Serum Biomarker-Based Diagnostic Tools for Primary Hyperparathyroidism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Implications for Primary Care
Highlights
- The calcium–phosphorus ratio (Ca/P) and the Parathyroid Function Index (PFindex) showed the highest diagnostic accuracy for identifying primary hyperparathyroidism, with pooled sensitivities and specificities above 90% in the meta-analysis.
- Among the evaluated tools, the Ca/P ratio emerged as the most widely studied and accessible screening index, while PFindex demonstrated the best discriminatory capacity when directly compared with other indices.
- Simple biochemical indices derived from routine laboratory tests may facilitate earlier detection of primary hyperparathyroidism, particularly in primary care or resource-limited settings.
- These indices should complement rather than replace clinical assessment and standard biochemical evaluation, and further prospective studies are needed to validate emerging indices such as Ca × Cl/P and dynamic tests.
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Eligibility Criteria
2.2. Information Sources
2.3. Search Strategy
2.4. Study Selection Process
2.5. Data Extraction Process
2.6. Data List
2.7. Handling of Cut-Off Values and Diagnostic Reference Standard
2.8. Risk of Bias Assessment of Individual Studies
2.9. Effect Measures
2.10. Synthesis Methods
2.11. Publication Bias Assessment and Certainty of Evidence Assessment
3. Results
3.1. Search Results and Study Selection Process
3.2. General Characteristics of Included Studies
3.3. Risk of Bias of Individual Studies
3.4. Results by Diagnostic Tool
3.4.1. Calcium/Phosphorus Ratio (Ca/P)
3.4.2. Parathyroid Function Index (PFindex: Ca × PTH/P)
3.4.3. Wisconsin Index (WIN: Ca × PTH)
3.4.4. Chloride/Phosphorus Ratio (Cl/P)
3.4.5. Ca × Cl/P Ratio
3.4.6. Thiazide Challenge Test (TCT)
3.5. Synthesis of Results
3.6. Meta-Analysis
Performance Across Clinical Subgroups
3.7. Certainty of Evidence
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AUC | Area Under the Curve |
| Ca/P | Calcium-to-Phosphorus Ratio |
| Cl/P | Chloride-to-Phosphorus Ratio |
| DOR | Diagnostic Odds Ratio |
| GRADE | Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation |
| HSROC | Hierarchical Summary Receiver Operating Characteristic |
| NHPT | Normocalcemic Hyperparathyroidism |
| PFindex | Parathyroid Function Index |
| PHPT | Primary Hyperparathyroidism |
| PRISMA | Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses |
| PTH | Parathyroid Hormone |
| SHPT | Secondary Hyperparathyroidism |
| SROC | Summary Receiver Operating Characteristic |
| TCT | Thiazide Challenge Test |
| THPT | Tertiary Hyperparathyroidism |
| WIN | Wisconsin Index |
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| Database | Search Formula |
|---|---|
| PubMed/MEDLINE | (“Hyperparathyroidism”[Mesh] OR “Hyperparathyroidism, Primary”[Mesh] OR “Hyperparathyroidism, Secondary”[Mesh] OR hyperparathyroid[tiab] OR phpt[tiab] OR nhpt[tiab]) AND (“Diagnostic Tests, Routine”[Mesh] OR “Sensitivity and Specificity”[Mesh] OR “ROC Curve”[Mesh] OR “diagnostic accuracy”[tiab] OR “differential diagnosis”[tiab] OR discriminat[tiab] OR “Biomarkers”[Mesh] OR index[tiab] OR indices[tiab] OR ratio[tiab] OR “wisconsin index”[tiab] OR “parathyroid function index”[tiab] OR pfindex[tiab] OR “calcium phosphate ratio”[tiab] OR “Challeng* test”[tiab] OR “thiazide challenge”[tiab] OR “tct test”[tiab] OR “provocat* test”[tiab]) |
| Scopus | (TITLE (hyperparathyroidism) OR TITLE (hyperparathyroidism primary) OR TITLE (hyperparathyroidism secondary) AND TITLE (sensitivity) OR TITLE (specificity) OR TITLE (roc curve) OR TITLE (wisconsin INDEX) OR TITLE (parathyroid function INDEX) OR TITLE (pfindex) OR TITLE (calcium phosphate ratio) OR TITLE (thiazide test)) AND PUBYEAR > 2019 |
| Web of Science | ((TI = (Hyperparathyroidism) OR TI = (“Hyperparathyroidism, Primary”) OR TI = (“Hyperparathyroidism, Secondary”) OR TI = (hyperparathyroid)) AND (TI = (“Diagnostic Tests, Routine”) OR TI = (“Sensitivity and Specificity”) OR TI = (“ROC Curve”) OR TI = (“diagnostic accuracy”) OR TI = (Biomarkers) OR TI = (index) OR TI = (indices) OR TI = (ratio) OR TI = (“wisconsin index”) OR TI = (“parathyroid function index”) OR TI = (pfanner) OR TI = (“calcium phosphate ratio”) OR TI = (“thiazide challenge”))) |
| SciELO | (tw:(hiperparatiroidismo OR hyperparathyroidism OR “hiperparatireoidismo”) OR tw:(phpt OR nhpt)) AND (tw:(“exactitud diagnóstica” OR “diagnostic accuracy” OR “acurácia diagnóstica” OR “sensibilidad y especificidad” OR “sensitivity and specificity” OR “roc curve” OR “diagnóstico diferencial” OR “differential diagnosis”) OR tw:(índice OR index OR índice OR indices OR ratio OR razón OR proporção) OR tw:(“wisconsin index” OR “parathyroid function index” OR “índice de función paratiroidea” OR “índice de função paratireoidiana” OR pfindex) OR tw:(“calcium phosphate ratio” OR “relación calcio fósforo” OR “relação cálcio fósforo”) OR tw:(“prueba de provocación” OR “test de provocação” OR “challenge test” OR “thiazide challenge” OR “tct test”)) |
| Cochrane CENTRAL | (hyperparathyroid* OR phpt OR nhpt) AND (“diagnostic accuracy” OR sensitivity OR specificity OR “roc curve” OR discriminant* OR index OR indices OR ratio OR “wisconsin index” OR “parathyroid function index” OR pfindex OR “calcium phosphate” OR “challenge test” OR “thiazide challenge” OR “tct test”) |
| Author, Year | Study Design | Assessment Tool | Domains Assessed (Score/Stars) | Global Risk | Main Justification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeo et al., 2020 [26] | Diagnostic accuracy study (multicenter retrospective cross-sectional) | QUADAS 2 | Patient Selection: Low Index Test: Low Reference Standard: Low Flow & Timing: Low | LOW | Clear criteria, valid reference standard per guidelines, STARD diagram, large sample. |
| Guo et al., 2020 [27] | Retrospective case–control study | NOS (case–control) | Selection: ★★★☆ (3/4) Comparability: ★★ (2/2) Exposure: ★★☆ (2/3) | MODERATE | Cases from a single hospital, community controls, age-matched but not sex-matched. |
| Wright et al., 2020 [28] | Diagnostic accuracy study (retrospective cross-sectional) | QUADAS 2 | Patient Selection: Moderate Index Test: Low Reference Standard: Low Flow & Timing: Low | MODERATE | Controls are thyroidectomized patients, limiting applicability to the general population. |
| Yin et al., 2021 [29] | Retrospective case–control study | NOS (case–control) | Selection: ★★★☆ (3/4) Comparability: ★☆ (1/2) Exposure: ★★☆ (2/3) | MODERATE | Controls from a check-up center (may be healthier), not matched, similar measurement. |
| Bestepe et al., 2022 [30] | Retrospective case–control study | NOS (case–control) | Selection: ★★★☆ (3/4) Comparability: ★☆ (1/2) Exposure: ★★☆ (2/3) | MODERATE | Historical controls from the same center, sex differences not controlled for in the design. |
| Özkan & Turhan, 2022 [23] | Retrospective case–control study | NOS (case–control) | Selection: ★★☆☆ (2/4) Comparability: ★☆ (1/2) Exposure: ★★☆ (2/3) | HIGH | Definition of SHPT may include residual VitD deficiency, groups intrinsically different. |
| De Vincentis et al., 2023 [22] | Diagnostic accuracy study (retrospective cross-sectional) | QUADAS 2 | Patient Selection: Low Index Test: Low Reference Standard: Low Flow & Timing: Low | LOW | Confirmed genetic diagnosis, clear criteria, design similar to study 1. |
| Castellano et al., 2023 [32] | Observational cross-sectional study/Case series | Adapted STROBE/Case series | Representativeness: Moderate Measurement: Low Confounding Control: High Outcomes: Moderate | HIGH | No control group, comparisons between subgroups with high residual confounding, non-blinded symptom assessment. |
| Kolcsar et al., 2024 [33] | Retrospective cohort study | NOS (cohort) | Selection: ★★☆☆ (2/4) Comparability: ★☆ (1/2) Outcome: ★★☆ (2/3) | MODERATE TO HIGH | Single-center cohort, groups (NPHPT/HPHPT) not comparable at baseline, retrospective measurement of fractures. |
| Yu et al., 2024 [31] | Retrospective case–control study | NOS (case–control) | Selection: ★★★★ (4/4) Comparability: ★★ (2/2) Exposure: ★★☆ (2/3) | LOW | Controls 1:1 matched by age and sex from a large database, robust design, objective measurement. |
| Kappauf et al., 2024 [34] | Diagnostic accuracy study (retrospective cohort) | QUADAS 2 | Patient Selection: Low Index Test: Low Reference Standard: Low Flow & Timing: Low | LOW | Consecutive patients, objective reference standard (PTH), contemporary measurements. |
| Verly et al., 2024 [35] | Retrospective diagnostic accuracy study | QUADAS 2 | Patient Selection: High Index Test: Moderate Reference Standard: High Flow & Timing: Moderate | HIGH | Small and selected sample, non-uniform and non-blinded reference standard, high risk of differential verification bias. |
| Study | Country | N | PHPT | Control | TP | FN | FP | TN | Sensitivity | Specificity | Cut-Off Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ca/P ratio | |||||||||||
| Madeo et al. (2020) [26] | Italy | 821 | 432 | 389 | 381 | 51 | 47 | 342 | 0.882 | 0.879 | 2.55 mmol/L |
| Wright et al. (2020) [28] | USA | 303 | 226 | 77 | 216 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 0.956 | 0.636 | 2.55 mmol/L |
| Guo et al. (2020) [27] | China | 210 | 128 | 82 | 117 | 11 | 5 | 77 | 0.914 | 0.939 | 2.71 mmol/L |
| Yin et al. (2021) [29] | China | 296 | 143 | 153 | 137 | 6 | 2 | 151 | 0.955 | 0.987 | 2.94 mmol/L |
| Bestepe et al. (2022) [30] | Turkey | 610 | 462 | 148 | 418 | 44 | 10 | 138 | 0.905 | 0.932 | 2.59 mmol/L |
| Özkan et al. (2022) [23] | Turkey | 229 | 121 | 108 | 109 | 12 | 12 | 96 | 0.897 | 0.886 | 2.55 mmol/L |
| Yu et al. (2024) [31] | China | 460 | 230 | 230 | 213 | 17 | 23 | 207 | 0.926 | 0.900 | 2.28 mmol/L |
| PFindex (Ca × PTH/P) | |||||||||||
| Guo et al. (2020) [27] | China | 210 | 128 | 82 | 124 | 4 | 2 | 80 | 0.969 | 0.976 | 34 |
| Özkan et al. (2022) [23] | Turkey | 229 | 121 | 108 | 111 | 10 | 10 | 98 | 0.919 | 0.909 | 327.8 |
| WIN (Ca × PTH) | |||||||||||
| Guo et al. (2020) [27] | China | 210 | 128 | 82 | 119 | 9 | 2 | 80 | 0.930 | 0.976 | 35.43 |
| Özkan et al. (2022) [23] | Turkey | 229 | 121 | 108 | 109 | 12 | 12 | 96 | 0.897 | 0.886 | 1040.9 |
| Cl/P ratio | |||||||||||
| Wright et al. (2020) [28] | USA | 303 | 226 | 77 | 132 | 94 | 55 | 22 | 0.584 | 0.286 | 33 mmol/L |
| Yin et al. (2021) [29] | China | 296 | 143 | 153 | 137 | 6 | 13 | 140 | 0.955 | 0.915 | 32.4 mmol/L |
| Yu et al. (2024) [31] | China | 460 | 230 | 230 | 210 | 20 | 48 | 182 | 0.913 | 0.791 | 96.13 mmol/L |
| Ca × Cl/P ratio | |||||||||||
| Yu et al. (2024) [31] | China | 460 | 230 | 230 | 219 | 11 | 18 | 212 | 0.952 | 0.922 | 239.17 |
| Thiazide Challenge Test (TCT) | |||||||||||
| Verly et al. (2025) [35] | Belgium | 20 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0.818 | 0.778 | No cut-off point |
| Diagnostic Tool | Number of Studies | Total Patients (PHPT/Control) | Pooled Sensitivity (95% CI) | Pooled Specificity (95% CI) | Pooled DOR (95% CI) | AUC-SROC | Heterogeneity (I2) | Main Conclusion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ca/P ratio | 7 | 2929 (1742/1187) | 0.916 (0.879–0.942) | 0.893 (0.826–0.936) | 98.7 (50.2–194.1) | 0.957 (0.926–0.988) | Sens: 68.3% | Excellent diagnostic performance. Valid and widely studied screening tool. Moderate-high heterogeneity in specificity. |
| Espec: 92.7% | ||||||||
| PFindex | 2 | 439 (249/190) | 0.944 (0.905–0.968) | 0.942 (0.901–0.967) | 258.8 (92.6–723.3) * | 0.943 (0.907–0.979) | Sens: 51.4% | Favorable performance in available studies, but evidence is limited to only 2 studies. |
| Espec: 63.4% | ||||||||
| WIN | 2 | 439 (249/190) | 0.913 (0.867–0.944) | 0.931 (0.888–0.958) | 141.8 (56.6–355.4) * | 0.922 (0.880–0.964) | Sens: 36.3% | Good performance, similar to Ca/P ratio. Lower heterogeneity than PFindex but less precise. |
| Espec: 72.7% | ||||||||
| Cl/P ratio | 3 | 1059 (599/460) | 0.867 (0.717–0.944) | 0.634 (0.380–0.830) | 12.4 (3.1–49.8) | 0.812 (0.738–0.886) | Sens: 97.5% | Moderate performance with low specificity. High heterogeneity limits its general clinical utility. |
| Espec: 98.8% | ||||||||
| Ca × Cl/P ratio | 1 | 460 (230/230) | 0.952 | 0.922 | No calculable | 0.937 † | Not applicable | Excellent performance in a single study. Requires external validation. |
| TCT | 1 | 20 (11/9) | 0.818 | 0.778 | No calculable | Not calculable | Not applicable | Promising utility in a specific and complex scenario. Low evidence. |
| Diagnostic Index | No. Studies | Risk of Bias | Inconsistency | Indirectness | Imprecision | Publication Bias | Overall Certainty (GRADE) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ca/P ratio | 7 | Serious | Not serious | Not serious | Not serious | Probable | ⊕⊕⊕◯ MODERATE |
| PFindex (Ca × PTH/P) | 2 | Serious | Not serious | Not serious | Not serious | Not assessable | ⊕⊕⊕◯ MODERATE |
| WIN (Ca × PTH) | 2 | Serious | Not serious | Not serious | Not serious | Not assessable | ⊕⊕⊕◯ MODERATE |
| Cl/P ratio | 3 | Serious | Serious | Not serious | Serious | Probable | ⊕⊕◯◯ LOW |
| Ca × Cl/P ratio | 1 | Serious | Not applicable | Not serious | Very serious | Not assessable | ⊕⊕◯◯ LOW |
| TCT | 1 | Very serious | Not applicable | Serious | Very serious | Not assessable | ⊕◯◯◯ VERY LOW |
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Picón-Jaimes, Y.A.; Mauri Juliachs, J.; Arrufat Martin, I.; Lopez-Castaño, M. Serum Biomarker-Based Diagnostic Tools for Primary Hyperparathyroidism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Implications for Primary Care. Healthcare 2026, 14, 1001. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14081001
Picón-Jaimes YA, Mauri Juliachs J, Arrufat Martin I, Lopez-Castaño M. Serum Biomarker-Based Diagnostic Tools for Primary Hyperparathyroidism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Implications for Primary Care. Healthcare. 2026; 14(8):1001. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14081001
Chicago/Turabian StylePicón-Jaimes, Yelson Alejandro, Judit Mauri Juliachs, Iván Arrufat Martin, and Milena Lopez-Castaño. 2026. "Serum Biomarker-Based Diagnostic Tools for Primary Hyperparathyroidism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Implications for Primary Care" Healthcare 14, no. 8: 1001. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14081001
APA StylePicón-Jaimes, Y. A., Mauri Juliachs, J., Arrufat Martin, I., & Lopez-Castaño, M. (2026). Serum Biomarker-Based Diagnostic Tools for Primary Hyperparathyroidism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Implications for Primary Care. Healthcare, 14(8), 1001. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14081001

