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Keywords = AIS trajectory prediction

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27 pages, 678 KB  
Review
From Numerical Models to AI: Evolution of Surface Drifter Trajectory Prediction
by Taehun Kim, Seulhee Kwon and Yong-Hyuk Kim
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(10), 1928; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13101928 - 9 Oct 2025
Viewed by 452
Abstract
Surface drifter trajectory prediction is essential for applications in environmental management, maritime safety, and climate studies. This survey paper reviews research from the past two decades, and systematically classifies the evolution of methodologies into six successive generations, including numerical models, data assimilation, statistical [...] Read more.
Surface drifter trajectory prediction is essential for applications in environmental management, maritime safety, and climate studies. This survey paper reviews research from the past two decades, and systematically classifies the evolution of methodologies into six successive generations, including numerical models, data assimilation, statistical and probabilistic approaches, machine learning, deep learning, and hybrid or AI-based data assimilation (1st–5.5th Generation). To our knowledge, this is the first systematic generational classification of trajectory prediction methods. Each generation revealed distinct strengths and limitations. Numerical models ensured physical consistency but suffered from accumulated forecast errors in observation-sparse regions. Data assimilation improved short-term accuracy as observing networks expanded, while machine learning and deep learning enhanced short-range forecasts but faced challenges such as error accumulation and insufficient physical constraints in longer horizons. More recently, hybrid frameworks and AI-based data assimilation have emerged, combining physical models with deep learning and traditional statistical techniques, thereby opening new possibilities for accuracy improvements. By comparing methodologies across generations, this survey provides a roadmap that helps researchers and practitioners select appropriate approaches depending on observation density, forecast lead time, and application objectives. Finally, this paper highlights that future systems should shift focus from deterministic tracks toward credible uncertainty estimates, region-aware designs, and physically consistent prediction frameworks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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35 pages, 7130 KB  
Article
A Hybrid Framework Integrating End-to-End Deep Learning with Bayesian Inference for Maritime Navigation Risk Prediction
by Fanyu Zhou and Shengzheng Wang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(10), 1925; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13101925 - 9 Oct 2025
Viewed by 646
Abstract
Currently, maritime navigation safety risks—particularly those related to ship navigation—are primarily assessed through traditional rule-based methods and expert experience. However, such approaches often suffer from limited accuracy and lack real-time responsiveness. As maritime environments and operational conditions become increasingly complex, traditional techniques struggle [...] Read more.
Currently, maritime navigation safety risks—particularly those related to ship navigation—are primarily assessed through traditional rule-based methods and expert experience. However, such approaches often suffer from limited accuracy and lack real-time responsiveness. As maritime environments and operational conditions become increasingly complex, traditional techniques struggle to cope with the diversity and uncertainty of navigation scenarios. Therefore, there is an urgent need for a more intelligent and precise risk prediction method. This study proposes a ship risk prediction framework that integrates a deep learning model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with Bayesian risk evaluation. The model first leverages deep neural networks to process time-series trajectory data, enabling accurate prediction of a vessel’s future positions and navigational status. Then, Bayesian inference is applied to quantitatively assess potential risks of collision and grounding by incorporating vessel motion data, environmental conditions, surrounding obstacles, and water depth information. The proposed framework combines the advantages of deep learning and Bayesian reasoning to improve the accuracy and timeliness of risk prediction. By providing real-time warnings and decision-making support, this model offers a novel solution for maritime safety management. Accurate risk forecasts enable ship crews to take precautionary measures in advance, effectively reducing the occurrence of maritime accidents. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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25 pages, 690 KB  
Article
Trust Formation, Error Impact, and Repair in Human–AI Financial Advisory: A Dynamic Behavioral Analysis
by Jihyung Han and Daekyun Ko
Behav. Sci. 2025, 15(10), 1370; https://doi.org/10.3390/bs15101370 - 7 Oct 2025
Viewed by 522
Abstract
Understanding how trust in artificial intelligence evolves is crucial for predicting human behavior in AI-enabled environments. While existing research focuses on initial acceptance factors, the temporal dynamics of AI trust remain poorly understood. This study develops a temporal trust dynamics framework proposing three [...] Read more.
Understanding how trust in artificial intelligence evolves is crucial for predicting human behavior in AI-enabled environments. While existing research focuses on initial acceptance factors, the temporal dynamics of AI trust remain poorly understood. This study develops a temporal trust dynamics framework proposing three phases: formation through accuracy cues, single-error shock, and post-error repair through explanations. Two experiments in financial advisory contexts tested this framework. Study 1 (N = 189) compared human versus algorithmic advisors, while Study 2 (N = 294) traced trust trajectories across three rounds, manipulating accuracy and post-error explanations. Results demonstrate three temporal patterns. First, participants initially favored algorithmic advisors, supporting “algorithmic appreciation.” Second, single advisory errors resulted in substantial trust decline (η2 = 0.141), demonstrating acute sensitivity to performance failures. Third, post-error explanations significantly facilitated trust recovery, with evidence of enhancement beyond baseline. Financial literacy moderated these patterns, with higher-expertise users showing sharper decline after errors and stronger recovery following explanations. These findings reveal that AI trust follows predictable temporal patterns distinct from interpersonal trust, exhibiting heightened error sensitivity yet remaining amenable to repair through well-designed explanatory interventions. They offer theoretical integration of appreciation and aversion phenomena and practical guidance for designing inclusive AI systems. Full article
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23 pages, 1450 KB  
Review
Bacterial Systematic Genetics and Integrated Multi-Omics: Beyond Static Genomics Toward Predictive Models
by Tatsuya Sakaguchi, Yuta Irifune, Rui Kamada and Kazuyasu Sakaguchi
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26(19), 9326; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26199326 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 765
Abstract
The field of bacterial systems biology is rapidly advancing beyond static genomic analyses, and moving toward dynamic, integrative approaches that connect genetic variation with cellular function. This review traces the progression from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to multi-omics frameworks that incorporate transcriptomics, proteomics, [...] Read more.
The field of bacterial systems biology is rapidly advancing beyond static genomic analyses, and moving toward dynamic, integrative approaches that connect genetic variation with cellular function. This review traces the progression from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to multi-omics frameworks that incorporate transcriptomics, proteomics, and interactome mapping. We emphasize recent breakthroughs in high-resolution transcriptomics, including single-cell, spatial, and epitranscriptomic technologies, which uncover functional heterogeneity and regulatory complexity in bacterial populations. At the same time, innovations in proteomics, such as data-independent acquisition (DIA) and single-bacterium proteomics, provide quantitative insights into protein-level mechanisms. Experimental and AI-assisted strategies for mapping protein–protein interactions help to clarify the architecture of bacterial molecular networks. The integration of these omics layers through quantitative trait locus (QTL) analysis establishes mechanistic links between single-nucleotide polymorphisms and systems-level phenotypes. Despite persistent challenges such as bacterial clonality and genomic plasticity, emerging tools, including deep mutational scanning, microfluidics, high-throughput genome editing, and machine-learning approaches, are enhancing the resolution and scope of bacterial genetics. By synthesizing these advances, we describe a transformative trajectory toward predictive, systems-level models of bacterial life. This perspective opens new opportunities in antimicrobial discovery, microbial engineering, and ecological research. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Benchmarking of Modeling and Informatic Methods in Molecular Sciences)
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29 pages, 3798 KB  
Article
Hybrid Adaptive MPC with Edge AI for 6-DoF Industrial Robotic Manipulators
by Claudio Urrea
Mathematics 2025, 13(19), 3066; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13193066 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 842
Abstract
Autonomous robotic manipulators in industrial environments face significant challenges, including time-varying payloads, multi-source disturbances, and real-time computational constraints. Traditional model predictive control frameworks degrade by over 40% under model uncertainties, while conventional adaptive techniques exhibit convergence times incompatible with industrial cycles. This work [...] Read more.
Autonomous robotic manipulators in industrial environments face significant challenges, including time-varying payloads, multi-source disturbances, and real-time computational constraints. Traditional model predictive control frameworks degrade by over 40% under model uncertainties, while conventional adaptive techniques exhibit convergence times incompatible with industrial cycles. This work presents a hybrid adaptive model predictive control framework integrating edge artificial intelligence with dual-stage parameter estimation for 6-DoF industrial manipulators. The approach combines recursive least squares with a resource-optimized neural network (three layers, 32 neurons, <500 KB memory) designed for industrial edge deployment. The system employs innovation-based adaptive forgetting factors, providing exponential convergence with mathematically proven Lyapunov-based stability guarantees. Simulation validation using the Fanuc CR-7iA/L manipulator demonstrates superior performance across demanding scenarios, including precision laser cutting and obstacle avoidance. Results show 52% trajectory tracking RMSE reduction (0.022 m to 0.012 m) under 20% payload variations compared to standard MPC, while achieving sub-5 ms edge inference latency with 99.2% reliability. The hybrid estimator achieves 65% faster parameter convergence than classical RLS, with 18% energy efficiency improvement. Statistical significance is confirmed through ANOVA (F = 24.7, p < 0.001) with large effect sizes (Cohen’s d > 1.2). This performance surpasses recent adaptive control methods while maintaining proven stability guarantees. Hardware validation under realistic industrial conditions remains necessary to confirm practical applicability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Computation, Modeling and Algorithms for Control Systems)
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40 pages, 1778 KB  
Review
Smart Routing for Sustainable Shipping: A Review of Trajectory Optimization Approaches in Waterborne Transport
by Yevgeniy Kalinichenko, Sergey Rudenko, Andrii Holovan, Nadiia Vasalatii, Anastasiia Zaiets, Oleksandr Koliesnik, Leonid Oberto Santana and Nataliia Dolynska
Sustainability 2025, 17(18), 8466; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188466 - 21 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1139
Abstract
Smart routing has emerged as a critical enabler of sustainable shipping, addressing the growing demand for energy-efficient, safe, and adaptive vessel navigation in both maritime and inland waterborne transport. This review examines the current landscape of trajectory optimization approaches by analyzing selected peer-reviewed [...] Read more.
Smart routing has emerged as a critical enabler of sustainable shipping, addressing the growing demand for energy-efficient, safe, and adaptive vessel navigation in both maritime and inland waterborne transport. This review examines the current landscape of trajectory optimization approaches by analyzing selected peer-reviewed studies and categorizing them into six thematic areas: AI/ML-based prediction, optimization and path planning algorithms, data-driven methods using AIS and GIS, weather routing and environmental modeling, digital platforms and decision support systems, and hybrid or rule-based frameworks for autonomous navigation. The analysis highlights recent advances in deep learning for trajectory forecasting, multi-objective and heuristic optimization techniques, and the use of real-time environmental data in routing decisions. Supplemental review using Scopus-based topic mapping confirms the centrality of integrated digital strategies, high-performance computing, and physics-informed modeling in emerging research. Despite notable progress, the field remains fragmented, with limited real-time integration, underexplored regulatory alignment, and a lack of explainable AI applications. The review concludes by outlining future directions, including the development of hybrid and interpretable optimization frameworks, and expanding research tailored to inland navigation with its distinct operational challenges. These insights aim to support the design of next-generation navigation systems that are robust, intelligent, and environmentally compliant. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
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20 pages, 4621 KB  
Article
Innovative Application of High-Precision Seismic Interpretation Technology in Coalbed Methane Exploration
by Chunlei Li, Lijiang Duan, Xidong Wang, Xiuqin Lu, Ze Deng and Liyong Fan
Processes 2025, 13(9), 2971; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13092971 - 18 Sep 2025
Viewed by 338
Abstract
Exploration of coalbed methane (CBM) has long been plagued by critical technical challenges, including a low signal-to-noise (S/N) ratio in seismic data, difficulty identifying thin coal seams, and inadequate accuracy in interpreting complex structures. This study presents an innovative methodological framework that integrates [...] Read more.
Exploration of coalbed methane (CBM) has long been plagued by critical technical challenges, including a low signal-to-noise (S/N) ratio in seismic data, difficulty identifying thin coal seams, and inadequate accuracy in interpreting complex structures. This study presents an innovative methodological framework that integrates artificial intelligence (AI) with advanced seismic processing and interpretation techniques. Its effectiveness is verified through a case study in the North Bowen Basin, Australia. A multi-scale seismic data enhancement approach combining dynamic balancing and blue filtering significantly improved data quality, increasing the S/N ratio by 53%. Using deep learning-driven, multi-attribute fusion analysis, we achieved a prediction error of less than ±1 m for the thickness of thin coal seams (4–7 m thick). Integrating 3D coherence and ant-tracking techniques improved the accuracy of fault identification, increasing the fault recognition rate by 30% and reducing the spatial localization error to below 3%. Additionally, a finely tuned, spatially variable velocity model limited the depth conversion error to 0.5%. Validation using horizontal well trajectories revealed that the rate of reservoir encounters exceeded 95%, with initial gas production in the predicted sweet spots zone being 25–30% higher than with traditional methods. Notably, this study established a quantitative model linking structural curvature to fracture intensity, providing a robust scientific basis for accurately predicting CBM sweet spots. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Coalbed Methane Development Process)
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15 pages, 891 KB  
Article
Reinforced Model Predictive Guidance and Control for Spacecraft Proximity Operations
by Lorenzo Capra, Andrea Brandonisio and Michèle Roberta Lavagna
Aerospace 2025, 12(9), 837; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12090837 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 650
Abstract
An increased level of autonomy is attractive above all in the framework of proximity operations, and researchers are focusing more and more on artificial intelligence techniques to improve spacecraft’s capabilities in these scenarios. This work presents an autonomous AI-based guidance algorithm to plan [...] Read more.
An increased level of autonomy is attractive above all in the framework of proximity operations, and researchers are focusing more and more on artificial intelligence techniques to improve spacecraft’s capabilities in these scenarios. This work presents an autonomous AI-based guidance algorithm to plan the path of a chaser spacecraft for the map reconstruction of an artificial uncooperative target, coupled with Model Predictive Control for the tracking of the generated trajectory. Deep reinforcement learning is particularly interesting for enabling spacecraft’s autonomous guidance, since this problem can be formulated as a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process and because it leverages domain randomization well to cope with model uncertainty, thanks to the neural networks’ generalizing capabilities. The main drawback of this method is that it is difficult to verify its optimality mathematically and the constraints can be added only as part of the reward function, so it is not guaranteed that the solution satisfies them. To this end a convex Model Predictive Control formulation is employed to track the DRL-based trajectory, while simultaneously enforcing compliance with the constraints. Two neural network architectures are proposed and compared: a recurrent one and the more recent transformer. The trained reinforcement learning agent is then tested in an end-to-end AI-based pipeline with image generation in the loop, and the results are presented. The computational effort of the entire guidance and control strategy is also verified on a Raspberry Pi board. This work represents a viable solution to apply artificial intelligence methods for spacecraft’s autonomous motion, still retaining a higher level of explainability and safety than that given by more classical guidance and control approaches. Full article
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26 pages, 24511 KB  
Article
VTLLM: A Vessel Trajectory Prediction Approach Based on Large Language Models
by Ye Liu, Wei Xiong, Nanyu Chen and Fei Yang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1758; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091758 - 11 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 732
Abstract
In light of the rapid expansion of maritime trade, the maritime transportation industry has experienced burgeoning growth and complexity. The deployment of trajectory prediction technology is paramount in safeguarding navigational safety. Due to limitations in design complexity and the high costs of data [...] Read more.
In light of the rapid expansion of maritime trade, the maritime transportation industry has experienced burgeoning growth and complexity. The deployment of trajectory prediction technology is paramount in safeguarding navigational safety. Due to limitations in design complexity and the high costs of data fusion, current deep learning methods struggle to effectively integrate high-level semantic cues, such as vessel type, geographical identifiers, and navigational states, within predictive frameworks. Yet, these data contain abundant information regarding vessel categories or operational scenarios. Inspired by the robust semantic comprehension exhibited by large language models (LLMs) in natural language processing, this study introduces a trajectory prediction method leveraging LLMs. Initially, Automatic Identification System (AIS) data undergoes processing to eliminate incomplete entries, thereby selecting trajectories of high quality. Distinct from prior research that concentrated solely on vessel position and velocity, this study integrates ship identity, spatiotemporal trajectory, and navigational information through prompt engineering, empowering the LLM to extract multidimensional semantic features of trajectories from comprehensive natural language narratives. Thus, the LLM can amalgamate multi-source semantics with zero marginal cost, significantly enhancing its understanding of complex maritime environments. Subsequently, a supervised fine-tuning approach rooted in Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) is applied to train the chosen LLMs. This enables rapid adaptation of the LLM to specific maritime areas or vessel classifications by modifying only a limited subset of parameters, thereby appreciably diminishing both data requirements and computational costs. Finally, representative metrics are utilized to evaluate the efficacy of the model training and to benchmark its performance against prevailing advanced models for ship trajectory prediction. The results indicate that the model demonstrates notable performance in short-term predictions fFor instance, with a prediction step of 1 h, the average distance errors for VTLLM and TrAISformer are 5.26 nmi and 6.12 nmi, respectively, resulting in a performance improvement of approximately 14.05%), having identified certain patterns and features, such as linear movements and turns, from the training data. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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13 pages, 1960 KB  
Article
Quantification and Analysis of Lung Involvement by Artificial Intelligence in Patients with Progressive Pulmonary Fibrosis Treated with Nintedanib
by Caterina Battaglia, Corrado Pelaia, Chiara Lupia, Alessia Mondelli, Francesco Turco, Paolo Zaffino, Carlo Cosentino, Francesco Manti, Giuliana Conti, Nicola Montenegro, Antonio Maiorano, Girolamo Pelaia, Pasquale Romeo and Domenico Laganà
Medicina 2025, 61(9), 1646; https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina61091646 - 11 Sep 2025
Viewed by 496
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) presents significant clinical challenges due to irreversible lung damage and declining respiratory function. Nintedanib has demonstrated antifibrotic effects, yet there is a lack of sensitive tools to assess treatment efficacy quantitatively. This study evaluated the potential [...] Read more.
Background and Objectives: Progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) presents significant clinical challenges due to irreversible lung damage and declining respiratory function. Nintedanib has demonstrated antifibrotic effects, yet there is a lack of sensitive tools to assess treatment efficacy quantitatively. This study evaluated the potential of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered quantitative computed tomography (QCT) to monitor lung changes and predict treatment outcomes in patients with PPF undergoing nintedanib therapy. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study analysed 37 patients diagnosed with PPF who were treated with nintedanib for one year. AI-powered QCT was performed using the 3D Slicer software version 5.2.2, which quantified lung infiltration, collapse, and vessel volumes. These data were then correlated with pulmonary function tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess baseline AI-powered QCT predictors for progression. Results: AI-powered QCT demonstrated a significant reduction in post-treatment right lung infiltration (5.56 ± 3.08 cm3 to 4.88 ± 2.77 cm3, p = 0.041), whereas total lung infiltration decreased non-significantly. Functional parameters, including forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO), showed no significant changes. ROC analysis identified a baseline infiltrated lung volume greater than 21.90% as predictive of continued disease progression (AUC = 0.767; sensitivity, 91.70%; specificity, 68.00%). Conclusions: AI-powered QCT identified diverse parenchymal responses to nintedanib in PPF and showed preliminary prognostic value for clinical trajectory. Imaging biomarkers enhance functional measures and may reveal early treatment effects. Prospective, multicentre validation is necessary to confirm usefulness and establish actionable thresholds for clinical application. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Pulmonology)
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22 pages, 6560 KB  
Article
MART: Ship Trajectory Prediction Model Based on Multi-Dimensional Attribute Association of Trajectory Points
by Senyang Zhao, Wei Guo and Yi Liu
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2025, 14(9), 345; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi14090345 - 7 Sep 2025
Viewed by 562
Abstract
Ship trajectory prediction plays an important role in numerous maritime applications and services. With the development of deep learning technology, the deep learning prediction method based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data has become one of the hot topics in current maritime traffic [...] Read more.
Ship trajectory prediction plays an important role in numerous maritime applications and services. With the development of deep learning technology, the deep learning prediction method based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data has become one of the hot topics in current maritime traffic research. However, as current models always concatenate dynamic information with distinct meanings (such as position, ship speed, and heading) into a single integrated input when processing trajectory point information as input, it becomes difficult for the models to grasp the correlations between different types of dynamic information of trajectory points and the specific information contained in each type of dynamic information itself. Aiming at the problem of insufficient modeling of the relationships among dynamic information in ship trajectory prediction, we propose the Multi-dimensional Attribute Relationship Transformer (MART) model. This model introduces a simulated trajectory training strategy to obtain the Association Loss (AssLoss) for learning the associations among different types of dynamic information; and it uses the Distance Loss (DisLoss) to integrate the relative distance information of the attribute embedding encoding to assist the model in understanding the relationships among different values in the dynamic information. We test the model on two AIS datasets, and the experiments show this model outperforms existing models. In the 15 h long-term prediction task, compared with other models, the MART model improves the prediction accuracy by 9.5% on the Danish Waters Dataset and by 15.4% on the Northern European Dataset. This study reveals the importance of the relationship between attributes and the relative distance of attribute values in spatiotemporal sequence modeling. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Artificial Intelligence Models, Tools and Applications)
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44 pages, 786 KB  
Review
Evolution of Studies on Fracture Behavior of Composite Laminates: A Scoping Review
by C. Bhargavi, K S Sreekeshava and B K Raghu Prasad
Appl. Mech. 2025, 6(3), 63; https://doi.org/10.3390/applmech6030063 - 25 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1712
Abstract
This scoping review paper provides an overview of the evolution, the current stage, and the future prospects of fracture studies on composite laminates. A fundamental understanding of composite materials is presented by highlighting the roles of the fiber and matrix, outlining the applications [...] Read more.
This scoping review paper provides an overview of the evolution, the current stage, and the future prospects of fracture studies on composite laminates. A fundamental understanding of composite materials is presented by highlighting the roles of the fiber and matrix, outlining the applications of various synthetic fibers used in current structural sectors. Challenges posed by interlaminar delamination, one of the critical failure modes, are highlighted. This paper systematically discusses the fracture behavior of these laminates under mixed-mode and complex loading conditions. Standardized fracture toughness testing methods, including Mode I Double Cantilever Beam (DCB), Mode II End-Notched Flexure (ENF) and Mixed-Mode Bending (MMB), are initially discussed, which is followed by a decade-wide chronological analysis of fracture mechanics approaches. Key advancements, including toughening mechanisms, Cohesive Zone Modeling (CZM), Virtual Crack Closure Technique (VCCT), Extended Finite Element Method (XFEM) and Digital Image Correlation (DIC), are analyzed. The review also addresses recent trends in fracture studies, such as bio-inspired architecture, self-healing systems, and artificial intelligence in fracture predictions. By mapping the trajectory of past innovations and identifying unresolved challenges, such as scale integration, dataset standardization for AI, and manufacturability of advanced architectures, this review proposes a strategic research roadmap. The major goal is to enable unified multi-scale modeling frameworks that merge physical insights with data learning, paving the way for next-generation composite laminates optimized for resilience, adaptability, and environmental responsibility. Full article
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18 pages, 879 KB  
Systematic Review
Machine Learning in Myasthenia Gravis: A Systematic Review of Prognostic Models and AI-Assisted Clinical Assessments
by Chen-Chih Chung, I-Chieh Wu, Oluwaseun Adebayo Bamodu, Chien-Tai Hong and Hou-Chang Chiu
Diagnostics 2025, 15(16), 2044; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15162044 - 14 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1038
Abstract
Background: Myasthenia gravis (MG), a chronic autoimmune disorder with variable disease trajectories, presents considerable challenges for clinical stratification and acute care management. This systematic review evaluated machine learning models developed for prognostic assessment in patients with MG. Methods: Following PRISMA guidelines, [...] Read more.
Background: Myasthenia gravis (MG), a chronic autoimmune disorder with variable disease trajectories, presents considerable challenges for clinical stratification and acute care management. This systematic review evaluated machine learning models developed for prognostic assessment in patients with MG. Methods: Following PRISMA guidelines, we systematically searched PubMed, Embase, and Scopus for relevant articles published from January 2010 to May 2025. Studies using machine learning techniques to predict MG-related outcomes based on structured or semi-structured clinical variables were included. We extracted data on model targets, algorithmic strategies, input features, validation design, performance metrics, and interpretability methods. The risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool. Results: Eleven studies were included, targeting ICU admission (n = 2), myasthenic crisis (n = 1), treatment response (n = 2), prolonged mechanical ventilation (n = 1), hospitalization duration (n = 1), symptom subtype clustering (n = 1), and artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted examination scoring (n = 3). Commonly used algorithms included extreme gradient boosting, random forests, decision trees, multivariate adaptive regression splines, and logistic regression. Reported AUC values ranged from 0.765 to 0.944. Only two studies employed external validation using independent cohorts; others relied on internal cross-validation or repeated holdout. Of the seven prognostic modeling studies, four were rated as having high risk of bias, primarily due to participant selection, predictor handling, and analytical design issues. The remaining four studies focused on unsupervised symptom clustering or AI-assisted examination scoring without predictive modeling components. Conclusions: Despite promising performance metrics, constraints in generalizability, validation rigor, and measurement consistency limited their clinical application. Future research should prioritize prospective multicenter studies, dynamic data sharing strategies, standardized outcome definitions, and real-time clinical workflow integration to advance machine learning-based prognostic tools for MG and support improved patient care in acute settings. Full article
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18 pages, 1034 KB  
Article
Navigating the Future: A Novel PCA-Driven Layered Attention Approach for Vessel Trajectory Prediction with Encoder–Decoder Models
by Fusun Er and Yıldıray Yalman
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(16), 8953; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15168953 - 14 Aug 2025
Viewed by 547
Abstract
This study introduces a novel deep learning architecture for vessel trajectory prediction based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. The motivation stems from the increasing importance of maritime transport and the need for intelligent solutions to enhance safety and efficiency in congested waterways—particularly [...] Read more.
This study introduces a novel deep learning architecture for vessel trajectory prediction based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. The motivation stems from the increasing importance of maritime transport and the need for intelligent solutions to enhance safety and efficiency in congested waterways—particularly with respect to collision avoidance and real-time traffic management. Special emphasis is placed on river navigation scenarios that limit maneuverability with the demand of higher forecasting precision than open-sea navigation. To address these challenges, we propose a Principal Component Analysis (PCA)-driven layered attention mechanism integrated within an encoder–decoder model to reduce redundancy and enhance the representation of spatiotemporal features, allowing the layered attention modules to focus more effectively on salient positional and movement patterns across multiple time steps. This dual-level integration offers a deeper contextual understanding of vessel dynamics. A carefully designed evaluation framework with statistical hypothesis testing demonstrates the superiority of the proposed approach. The model achieved a mean positional error of 0.0171 nautical miles (SD: 0.0035), with a minimum error of 0.0006 nautical miles, outperforming existing benchmarks. These results confirm that our PCA-enhanced attention mechanism significantly reduces prediction errors, offering a promising pathway toward safer and smarter maritime navigation, particularly in traffic-critical riverine systems. While the current evaluation focuses on short-term horizons in a single river section, the methodology can be extended to complex environments such as congested ports or multi-ship interactions and to medium-term or long-term forecasting to further enhance operational applicability and generalizability. Full article
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17 pages, 1455 KB  
Article
STID-Mixer: A Lightweight Spatio-Temporal Modeling Framework for AIS-Based Vessel Trajectory Prediction
by Leiyu Wang, Jian Zhang, Guangyin Jin and Xinyu Dong
Eng 2025, 6(8), 184; https://doi.org/10.3390/eng6080184 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 665
Abstract
The Automatic Identification System (AIS) has become a key data source for ship behavior monitoring and maritime traffic management, widely used in trajectory prediction and anomaly detection. However, AIS data suffer from issues such as spatial sparsity, heterogeneous features, variable message formats, and [...] Read more.
The Automatic Identification System (AIS) has become a key data source for ship behavior monitoring and maritime traffic management, widely used in trajectory prediction and anomaly detection. However, AIS data suffer from issues such as spatial sparsity, heterogeneous features, variable message formats, and irregular sampling intervals, while vessel trajectories are characterized by strong spatial–temporal dependencies. These factors pose significant challenges for efficient and accurate modeling. To address this issue, we propose a lightweight vessel trajectory prediction framework that integrates Spatial–Temporal Identity encoding with an MLP-Mixer architecture. The framework discretizes spatial and temporal features into structured IDs and uses dual MLP modules to model temporal dependencies and feature interactions without relying on convolution or attention mechanisms. Experiments on a large-scale real-world AIS dataset demonstrate that the proposed STID-Mixer achieves superior accuracy, training efficiency, and generalization capability compared to representative baseline models. The method offers a compact and deployable solution for large-scale maritime trajectory modeling. Full article
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