An Integrated Ordered Probit Model for Evaluating University Commuters’ Satisfaction with Public Transport
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
Sources | Contexts | Themes | Segments | Techniques * | Findings |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
[9] | Jordan | Validation of the created model and PT quality improvement | Focus groups | AHP–BWM | The hybrid model can be applied to random hierarchically structured decision problems. |
[16] | Portugal | Frequency of PT and satisfaction | Students researchers | Bayesian SEM | A negative link was found between the frequency of use and satisfaction with PT. |
[25] | Canada | Actual and desired PT frequency | University students | OLM | Attitudes towards and contentment with public transport influence willingness to utilize it regularly. |
[28] | Moscow | Modal choice and gender differences | Student commuters | GIS, general statistics | Male students are more likely to alter their mode of transport over a year, whilst females are more likely to use active transport modes or PT. |
[31] | Iran | Environmentally friendly behaviours (EFBs) | University students | Qualitative research | Direct relationships were found among the sociodemographic characteristics of students and their EFBs. |
[34] | Canada | Mode choice | University students | Multinomial logit model (MLM) | For the automobile and bicycle, the trip time has a positive effect on their utility; however, this occurs at a diminishing rate as the travel time grows. |
[36] | Australia | Commuting patterns | University staff and student | Bivariate and multivariate analyses | Reducing barriers to adopting active modes, particularly bus and bicycle trip time, would have the biggest impact on commuting patterns. |
[38] | Slovenia | Mode choice | University students and staff | QGIS and descriptive statistics | Trip origins, bus subsidization, the availability or lack of free parking, and parking costs were found to be the primary drivers of mode switches. |
[54] | Spain | Developing a method to measure users’ satisfaction | Bus line operators | Best–Worst scaling—OLM and IPA | The levels of satisfaction attained from the alternative techniques were quite similar. |
[55] | Jordan | Student satisfaction and loyalty | University area | PLS-SEM and BLR | The four factors influencing passenger loyalty were perceived service quality, user satisfaction, cost, and environmental factors. |
[56] | Hong Kong | Satisfaction with public transport | Elderly users | OPM importance–satisfaction analysis | The condition of stations and stops was highlighted as a priority for enhancement and the most important element influencing the overall satisfaction with PT services. |
3. The Integrated Model
3.1. Comparative Analysis
3.2. Multiple Regression: Ordered Probit Model
3.3. Importance–Performance Analysis (IPA)
4. Case Study and Data Collection
4.1. Case Study on PT
4.2. Data Collection and Survey Design
- (i)
- Sociodemographic characteristics, including age, gender, occupation, income, education level, and geographical area.
- (ii)
- Questions contributing to the identification of the target population (regular PV and PT).
- (iii)
- Questions on usage and mobility characteristics (occasional and habitual) of PT users.
- (iv)
- Questions relating to users’ experiences of and satisfaction with public transport service quality.
4.3. Reliability of data
5. Results
5.1. Comparative Analysis Results
5.2. Results of the Ordered Probit Model
5.3. Marginal Effect Estimation
5.4. Results of the IPA
6. Discussion
7. Conclusions
7.1. Summary and Managerial Implications
7.2. Directions for Future Research
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
References
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Characteristics | Categories | Habitual Users | Occasional Users | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | % | N | % | ||
Geographical area | City center | 215 | 59.1% | 56 | 41.2% |
Urban area | 149 | 40.9% | 80 | 58.8% | |
Gender | Male | 201 | 55.2% | 74 | 54.4% |
Female | 163 | 44.8% | 62 | 45.6% | |
Age | 18–24 | 97 | 26.6% | 19 | 13.9% |
25–44 | 225 | 61.8% | 67 | 49.3% | |
45–64 | 32 | 8.8% | 40 | 29.4% | |
65+ | 10 | 2.8% | 10 | 7.4% | |
Education | Without university degree | 17 | 4.7% | 10 | 7.4% |
With university degree | 347 | 95.3% | 126 | 92.6% | |
Occupation | Self-employed | 20 | 5.5% | 19 | 13.9% |
Employee | 114 | 31.3% | 66 | 48.5% | |
Unemployed | 07 | 1.9% | 02 | 1.5% | |
Student | 203 | 55.7% | 31 | 22.8% | |
Retired/Pensioner | 10 | 2.8% | 8 | 5.9% | |
Other tasks | 10 | 2.8% | 10 | 7.4% | |
Target | Regular PT user | 342 | 94% | 30 | 22.1% |
Regular PV user | 22 | 6.0% | 106 | 77.9% | |
Income | Less than HUF 563,000/month (EUR 1500) | 270 | 74.2% | 73 | 53.6% |
HUF 563,000–1,127,000/month (EUR 3000) | 42 | 11.5% | 30 | 22.1% | |
Above HUF 1,128,000/month | 12 | 3.3% | 17 | 12.5% | |
Unsure | 40 | 11% | 16 | 11.8% | |
Total sample | 364 | 100% | 136 | 100% |
Habitual User | Occasional User | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Scale * | Tolerance | VIF | Tolerance | VIF | |
S1 | Service hours | 1–5 | 0.56 | 1.79 | 0.21 | 4.76 |
S2 | Proximity | 1–5 | 0.46 | 2.16 | 0.20 | 5.00 |
S3 | Frequency | 1–5 | 0.39 | 2.59 | 0.22 | 4.54 |
S4 | Punctuality | 1–5 | 0.48 | 2.10 | 0.27 | 3.73 |
S5 | Speed | 1–5 | 0.50 | 1.99 | 0.26 | 3.87 |
S6 | Cost | 1–5 | 0.74 | 1.35 | 0.38 | 2.65 |
S7 | Accessibility | 1–5 | 0.51 | 1.97 | 0.29 | 3.43 |
S8 | Intermodality (connection) | 1–5 | 0.52 | 1.91 | 0.34 | 2.91 |
S9 | Space available inside the vehicle | 1–5 | 0.52 | 1.94 | 0.26 | 3.83 |
S10 | Temperature inside the vehicle | 1–5 | 0.48 | 2.10 | 0.30 | 3.36 |
S11 | Cleanliness of the vehicle | 1–5 | 0.46 | 2.17 | 0.29 | 3.50 |
S12 | Safety on board regarding accidents | 1–5 | 0.53 | 1.90 | 0.25 | 4.10 |
S13 | Safety regarding robbery | 1–5 | 0.58 | 1.73 | 0.24 | 4.14 |
S14 | Information provided | 1–5 | 0.76 | 1.31 | 0.51 | 1.97 |
Variables | Habitual Users | Occasional Users | Independent t-Test | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | SD | Mean | SD | t-Value | DF | p-Value | |
Service hours (S1) | 4.11 | 0.89 | 3.98 | 0.96 | −1.167 | 463 | 0.244 |
Proximity (S2) | 4.03 | 0.83 | 3.89 | 0.90 | −1.515 | 463 | 0.131 |
Frequency/number of daily trips (S3) | 3.90 | 0.92 | 3.92 | 1.00 | −1.786 | 463 | 0.075 |
Punctuality (S4) | 3.77 | 0.96 | 3.79 | 0.88 | −1.131 | 463 | 0.259 |
Speed (S5) | 3.83 | 0.95 | 3.64 | 0.92 | −1.110 | 463 | 0.268 |
Cost (S6) | 3.83 | 1.10 | 3.50 | 1.11 | −3.020 | 463 | 0.003 * |
Accessibility (S7) | 3.81 | 0.98 | 3.41 | 1.06 | −3.570 | 463 | 0.000 * |
Intermodality (connection) (S8) | 3.85 | 0.96 | 3.66 | 0.98 | −1.488 | 463 | 0.138 |
Individual space inside the vehicle (S9) | 3.24 | 1.10 | 3.15 | 1.07 | −0.717 | 463 | 0.474 |
Temperature inside the vehicle (S10) | 3.08 | 1.14 | 2.80 | 1.21 | −2.223 | 463 | 0.026 * |
Cleanliness of the vehicle (S11) | 2.94 | 1.15 | 2.71 | 1.22 | −2.062 | 463 | 0.040 * |
Safety on board (accidents) (S12) | 3.73 | 0.97 | 3.56 | 0.97 | −1.564 | 463 | 0.119 |
Safety regarding robbery (S13) | 3.38 | 1.05 | 3.24 | 0.10 | −1.316 | 463 | 0.189 |
Information provided (signage, displays, maps, schedules, kiosks) (S14) | 3.68 | 1.05 | 3.56 | 0.96 | −1.579 | 463 | 0.115 |
Overall satisfaction (OS) | 4.18 | 0.82 | 3.76 | 1.06 | −4.457 | 463 | 0.00 * |
SQAs | All Samples | Habitual Users | Occasional Users | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficients | Coefficients | Coefficients | ||
S1 | Service hours | 0.091 | 0.412 | 0.186 |
S2 | Proximity | 0.120 | 0.062 | 0.165 |
S3 | Frequency | 0.171 * | 0.179 | 0.197 |
S4 | Punctuality | 0.146 * | 0.119 | 0.391 ** |
S5 | Speed | −0.003 | 0.006 | −0.069 |
S6 | Cost | 0.179 *** | 0.125 * | 0.273 ** |
S7 | Accessibility | 0.095 | 0.194 ** | −0.289 * |
S8 | Intermodality | 0.091 | −0.013 | 0.390 ** |
S9 | Space available in vehicle | 0.033 | 0.069 | 0.350 |
S10 | Temperature in vehicle | 0.026 | 0.040 | 0.006 |
S11 | Cleanliness | 0.040 | −0.032 | 0.296 ** |
S12 | Safety/accidents | 0.066 | 0.105 | 0.093 |
S13 | Safety/robbery | 0.043 | 0.110 | −0.269 |
S14 | Information provided | 0.114 * | 0.172 ** | −0.022 |
Model fit information | ||||
N° obs (N) | 465 | 342 | 123 | |
Log-Ll zero | −553.85233 | −383.03018 | −159.58396 | |
Log-Ll final | −453.8273 | −317.59803 | −118.2982 | |
Pseudo R2 | 0.1806 | 0.1708 | 0.2587 | |
Prob > chi2 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | |
LR chi2(14) | 200.05 | 130.86 | 82.57 |
SQA | Habitual Users | Occasional Users | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Very Dissatisfied % | Dissatisfied % | Neutral % | Satisfied % | Very Satisfied % | Very Dissatisfied % | Dissatisfied % | Neutral % | Satisfied % | Very Satisfied % | |
S1 | −0.05 | −0.2 | −0.5 | −0.5 | 1.2 | −1.4 | −0.9 | −1.5 | −0.03 | 3.8 |
S2 | −0.07 | −0.3 | −0.7 | −0.7 | 1.8 | −1.2 | −0.8 | −1.4 | −0.02 | 3.4 |
S3 | −0.2 | −0.9 | −2.3 | −0.2 | 0.5 | −1.5 | −0.9 | −1.6 | −0.03 | 4.1 |
S4 | −0.2 | −0.6 | −1.5 | −1.3 | 3.6 | −2.9 | −1.9 | −3.2 | −0.06 | 8.2 * |
S5 | −0.008 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.07 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.01 | −1.4 |
S6 | −0.2 | −0.6 | −1.5 | −1.4 | 3.7 | −2.0 * | −1.3 | −2.2 * | −0.04 | 5.7 * |
S7 | −0.3 | −0.9 * | −2.4 * | −2.2 * | 5.8 * | 2.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.05 | −6.0 |
S8 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.2 | 0.1 | −0.4 | −2.9 | −1.9 | −3.2 | −0.06 | 8.1 * |
S9 | −0.08 | −0.3 | −0.9 | −0.8 | 2.1 | −0.3 | −0.2 | −0.3 | −0.006 | 0.8 |
S10 | −0.04 | −0.2 | −0.5 | −0.4 | 1.2 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.001 | 0.1 |
S11 | 0.04 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | −0.9 | −2.2 | −1.5 | −2.5 * | −0.05 | 0.2 * |
S12 | −0.1 | −0.5 | −1.3 | −1.2 | 3.1 | −0.6 | −0.5 | −0.8 | −0.02 | 1.9 |
S13 | −0.1 | −0.5 | −1.4 | −1.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.04 | −5.6 |
S14 | −0.2 | −0.8 | −2.2 * | −1.9 * | 5.2 * | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.004 | −0.4 |
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Ismael, K.; Duleba, S. An Integrated Ordered Probit Model for Evaluating University Commuters’ Satisfaction with Public Transport. Urban Sci. 2023, 7, 83. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci7030083
Ismael K, Duleba S. An Integrated Ordered Probit Model for Evaluating University Commuters’ Satisfaction with Public Transport. Urban Science. 2023; 7(3):83. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci7030083
Chicago/Turabian StyleIsmael, Karzan, and Szabolcs Duleba. 2023. "An Integrated Ordered Probit Model for Evaluating University Commuters’ Satisfaction with Public Transport" Urban Science 7, no. 3: 83. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci7030083
APA StyleIsmael, K., & Duleba, S. (2023). An Integrated Ordered Probit Model for Evaluating University Commuters’ Satisfaction with Public Transport. Urban Science, 7(3), 83. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci7030083