Towards Sustainable Mosques: A Review of AI and ML Approaches for Energy Use Forecasting
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Research Methodology
3. Current Status and Challenges in Mosque Energy Management
3.1. Geometric Elegance and Symbolism
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- Sahn (courtyard): A courtyard is a common feature of mosque architecture. It is an open space that is often surrounded by arcades and provides a place for worshippers to gather before and after prayer.
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- A minaret is an elevated structure belonging to a mosque that announces the call to pray. Minarets come in a variety of shapes, from the iconic spiral minaret of Samarra to the tall, pencil minarets of Ottoman Turkey.
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- The qibla wall is the mosque′s holy portion, facing Mecca. The qibla wall frequently includes a mihrab, a niche in the wall that symbolizes the direction of Mecca.
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- Dome: Some mosque designs include numerous domes in their construction, whereas some only have one. In mosques with a single dome, it is always placed over the qibla wall.
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- Decoration: Mosques often feature decorative elements such as calligraphic friezes or cartouches with prominent inscriptions, often from the Qur′an.

3.2. Distinctive Energy Use Characteristics of Mosques
3.3. Engineering and Environmental Considerations in Mosque Design
- (a)
- Acoustic Engineering in Mosque Design
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- Scientific precision: The study of mosque architecture incorporates structural engineering and the selection of construction materials. Architects and engineers must consider geological conditions and local resources to ensure structural stability and longevity [64]. In regions prone to seismic activity, historical mosques incorporate engineering elements such as timber supports to withstand earthquakes. Material science advancements also facilitate the preservation of historical structures through restoration techniques and materials that respect the original design [65].
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- Sound reflection and absorption: Careful consideration is given to sound reflection and absorption in mosque interiors. Materials with varying acoustic properties are chosen to create an ideal acoustic environment [66,67]. Soft materials such as carpets and textiles are employed to absorb sound, while hard surfaces such as domes and walls are designed to reflect and amplify it. Advanced computer modeling and simulations are utilized in the design phase to optimize sound propagation within the mosque [68]. This guarantees superior sound quality for congregants.
- (b)
- Environmental Adaptation in Mosque Design
4. AI Models for Energy Management in Architectural Building
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- Very short-term load forecasting: analyze with a time horizon of less than one hour (e.g., every 15 min).
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- Short-term load forecasting, which is a few hours to a day in advance. This horizon is necessary to anticipate energy-intensive loads during peak hours and to manage local daily demand.
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- Medium-term load forecasting, which is usually a few weeks. This horizon is used to plan maintenance and equipment in the power generation industry, as well as to consider expected sales and budgets to be spent.
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- Long-term load forecasting, which is more than one year. This type of predictions is applied by the electricity industries to manage energy reserves planning to increase their capacity to generate, transmit, and distribute electrical energy.
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- Autoregressive or univariate autoregressive (AR) models: Autoregressive models exploit the temporal dependencies between the data of a time series without studying the dependencies with the explanatory variables [74].
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- Models with exogenous variables autoregressive with eternal inputs (ARX): for this case, forecasts of exogenous variables provided by meteorological services are used instead of local measurements [83]. Thus, the availability of future exogenous data is fundamental. Given the emergence of IT systems, it is becoming increasingly easy to access high-precision weather forecasts.
5. Physical White-Box Models (WBPs)
5.1. Grey-Box Models (GbXM)
5.2. Black-Box Models (BbXM)
5.3. Black-Box for Enhanced Energy Management in Mosquees
| Ref. | Activity Sector | Methods and Tools | Inputs | Predictions Outputs | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBM | |||||
| [109] | Residential | TRNSYS | Data from 104 homes and the climate | T hermal p erformance of the s olar DHW systems | In most cases, larger buildings with more than forty-eight apartments (70–90%) are feasible. |
| [110] | Residential | TRNSYS | Weather conditions and building geometry | Heating and cooling demand | The predicted mean vote (PMV) varies between −0.7 and 0.7; and the predicted percentage people dissatisfied is around 15%. |
| [111] | Commercial and residential | Energy Plus | Indoor temperature, air flow rate, load data, and weather conditions | Energy consumption of HVAC systems | The on/off regulator enhances HVAC precision by approximately 19% in terms of NMBE. |
| [112] | Residential district | Energy Plus, IDA ICE, TRNSYS | Weather data and building geometry | Heat performance | For urban-scale energy analysis, Energy Plus is more advantageous. |
| [113] | All types | Energy Plus, IDA ICE, TRNSYS | Outdoor environment, geometric and technical data | Building thermal behavior | Without phase change materials, all tools are exactly accurate. IDA ICE is recommended in the presence of PCM. |
| [114] | Residential | IES VE | building typology, thermal setpoint, and building properties | Energy consumption | Implementation of heat recovery ventilation reduces space heating demand by 50 to 65%. |
| BbGM | |||||
| [115] | residential buildings | Bayesian method and RC model | House characteristics, shading, and weather data | Energy consumption | With only 5–10 days of data, the models that were chosen produced Heat Transfer Coefficient estimates that were around 15%, notably during summertime. |
| [116] | residential buildings | RC model (3R2C) | Thermal properties, building data | Thermal performance | Deterministic models are more accurate than stochastic myorelaxants. Causal shift has a beneficial effect on the performance of the stochastic grey-box model. |
| [117] | smart buildings | Multi-zone RC model | Indoor conditions, weather data | Thermal energy consumption | Phase change materials and solar technologies can improve flexibility of building and proper control strategy |
| [118] | school building | Nonlinear model | Heat load, indoor climate, and weather data | Thermal comfort | The solar irradiation gain is an important disturbing factor for building climate control. |
| BbXM | |||||
| [119] | commercial | MLR models | Building proprieties | CO2 emissions | The RE in estimating reductions in emissions is around −13.0%, whereas the error in assessing decrease rate is 0.5%. |
| [120] | Healthcare | MLR | T, RH, Vwind and direction, Gh, and floor surface | Electricity and PV energy generation | MLRs are excellent for forecasting future weather parameters, energy consumption, and PV generation. |
| [121] | Hotel | SVM with Radial basis kernel | Weather parameters and operating parameters of air-conditioning system | Energy consumption | The RBF kernel function is most suitable for the support vector machine. The MSE value of the final model prediction was 2.22% and R2 was 0.94. |
| [122] | Public building | SVM with Gaussian kernel | Characteristics relating to ancient energy data, and weather and time-cycle factors. | Energy consomption | The SVM approach is appropriate for limited sample sizes and complex issue forecasts. In the case of daily building energy consumption predictions, the average RE has a prediction impact of 5.03%. |
| [123] | Office building | SVM, RBF, sigmoid, DSS, DFS) | Climate conditions, building characteristics | Cooling load prediction | SVR with distorted sample space (DSS) is more accurate with R=0.92 and a low RAE of 37.44%. |
| [124] | Office building | ANN | Energy and environmental data | Heating energy demand | The best artificial neural networks had low RMSE, MAE of less than 5%, and a determination coefficient of about one. |
| [125] | Office building | ANN and GA | Wall U-values, machinery load level, lighting density, penetration rate, and people count | Forecasting and adjustment of energy use | The optimization approach reduces energy use and costs by 35%. |
| [126] | Public building | Random forest | Relevant with building creation, he ating, co oling, and employment characteristics | Energy cost prediction | Random forest-Boruta with 450 trees on sixteen variables explained a lower SMAPE of 22.35% on the test sample. |
| [127] | Office building | XGBoost | Weather data and building parameters | Heat performance | XGBoost algorithm showed the highest F-1 score (0.75) |
| [128] | Educational | RNN | Climate, occupancy patterns, and working schedules | Building energy consumption | The suggested adaptable LSTM NN outperforms the GA-optimized DNN model by reducing MAE from 23.87% to 21.74% and increasing R2 from 3.39% to 2.45%. |
| Ref. | Case Study | Area (m2) | Ceiling (m) | Methodology | Simulation Tool | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thermal Comfort | ||||||
| [129] | Malaysia | 75 × 180 | 5.5 | Simulations and field experiment | CFD software | suitable Qiblah wall design can reduce indoor wall temperatures by up to 4 degrees Celsius, improving thermal comfort by 40% during daytime and up to 80% during night-time prayers |
| [130] | Turkey | 300 | - | Simulations field experiment | Design Builder-EnergyPlus | The study showed a significant reduction in discomfort hours during the winter period, with the lowest discomfort in October 2014 (meeting the 80% comfort limit) and the highest in January 2015 (446 h), marking a substantial 54.74% reduction compared to the baseline model. |
| [131] | Penang, Malaysia | 640 | 6 | Simulations | Predicted mean vote model | Predicted mean vote (PMV) model calculations often underestimated comfort temperatures, with worshippers largely experiencing neutral conditions. The 4.6 °C difference between PMV (25.9 °C) and actual mean vote (AMV) (30.4 °C) suggests that adherence to ASHRAE Standard-55 could have significant energy implications for the organization. |
| [106] | Penang, Malaysia | 506 | 5.5 | simulations | Visual DOE building energy simulation program | Effective HVAC strategies and op erational zoning in mosques can decrease annual cooling energy consumption by up to 23%, and combining insulation with appropriately sized HVAC systems for intermittent operation during prayers results in a significant 46% reduction, with the potential for an additional 30% energy savings. |
| Enery performance | ||||||
| [132] | Saudi Arabia | - | - | ECMWF data, with the decision tree | DT, SVM, KNN, ANN | With the decision tree model as the top performer (8.916% nRMSE and 6.038% nMAE). The model’s deployability and potential for substantial energy savings are noteworthy, as it can predict future loads independently of past consumption data. |
| [133] | Morocco | 505 | 7.5 | Simulation | TRNSYS | The solar radiation gain is an important disturbing factor for building climate control. |
| [134] | Iran | 45 | 5.4 | Simulation | CFD (OpenFOAM) | CFD simulations show Emad-o-Dowlah Mosque’s windcatcher performance outperforms traditional ventilation, improving comfort by 101% and demonstrating its broader climatic applicability. |
| [59] | Turkey | - | - | Simulation | DesignBuilder- EnergyPlus | Mosques should prioritize energy efficiency by enhancing the building envelope to mitigate outdoor climate effects, with the study showing a 33% energy savings through insulation improvements and glazing considerations. |
| Air distribution | ||||||
| [135] | Irak | 400 | 6.5 | Numerical calculation | Ansys-Fluent | CFD simulations affirm the windcatcher’s effectiveness at Emad-o-Dowlah Mosque, exceeding natural ventilation by 101% and aligning with modern windcatchers, indicating its broader applicability across climatic conditions when equipped with nighttime shutdown technology. |
| [136] | Egypt | 266 | 16 | Numerical simulations | ANN, MATLAB | The study highlights the need for architectural modifications in the mosque, emphasizes the value of the ANN model for precise predictions, and recommends reopening upper windows and air traps to enhance thermal comfort through improved ventilation and air circulation. |
| [137] | Malysia | 1050 | 12 | Numerical simulations | CFD, PMV | Using field measurements and CFD simulations, revealing that PMV and PPD values inside the main prayer hall currently exceed comfort standards, but installing four 56-cm diameter exhaust fans on the west-side wall can enhance thermal comfort significantly, reducing PMV and PPD values by over 60%. |
| [138] | Indonisia | - | - | Numerical simulations | MIT CoolVent, Energy plus, CFD | The air flow network model properly forecasts flow rates and temperatures with RSME values of 0.23 m3/s and 1.26 °C, respectively, whereas the CFD model effectively replicates velocity vectors and interior air temperatures with an RSME of 1.2 °C. These methods are used to assess a night purge system for a thermally large mosque, which results in a 74% decrease in internal temperatures over 32 °C and a 53% drop in degrees between 29 and 32 °C. The inclusion of low-energy exhaust ventilators further helps by lowering the highest temperatures by 59%, allowing for warmth conditioning as necessary. |
6. Comprehensive SWOT Analysis for Sustainable Development
- (a)
- Strengths
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- Energy efficiency: Alignment with SDG 7 (cheap and Clean Energy): Improving energy efficiency in mosques is inextricably related to SDG 7, which emphasizes cheap and clean energy for everybody. AI-driven EMS may drastically cut energy use and operational expenses, hence increasing access to inexpensive and clean energy.
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- Environmental impact: Alignment with SDG 13 (Climate Action): Lowering energy use reduces carbon footprint, which aligns with SDG 13′s goal of battling climate change and its effects.
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- Smart automation: Alignment with SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure): Incorporating AI reflects advancements in industry and innovation, as it promotes infrastructure development that is both intelligent and efficient, thereby supporting SDG 9.
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- Cost savings: Alignment with SDG 1 (No Poverty): The cost savings achieved through efficient energy management can be redirected to initiatives that alleviate poverty and improve the well-being of underprivileged members of the community.
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- Predictive maintenance: Alignment with SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities): Ensuring that mosques have dependable access to heating, lighting, and cooling enhances the overall sustainability and resilience of urban communities, aligning with SDG 11.
- (b)
- Weaknesses
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- Implementation costs: Challenge to SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities). High initial setup costs can be prohibitive and may exacerbate inequalities in accessing the benefits of AI-driven energy management.
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- Technical expertise: Challenge to SDG 4 (Quality Education). The need for specialized technical expertise presents a barrier to achieving SDG 4, which promotes inclusive and equitable quality education.
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- Data privacy and security: Threat to Sustainable Development Goal 16 (Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions). Ensuring data privacy and security can be difficult since it necessitates solid governance mechanisms that promote peace, justice, and strong institutions, as specified in SDG 16.
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- Maintenance: Challenge to SDG 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth). Regular maintenance and training may strain the workforce and affect economic growth, thereby posing challenges to SDG 8.
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- Dependency on technology: Challenge to SDG 3 (Good Health and Well-being). Overreliance on AI systems, especially during worship, may impact the physical and mental well-being of congregants if technology fails.
- (c)
- Opportunities
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- Sustainability initiatives: Alignment with SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production). Mosques can position themselves as responsible consumers of energy, aligning with SDG 12′s objectives.
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- Community engagement: Alignment with SDG 17 (Partnerships for the Goals). Promoting energy efficiency through AI can foster community engagement and partnerships, as outlined in SDG 17.
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- Energy resilience: Alignment with SDG 6 (Clean Water and Sanitation). Reliable energy sources contribute to ensuring access to clean water, which is essential for meeting the objectives of SDG 6.
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- Research and development: Alignment with SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure). The evolving field of AI for energy management presents opportunities for research and development in line with SDG 9.
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- Commercial partnerships: Alignment with SDG 17 (Partnerships for the Goals). Mosques can explore partnerships with AI companies and energy providers, aligning with the importance of partnerships in achieving SDGs.
- (d)
- Threats
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- Resistance to change: Challenge to SDG 4 (Quality Education). Resistance to AI adoption may hinder opportunities for improved quality education (SDG 4) in utilizing advanced technology.
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- Regulatory compliance: Challenge to SDG 16 (Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions). Meeting evolving regulatory standards may pose challenges to the development of peace, justice, and strong institutions (SDG 16).
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- High Initial costs: Challenge to SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities). Initial setup costs may increase disparities in energy management and energy access, thus challenging SDG 10.
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- Technological obsolescence: Challenge to SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure). The rapid advancement of AI could pose challenges in terms of technological obsolescence, affecting the progress of SDG 9.
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- Competition for resources: Challenge to SDG 1 (No Poverty). Limited funds and resources might compete with energy management initiatives, potentially affecting the achievement of SDG 1.
7. Mosques as Catalysts for Sustainable and Intelligent Transitions
8. Limitations and Future Research Directions
9. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Larhlida, A.; Mana, A.; Fathi, A.; Ouhammou, B.; Sadoune, Z.; Jamil, A. Towards Sustainable Mosques: A Review of AI and ML Approaches for Energy Use Forecasting. Designs 2025, 9, 124. https://doi.org/10.3390/designs9060124
Larhlida A, Mana A, Fathi A, Ouhammou B, Sadoune Z, Jamil A. Towards Sustainable Mosques: A Review of AI and ML Approaches for Energy Use Forecasting. Designs. 2025; 9(6):124. https://doi.org/10.3390/designs9060124
Chicago/Turabian StyleLarhlida, Abdelmajid, Abdelali Mana, Aicha Fathi, Badr Ouhammou, Zouhair Sadoune, and Abdelmajid Jamil. 2025. "Towards Sustainable Mosques: A Review of AI and ML Approaches for Energy Use Forecasting" Designs 9, no. 6: 124. https://doi.org/10.3390/designs9060124
APA StyleLarhlida, A., Mana, A., Fathi, A., Ouhammou, B., Sadoune, Z., & Jamil, A. (2025). Towards Sustainable Mosques: A Review of AI and ML Approaches for Energy Use Forecasting. Designs, 9(6), 124. https://doi.org/10.3390/designs9060124

