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Proceeding Paper

Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy †

by
Juanita Acosta Cortes
1,*,
Marcelo Silvera
2,
Ruben Chaer
2,3,
Guillermo Flieller
2,
Guillermo Andres Jimenez Estevez
1 and
Vanina Camacho
2
1
Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Universidad de los Andes, Cra 1 Este N° 19A, Bogota 111711, Colombia
2
Administración del Mercado Eléctrico, Montevideo, Uruguay; Yaguarón 1407, Montevideo 11100, Uruguay
3
Institute of Electrical Engineering, Universidad de la República Oriental del Uruguay, Av. Julio Herrera y Reissig 565, Montevideo 11300, Uruguay
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Presented at the 11th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting, Canaria, Spain, 16–18 July 2025.
Eng. Proc. 2025, 101(1), 10; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025101010
Published: 1 August 2025
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 11th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting)

Abstract

A novel model of the electrical demand of a power system capable of representing the hourly power load and its dependence on temperature is presented. The application of the model to the Colombian system is described with an evaluation of the error obtained. For the simulation of the optimal operation of systems with high renewable energy participation, a model such as the one presented is of vital importance in order to take into account the dependence of demand on meteorological variables. It is also necessary for the simulation of the expected effects of climate change on electricity demand.
Keywords: modeling; climate change; electricity demand modeling; climate change; electricity demand

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Cortes, J.A.; Silvera, M.; Chaer, R.; Flieller, G.; Estevez, G.A.J.; Camacho, V. Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy. Eng. Proc. 2025, 101, 10. https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025101010

AMA Style

Cortes JA, Silvera M, Chaer R, Flieller G, Estevez GAJ, Camacho V. Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy. Engineering Proceedings. 2025; 101(1):10. https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025101010

Chicago/Turabian Style

Cortes, Juanita Acosta, Marcelo Silvera, Ruben Chaer, Guillermo Flieller, Guillermo Andres Jimenez Estevez, and Vanina Camacho. 2025. "Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy" Engineering Proceedings 101, no. 1: 10. https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025101010

APA Style

Cortes, J. A., Silvera, M., Chaer, R., Flieller, G., Estevez, G. A. J., & Camacho, V. (2025). Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy. Engineering Proceedings, 101(1), 10. https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025101010

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