1. Introduction
Hydrogen is a key energy carrier of the future due to its unique characteristics, and liquid hydrogen (LH2) has the potential to be a fuel that does not produce carbon dioxide emissions [
1]. However, significant challenges arise in the development of large-scale commercial technologies for the storage and transportation of LH2. One of the primary tasks is to assess the thermal properties of insulation systems in the cryogenic temperature range (up to 20 K). Accurate evaluation of the effective thermal conductivity of insulating materials is essential for determining heat losses, testing various insulating components, estimating evaporation rates, designing storage tanks, scaling up LH2 storage systems, and for other cryogenic reservoirs. Insulating materials possess a complex structure, comprising a porous solid matrix and interfacial gas. The effective thermal conductivity of such a structure can vary depending on the material composition, structural characteristics, temperature, pressure, and gas composition at the interface [
2,
3,
4,
5,
6,
7].
Despite the extensive range of materials that can be utilized in cryogenic conditions, mineral fibers remain among the most widely used. This is primarily due to their non-combustible properties and high availability, which stem from their widespread ap-plication in construction. For instance, in the United States, fiberglass is the most commonly used insulation material in residential houses. Considering all areas (walls, floors, and attics) in new single-family homes, fiberglass accounted for 71% of all installations according to the 2019 Home Innovation Research Lab annual survey on building practices. Furthermore, in 2022, the operation of residential and commercial buildings contributed to 30% of the global final energy consumption and 26% of energy-related emissions, with 8% attributed to direct emissions and 18% to indirect emissions from the production of electricity and heat used in buildings. In absolute terms, the energy consumed in building operations in 2022 totaled 132 exajoules, while direct and indirect CO
2 emissions from buildings amounted to approximately 3 billion and 6.8 billion tons, respectively [
1].
In most of the research presented in the literature, thermal conductivity measurements are conducted within a temperature range close to ambient temperature (typically 298 K ± 50 K). However, it is crucial for the design of liquid hydrogen storage facilities to determine the insulation properties in the temperature range between the normal boiling point of liquid hydrogen (20 K) and room temperature (298 K) [
7]. While the theoretical foundations of thermal resistance are relatively straightforward, their practical application in cryogenic conditions is associated with numerous technical and non-technical challenges. Furthermore, the accuracy of reported values is sometimes questioned due to insufficient information about the materials and equipment used.
Several experimental methods exist for measuring thermal insulation properties. A detailed discussion of various experimental methods is beyond the scope of this study. However, some key aspects of thermal conductivity measurement will be presented, focusing on low cryogenic temperatures. In general, two main types of thermal conductivity measurement methods are identified: steady-state methods and transient methods. Typical steady-state methods include the guarded hot plate method, comparative method, ra-dial heat flow method, and others. An example of a transient measurement is the hot disk method [
8,
9]. Additionally, researchers in cryogenic insulation technology also utilize boiling rate as a means to assess the effective thermal conductivity of insulation systems. This method is analogous to the steady-state calorimeter method described in source [
8].
In the present study, the guarded hot plate method was utilized to refine the thermal conductivity of insulating materials based on mineral fibers, as it is regarded as the most accurate method. It should be noted that this experimental approach is quite labor-intensive. Based on the obtained experimental data, potential errors associated with the application of approximation methods for assessing thermal conductivity at cryogenic temperatures were analyzed from both technical and environmental perspectives.
2. Materials and Methods
For the study of thermal conductivity of mineral fiber samples, samples of mineral wool with the characteristics presented in
Table 1 were used. The samples were placed in a chamber that was cooled with liquid nitrogen. Spacers were used to fix the thickness of the samples (
Figure 1). The load on the samples was 500 Pa.
The measurements were carried out in accordance with ASTM C177-19 “Standard Thermal Transmission Properties by Means of the Guarded-Hot-Plate Apparatus” [
10]. Calibration was performed using NIST 1450D standards [
11] in the range from 270 K to 340 K.
Samples were pre-dried at 105 °C until constant mass was achieved to eliminate residual moisture. Prior to testing, the chamber containing the samples was evacuated to 0.2–0.3 atm to remove trapped air and moisture, after which it was purged and filled with high-purity nitrogen (99.9%) to prevent moisture reabsorption during measurements. The measurements were performed in triplicate for each temperature point and sample, and the presented values are averaged results. The experimental uncertainty, determined through calibration against standard reference materials and repeatability tests, is within ±2%. Steady-state heat flux, defined as a heat flux change of less than 0.5% per hour, was achieved within 5–6 h for each temperature point. All thermal conductivity measurements were performed in the through-thickness direction (Z-direction).
A JEOL JSM-6390LA (Japanese Electron Optics Laboratory, Tokyo, Japan) microscope was used for the scanning electron microscope (SEM) analysis. The accelerating voltage was set to 20 kV. Energy-dispersive X-ray (EDX) analysis was carried out on a JEOL EX-54175 JMH system (JEOL, Ltd., Tokyo, Japan). Before the examinations, all the fibers were coated with a conducting carbon layer.
In this study, the guarded hot plate method was employed to determine the properties of the samples. While it generally requires a longer experimental duration, the thermal conductivity values obtained are more accurate compared to those derived from transient methods. Our setup includes two cold plates alongside a hot plate to create the necessary temperature gradient. The samples are placed between the plates.
Figure 2 presents a schematic diagram of the guarded hot plate apparatus, designed for measurements under cryogenic conditions. The thermal power is supplied by an electric heater, and the thermal source is measured by the voltage across the plate and the current flowing through it. Power measurement is usually performed by integrating over a specified time period to enhance accuracy, particularly when the material’s thermal conductivity is low. Measurements using the hot plate method are based on the assumption of heat transfer within the geometry of an infinite layer.
The guard plate is maintained at the same temperature as the central plate to mini-mize temperature imbalance. A temperature difference between the central plate and the guard ring leads to a heat flow between these components, resulting in an error in estimating the heat flow within the material and in the gap between the central and guard plates. Errors may also arise from thermal losses at the edges. Generally, there may be a discrepancy between the theoretically derived accuracy (±2 to 5%) [
10] and the accuracy actually achieved (±10 to +20%) [
8]. Steady-state conditions are considered achieved when the guard and central plates reach the same temperature at constant output power. The time required to attain this steady state depends on various factors such as power, sample thickness, and the specified temperature. Once steady state is achieved, the effective thermal conductivity of the insulation sample can be easily calculated using the following unidirectional heat transfer equation:
where T
2 and T
1 are the temperatures of the hot and cold plates, respectively, and d
2 − d
1 is the thickness of the sample.
3. Results
The study obtained experimental data on the effective thermal conductivity of three mineral wool samples with varying densities (13.1, 68.6, and 104.3 kg/m3) across a broad temperature range, from −150 °C to 300 °C. Comprehensive analysis revealed distinct temperature-dependent thermal conductivity patterns for all tested materials. The minimum conductivity values were recorded at cryogenic temperatures: 0.0147 W/(m·K) for the high-density sample (MW3) and 0.0201 W/(m·K) for the low-density specimen (MW1) at −150 °C. As temperature increased, thermal conductivity demonstrated nonlinear growth, peaking at 0.2113 W/(m·K) for MW1 and 0.0804 W/(m·K) for MW3 at 300 °C. The sample selection was specifically designed to investigate the widest possible range of material densities, enabling comprehensive evaluation of density-dependent thermal performance.
Table 2 presents the results obtained for mineral wool samples at temperatures ranging from 123.5 to 573.4 K.
Four approximation methods were employed to describe the temperature dependence of thermal conductivity: linear, polynomial (second and third degree), and exponential. Comparative analysis of determination coefficients (r2) revealed that the linear model demonstrated satisfactory accuracy only for high-density materials (r2 = 0.97691 for MW2 and r2 = 0.95181 for MW3), while showing insufficient precision for the low-density MW1 sample (r2 = 0.87426). In contrast, third-degree polynomial approximation achieved superior accuracy for all specimens (r2 ≥ 0.99987 for MW1, r2 = 0.99841 for MW2, r2 = 0.9999 for MW3), indicating significant nonlinearity in temperature dependence, particularly pronounced in low-density materials.
The behavior of the low-density sample (MW1) proved particularly noteworthy, exhibiting discrepancies up to 30% between linear and polynomial models at temperatures below −100 °C. This phenomenon may be attributed to the increasing contribution of radiative heat transfer, which follows a cubic temperature dependence. For high-density materials (MW2 and MW3), the nonlinear effects were less pronounced, making linear approximation suitable for preliminary estimations. The results demonstrate that material density critically influences the appropriate choice of thermal conductivity modeling approach. Based on the obtained data, their fitting was performed using different types of equations: linear, power (third degree), power (fourth degree), and exponential. The calculated coefficients are presented in
Table 3.
Particularly noteworthy were the findings in the cryogenic region (below −100 °C), where maximum discrepancies between models were observed. For MW1, the difference between linear and polynomial approximations reached 30% at −150 °C, while for MW3 it did not exceed 5%. These results strongly support the hypothesis about different dominant heat transfer mechanisms in materials of varying densities—with low-density samples showing significant contribution from radiative heat transfer, which exhibits nonlinear temperature dependence (
Figure 3,
Figure 4 and
Figure 5).
4. Discussion
In fibrous insulation, it is customary to consider three types of heat flow: solid conduction (k
s), gas conduction (k
g), and thermal radiation (k
r). These components allow for a detailed analysis of heat transfer through materials, providing more accurate assessments of their thermal insulation properties.
Thermal conductivity of the fiber in the fiberglass insulation (k
s) is about 1–1.05 W/(m K), and that of air at room temperature (kg) is 0.026 W/(m K). The thermal conductivity of the major gases found in the insulation at low temperatures is shown in
Figure 6 [
12].
According to [
13], solid conduction exhibits a very weak dependence on temperature, which is confirmed by experimental studies [
14]. The thermal conductivity of aluminosilicate glasses with the composition 33Na
2O·67SiO
2 ranges from 0.88 to 1 W/(mK) in the temperature range from 150 to 300 K.
Gas conductivity over a broad temperature range has been extensively studied. The data are presented in
Figure 5 [
2,
15].
Radiation conductivity is typically determined by most researchers using the following formula:
where n is the effective refraction index, σ is the Stefan–Boltzmann constant, and β
R is the Rosseland mean extinction coefficient.
The effective thermal conductivity of fibrous insulation materials at cryogenic temperatures is governed by the combined contributions of solid conduction, gaseous conduction, and radiative heat transfer [
13]. Conventional models, particularly linear approximations widely used in engineering practice, typically assume that conduction dominates. They often neglect the nonlinear behavior of radiative heat transfer—especially at low temperatures, where the T
4 dependence described by the Stefan–Boltzmann law becomes increasingly significant. It is necessary to account for radiative effects in fibrous media through physically based formulations [
2,
4]. For low-density materials such as MW1 in our study, the application of a linear model results in substantial deviations—up to 30%—in the temperature range from –150 °C to –100 °C. This discrepancy arises from the underestimation of the radiative component, which, despite the low absolute levels of radiation at cryogenic temperatures, exhibits pronounced nonlinearity and becomes comparable to the conductive contribution due to the exponential decrease in gaseous thermal conductivity under vacuum conditions. In contrast, physics-based models, such as the generalized formulation proposed, explicitly incorporate a radiative term proportional to T
3 or T
4, enabling a more accurate representation of thermal conductivity behavior [
13]. However, these models require detailed knowledge of microstructural parameters, including fiber diameter distribution, porosity, optical properties (e.g., extinction coefficient and scattering albedo), and Rosseland mean free path, which are often difficult to obtain without extensive experimental characterization. While the models offer high physical fidelity, their practical implementation is limited by the availability of input data and computational complexity [
13]. In contrast, the present study proposes a high-order polynomial empirical approach—specifically third- and fourth-degree polynomials—that, without requiring prior knowledge of microstructural or optical properties, achieves a coefficient of determination (r
2) exceeding 0.999 for all tested materials (MW1, MW2, and MW3). For MW1, the linear model yields r
2 = 0.971, whereas the fourth-degree polynomial increases it to 0.9996, demonstrating a dramatic reduction in prediction error. This level of accuracy is particularly critical for cryogenic hydrogen storage systems, where even small errors in thermal conductivity estimation can lead to significant miscalculations of boil-off rates and insulation performance over long-duration missions. Therefore, while classical linear models remain convenient for high-density materials (e.g., MW2 and MW3, where r
2 > 0.95), they are demonstrably inadequate for low-density fibrous insulations under cryogenic conditions.
The results obtained in our study are consistent with the experimental data reported in the literature for samples with high density [
16].
Many researchers use a linear model to approximate data for inaccessible temperature intervals [
5]. At the same time, our results revealed an interesting feature: for low-density samples, this approach does not work. While for cases with densities above 30 kg/m
3, linear approximation can be applied with sufficient accuracy, for lightweight materials (which are often used in practice), this approach involves considerable inaccuracies. As seen in
Figure 6, within the temperature range below 180 K and above 450 K, the thermal conductivity of such materials exhibits strong nonlinearity. We believe that such changes in material properties are likely determined by the radiative component, which has a cubic dependence on temperature (Equation (2)).
At the same time, it is known, for example, that thermal conductivity for expanded polymer materials at cryogenic temperatures is linear [
12].
The nonlinear behavior of effective thermal conductivity in low-density materials is often attributed to radiative heat transfer; however, as evidenced by the available literature, this is not the sole factor capable of explaining such behavior, especially under cryogenic conditions. At low densities (e.g., <30 kg/m
3), the porosity of the material increases significantly, leading to larger pore sizes and a reduced volume fraction of fibers. This diminishes the contribution of solid-phase conduction while simultaneously amplifying the influence of other heat transfer mechanisms. Although radiative transfer becomes more prominent at elevated temperatures, additional effects emerge at low densities, particularly relevant in cryogenic applications. For instance low-density insulation structures may exhibit spatial inhomogeneities in density, where regions of lower density possess significantly higher effective thermal conductivity compared to denser zones [
17]. This non-uniform density distribution results in measured k
eff values exceeding theoretical predictions, contributing to the observed nonlinearity. Furthermore, at low densities, the role of gas-phase conduction in pores becomes increasingly significant—particularly when a deep vacuum is not fully achieved, as is often the case in cryogenic storage systems [
4]. Even at moderate pressures, gas thermal conductivity can exhibit a nonlinear dependence on both density and temperature, especially when the molecular mean free path becomes comparable to the pore dimensions, necessitating the consideration of Knudsen effects [
13]. The thermal conductivity of residual gas in the interstitial space at cryogenic temperatures (20–300 K) can reach values in the order of 10 mW/(m·K), which is comparable to or even exceeds the solid-phase conductivity of the fibrous matrix, making gas conduction a dominant mechanism in non-perfectly evacuated systems. Structural heterogeneity, fiber orientation, diameter distribution, and inter-fiber contact resistance significantly affect effective thermal conductivity—especially at low densities where the number of contact points between fibers drastically decreases, weakening the percolation pathways for solid conduction [
18]. This reduction in solid conduction pathways enhances the relative importance of gas and radiative contributions. Importantly, under cryogenic conditions, the radiative component, while still present, is substantially reduced due to the T
3 dependence of radiative conductivity [
19]. However, in low-density, optically thin media, even a small radiative flux can contribute disproportionately due to limited absorption, particularly in layered or sparse fibrous structures. Moreover, phenomena such as condensation of residual gases or adsorbed moisture within pores at cryogenic temperatures can drastically increase thermal conductivity [
3]. Therefore, the observed nonlinearity in effective thermal conductivity at low densities under cryogenic conditions arises from a confluence of factors, such as the following: spatial density fluctuations, increased gas-phase conduction (especially under non-ideal vacuum), Knudsen diffusion effects, inter-fiber contact resistance, and, to a lesser extent at low temperatures, radiative transfer and gas conductivity [
1,
20]. Consequently, while radiative heat transfer plays a role, it is not the sole explanation for the nonlinear behavior—particularly in real-world cryogenic systems where pressure, gas composition, structural imperfections, and secondary phase changes critically influence thermal performance.
The discrepancy in estimating thermal conductivity at −150 °C can reach up to 30% compared to a linear model. For a sample thickness of 100 mm, this leads to a heat flux difference of approximately 10 W/m2. Over continuous operation, this results in an annual energy loss of 87.6 kWh/m2. At an electricity cost of $0.15 per kWh, the additional financial impact amounts to $13.14 per m2 per year. Thus, accounting for accurate values of thermal conductivity can lead to significant savings both in terms of energy efficiency and environmental impact.