1. Introduction
With the continuous growth of global energy demand and the gradual depletion of conventional oil and gas resources, the efficient development of unconventional natural gas resources, especially shale gas, has become an important research direction in the global energy strategy [
1]. Compared with conventional reservoirs, shale reservoirs generally exhibit the “three-low” characteristics of low porosity, low permeability, and low pressure. It is imperative to reform the reservoir through hydraulic fracturing technology to form a complex fracture network, thereby establishing effective seepage channels and achieving economic productivity [
2]. The estimated resources of the WJP Formation in the Sichuan Basin, China, reach 1.77 trillion cubic meters. Analogous to mature shale gas blocks such as the Wufeng–Longmaxi Formation, it shows promising development prospects. The widely distributed Longmaxi–Wufeng Formation shale in China is characterized by homogeneous lithology without the development of thin interlayers [
3], while the WJP Formation shale has an interbedded structure with prevalent thin interlayers—thin shale layers interbedded with limestone and other interlayers. These interlayers significantly affect the propagation behavior of hydraulic fractures, resulting in highly complex fracture morphologies. They may alter the propagation path of the main fractures through mechanisms such as inducing stress redistribution and energy dissipation, thereby ultimately affecting the stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) and the final gas recovery factor. Therefore, accurately revealing the extension laws of complex fracture networks in interbedded shale reservoirs is of crucial scientific significance and engineering value for optimizing fracturing design and improving development efficiency.
In recent years, many scholars have conducted multidimensional research on the hydraulic fracturing mechanisms of shale with interlayers. In terms of experimental studies, Zai-Le Zhou et al. [
4] found that using highly deviated wells to create inclined curved fractures, combined with a “tension–shear” composite effect, can more effectively break through the restrictions of thin interlayers. Yongming Yang et al. [
5], through true triaxial tests and continuum-discrete element simulations, revealed the mechanical mechanism by which fracture propagation in layered rocks is controlled by the thickness ratio of the layers. Qiangang Y. et al. [
6] designed an experimental model simulating thin sandstone interlayers and identified four propagation modes of fractures in interlayered shale, including arrest and deflection. Jun Z. et al. [
7], using true triaxial experiments and three-dimensional lattice simulations, elucidated the influence patterns of geological and engineering parameters on the vertical penetration behavior of multiple fractures. Yu S. et al. [
8] systematically investigated the hydraulic fracture propagation patterns in sandstone–shale interbedded reservoirs and proposed the technical direction of regulating key parameters to increase fracture height. Sheng X et al. [
9] pointed out that the lithology of the initiation layer and the in situ stress difference are the decisive factors jointly controlling fracture morphology and cross-layer penetration capability. Furthermore, the constitutive response of reservoir rock under high-pressure fluid action serves as the foundation for understanding fracture initiation and propagation. For instance, Xue et al. [
10] conducted triaxial compression tests on gas-bearing coal under varying gas pressures and systematically revealed the governing law of pore pressure on coal brittleness and strength. This finding provides an analogical reference for comprehending the mechanical behavior of rock under high pumping pressure conditions during shale fracturing.
In the area of numerical simulation, MENG Yong et al. [
11] optimized fracturing parameters using a seepage–stress–damage coupled model and clarified the role of interlayer thickness in suppressing interlayer interference. Liuke Huang et al. [
12], through three-dimensional fully coupled simulations, revealed that helical perforations lead to multi-fracture competition near the wellbore and three types of fracture cross-layer penetration modes. Dan Zhang et al. [
13], via three-dimensional discrete element simulations, identified interlayers and weak planes as critical risk points causing fracture narrowing and proppant bridging. Lu C et al. [
14] revealed that hydraulic fractures in thin interbedded formations predominantly propagate horizontally, forming I/T-shaped fractures, and promote the development of complex fracture networks through stress interference. Lyu J et al. [
15], combining experiments and simulations, found that in situ stress difference and fracturing fluid viscosity control cross-layer penetration capability, and that a “fewer clusters” design is more conducive to vertical propagation. Sun et al. [
16,
17] used the 3DEC-BDEM to simulate hydraulic fracturing, achieving over 85% agreement in fracture morphology and less than 10% deviation from experimental results. The BDEM has higher accuracy than other methods in predicting fracture propagation paths in coal seam hydraulic fracturing. Feng et al. [
18] increased the success rate of fracture penetration through interfaces from 18% to 30% by optimizing the spacing and orientation of roof perforation holes. Wu, X et al. [
19] accurately predicted the critical conditions for hydraulic fractures to penetrate reservoir interfaces using 3DEC discrete element simulations. Fan, C et al. [
20] developed a hydro-mechanical-damage-coupled model based on 3DEC, successfully simulating the migration process of crushed rock.
In recent years, the 3DEC-BDEM has achieved several advances in the simulation of hydraulic fracturing in shale. Hamidi and Mortazavi (2014) first introduced a virtual joint technique in 3DEC to address the challenge of simulating fracture initiation in intact rock, systematically analyzing the combined effects of fracturing fluid properties, pumping rate, in situ stress, and other parameters on the hydraulic fracturing process [
21]. Regarding multi-cluster fracturing, some scholars have developed a three-dimensional model of fractured shale oil reservoirs using 3DEC, revealing a two-stage characteristic of competitive propagation among multiple fractures and finding that an increase in the number of clusters and a reduction in cluster spacing intensify the degree of competition [
22]. Nevertheless, the aforementioned research has predominantly focused on natural fractures or single bedding planes, while systematic simulations of three-dimensional fracture penetration behavior in interbedded structures composed of shale and hard interlayers such as limestone (e.g., the WPJ) remain notably limited. Moreover, there is a lack of quantitative analysis regarding the coupled effects of perforation parameters (number of clusters, cluster spacing, and perforation location) with geological and engineering parameters, and the validation of simulation results against field microseismic data is also insufficient. This research gap constitutes the primary motivation for the present study.
In hydraulic fracturing research, experimental studies can intuitively and reliably reflect the physical response of rock cores under actual working conditions, revealing macroscopic fracture propagation patterns and key controlling factors. However, constrained by sample size, monitoring techniques, and cost, they are unable to fully characterize the meso-mechanical processes of fracture development. Numerical simulations, with their adjustable parameters and good repeatability, can elucidate stress–damage evolution mechanisms, analyze multi-factor coupling effects, and predict field-scale fracture morphologies. Yet, their accuracy depends heavily on the constitutive model and boundary conditions, necessitating calibration with measured data. The two approaches are mutually complementary: experiments provide physical benchmarks and parameter bases for numerical simulations, while numerical simulations extend the dimensionality and scale of experimental findings. The integration of both methods constitutes the prevailing paradigm for investigating the hydraulic fracturing mechanisms of interlayered shale.
Despite significant progress in current research, the following key issues concerning the complex fracture propagation patterns in interlayered shale still require urgent resolution: (1) Existing models are mostly based on two-dimensional or simplified three-dimensional assumptions and fail to adequately characterize the three-dimensional propagation behavior of fractures in interlayered shale and their dynamic interactions with interlayers. (2) There is a lack of systematic quantitative analysis regarding the coupled effects among geological parameters, engineering parameters, and perforation parameters, as well as their comprehensive influence on the final fracture network morphology. (3) Many simulation results have not been sufficiently validated against actual field data (such as microseismic monitoring), limiting their engineering guidance significance. (4) Current simulations predominantly employ static parameters while neglecting coupled thermal-hydraulic-mechanical effects. The dynamic brittleness index proposed by Xue et al. [
23] for enhanced geothermal systems has been validated through cyclic liquid nitrogen treatment experiments, and its conceptual framework offers a potential breakthrough for incorporating a dynamic brittleness evolution module into shale fracturing models, thereby improving fracture network prediction accuracy.
To address these issues, this study takes the interbedded shale of the WJP Formation in southern China as the research object. A three-dimensional complex fracture propagation model was constructed using the Block Discrete Element Method with 3DEC software. The effects of geological parameters (Poisson’s ratio, Young’s modulus, stress difference, interlayer thickness), engineering parameters (pumping rate, fluid volume, viscosity), and perforation parameters (number of clusters, cluster spacing, perforation position, dual perforation) on fracture network morphology were systematically investigated. Through the collaborative verification of numerical simulation and physical experiments, the synergistic mechanism between interbedded shale and hydraulic fractures was clarified, and the propagation laws of complex fracture networks in interbedded shale were revealed.
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Effects of Reservoir Parameters
4.1.1. Horizontal Stress Difference
When the stress difference increases from 15 MPa to 20 MPa, the fracture height gradually decreases from 28.3 m to 26.8 m, with a decrease amplitude of approximately 5% (
Figure 7 and
Figure 8). During this process, no fracture penetration through interlayers occurs, and vertical propagation is continuously inhibited with the increase in stress difference, with the propagation speed gradually slowing down. This is because the increase in stress difference enhances the horizontal stress constraint, limiting the vertical expansion of fractures and making it difficult for the fracture height to increase. When the stress difference changes within the reservoir range, the fracture height can break through the upper interlayer of the reservoir, but it is difficult to break through the lower interlayer due to its high limestone content. This finding is consistent with the research conclusions of Chang X [
31] et al. The greater the stress difference, the stronger the suppression of barriers/interlayers on the vertical propagation of fractures, making it more difficult for fracture height to grow and for fractures to penetrate layers.
The fracture length continues to increase with the increase in stress difference (328 m → 347 m) (
Figure 8 and
Figure 9), and the propagation speed gradually accelerates. This is because the increase in horizontal stress difference provides a stronger guiding effect for the lateral extension of fractures; however, the stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) decreases with the increase in stress difference, indicating that a high stress difference can promote fracture “lengthening” but is not conducive to the formation of complex fracture networks, resulting in a reduction in the overall stimulation range.
When the stress difference increases from 15 MPa to 20 MPa, the vertical propagation of fractures remains continuously suppressed and fails to penetrate the interlayer (
Figure 10). The central area of the reservoir is preferentially penetrated by fractures, after which the stress difference in this zone decreases accordingly, thus forming a stress distribution characterized by a smaller stress difference in the central region and a larger stress difference in the surrounding areas. The upper and lower interlayers with high stress differences impose strong vertical constraints on fractures, and only under low stress difference conditions can fractures penetrate the upper interlayer.
4.1.2. Influence of Interlayer Thickness on Hydraulic Fractures
The fracture height is the largest when there are no interlayers in the formation; as the interlayer thickness increases from 1 m to 5 m, the fracture height decreases significantly (32.3 m → 25.4 m), with a decrease amplitude of approximately 21% (
Figure 11 and
Figure 12). After the increase in interlayer thickness, it is difficult for fractures to penetrate the hard interlayer rock, and the vertical propagation speed continues to slow down, without breaking through the interlayer into the upper or lower reservoirs. As a physical barrier, the interlayer directly hinders the vertical extension of fractures, and the thicker the interlayer, the stronger the hindering effect.
Due to the presence of upper and lower interlayers in shale reservoirs, these interlayers act as barriers that prevent the fracturing fluid from breaking through and propagating upward or downward during hydraulic fracturing. As a result, the fracture length exhibits a slowly increasing trend with greater interlayer thickness. In the absence of interlayers, the fracture length is the shortest (approximately 309 m), whereas when the interlayer thickness increases to 5 m, the fracture length correspondingly extends to 348 m. Compared to the case without interlayers, the increase in fracture length is approximately 13%, indicating that the promotion of fracture length by increasing interlayer thickness is relatively moderate. The stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) also increases significantly with increasing interlayer thickness. The SRV is minimal when no interlayers are present and reaches its maximum value when the interlayer thickness attains 5 m (
Figure 12 and
Figure 13).
After fracture breakthrough occurs in the central area of the reservoir, the stress difference in the corresponding zone decreases accordingly, forming a distribution pattern of low stress difference in the central area and high stress difference in the surrounding area (
Figure 14). When the condition changes from no interlayer to an interlayer with a thickness of 5 m, the interlayer forms a strong stress barrier, which significantly inhibits the vertical propagation of fractures.
4.2. Effects of Engineering Parameters on Hydraulic Fractures
4.2.1. Influence of Pumping Rate on Hydraulic Fractures
When the pumping rate gradually increases from 12 m
3/min to 22 m
3/min, the fracture height shows a characteristic of “rapid growth first and then stabilization”. In the range of 12–16 m
3/min, the fracture height significantly increases from 16.3 m to 27.1 m. During this stage, the rapid accumulation of fracture energy successfully breaks through the calcareous interlayer in the upper part of the reservoir, and the vertical propagation speed increases significantly; when the pumping rate exceeds 16 m
3/min, the growth rate of fracture height slows down significantly. When the pumping rate is between 18 m
3/min and 22 m
3/min, the fracture height only fluctuates slightly between 26.36 and 27.1 m, approaching a stable value (
Figure 15 and
Figure 16). This is due to the enhanced vertical stress constraint of the formation and the balanced distribution of fluid pressure in the fracture, resulting in insufficient vertical propagation power and significantly increased difficulty in breaking through deeper interlayers.
The influence of pumping rate on fracture length and SRV shows a continuous positive correlation trend (
Figure 16 and
Figure 17). The fracture length steadily increases with the increase in pumping rate: approximately 190 m at 12 m
3/min and 360 m at 22 m
3/min, with an overall increase amplitude of 89%, indicating that a higher pumping rate can provide stronger power for the lateral extension of fractures, promoting the rapid extension of fractures to longer distances. The stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) shows an approximately linear growth relationship with the pumping rate, increasing from approximately 81 × 10
4 m
3 at 12 m
3/min to 345 × 10
4 m
3 at 22 m
3/min, with an increase amplitude of over 326%. This indicates that the increase in pumping rate not only increases the fracture length but also significantly expands the formation stimulation range by enhancing the branching and connectivity of the fracture network.
4.2.2. Influence of Fluid Volume on Hydraulic Fractures
In the range of 1700–2200 m
3, the fracture height shows a trend of “rapid growth first and then slowing down” with the increase in fluid volume. When the fluid volume increases from 1700 m
3 to 1900 m
3, the fracture height increases from 19.7 m to 25.4 m (
Figure 18 and
Figure 19). During this stage, the continuous accumulation of fluid volume provides sufficient energy for the vertical propagation of fractures, successfully breaking through the calcareous interlayer in the middle of the reservoir, and the vertical propagation speed increases significantly; when the fluid volume exceeds 1900 m
3, the growth of fracture height tends to be gentle, indicating that there is a threshold for the promoting effect of fluid volume on fracture height. Beyond the threshold, the vertical stress of the formation and the pressure in the fracture reach a balance, and the vertical propagation is limited, with the speed significantly slowing down.
The influence of fluid volume on fracture length and SRV has significant phased characteristics (
Figure 19 and
Figure 20). The fracture length grows rapidly when the fluid volume is 1700–2000 m
3: from approximately 280 m to 345 m, with an increase amplitude of approximately 23%; when the fluid volume exceeds 2000 m
3, the growth rate of fracture length slows down, maintaining around 343 m at 2200 m
3, indicating that the fluid volume needs to reach a certain threshold to provide sufficient power for fracture length extension, but excessive fluid volume has limited gain on fracture length. The stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) shows a trend of “first increasing and then stabilizing” with the increase in fluid volume: approximately 180 × 10
4 m
3 at 1700 m
3, reaching 360 × 10
4 m
3 at 2000 m
3 (an increase amplitude of 100%), and slightly decreasing to 343 × 10
4 m
3 at 2200 m
3. This indicates that a reasonable fluid volume can expand the fracture network through continuous fluid injection, but excessive fluid volume may lead to increased fluid loss and reduced efficiency, resulting in stagnant or slightly decreased SRV growth.
4.2.3. Influence of Viscosity on Hydraulic Fractures
Viscosity shows a significant positive correlation with the hydraulic fracture height. When the fluid viscosity is 1 mPa·s, the fracture height reaches the minimum value of 19.8 m (
Figure 21 and
Figure 22). At this time, although the low-viscosity fluid has strong fluidity, its proppant-carrying capacity is weak, and the pressure is easily dispersed in the reservoir, making it difficult to form a stable supporting force to promote the vertical breakthrough of fractures. The calcareous interlayer in the upper part of the reservoir significantly restricts fracture propagation, and the vertical propagation speed is slow.
With the gradual increase in fluid viscosity (from 5 mPa·s to 30 mPa·s), the fracture height shows a continuous upward trend, increasing from 23.2 m to 32.7 m, with an overall increase amplitude of approximately 65%. The proppant-carrying performance of high-viscosity fluid increases synchronously with viscosity, and the pressure transmission is more concentrated, which is not easy to disperse and lose. It can effectively overcome the interlayer resistance, providing stable support for the vertical propagation of fractures, making the vertical propagation speed of fractures continuously accelerate; especially when the viscosity exceeds 20 mPa·s, the upward trend of fracture height is more prominent. This phenomenon fully indicates that high-viscosity fluid has a significant promoting effect on the vertical propagation of fractures.
The fracture length increases slightly with the increase in viscosity: approximately 315 m at 1 mPa·s and 343 m at 30 mPa·s, with an increase amplitude of approximately 9% (
Figure 22 and
Figure 23). This is because high-viscosity fluid can maintain higher pressure in the fracture, promoting the slow lateral extension of fractures. However, the stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) is larger at low viscosity: 360 × 10
4 m
3 at 1 mPa·s and 315 × 10
4 m
3 at 30 mPa·s, with a decrease amplitude of approximately 13%, indicating that low viscosity is conducive to the disorderly propagation of fractures to form complex fracture networks (with many branches and good connectivity), while high viscosity can extend the fracture length but inhibits fracture branching, resulting in a simple fracture network and a reduced overall stimulation volume.
4.3. Effects of Perforation Parameters on Hydraulic Fractures
4.3.1. Influence of Number of Clusters on Hydraulic Fractures
The influence of the number of clusters on fracture height shows a trend of “stabilization first and then decrease”: the fracture height is the largest (28.1 m) when the number of clusters is 5 (
Figure 24 and
Figure 25). At this time, the energy obtained by a single cluster is concentrated, and the fracture is easy to break through the upper and lower interlayers of the reservoir, with a fast vertical propagation speed; as the number of clusters increases to 9, the fracture height decreases slightly to 26.1 m, with a decrease amplitude of approximately 7%. The distribution of multiple clusters leads to energy dispersion, and the pressure of a single cluster is insufficient to quickly break through the interlayer, with the vertical propagation speed gradually slowing down. Especially when the number of clusters exceeds 7, the downward trend of fracture height is more obvious, indicating that an excessive number of clusters will weaken the vertical breakthrough capacity of a single cluster. When the number of clusters is small, the energy of fracturing fluid is concentrated in a single cluster, the fracture extension resistance is small, and it can break through the upper interlayer of the Daye reservoir, resulting in a longer single fracture length. With the increase in the number of clusters, the fracture length and height decrease slightly. When the number of clusters is 6–7, the fracture is difficult to break through the interlayer, and the stimulated reservoir volume increases to the maximum and then decreases.
The fracture length fluctuates slightly with the increase in the number of clusters: approximately 326 m at 5 clusters, increasing to 349 m at 7 clusters, and slightly decreasing to 346 m at 9 clusters, with an overall variation amplitude of approximately 6% (
Figure 25 and
Figure 26). The stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) reaches a peak when the number of clusters is 6–7. At this time, the number of clusters is moderate, which can not only ensure a certain degree of energy concentration (avoiding excessive dispersion) but also form a more complex fracture network through multi-cluster synergy; when the number of clusters increases to 9, the SRV decreases slightly due to excessive energy dispersion leading to a reduction in the stimulation range of a single cluster and a decrease in the overall connectivity of the fracture network.
4.3.2. Influence of Cluster Spacing on Hydraulic Fractures
The influence of cluster spacing on fracture height shows a trend of “decrease first and then stabilization”: the fracture height is the largest (32.8 m) when the cluster spacing is 7 m. At this time, the relatively small spacing leads to strong stress interference, the fracture propagation of the middle cluster is inhibited, and the edge clusters obtain more energy, which is easy to break through the interlayer, with a fast vertical propagation speed; as the spacing increases to 12 m, the fracture height gradually decreases to 28.4 m, with a decrease amplitude of approximately 13% (
Figure 27 and
Figure 28). The stress interference weakens, and the energy distribution of a single cluster is more uniform, but the power to break through the interlayer is weakened, and the vertical propagation speed gradually slows down. Especially when the spacing exceeds 10 m, the downward trend of fracture height slows down, indicating that the vertical propagation of fractures is more stable but less capable under larger spacing. When the cluster spacing is small, the stress interference increases, the fracture propagation of the middle cluster is inhibited, the fracture length, width, and stimulated reservoir volume all decrease, and the interlayer is more likely to be broken through, leading to an increase in fracture height; when the cluster spacing increases to 10 m, the stress interference decreases, the fracture length increases, and the stimulated reservoir volume reaches the maximum.
Both the fracture length and SRV reach the maximum when the cluster spacing is 10 m: fracture length of 342 m and SRV of 341 × 10
4 m
3 (
Figure 28 and
Figure 29). At this time, the spacing is moderate, the stress interference is minimal, and a single cluster can not only expand fully but also form a complex fracture network through moderate synergy; when the spacing is too small (7 m), the excessive stress interference leads to shortened fracture length of some clusters and overlapping fracture networks; when the spacing is too large (12 m), the synergy between clusters weakens, and the connectivity of the fracture network decreases, so both the fracture length and SRV are lower than those at a spacing of 10 m.
4.3.3. Influence of Perforation Location on Hydraulic Fractures
When the perforation location is in the range of 19.85–21.6 m (center of the main shale layer), the fracture height stabilizes at 26.8–27.4 m (
Figure 30 and
Figure 31). At this time, the perforation is located in the region with the most concentrated reservoir energy, and the fracture is easy to break through the upper interlayer into the upper shale. The vertical propagation is mainly in the upper part, with a relatively stable speed; when the perforation location is below the lower interlayer (10.85 m) or above the upper interlayer (31.15 m), the fracture height has no obvious advantage (26.5–26.6 m). Due to the deviation from the main reservoir, the energy is insufficient, the difficulty of breaking through the interlayer increases, and the vertical propagation speed is slow with a limited range.
The fracture length fluctuates slightly with the change in perforation location (332–345 m), but the stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) reaches the maximum value of 341–345 × 10
4 m
3 when the perforation location is 19.85–21.6 m (
Figure 31 and
Figure 32). At this time, the matching degree between the perforation location and the main shale is the highest, and the fracture can fully utilize the reservoir conditions for expansion, with high fracture network complexity; the SRV at both ends (10.85 m, 31.15 m) is low (332–338 × 10
4 m
3), due to the poor reservoir quality, the fracture expansion is limited, and the stimulation range is reduced.
4.4. Analysis of Dominant Factors Controlling Hydraulic Fracture Propagation in Interbedded Shale
The propagation of hydraulic fractures in interbedded shale reservoirs is synergistically controlled by geological constraints and engineering operation parameters. Among numerous influencing factors, horizontal stress difference (Δσ), interlayer thickness (h), and pumping rate (Q) are the core dominant factors determining interlayer breakthrough behavior, as they directly regulate reservoir stress field distribution, energy transfer efficiency, and fracture propagation dynamics. In this section, grey relational analysis is introduced to systematically evaluate the degree of correlation between various influencing factors and the interlayer breakthrough response, based on the interlayer breakthrough statuses under different factors presented in
Table 4 The aim is to identify the key controlling factors governing interlayer breakthrough along with their critical conditions (
Figure 33).
Grey relational analysis is applicable to uncertain systems with small samples and poor information. It determines the degree of correlation among factors by calculating the geometric similarity between each factor sequence and the reference sequence. The calculation steps are as follows:
(1) Determine the reference sequence and comparison sequences.
Take the breakthrough condition of the interlayer as the reference sequence X0, and the parameter values of various influencing factors as the comparison sequences Xi. The breakthrough condition is quantified by assignment: breakthrough = 1, partial entry = 0.5, no breakthrough = 0.
(2) Perform dimensionless processing on the reference sequence and comparison sequences.
(3) Calculate the absolute difference between the interlayer breakthrough condition X
0 and different influencing factors X
i at corresponding time points, i.e.:
(4) Select the maximum value X0 and the minimum value Xi of the absolute differences between the interlayer breakthrough condition () and the different influencing factors ().
Derive the correlation coefficient corresponding to the interlayer breakthrough condition and the different influencing factors, namely
where
(5) Calculate the grey relational degree of each sequence.
The closer the relational degree is to 1, the more significant the influence of that factor on interlayer breakthrough.
Based on the data samples obtained from the numerical simulations in
Section 4.3, a total of 11 factors were selected as comparison sequences, including geological parameters (Poisson’s ratio, Young’s modulus, horizontal stress difference, interlayer thickness, and interlayers in sub-layers 3 to 6), operational parameters (pumping rate, fluid volume, viscosity), and perforation parameters (number of clusters, cluster spacing, perforation location). Using the quantified interlayer breakthrough values as the reference sequence, the grey relational degree of each factor was calculated. The calculation results are presented in
Table 5.
The grey relational degree of interlayer thickness is the highest (0.908), indicating that it is the primary factor controlling interlayer breakthrough (
Table 5). When the thickness is ≤2 m, the interlayer cannot effectively dissipate fracture energy and is easily penetrated; when the thickness exceeds 2 m, it forms an effective mechanical barrier. This is followed by the horizontal stress difference (0.892). Under low stress difference conditions (≤16 MPa), the horizontal confinement weakens, and the pressure within the fracture readily breaks through the upper interlayer; conversely, a high stress difference significantly inhibits vertical propagation. The pumping rate (0.874) and fluid volume (0.851) rank third and fourth, respectively, together constituting the energy supply system for fracturing.
The relational degrees of the other factors are all below 0.7, indicating a relatively weak influence on interlayer breakthrough. The number of clusters and cluster spacing indirectly affect breakthrough through stress interference, but their effects are secondary to parameters such as pumping rate and fluid volume. Viscosity influences fracture height extension but contributes only limitedly to breakthrough. Mechanical parameters such as Young’s modulus and Poisson’s ratio do not play a dominant role in the breakthrough process. Poisson’s ratio exhibits the lowest relational degree (0.258), confirming its insignificant effect on fracture propagation. In summary, whether a hydraulic fracture can break through the interlayer in interlayered shale is mainly governed by the synergistic control of four factors: interlayer thickness, horizontal stress difference, pumping rate, and fluid volume.
The reliable breakthrough of interlayers requires the simultaneous satisfaction of three critical conditions: horizontal stress difference Δσ ≤ 16 MPa, interlayer thickness h < 1 m, and pumping rate Q ≥ 16 m3/min. Under low stress difference (≤15 MPa), horizontal confinement is weakened, and the pressure inside the fracture readily induces tensile failure, penetrating the upper interlayer. When the stress difference exceeds 16 MPa, vertical propagation is hindered, and the breakthrough probability sharply decreases by 80% due to the high fracture toughness of the lower limestone interlayer. Thin interlayers (<1 m) cannot sufficiently dissipate fracture energy, resulting in a 65% probability of interface shear failure. When the thickness increases to ≥2 m, the breakthrough probability drops below 10%, accompanied by a 21% reduction in fracture height. When the pumping rate is below 16 m3/min, fluid loss leads to insufficient pressure accumulation. Once the threshold is reached, the pressure exceeds the initiation pressure to achieve breakthrough, and further increasing the pumping rate stabilizes the fracture height. The coupling effects among the three factors are significant: thin interlayers or low stress differences can lower the critical pumping rate, whereas thick interlayers (≥3 m) act as rigid constraints, making breakthrough difficult even at high pumping rates. This threshold system provides key theoretical support for optimizing fracturing parameters.