tiryaki
Sensors 2026, 26(3), 805; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26030805 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
The non-destructive and chemical-free determination of anthocyanin content in single maize kernels is of great importance for plant-breeding programs. Previous studies have mainly relied on Near-Infrared Reflectance (NIR) spectroscopy and color-based approaches, often using conventional or randomly selected modeling techniques. In this study, [...] Read more.
The non-destructive and chemical-free determination of anthocyanin content in single maize kernels is of great importance for plant-breeding programs. Previous studies have mainly relied on Near-Infrared Reflectance (NIR) spectroscopy and color-based approaches, often using conventional or randomly selected modeling techniques. In this study, an Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) framework was employed to predict anthocyanin content using spectral and digital image data obtained from individual maize kernels measured in two orientations (embryo-up and embryo-down). Forty colored maize genotypes representing diverse phenotypic characteristics were analyzed. Digital images were acquired in RGB, HSV, and LAB color spaces, together with NIR spectral data, from a total of 200 kernels. Reference anthocyanin content was determined using a colorimetric method. Ten datasets were constructed by combining different color space and spectral features and were grouped according to kernel orientation. AutoML was used to evaluate nine machine learning algorithms, while Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) served as a classical benchmark method, resulting in the development of 1918 predictive models. Kernel orientation had a notable effect on model performance and outlier detection. The best predictions were obtained from the RGB dataset for embryo-up kernels and from the combined RGB+HSV+LAB+NIR dataset for embryo-down kernels. Overall, AutoML outperformed conventional modeling by automatically identifying optimal algorithms for specific data structures, demonstrating its potential as an efficient screening tool for anthocyanin content at the single-kernel level. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Digital Agriculture, Smart Farming and Crop Monitoring)
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38 pages, 6300 KB  
Article
Fused Unbalanced Gromov–Wasserstein-Based Network Distributional Resilience Analysis for Critical Infrastructure Assessment
by Iman Seyedi, Antonio Candelieri and Francesco Archetti
Mathematics 2026, 14(3), 417; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030417 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
Identifying critical infrastructure in transportation networks requires metrics that can capture both the topological structure and how demand is redistributed during disruptions. Conventional graph-theoretic approaches fail to jointly quantify these vulnerabilities. This study presents a computational framework for edge-criticality assessment based on the [...] Read more.
Identifying critical infrastructure in transportation networks requires metrics that can capture both the topological structure and how demand is redistributed during disruptions. Conventional graph-theoretic approaches fail to jointly quantify these vulnerabilities. This study presents a computational framework for edge-criticality assessment based on the Fused Unbalanced Gromov–Wasserstein (FUGW) distance, incorporating both structural similarity and demand characteristics of network nodes in an optimal transport tool. The three hyperparameters that influence FUGW accuracy—fusion weight, entropic regularization, and marginal penalties—were tuned using Bayesian optimization. This ensures the rankings remain accurate, stable, and reproducible under temporal variability and demand shifts. We apply the framework to a benchmark transportation network evaluated across four diurnal periods, capturing dynamic congestion and shifting demand patterns. Systematic variation in the fusion parameter shows seven consistently critical edges whose rankings remain stable across analytical configurations. It can be concluded from the results that monotonic scaling with increasing feature emphasis, strong cross-hyperparameter correlation, and low temporal variability confirm the robustness of the inferred criticality hierarchy. These edges represent both structural bridges and demand concentration points, offering α indicators of network vulnerability. These findings demonstrate that FUGW provides a solid and scalable method of assessing transportation vulnerabilities. It helps support clear decisions on maintenance planning, redundancy, and resilience investments. Full article
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19 pages, 778 KB  
Review
Hepatic Sinusoidal Obstruction Syndrome Induced by Pyrrolizidine Alkaloids from Gynura segetum: Mechanisms and Therapeutic Advances
by Zheng Zhou, Dongfan Yang, Tong Chu, Dayuan Zheng, Kuanyun Zhang, Shaokui Liang, Lu Yang, Yanchao Yang and Wenzhe Ma
Molecules 2026, 31(3), 410; https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules31030410 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
The traditional Chinese medicinal herb Gynura segetum is increasingly recognized for its hepatotoxic potential, primarily attributed to its pyrrolizidine alkaloid (PA) content. PAs are a leading cause of herb-induced liver injury (HILI) in China and are strongly linked to hepatic sinusoidal obstruction syndrome [...] Read more.
The traditional Chinese medicinal herb Gynura segetum is increasingly recognized for its hepatotoxic potential, primarily attributed to its pyrrolizidine alkaloid (PA) content. PAs are a leading cause of herb-induced liver injury (HILI) in China and are strongly linked to hepatic sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (HSOS). This review systematically summarizes the pathogenesis, diagnostic advancements, and therapeutic strategies for PA-induced HSOS. Molecular mechanisms of PA metabolism are detailed, encompassing cytochrome P450-mediated bioactivation and the subsequent formation of pyrrole–protein adducts, which trigger sinusoidal endothelial cell injury and hepatocyte apoptosis. Advances in diagnostic criteria, including the Nanjing Criteria and the Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method (RUCAM)-integrated Drum Tower Severity Scoring System, are discussed. Furthermore, emerging biomarkers, such as circulating microRNAs and pyrrole–protein adducts, are examined. Imaging modalities, such as contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) and gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), have evolved from descriptive tools into quantitative and prognostic instruments. Therapeutic approaches have evolved from supportive care to precision interventions, including anticoagulation, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), and autophagy-modulating agents. A comprehensive literature review, utilizing databases such as PubMed and Web of Science, was conducted to summarize progress since the introduction of the “Nanjing Guidelines”. Ultimately, this review underscores the critical need for integrated diagnostic and therapeutic frameworks, alongside enhanced public awareness and regulatory oversight, to effectively mitigate PA-related liver injury. Full article
26 pages, 2618 KB  
Article
A Cascaded Batch Bayesian Yield Optimization Method for Analog Circuits via Deep Transfer Learning
by Ziqi Wang, Kaisheng Sun and Xiao Shi
Electronics 2026, 15(3), 516; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15030516 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
In nanometer integrated-circuit (IC) manufacturing, advanced technology scaling has intensified the effects of process variations on circuit reliability and performance. Random fluctuations in parameters such as threshold voltage, channel length, and oxide thickness further degrade design margins and increase the likelihood of functional [...] Read more.
In nanometer integrated-circuit (IC) manufacturing, advanced technology scaling has intensified the effects of process variations on circuit reliability and performance. Random fluctuations in parameters such as threshold voltage, channel length, and oxide thickness further degrade design margins and increase the likelihood of functional failures. These variations often lead to rare circuit failure events, underscoring the importance of accurate yield estimation and robust design methodologies. Conventional Monte Carlo yield estimation is computationally infeasible as millions of simulations are required to capture failure events with extremely low probability. This paper presents a novel reliability-based circuit design optimization framework that leverages deep transfer learning to improve the efficiency of repeated yield analysis in optimization iterations. Based on pre-trained neural network models from prior design knowledge, we utilize model fine-tuning to accelerate importance sampling (IS) for yield estimation. To improve estimation accuracy, adversarial perturbations are introduced to calibrate uncertainty near the model decision boundary. Moreover, we propose a cascaded batch Bayesian optimization (CBBO) framework that incorporates a smart initialization strategy and a localized penalty mechanism, guiding the search process toward high-yield regions while satisfying nominal performance constraints. Experimental validation on SRAM circuits and amplifiers reveals that CBBO achieves a computational speedup of 2.02×–4.63× over state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods, without compromising accuracy and robustness. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Advanced Integrated Circuit Design and Application)
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28 pages, 5024 KB  
Article
Augmented Reality for Multilingual Learning in Higher Education
by Lucía Amorós-Poveda, Olesea Caftanatov and Joan Antoni Pomata-García
Soc. Sci. 2026, 15(2), 62; https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci15020062 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study utilises mobile augmented reality (AR) to enhance our understanding of multiword expressions (MWEs) and emphasise that linguistic diversity is part of cultural heritage. The main objective was to implement and evaluate the impact of a multilingual AR resource (in Moldovan, English, [...] Read more.
This study utilises mobile augmented reality (AR) to enhance our understanding of multiword expressions (MWEs) and emphasise that linguistic diversity is part of cultural heritage. The main objective was to implement and evaluate the impact of a multilingual AR resource (in Moldovan, English, Russian, and Spanish) in educational settings and to identify a corpus of MWEs located in Spain. The research was conducted by applying a marker-based AR system in five academic subjects involving N = 220 undergraduate students enrolled in education degrees. Data were collected through two surveys, using both qualitative and quantitative methods that combined descriptive statistics with content analysis. Large Language Models (LLMs) were used to assist with data coding, complemented by iterative human validation. The findings revealed that the application was highly positively received, with 94% of participants acknowledging its usefulness and 83% expressing satisfaction. Furthermore, this study identified a teaching–learning procedure to enhance linguistic diversity in classrooms. Overall, the results suggest that mobile AR constitutes an effective and inclusive pedagogical tool that fosters active learning as a multimodal learning process and provides valuable localised MWE data to support future developments in corpus annotation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Educational Technology for a Multimodal Society)
20 pages, 4006 KB  
Article
Deformable Pyramid Sparse Transformer for Semi-Supervised Driver Distraction Detection
by Qiang Zhao, Zhichao Yu, Jiahui Yu, Simon James Fong, Yuchu Lin, Rui Wang and Weiwei Lin
Sensors 2026, 26(3), 803; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26030803 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
Ensuring sustained driver attention is critical for intelligent transportation safety systems; however, the performance of data-driven driver distraction detection models is often limited by the high cost of large-scale manual annotation. To address this challenge, this paper proposes an adaptive semi-supervised driver distraction [...] Read more.
Ensuring sustained driver attention is critical for intelligent transportation safety systems; however, the performance of data-driven driver distraction detection models is often limited by the high cost of large-scale manual annotation. To address this challenge, this paper proposes an adaptive semi-supervised driver distraction detection framework based on teacher–student learning and deformable pyramid feature fusion. The framework leverages a limited amount of labeled data together with abundant unlabeled samples to achieve robust and scalable distraction detection. An adaptive pseudo-label optimization strategy is introduced, incorporating category-aware pseudo-label thresholding, delayed pseudo-label scheduling, and a confidence-weighted pseudo-label loss to dynamically balance pseudo-label quality and training stability. To enhance fine-grained perception of subtle driver behaviors, a Deformable Pyramid Sparse Transformer (DPST) module is integrated into a lightweight YOLOv11 detector, enabling precise multi-scale feature alignment and efficient cross-scale semantic fusion. Furthermore, a teacher-guided feature consistency distillation mechanism is employed to promote semantic alignment between teacher and student models at the feature level, mitigating the adverse effects of noisy pseudo-labels. Extensive experiments conducted on the Roboflow Distracted Driving Dataset demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms representative fully supervised baselines in terms of mAP@0.5 and mAP@0.5:0.95 while maintaining a balanced trade-off between precision and recall. These results indicate that the proposed framework provides an effective and practical solution for real-world driver monitoring systems under limited annotation conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Vehicular Sensing)
27 pages, 5100 KB  
Article
Hybrid Forecast-Enabled Adaptive Crowbar Coordination for LVRT Enhancement in DFIG Wind Turbines
by Xianlong Su, Hankil Kim, Changsu Kim, Mingxue Zhang and Hoekyung Jung
Entropy 2026, 28(2), 138; https://doi.org/10.3390/e28020138 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study proposes a hybrid forecast-enabled adaptive crowbar coordination strategy to enhance low-voltage ride-through (LVRT) performance of doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) wind turbines. A unified electro-mechanical model in the αβ/dq frames with dual closed-loop control for rotor- and grid-side converters is built [...] Read more.
This study proposes a hybrid forecast-enabled adaptive crowbar coordination strategy to enhance low-voltage ride-through (LVRT) performance of doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) wind turbines. A unified electro-mechanical model in the αβ/dq frames with dual closed-loop control for rotor- and grid-side converters is built in MATLAB/Simulink (R2018b), and LVRT constraints on current safety and DC-link energy are explicitly formulated, yielding an engineering crowbar-resistance range of 0.4–0.8 p.u. On the forecasting side, a CEEMDAN-based decomposition–modeling–reconstruction pipeline is adopted: high- and mid-frequency components are predicted by a dual-stream Informer–LSTM, while low-frequency components are modeled by XGBoost. Using six months of wind-farm data, the hybrid forecaster achieves best or tied-best MSE, RMSE, MAE, and R2 compared with five representative baselines. Forecasted power, ramp rate, and residual-based uncertainty are mapped to overcurrent and DC-link overvoltage risk indices, which adapt crowbar triggering, holding, and release in coordination with converter control. In a 9 MW three-phase deep-sag scenario, the strategy confines DC-link voltage within ±3% of nominal, shortens re-synchronization from ≈0.35 s to ≈0.15 s, reduces rotor-current peaks by ≈5.1%, and raises the reactive-support peak to 1.7 Mvar, thereby improving LVRT safety margins and grid-friendliness without hardware modification. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Multidisciplinary Applications)
17 pages, 112223 KB  
Article
A Style-Adapted Virtual Try-On Technique for Story Visualization
by Wooseok Choi, Heekyung Yang and Kyungha Min
Electronics 2026, 15(3), 514; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15030514 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
We propose a novel clothing application technique designed for story visualization framework where various characters appear wearing a wide range of outfits. To achieve our goal, we extend a Virtual Try-On framework for synthetic garment fitting. Conventional Virtual Try-On methods are limited to [...] Read more.
We propose a novel clothing application technique designed for story visualization framework where various characters appear wearing a wide range of outfits. To achieve our goal, we extend a Virtual Try-On framework for synthetic garment fitting. Conventional Virtual Try-On methods are limited to generating images of a single person wearing a restricted set of clothes within a fixed style domain. To overcome these limitations, we apply an improved Virtual Try-On model trained with appropriately processed datasets, enabling the generation of upper and lower garments separately across diverse characters and producing images in four distinct styles: photorealistic, webtoon, animation, and watercolor. Our system collects character images and clothing images and performs accurate masking of garment regions. Our system takes a style-specific text prompt as input. Based on these inputs, garment-specific conditioning is applied to synthesize the clothing, followed by a cross-style diffusion process that generates Virtual Try-On images reflecting multiple visual styles. Our approach significantly enhances the adaptability and stylistic diversity of Virtual Try-On technology for story visualization applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Machine Learning in Graphics and Images, 2nd Edition)
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17 pages, 566 KB  
Article
AE-CTGAN: Autoencoder–Conditional Tabular GAN for Multi-Omics Imbalanced Class Handling and Cancer Outcome Prediction
by Ibrahim Al-Hurani, Sara H. ElFar, Abedalrhman Alkhateeb and Salama Ikki
Algorithms 2026, 19(2), 95; https://doi.org/10.3390/a19020095 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
The rapid advancement of sequencing technologies has led to the generation of complex multi-omics data, which are often high-dimensional, noisy, and imbalanced, posing significant challenges for traditional machine learning methods. The novelty of this work resides in the architecture-level integration of autoencoders with [...] Read more.
The rapid advancement of sequencing technologies has led to the generation of complex multi-omics data, which are often high-dimensional, noisy, and imbalanced, posing significant challenges for traditional machine learning methods. The novelty of this work resides in the architecture-level integration of autoencoders with Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) and Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Network (CTGAN) models, where the autoencoder is employed for latent feature extraction and noise reduction, while GAN-based models are used for realistic sample generation and class imbalance mitigation in multi-omics cancer datasets. This study proposes a novel framework that combines an autoencoder for dimensionality reduction and a CTGAN for generating synthetic samples to balance underrepresented classes. The process starts with selecting the most discriminative features, then extracting latent representations for each omic type, merging them, and generating new minority samples. Finally, all samples are used to train a neural network to predict specific cancer outcomes, defined here as clinically relevant biomarkers or patient characteristics. In this work, the considered outcome in the bladder cancer is Tumor Mutational Burden (TMB), while the breast cancer outcome is menopausal status, a key factor in treatment planning. Experimental results show that the proposed model achieves high precision, with an average precision of 0.9929 for TMB prediction in bladder cancer and 0.9748 for menopausal status in breast cancer, and reaches perfect precision (1.000) for the positive class in both cases. In addition, the proposed AE–CTGAN framework consistently outperformed an autoencoder combined with a standard GAN across all evaluation metrics, achieving average accuracies of 0.9929 and 0.9748, recall values of 0.9846 and 0.9777, and F1-scores of 0.9922 for bladder and breast cancer datasets, respectively. A comparative fidelity analysis in the latent space further demonstrated the superiority of CTGAN, reducing the average Euclidean distance between real and synthetic samples by approximately 72% for bladder cancer and by up to 84% for breast cancer compared to a standard GAN. These findings confirm that CTGAN generates high-fidelity synthetic samples that preserve the structural characteristics of real multi-omics data, leading to more reliable class balancing and improved predictive performance. Overall, the proposed framework provides an effective and robust solution for handling class imbalance in multi-omics cancer data and enhances the accuracy of clinically relevant outcome prediction. Full article
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22 pages, 3061 KB  
Article
GPIS-Based Calibration for Non-Overlapping Dual-LiDAR Systems Using a 2.5D Calibration Framework
by Huan Yu, Xiaohong Zhang, Ming Li, Desheng Zhuo, Pin Zhang, Man Li and Yuanyuan Shi
Sensors 2026, 26(3), 800; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26030800 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
Dual-LiDAR systems are widely deployed in autonomous driving, yet extrinsic calibration remains challenging in non-overlapping field-of-view (FoV) configurations where correspondence-based methods are unreliable. We propose an engineering-oriented 2.5D calibration framework that estimates horizontal extrinsics (x,y,yaw) via motion-guided [...] Read more.
Dual-LiDAR systems are widely deployed in autonomous driving, yet extrinsic calibration remains challenging in non-overlapping field-of-view (FoV) configurations where correspondence-based methods are unreliable. We propose an engineering-oriented 2.5D calibration framework that estimates horizontal extrinsics (x,y,yaw) via motion-guided planar alignment and then refines them using Gaussian Process Implicit Surfaces (GPIS), which provide continuous and probabilistic surface constraints from spatially disjoint scans. This design avoids calibration targets and reduces dependence on strong scene assumptions, improving robustness under noise and weak structure. Extensive high-fidelity simulation experiments demonstrate centimeter-level lateral accuracy and sub-degree yaw error, consistently outperforming representative motion-based and BEV-based baselines under both clean and noisy settings. To further assess real-world applicability, we conduct a preliminary nuScenes case study by splitting LiDAR scans into front and rear subsets to emulate a non-overlapping dual-LiDAR setup, achieving improved yaw accuracy and competitive lateral precision. Overall, the proposed method serves as a practical refinement stage for non-overlapping dual-LiDAR calibration, with a favorable balance of accuracy, robustness, and engineering feasibility. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Radar Sensors)
29 pages, 2666 KB  
Article
Explainable Ensemble Learning for Predicting Stock Market Crises: Calibration, Threshold Optimization, and Robustness Analysis
by Eddy Suprihadi, Nevi Danila, Zaiton Ali and Gede Pramudya Ananta
Information 2026, 17(2), 114; https://doi.org/10.3390/info17020114 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
Forecasting stock market crashes is difficult because such events are rare, highly nonlinear, and shaped by latent structural and behavioral forces. This study introduces a calibrated and interpretable Random Forest framework for detecting pre-crash conditions through structural feature engineering, early-warning calibration, and model [...] Read more.
Forecasting stock market crashes is difficult because such events are rare, highly nonlinear, and shaped by latent structural and behavioral forces. This study introduces a calibrated and interpretable Random Forest framework for detecting pre-crash conditions through structural feature engineering, early-warning calibration, and model explainability. Using daily data on global equity indices and major large-cap stocks from the U.S., Europe, and Asia, we construct a feature set that captures volatility expansion, moving-average deterioration, Bollinger Band width, and short-horizon return dynamics. Probability-threshold optimization significantly improves sensitivity to rare events and yields an operating point at a crash-probability threshold of 0.33. Compared with econometric and machine learning benchmarks, the calibrated model attains higher precision while maintaining competitive F1 and MCC scores, and it delivers meaningful early-warning signals with an average lead-time of around 60 days. SHAP analysis indicates that predictions are anchored in theoretically consistent indicators, particularly volatility clustering and weakening trends, while robustness checks show resilience to noise, structural perturbations, and simulated flash crashes. Taken together, these results provide a transparent and reproducible blueprint for building operational early-warning systems in financial markets. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Predictive Analytics and Data Science, 3rd Edition)
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23 pages, 10123 KB  
Article
High-Resolution Satellite-Driven Estimation of Photosynthetic Carbon Sequestration in the Sundarbans Mangrove Forest, Bangladesh
by Nur Hussain, Md Adnan Rahman, Md Rezaul Karim, Parvez Rana, Md Nazrul Islam and Anselme Muzirafuti
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 401; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030401 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
Mangrove forests provide essential climate regulation and coastal protection, yet fine-scale quantification of carbon dynamics remains limited in the Sundarbans due to spatial heterogeneity and tidal influences. This study estimated canopy structural and photosynthetic dynamics from 2019 to 2023 by integrating 10 m [...] Read more.
Mangrove forests provide essential climate regulation and coastal protection, yet fine-scale quantification of carbon dynamics remains limited in the Sundarbans due to spatial heterogeneity and tidal influences. This study estimated canopy structural and photosynthetic dynamics from 2019 to 2023 by integrating 10 m spatial high-resolution remote sensing with a light use efficiency (LUE) modeling framework. Leaf Area Index (LAI) was retrieved at 10 m resolution using the PROSAIL radiative transfer model applied to Sentinel-2 data to characterize the canopy structure of the mangrove forest. LUE-based Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) was estimated using Sentinel-2 vegetation and water indices and MODIS fPAR with station observatory temperature data. Annual carbon uptake showed clear interannual variation, ranging from 1881 to 2862 g C m−2 yr−1 between 2019 and 2023. GPP estimates were strongly correlated with MODIS-GPP (R2 = 0.86, p < 0.001), demonstrating the method’s reliability for monitoring mangrove carbon sequestration. LUE-based Solar-induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence (SIF) was derived at 10 m resolution and compared with TROPOMI-SIF observations to assess correspondence (R2 = 0.88, p < 0.001) with photosynthetic activity. LAI, GPP and SIF exhibited pronounced seasonal and interannual variability on photosynthetic activity, with higher values during the monsoon growing season and lower values during dry periods. Mean NDVI declined from 2019 to 2023 and modeled annual carbon uptake ranged from approximately 43 to 65 Mt CO2 eq, with lower sequestration in 2022–2023 associated with climatic stress. Strong correlations among LAI, NDVI, GPP, and SIF indicated consistent coupling between photosynthetic activity and carbon uptake in the mangrove ecosystem. These results provide a fine-scale assessment of mangrove carbon dynamics relevant to conservation and climate-mitigation planning in tropical regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Emerging Remote Sensing Technologies in Coastal Observation)
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15 pages, 296 KB  
Article
A Logical–Computational Framework for Discovering Three-Player Games with Unique Pure Nash Equilibrium Payoffs
by Jiajia Yang, Zhongtao Xie, Hongbo Hu and Xiang Du
Mathematics 2026, 14(3), 409; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030409 (registering DOI) - 24 Jan 2026
Abstract
The Nash equilibrium is a central concept in game theory, widely used across economics, social sciences, computer science, and artificial intelligence. However, computing Nash equilibria, especially in multi-player games, is a complex and computationally challenging task. Among the various types of Nash equilibria, [...] Read more.
The Nash equilibrium is a central concept in game theory, widely used across economics, social sciences, computer science, and artificial intelligence. However, computing Nash equilibria, especially in multi-player games, is a complex and computationally challenging task. Among the various types of Nash equilibria, the unique pure-strategy Nash equilibrium payoffs possess particularly desirable properties that make them suitable for deeper analysis and application. In this paper, we propose a first-order logical framework for three-player finite games, inspired by the notion of Pareto optimality, to identify a class of games with unique pure-strategy Nash equilibrium payoffs. By utilizing a SAT solver and the finite verifiability of ternary clauses, we automatically discover several families of three-player games that exhibit unique pure-strategy Nash equilibrium payoffs. This approach provides new insights into the computational aspects of game theory and offers an automated method for discovering novel game-theoretic structures. Full article
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