A Generic Component for Analytic Hierarchy Process-Based Decision Support and Its Application for Postindustrial Area Management
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- A set of reasonable, clearly defined revitalization alternatives is worked out (i.e., that are free of unacceptable risks, having acceptable financial and non-financial parameters), which can be used directly as options in the AHP. Such options are based on evidence included in the SUMAD Revitalization plan document;
- For AHP criteria, elaborated as aggregated data from the risk, cost–benefit and SUMAD qualitative criteria assessments, all data are documented and justified.
2. Making Decisions
3. Analytic Hierarhy Process
- n—dimension of the matrix;
- —the largest eigenvalue of the matrix;
- —a consistency index determined on the basis of random values of a matrix of the same dimension.
4. System and Component Overview
- knowledge base module;
- data exchange and anonymization module;
- threat and risk assessment module;
- decision support module.
- threats;
- vulnerabilities (causes);
- consequences (effects);
- safety measures (security measures).
5. The AHP for the Environmental Case
- Exhaustive risk reduction assessment (RRA);
- Cost–benefit assessment (CBA);
- Qualitative criteria assessment (QCA) of different non-financial factors, e.g., social, environmental, technological, political, etc.
The mining HH waste landfill, relatively young, was established in the period 1986–2010.
The waste consistency is characterized as a mixture of roof rocks, floor rocks and coal overgrowth, and the vast majority are represented by claystones, stigmaria soils, clay siderites, occasionally mudstones and—rarely—sandstones. The main heap materials are gravel, loam and shales and have rather poor geological parameters (possible unstable heap surface, subsidence basins around the heap, increased soil moisture, landfill leachate containing dangerous substances, groundwater pollution).
On the east slope, a certain amount of coal waste is included (possible detrimental smells and a nuisance to nearby residents, uncontrolled destruction of slopes or surface, spontaneous combustion from coal).
The waste has the following shape parameters: 90 [ha] of area, average angle of slope from 1:3 to 1:6, ca. 30 [m] of height and volume: 30 million [m].
HH is located in the zone, where the concentrations of SO, NO, CO and benzene do not exceed the lower assessment threshold, while the concentration of PM10 dust is between the upper and lower assessment threshold.
The main pollutants are water reactive materials, like CaO, MgO, K and Na, inorganic toxins, like As, Ba and Pb and organic toxins such as carbon tetrachloride and chloroform (landfill leachate containing dangerous substances, possible groundwater pollution).
Rare vegetation includes natural succession of shrubs and rushes. Wildlife mostly includes amphibians, land fowl, waterfowl and small herbivorous mammals.
Surrounding water embraces an artificial watercourse reservoir flawing along the southern foot of HH, a drainage ditch running from SW to NE, a small natural lake and a catchment of three small rivers.
The annual meteorological average data are as follows:
Wind: 2.0–5.3 [m/s]; dominant wind direction is south; Rainfall: 630 [mm]; oversized rain during the summer; Insolation: 1060 to 1110 [kWh/m]; Temperature: 8.1 [°C]; in this region a high amplitude of annual temperatures is observed RS1.
The agricultural landscape exists around HH with a small share of forest communities. On the eastern side of the heap, 600 m from its edge, there are residential buildings of farms, magazines, railway, local roads, and further, a shopping center. There are no cultural heritage objects within the environmental impact.
Limited past revitalization actions embrace leveling of degraded areas, concrete production, ad hoc partial afforestation and soil cleaning.
5.1. Defining Options
- RVA[1] “Energy production based on the PV technology and wind turbines”;
- RVA[2] “Simple greenery”;
- RVA[3] “Active recreation”;
- RVA[4] “Heap liquidation by the use of the heap material elsewhere”.
5.2. Defining Decision Criteria
- Ability to reduce risk;
- Implementation period;
- Investment cost;
- Operational cost;
- Direct benefits;
- The length of the payback period;
- Indirect benefits (image, improved natural environment, …);
- Feasibility, ease of implementation;
- Laws and regulations;
- Positive perception by societal groups;
- Positive political impact;
- Positive relationships with technology and science;
- Positive impact on natural environment;
- Economic opportunities.
- 1.
- Number of criteria.At first glance, a huge number of criteria, e.g., 14 as on the above list, seem to be promising, in the hope to obtain precise results, but due to the practical limitations of the AHP, the number of criteria ought to be decreased. Criteria are used by people, who have certain cognitive limitations when considering a huge number of issues. These limitations related to the Miller’s Law are considered in cognitive psychology, which is out of the scope of this paper. This issue was discussed within the AHP context too [50,51]. It is caused by the pairwise comparisons and to preserve the consistency ratio. It is hard to operate with a huge number of criteria. Usually, the number of criteria (as well as options) are 7(+/−2). Too few criteria decrease the preciseness and quality, making decisions trivial. With a deeper aggregation of criteria based on trade-offs, all relevant information related to the decision-making process should be preserved.
- 2.
- Balance.The criteria should be neutral and well balanced. They cannot favor a certain option. The criteria should be agreed on by stakeholders balancing their priorities. The decision process objectives should be satisfied. The criteria should express all issues needed to obtain impartial and objective decisions.
- Economic, technological, political and other opportunities, which concern, e.g., additional funds, sources of financing, compensation, penalties, environmental fees, impact on financial situation of citizens, on the property market and on trade relations, NGO compatibility, trust in authorities, compliance with political activities, plans and programmes;
- Positive impact on the environment concerns, e.g., direct impact on the natural environment, climate conditions, waste management;
- Positive perception by societal groups and legal compliance concern, e.g., social reception of applied revitalization techniques, social cohesion, living conditions, physical and mental health, impact on social behavior, on a local job market, lawfulness, compliance with development strategies and plans, revitalization durability, time of implementation.
5.3. Decision Process Supported by the CTR Tool
- Investors;
- Landowners;
- Local community, NGOs;
- Local government—environmental protection department.
5.4. Decision Support Process Results
6. Conclusions and Further Works
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Importance | Definition | Explanation |
---|---|---|
1 | Equal importance | Two elements contribute equal to the objective |
3 | Moderate importance | Experience and judgment slightly favor one activity over another |
5 | Strong importance | Experience and judgment strongly favor one activity over another |
7 | Very strong importance | An activity is favored very strongly over another; its dominance is demonstrated in practice |
9 | Absolute/Extreme importance | The evidence favoring one activity over another is of the highest possible order of affirmation |
2, 4, 6, 8 | Intermediate values | |
Reciprocal of the above (i.e., 1/3, 1/4, 1/9, …) | The reciprocals of the above values indicate a preference for j over i | A reasonable assumption |
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Michalak, M.; Bagiński, J.; Białas, A.; Kozłowski, A.; Sikora, M. A Generic Component for Analytic Hierarchy Process-Based Decision Support and Its Application for Postindustrial Area Management. Infrastructures 2024, 9, 2. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures9010002
Michalak M, Bagiński J, Białas A, Kozłowski A, Sikora M. A Generic Component for Analytic Hierarchy Process-Based Decision Support and Its Application for Postindustrial Area Management. Infrastructures. 2024; 9(1):2. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures9010002
Chicago/Turabian StyleMichalak, Marcin, Jacek Bagiński, Andrzej Białas, Artur Kozłowski, and Marek Sikora. 2024. "A Generic Component for Analytic Hierarchy Process-Based Decision Support and Its Application for Postindustrial Area Management" Infrastructures 9, no. 1: 2. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures9010002
APA StyleMichalak, M., Bagiński, J., Białas, A., Kozłowski, A., & Sikora, M. (2024). A Generic Component for Analytic Hierarchy Process-Based Decision Support and Its Application for Postindustrial Area Management. Infrastructures, 9(1), 2. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures9010002