1. Introduction
Against the backdrop of the global low-carbon energy transition, hydrogen energy has emerged as a critical carrier for integrating high proportions of renewable energy into energy systems [
1]. Since 2024, a host of countries, including China [
2], Germany [
3], Japan [
4,
5], Australia [
6], and India [
7,
8], have successively issued hydrogen energy development plans, explicitly setting forth targets for large-scale green hydrogen production and export, which provides crucial support for building a clean, efficient and flexible new-type global energy system.
Hydrogen production from electricity has evolved into a research hotspot in the field of integrated energy as an effective approach to facilitate local accommodation of new energy sources and realize the low-carbon transition of energy systems [
9]. In terms of methods for promoting new energy accommodation with hydrogen energy as the carrier, global water electrolysis hydrogen production projects have witnessed an accelerated trend of large-scale development in 2024, with various countries actively advancing the deployment of large-scale green hydrogen projects, such as the Hydrogen City green hydrogen project in the United States and the H2Carrier offshore floating green hydrogen project in Norway. At present, hydrogen production from electricity has become the core link connecting renewable energy and the hydrogen energy industry. Through the technical route encompassing renewable power generation, electrolytic hydrogen production, hydrogen storage, and hydrogen fuel cells, the coupling of hydrogen and electricity not only addresses the problem of wind and solar curtailment [
10] but also offers clean energy solutions for fields such as industrial decarbonization [
11] and transportation [
12,
13]. Existing studies on hydrogen energy utilization have focused on individual processes such as standalone hydrogen production, hydrogen methanation, and direct hydrogen storage. With the advancement of hydrogen production from electricity technology, hydrogen energy utilization will present a trend of diversification and integration, and the potential of comprehensive hydrogen energy utilization based on the combination of hydrogen production and hydrogen-enriched compressing needs to be urgently explored.
While pure hydrogen shows promise as a clean fuel, its practical implementation faces several challenges, including storage difficulties, infrastructure requirements, and combustion characteristics that differ significantly from conventional fuels. Currently, the construction cost of pure hydrogen pipeline networks remains high, and hydrogen transportation technology is not yet mature. To address these limitations while still leveraging hydrogen’s environmental benefits, hydrogen blending with natural gas has emerged as a transitional strategy. This approach, known as hydrogen-enriched compressed natural gas (HCNG) technology, offers a pragmatic pathway that combines the emissions reduction potential of hydrogen with the existing natural gas infrastructure and familiar combustion properties.
The application of HCNG technology, which involves injecting hydrogen into natural gas pipelines for transportation at an appropriate ratio, will effectively promote the development of large-scale hydrogen production from electricity [
14]. Literature [
15,
16] has verified through technical feasibility analysis that no major renovation is required when the enriched compressing ratio of HCNG in existing pipeline networks reaches 5–20%, which can effectively boost the accommodation of new energy sources such as photovoltaic and wind power. The literature [
17,
18] holds that the participation of HCNG in scheduling can significantly reduce carbon emissions in the industrial and power sectors while enhancing the overall flexibility of energy systems. Recent studies [
19,
20,
21] have advanced research on multi-energy coupling scenarios by introducing mechanisms such as stepped carbon trading and dynamic energy flow models, thereby enhancing the renewable energy accommodation capacity and carbon emission reduction efficiency of HCNG in multi-system coordination. These studies all provide valuable explorations for the application of HCNG technology in integrated energy systems. However, these existing studies still have certain limitations. The literature [
19,
20,
21] primarily focuses on HCNG applications within single-domain optimization or partial system coupling, lacking comprehensive integration of the entire hydrogen production–storage–utilization chain with renewable energy accommodation and demand-side flexibility. Moreover, systematic mathematical modeling of HCNG operational characteristics in multi-energy networks, particularly the refined characterization of hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio constraints and dynamic calorific value variations, remains insufficiently addressed. The present work advances beyond these limitations through three key innovations. Taking full account of the characteristics of hydrogen energy and HCNG technology, depicting the coupling constraints between HCNG and multi-energy networks, and conducting optimal scheduling of integrated energy systems in combination with the flexible capability of demand response resources [
22,
23,
24] constitute one of the important research trends in this field.
Despite these valuable contributions, several critical research gaps remain in existing studies. First, most research focuses on isolated hydrogen utilization pathways, either emphasizing standalone hydrogen production or single-pathway applications such as hydrogen methanation, while lacking systematic integration of the complete hydrogen value chain from production through storage to diversified end-use applications. Second, although HCNG technology has been validated for technical feasibility, the existing literature provides insufficient mathematical characterization of the coupling dynamics between hydrogen-enriched compressing operations and multi-energy network constraints, particularly regarding the operational interdependencies among power systems, natural gas networks, and hydrogen infrastructure. Third, current optimization frameworks predominantly address single objectives such as economic dispatch or renewable integration in isolation, without comprehensively incorporating demand-side flexibility resources into the low-carbon scheduling paradigm of hydrogen-enriched integrated energy systems. These limitations constrain the practical deployment of hydrogen energy in urban integrated energy systems and hinder the achievement of coordinated optimization across generation, transmission, and consumption domains.
Centering on the two core objectives of improving the accommodation level of wind and solar energy and ensuring the low-carbon and economic operation of the system, this paper proposes a low-carbon optimal scheduling method for urban integrated energy systems coupled with electricity, hydrogen, and HCNG. First, on the basis of urban distribution networks, user units, and hydrogen-enriched compressed natural gas networks (HCNGNs), the architecture of a hydrogen production and enriched compressing-integrated energy system is constructed. Second, the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling unit is subdivided into four functional modules, namely hydrogen production, hydrogen storage, hydrogen utilization, and HCNG, and refined modeling is carried out. On this basis, a low-carbon optimal scheduling model for the hydrogen production and enriched compressing-integrated energy system that takes into account the demand response of user units is established. Finally, through setting up different operation scenarios and conducting comparative simulation analysis, the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed model in practical application are fully verified.
Compared with the existing research, the innovations of this paper are mainly reflected in the following three aspects.
First, regarding the systematic integration of innovation in hydrogen multi-utilization pathways, existing research primarily focuses on single segments such as hydrogen production, hydrogen methanation, or direct hydrogen storage. In contrast, this paper establishes, for the first time, an electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling unit architecture that covers the entire chain of hydrogen production–storage–utilization-enriched compressing. Through water electrolysis units, hydrogen storage devices, HFCs, and HCNG technology, multi-dimensional and multi-pathway flexible conversion of hydrogen energy among power systems, natural gas systems, and end users is achieved, breaking through the limitations of single-pathway hydrogen utilization in traditional research.
Second, with respect to the refined modeling of HCNG and multi-energy network coupling constraints, although the existing literature has confirmed the feasibility and carbon reduction potential of HCNG technology, the systematic mathematical characterization of the energy flow mechanisms, hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio constraints, dynamic changes in calorific value, and coupling operational characteristics with power systems and hydrogen energy systems in multi-energy networks remains lacking. This paper achieves refined modeling of HCNG operational characteristics in integrated energy systems by establishing a hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio constraint model, an HCNG calorific value calculation model, and a triple balance relationship of hydrogen volumetric flow rate, providing theoretical support for the in-depth application of HCNG technology in multi-energy collaborative optimization.
Third, with a collaborative optimization strategy of demand response and low-carbon scheduling, different from the existing research that emphasizes single optimization objectives, this paper deeply integrates the demand response mechanism into the low-carbon optimal scheduling framework of the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling system. By synergistically considering wind and solar energy accommodation, carbon emission reduction, and user-side flexibility resources, a multi-objective optimization model is established with the objective of minimizing intraday economic dispatch cost, achieving full-chain collaboration of clean energy production on the supply side, multi-energy coupling transmission on the network side, and flexible regulation on the demand side, thereby providing a new solution pathway for the low-carbon and economic operation of integrated energy systems.
2. Architecture of Urban Integrated Energy System Coupled with Electricity–Hydrogen–HCNG
The basic structure of the hydrogen production and enriched compressing-integrated energy system is illustrated in
Figure 1. On the supply side, energy is provided by thermal power units, wind power, photovoltaic power, HCNG, and other sources; the demand side comprises five types of loads, namely electricity, hydrogen, cooling, heating, and gas loads.
In the urban integrated energy system, the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling unit is composed of hydrogen mixed gas turbines (HMGTs), water electrolysis units, hydrogen fuel cells (HFCs), and hydrogen storage tanks, as well as hydrogen refueling stations. When wind and solar curtailment occur frequently, or there is a surplus of power in the power grid, the water electrolysis units produce hydrogen, realizing the conversion between electric energy flow and hydrogen energy flow. A portion of the produced hydrogen is stored in hydrogen storage tanks and supplied to user units, while another portion is injected into the natural gas network at a certain ratio to form HCNG, achieving the conversion between hydrogen energy flow and HCNG flow. Meanwhile, HCNG is supplied to the HMGTs inside the user units for power generation, realizing the conversion between HCNG flow and electric energy flow. When there is a power shortage in the user units of the urban distribution network or during peak electricity consumption periods, the hydrogen fuel cells generate electricity by utilizing hydrogen, realizing the conversion between hydrogen energy flow and electric energy flow. In addition, the cooling-heating-power coupling unit is made up of HMGTs, adsorption refrigerators, waste heat recovery boilers, electric boilers, and electric refrigerators, realizing the conversion between electric energy flow and thermal energy flow, between electric energy flow and cooling energy flow, and between thermal energy flow and cooling energy flow.
5. Case Study
The proposed model is verified by simulation based on an actual urban distribution network with 102 nodes and an HCNGN with 8 nodes. The distribution network data are obtained from an inland city in Southwest China, while the natural gas network data are based on the standard eight-node test case. These parameters are realistic and widely used in similar studies. The dispatching cycle is set as one day with a time step of 1 h, and the system structure diagram is shown in
Figure 3. In the urban distribution network, node 15 is connected to a thermal power unit with a capacity of 50 MW, nodes 27 and 38 are respectively connected to large-scale wind farms with a capacity of 200 MW each, and nodes 20 and 45 are respectively connected to photovoltaic power stations with a capacity of 80 MW each. Water electrolysis devices and hydrogen storage units are connected to nodes 20, 27, 38, and 45, respectively. Three types of user units, namely commercial parks, industrial parks and residential communities, are connected to nodes 24, 32 and 41, respectively. In the HCNGN, nodes 1 and 7 are gas source points, nodes 3 and 4 are hydrogen-enriched compressing points, and node 5 is the gas load connection point. The system operation parameters, typical daily load curves, wind and photovoltaic output prediction curves, time-of-use electricity prices, time-of-use gas prices and other relevant data are provided in
Appendix A.
5.1. Comparative Analysis of System Optimal Dispatch Results Under Different Scenarios
To verify the overall effectiveness of the proposed model in optimizing the operation of urban integrated energy systems, three scenarios are established for comparative analysis.
Case 1: Basic scenario, where power-to-hydrogen is not considered, the system does not include electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling units, and the gas turbines in user units are traditional gas turbines;
Case 2: Based on one of the important current utilization pathways of hydrogen, where power-to-hydrogen and hydrogen methanation are taken into account, the system does not contain electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling units, and the gas turbines in user units are traditional gas turbines;
Case 3: The scenario considering electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling units, which refers to the model proposed in this paper.
5.1.1. Analysis of System Operation Cost
The operation costs of the system under different scenarios are shown in
Table 1. Compared with Case 1, the wind and photovoltaic curtailment costs of Case 2 and Case 3 are reduced by 9.32% and 29.55%, respectively. The comparative analysis indicates that Case 2 achieves the lowest total cost and the highest economic efficiency. This is because the methane synthesized from hydrogen produced in Case 2 via the methanation reactor is injected into the natural gas network, which reduces the gas supply cost of the natural gas network by 76.94%. Consequently, the gas consumption costs of gas turbines in user units and gas loads in the natural gas system decrease substantially, the output of gas turbines increases, the electricity purchase cost of user units declines, and the total cost of the system is reduced significantly. Case 3 incorporates electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling units, and the increased operation and maintenance costs of relevant units lead to a rise in the total system cost. However, in comparison with Case 1 and Case 2, the carbon emission cost of the system in Case 3 is reduced.
Although Case 3 demonstrates the highest total cost among the three scenarios, this primarily reflects the infrastructure investment required for establishing the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling system, including hydrogen production facilities, storage devices, and enriched compressing equipment. A comprehensive evaluation of future cost trends suggests several factors that may influence the economic viability of the proposed model.
First, the capital costs of hydrogen energy equipment are projected to decline substantially in the coming years. Industry forecasts indicate that water electrolysis devices and hydrogen storage systems may experience cost reductions of 40–60% by 2030 due to technological maturation and manufacturing scale-up [
35,
36]. Such cost trajectories would narrow the economic gap observed between Case 3 and the baseline scenarios.
Second, carbon pricing mechanisms are expected to evolve globally [
37]. As carbon markets develop and environmental regulations strengthen, the 1.89% carbon emission reduction achieved by Case 3 relative to Case 2 represents an increasingly valuable attribute. Higher carbon prices would enhance the economic competitiveness of low-carbon energy systems through avoided emission costs.
Third, the multi-pathway hydrogen utilization framework provides operational flexibility that extends beyond immediate cost metrics. The system’s capacity to accommodate renewable energy fluctuations and maintain supply reliability offers resilience benefits that contribute to long-term value, particularly as renewable penetration increases.
These considerations indicate that while Case 3 requires greater upfront investment, its economic performance relative to conventional approaches may improve as hydrogen technologies mature and environmental policy frameworks strengthen. The present cost differential should therefore be evaluated within the context of anticipated market and technological developments.
5.1.2. Analysis of Wind and Photovoltaic Absorption in the System
The wind and photovoltaic absorption of the system under different scenarios is shown in
Figure 4. When power-to-hydrogen is not taken into account, the wind and photovoltaic curtailment volume reaches as high as 29.91%. Compared with Case 1, the wind and photovoltaic utilization rate of the system is improved after power-to-hydrogen is considered. Specifically, part of the wind and photovoltaic output in Case 2 is used for hydrogen production and subsequent methane synthesis. Restricted by the operation constraints of the natural gas network and the operation efficiency of the methanation reactor, the wind and photovoltaic utilization rate of the system is increased by 2.79%. Case 3 incorporates electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling units, in which the hydrogen-consuming units and HCNG units further promote the system to absorb wind and photovoltaic output for hydrogen production, so as to meet the hydrogen demand of hydrogen fuel cells and hydrogen refueling stations in user units. As a result, the wind and photovoltaic utilization rate is increased by 6.81% compared with Case 1.
As can be seen from
Figure 5, the water electrolysis devices are mainly operated during periods with high wind power output, such as 0–4 and 16–24 h. After the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling units are taken into consideration, the system’s capacity to absorb wind and photovoltaic power is significantly improved. Compared with Case 2, the total electricity consumption of the water electrolysis devices in Case 3 increases by 380.59 MW.
5.1.3. Analysis of System Carbon Emission
The carbon emission performance of the system under different scenarios is presented in
Table 2. Case 3 achieves the lowest total carbon emissions, which are reduced by 0.47% and 1.89% compared with Case 1 and Case 2, respectively, indicating that the model proposed in this paper yields superior environmental benefits. By contrast, Case 2 has the highest total carbon emissions of the power grid. This is because although Case 2 incorporates power-to-hydrogen and hydrogen methanation technologies, which cut down the gas supply cost of the natural gas network and lower the power generation cost of gas turbines, the consequent increase in gas turbine output leads to a rise in the total gas consumption of the system, thus resulting in higher carbon emissions. Case 3 takes both power-to-hydrogen and hydrogen utilization into account; since gas turbines burn HCNG, their total carbon emissions decrease when generating the same amount of power. Moreover, driven by hydrogen-consuming units, part of the system’s electrical load is supplied by hydrogen fuel cells, which further reduces carbon emissions. As can be seen from the carbon emission per unit power generation of the system under various scenarios, the model proposed in this paper features the lowest carbon emission per unit power generation and achieves the optimal carbon emission reduction benefit.
To further evaluate the economic efficiency of carbon emission reduction, the marginal carbon abatement cost is calculated by comparing the additional investment required in Case 3 relative to Case 1 against the corresponding carbon emission reduction achieved. Based on the results presented in
Table 1 and
Table 2, Case 3 incurs an additional cost of 570,500 yuan while reducing carbon emissions by 1.46 tCO
2 compared to Case 1, yielding a marginal abatement cost of approximately 390,753 yuan per ton of CO
2.
Current carbon prices in major trading markets range from 60 to 120 yuan per ton of CO
2, substantially lower than the calculated marginal abatement cost. However, as discussed in
Section 5.1.1, this cost differential is expected to narrow as hydrogen equipment costs decline and carbon pricing mechanisms strengthen. When evaluating the comprehensive value proposition of the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupling framework, considerations extend beyond direct carbon abatement economics to encompass improved renewable integration, enhanced grid flexibility, and strengthened energy security. These multidimensional benefits warrant assessment within a broader techno-economic evaluation framework that accounts for both short-term operational costs and long-term strategic value.
5.1.4. Analysis of Optimal Dispatch Performance of the Natural Gas Network
The optimal dispatch performance of the natural gas network under different scenarios is illustrated in
Figure 6. By comparing
Figure 6a–c, it can be observed that Case 1 does not take power-to-hydrogen into consideration, so the entire gas demand of the system is fully met by gas supply from the gas sources, with the total gas supply volume of gas source 1 and gas source 7 reaching 39,147.56 m
3. Case 2 incorporates power-to-hydrogen and hydrogen methanation technologies, where the methane synthesized by the system is injected into the natural gas pipeline through nodes 3 and 4 of the natural gas network, satisfying 78.26% of the system’s gas demand and thus leading to a substantial reduction in the gas supply volume from the natural gas network’s gas sources. Case 3 accounts for power-to-hydrogen, where a portion of the hydrogen produced by the hydrogen generation units is supplied to hydrogen-consuming units, and another portion is injected into the natural gas pipeline via nodes 3 and 4 of the natural gas network to form HCNG. The total volume of hydrogen injected into the system accounts for 1.83% of the total gas supply volume of the natural gas network, and the total gas supply volume of the natural gas network’s gas sources is 38,307.75 m
3, representing a 2.15% decrease compared with Case 1. Part of the system’s gas demand is satisfied by hydrogen, which reduces the gas supply cost of the natural gas network.
In summary, the model proposed in this paper plays a more positive role in promoting the accommodation of wind and photovoltaic power in the power system, improving the utilization rate of wind and photovoltaic energy, and advancing the low-carbon transformation of the system.
5.2. Analysis of Hydrogen Production and Utilization
To analyze the impact of hydrogen-consuming units on hydrogen generation and utilization under the proposed model, two sets of scenarios are designed for comparison as follows:
Case 4: The hydrogen-consuming units are not taken into account in the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupled units.
Case 5: The hydrogen-consuming units are incorporated in the electricity–hydrogen–HCNG coupled units, which correspond to the model proposed in this paper.
As can be seen from
Figure 7b, during the optimal scheduling period, 84.27% of the hydrogen in the system is supplied to the hydrogen load of hydrogen refueling stations, 5.4% is used for power generation by HFCs, 0.63% is injected into natural gas pipelines, and the remaining hydrogen is stored in hydrogen storage tanks. It is evident that hydrogen consumption for hydrogen load in hydrogen-consuming units serves as the primary approach to promoting wind and solar energy absorption. Constrained by their maximum output, hydrogen fuel cells consume a relatively small total amount of hydrogen. In comparison with
Figure 7a, when hydrogen-consuming units are not considered in the system, the total hydrogen production of water electrolysis units decreases to 31.52% of that in the scenario where hydrogen-consuming units are taken into account. During the optimal scheduling period, only 0.67% of the hydrogen in the system is injected into natural gas pipelines to form HCNG, while the rest is injected into hydrogen storage tanks for storage. This indicates that the total hydrogen production of water electrolysis units in the system is closely related to the hydrogen demand of hydrogen-consuming units; hydrogen-consuming units can not only enhance the system’s capacity to absorb wind and solar energy, but also increase the total volume of hydrogen injected into natural gas pipelines.
Further observation of the total hydrogen production and total hydrogen consumption of the system at each time step reveals that hydrogen storage units can store hydrogen when there is a surplus in the system and extract hydrogen when there is a shortage, thereby playing a role in flexible hydrogen scheduling and effectively balancing hydrogen production and consumption within the system.
5.3. Analysis of Optimal Scheduling Results of User Units
5.3.1. Analysis of Multi-Energy Flow Optimization Results of User Units
The user units in this paper take into account the balance of multiple energy forms such as cooling, heating and electricity within the parks. Specifically, commercial parks and residential communities mainly conduct internal optimization with electric energy flow as the core, while industrial parks prioritize the balance of cooling, heating and electric energy flows for internal optimization. The multi-energy flow optimization results of the user units under the model proposed in this paper are shown in
Figure 8.
It can be seen from the electric power balance results in
Figure 8a–c that purchasing electricity from the upper-level distribution network is the primary source of electric energy for user units, and the photovoltaic units inside the user units achieve full absorption of generated power. Affected by natural gas prices and gas supply costs, the power generation cost of HMGT remains high. In commercial parks and residential communities with relatively low electricity load levels, HMGT operates at the minimum output for most of the time. Industrial parks feature a relatively high electricity load level, and the HMGT in industrial parks serves as a crucial coupling device for cooling–heating–electric power balance. To meet the cooling and heating power balance of the system, the output of the unit is higher than that of the other two types of user units. Driven by time-of-use electricity prices, the energy storage systems inside each user unit charge during the load valley periods and discharge during the load peak periods. Given the lower electricity prices during load valleys and higher prices during load peaks, energy storage not only realizes peak-valley arbitrage but also plays a role in peak load shifting. HFCs mainly operate during periods of high load levels in user units to further balance the electric power consumption of the system.
As can be seen from the cooling and heating power balance results of the industrial park in
Figure 8d,e, the cooling and heating loads of the park are mainly met by electric chillers and electric boilers. Due to the existence of operation and maintenance costs for relevant equipment inside the industrial park, and the fact that the operation and maintenance cost of waste heat recovery boilers is higher than that of adsorption chillers, the heat collection power of adsorption chillers is greater than that of waste heat recovery boilers. When adsorption chillers and waste heat recovery boilers fail to satisfy the cooling and heating power balance of the industrial park, electric chillers and electric boilers are required to supply energy to maintain the balance of cooling and heating power within the park.
5.3.2. Analysis of Demand Response Performance of User Units
To analyze the demand response performance of user units under the model proposed in this paper, the following scenarios are set for comparison:
Case 6: The demand response mechanism is not considered for user units;
Case 7: The demand response mechanism is incorporated for user units, which corresponds to the model proposed in this paper.
The optimal scheduling results of electric energy before and after the implementation of demand response for user units are shown in
Table 3. After the adoption of electric load demand response, the total loads of commercial parks, industrial parks and residential communities have been reduced by 8.10%, 2.19% and 5.30%, respectively, and the electricity purchase volumes of users in commercial parks and residential communities have decreased accordingly. Affected by the cooling–heating–electric power balance, the electricity purchase volume of user units in industrial parks has changed slightly before and after the implementation of demand response. With the demand response mechanism taken into account, the electricity purchase cost of user units has declined.
Further comparative analysis reveals that the total cost of the system in Case 7 is 1400 yuan lower than that in Case 6, with the carbon emission cost reduced by 100 yuan, and the total carbon emissions of the system decreased by 0.19 tons. This demonstrates that the demand response of user units plays a positive role in facilitating the low-carbon and economic operation of the system.
Figure 9 depicts the variation in the electrical load of user units before and after their participation in demand response in Case 7. Guided by price signals, user units engage in demand response, which achieves load curtailment and load shifting during peak periods. The curtailable load is reduced to a certain extent during peak electricity consumption hours, with the curtailment volume remaining within a reasonable range. Meanwhile, part of the transferable load is shifted from peak load periods to load valley periods with high wind and solar power output, such as the time intervals of 1–9 and 20–24. It is evident that the demand response of user units yields favorable scheduling effects under the combined action of time-of-use electricity prices and demand response compensation costs. It plays a distinct role in peak load shaving and valley filling for the overall user load curve, thereby maximizing the accommodation of renewable energy.
5.3.3. Analysis of Carbon Emission Performance of User Units
Based on the scenarios established in
Section 4.1, this section takes the industrial park as an example to analyze the carbon emission performance of user units, with the results presented in
Figure 10. The total carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity per kilowatt-hour of the industrial park in Case 2 reach the highest levels. This is because the reduction in the power generation cost of gas turbines in the industrial park leads to an increase in unit output, resulting in a 0.919-ton rise in carbon emissions from gas consumption in the park compared with Case 1. In Case 3, the gas turbines in the park are replaced by HMGTs, and HFCs are incorporated into the park. Since hydrogen fuel cells generate power through hydrogen consumption without producing any carbon emissions, the total carbon emissions of the park decrease by 17.23% in contrast to Case 1. It can be concluded that power supply relying on traditional gas turbines tends to generate substantial carbon emissions, while enriched compressing hydrogen into natural gas pipelines and supplying the mixture to HMGTs for combustion-based power generation can effectively reduce the carbon emissions of user units, thus facilitating the low-carbon transition of users.
5.4. Sensitivity Analysis of Upper Limit of Hydrogen-Enriched Compressing Ratio
Internationally, several countries have proposed raising the upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio to 20%. For example, Avacon, a subsidiary of the German energy giant E.ON, plans to increase the upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio in its operated natural gas pipeline networks to 20% in the future [
38]. In France, some natural gas operators will attempt a 20% hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio starting from 2030 [
39]. At present, the UK’s HyDeploy demonstration project has successfully blended 20% hydrogen into in-service natural gas pipelines [
40]. On this basis, this paper further investigates the impact of variations in the upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio in natural gas pipelines on scheduling results, and designs four sets of scenarios for comparative analysis:
Case 8: The upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio is set at 5%;
Case 9: The upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio is set at 10%, which corresponds to the model proposed in this paper;
Case 10: The upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio is set at 15%;
Case 11: The upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio is set at 20%
5.4.1. Analysis of Impacts on Scheduling Results
The optimal scheduling results of the system under different scenarios are presented in
Table 4. With the increase in the upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio, the total volume of hydrogen injected into natural gas pipelines by the system rises, the gas supply volume from gas sources decreases, and the total cost of the system’s optimal scheduling declines. According to calculations, compared with Case 8, the proportion of hydrogen injected into the natural gas network in Case 11 of the total hydrogen production increases by 1.26%, indicating that the natural gas network accommodates a larger quantity of hydrogen. In terms of wind and solar energy accommodation of the system, the utilization rate of wind and solar energy continuously improves as the upper limit of hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio increases, which demonstrates that raising the upper limit of hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio in the natural gas network is conducive to promoting the accommodation of renewable energy in the system.
During the scheduling period, nodes 1 and 7 in the HCNGN are gas source points that inject conventional natural gas, with the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio being 0 under all scenarios; node 6 has no gas demand, so its hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio is also 0. The hydrogen-enriched compressing ratios of the remaining nodes in the HCNGN under different scenarios are shown in
Figure 11. It can be seen that different upper limits of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio exert a significant impact on the hydrogen-enriched compressing status of HCNGN nodes. Moreover, after considering the component tracking of HCNG, the relationship between the upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio and the actual hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio in HCNG presents a nonlinear rather than proportional pattern.
Regarding the non-linear relationship between the actual hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio and the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio upper limit, under the condition of a fixed volume of mixed gas requirement in this case, the actual hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio is primarily influenced by the natural gas pipeline flow. Since the pipeline flow exhibits a quadratic relationship with nodal pressure according to the Weymouth equation, and the nodal pressure is constrained by upper and lower limits, this results in the actual hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio reaching its maximum value when the natural gas pipeline flow reaches its minimum value. Therefore, when the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio upper limit exceeds this maximum value, the actual hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio no longer increases linearly with the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio upper limit but is instead limited by the pipeline network pressure constraints, thereby exhibiting a non-linear pattern between the actual hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio and the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio upper limit.
5.4.2. Analysis of Impacts on HCNG Carbon Emission Reduction Performance
To quantitatively evaluate the carbon emission reduction performance of HCNG technology, it is necessary to establish an appropriate metric that directly reflects the environmental benefits of hydrogen-enriched compressing. The carbon emission reduction coefficient per unit volume of HCNG is proposed as the evaluation metric for the following reasons [
41,
42]. First, this coefficient represents the decrease in carbon emissions per unit volume of gas mixture compared to pure natural gas, which directly quantifies the carbon mitigation effect of hydrogen introduction. Second, the volumetric basis aligns with practical gas network operations where gas flow is typically measured and controlled by volume rather than mass or energy content. Third, this metric enables straightforward comparison across different hydrogen-enriched compressing scenarios and facilitates the assessment of marginal carbon reduction benefits when adjusting the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio. By adopting this coefficient, the carbon emission reduction performance of HCNG can be evaluated in a manner consistent with the low-carbon optimization objective of the entire urban integrated energy system.
In this section, the carbon emission reduction coefficient per unit volume of HCNG is defined as
(unit: kg/m
3), and its calculation formula is shown in Equation (64).
where
denotes the proportion of hydrogen in HCNG.
As shown in
Figure 12, with the increase in the upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio, the total volume of hydrogen injected into natural gas pipelines rises, and the carbon emission reduction coefficient of HCNG increases accordingly. It can be seen that compared with conventional natural gas, HCNG technology enables the clean and low-carbon transformation of natural gas. Meanwhile, raising the upper limit of the hydrogen-enriched compressing ratio is conducive to reducing carbon emissions of the hydrogen production and enriched compressing-integrated energy system, increasing the carbon emission reduction coefficient of HCNG, and promoting the low-carbon transition of the system.
5.5. Sensitivity Analysis of Carbon Price
According to existing studies [
43], the carbon price in 2025 is approximately ranged from 60 to 120 CNY per ton. Based on this, four scenarios are set in this paper to investigate the impact of carbon price changes on dispatching results:
Case 12: Carbon price is 60 CNY per ton;
Case 13: Carbon price is 80 CNY per ton, which is the model proposed in this paper;
Case 14: Carbon price is 100 CNY per ton;
Case 15: Carbon price is 120 CNY per ton.
5.5.1. Analysis of Impacts on Scheduling Results
The results of the system’s low-carbon optimal scheduling under different scenarios are presented in
Table 5. The wind and solar energy utilization rate rises continuously with the increase in carbon price, which indicates that a higher carbon price is conducive to promoting the utilization of renewable energy in the system. With the increase in carbon price, the total volume of hydrogen injected into the natural gas pipeline by the system increases, the gas supply from the gas source decreases, and the total cost of the system’s optimal scheduling goes up.
5.5.2. Analysis of Impacts on Carbon Emission Performance
As shown in
Figure 13, the carbon emissions of the system exhibit a declining trend with the increase in carbon price. It can be concluded that a higher carbon price is conducive to reducing carbon emissions of the hydrogen production and enriched compressing-integrated urban energy system and advancing its low-carbon transition.
5.6. Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogen Storage Capacities
To investigate the impact of variations in hydrogen storage capacity on scheduling results, four scenarios are designed and discussed in this paper as follows.
A hydrogen storage capacity of 10,000 m3 is selected as the base capacity in this paper, with all subsequent units expressed in per-unit values.
Case 16: Hydrogen storage capacity is 0.5 per unit;
Case 17: Hydrogen storage capacity is 1 per unit, which is the model proposed in this paper;
Case 18: Hydrogen storage capacity is 1.5 per unit;
Case 19: Hydrogen storage capacity is 2 per unit.
5.6.1. Analysis of Impacts on Scheduling Results
The results of the system’s low-carbon optimal scheduling under different scenarios are presented in
Table 6. The wind and solar energy utilization rate rises continuously with the increase in hydrogen storage capacity, which indicates that a larger hydrogen storage capacity is conducive to promoting the wind and solar energy utilization of the system. The calculation results show that compared with Case 19, the proportion of hydrogen injected into the natural gas grid compared to the total hydrogen production in Case 16 is increased by 1.07%, meaning that more hydrogen is absorbed by the natural gas grid. With the increase in hydrogen storage capacity, the total volume of hydrogen injected into the natural gas pipeline by the system increases, the gas supply from the gas source decreases, and the total cost of the system’s optimal scheduling goes up.
5.6.2. Analysis of Impacts on Carbon Emission Performance
As shown in
Figure 14, the carbon emissions of the system exhibit a declining trend with the increase in hydrogen storage capacity. It can be concluded that a larger hydrogen storage capacity is conducive to reducing carbon emissions of the hydrogen production-enriched compressing-integrated urban energy system and advancing its low-carbon transition.