Multi-Objective Optimization with a Closed-Form Solution for Capital Allocation in Environmental Energy Stock Portfolio
Abstract
1. Introduction
- Prior studies have only considered one or two environment-based objective functions, which are generally limited to carbon emissions. This narrow focus may lead to an incomplete assessment of a company′s overall environmental impact, as it overlooks other critical dimensions such as energy consumption, water usage, and waste generation. As a result, the resulting investment strategies may fail to capture broader sustainability risks and opportunities.
- Almost all studies rely on numerical or simulation-based solutions, which lack a closed-form analytical expression for solving the model, making implementation difficult due to the complexity and time-consuming nature of the computations.
- The model integrates two financial objectives (maximizing return and minimizing value-at-risk) with four environmental objectives (minimizing carbon, energy, water, and waste intensities). By considering environmental dimensions beyond carbon, namely, energy use, water consumption, and waste generation, the model offers a more comprehensive representation of corporate environmental performance in the energy sector. It is also consistent with sustainability reporting practices in capital markets, where companies are required to disclose not only carbon emissions but also the intensities of water, energy, and waste. Using intensities rather than absolute values is crucial, since it allows environmental performance to be measured relative to output or revenue, thereby ensuring comparability across firms of different sizes. Incorporating these indicators is particularly important for energy stocks, which are known to have significant environmental impacts, as it incentivizes firms included in investment portfolios to compete in reducing their environmental footprint. Accordingly, the model enables the construction of investment portfolios that incorporate diverse sustainability criteria within a rigorous quantitative framework.
- The model presents a closed-form analytical solution, which provides theoretical clarity, improves analytical tractability, and allows direct interpretation of optimality conditions without relying on iterative simulations.
2. The Proposed Model
2.1. Mathematical Notations and Assumptions
- represents the number of energy stocks in the portfolio.
- represents the index of the -th energy stock.
- represents the return of the -th energy stock at time , assumed to be stationary. It implies that both the mean and variance of the returns remain constant across all time indices. Formally, and for all .
- follows a normal distribution with the mean and variance . The distribution of each stock return does not have to be identical.
- represents the correlation coefficient between the returns of the -th and -th energy stocks.
- is the decision variable representing the capital weight on the -th energy stock.
- represents the -quantile of the standard normal random variable. It is used to compute the value-at-risk (VaR) of the right tail of the portfolio return distribution. Therefore, the value of is restricted to the interval .
- is a constant representing the carbon intensity of the -th energy stock.
- is a constant representing the energy intensity of the -th energy stock.
- is a constant representing the water usage intensity of the k-th energy stock.
- is a constant representing the waste intensity of the -th energy stock.
- , , , , , and represent preference weights assigned to the objectives of mean portfolio return, VaR portfolio return, carbon intensity, energy intensity, water intensity, and waste intensity, respectively.
2.2. Objective Functions
2.2.1. Maximization of the Portfolio Average Return
2.2.2. Minimization Portfolio Value-At-Risk Return
2.2.3. Minimization of Carbon Intensity in the Portfolio
2.2.4. Minimization of Energy Intensity in the Portfolio
2.2.5. Minimization of Water Intensity in the Portfolio
2.2.6. Minimization of Waste Intensity in the Portfolio
2.2.7. Integration of Objective Functions Using Weighted Utility Function Approach
2.3. Constraint
2.4. The Multi-Objective Optimization (MOO) Model
2.5. The MOO Model Solution
3. Model Application to Energy Stock Data
3.1. Description of Stock Data and Its Selection Methodology
- Included among the 30 stocks with the largest market capitalization in July 2025, as analyzed from the open-source data on IDN Financials: https://www.idnfinancials.com/id/?sl=id, accessed on 12 May 2025.
- Listed on the stock exchange in the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, as analyzed from the open-source data on IDN Financials: https://www.idnfinancials.com/id/?sl=id, accessed on 12 May 2025.
- Published annual sustainability reports in 2022, 2023, and 2024, as analyzed from publicly available information on each energy stock′s official website.
- Standardize each data attribute
- b.
- Calculate the aggregate combined score of each attribute for each stock
3.2. Model Parameter Estimation
3.3. Optimal Capital Weight Determination
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
VaR | Value-at-Risk |
MOO | Multi-Objective Optimization |
CVaR | Conditional Value-at-Risk |
TJ | Tera Joule |
ML | Mega Liter |
kTonCO2 | Kilo Ton Carbon Dioxide |
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No. | Stock Code | Annual Carbon Intensity (kTonCO2 per Million USD) | Annual Energy Intensity (TJ per Million USD) | Annual Water Intensity (ML per Million USD) | Annual Waste Intensity (Ton per Million USD) | Average of Return (% per Month) | Deviation Standard of Return (% per Month) | Financial and Environmental Aggregate Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ADMR | 0.0115 | 0.2243 | 0.2337 | 0.8096 | 1.6523 | 20.8859 | 6.9342 |
2 | ADRO | 0.3048 | 5.4241 | 3.9965 | 5.7071 | 1.2888 | 13.5792 | 8.4199 |
3 | AKRA | 0.0407 | 0.2178 | 0.2182 | 1.4014 | 1.6350 | 9.2598 | −5.9038 |
4 | BYAN | 0.2480 | 4.5880 | 1.2074 | 1.3651 | 6.9714 | 24.5447 | −0.4499 |
5 | DEWA | 0.6283 | 60.1662 | 0.0455 | 7.4828 | 3.1162 | 13.3525 | 17.7969 |
6 | DSSA | 0.2534 | 2.5346 | 0.3768 | 1.4175 | 5.0311 | 27.6599 | 7.9201 |
7 | GEMS | 0.3678 | 2.8240 | 0.6035 | 2.1144 | 1.9934 | 13.3705 | 0.0618 |
8 | HRUM | 0.9554 | 10.1318 | 1.0676 | 0.9574 | −1.3026 | 11.9143 | 7.1555 |
9 | INDY | 0.3275 | 4.6833 | 0.9646 | 1.6353 | −0.2379 | 11.6646 | 3.4217 |
10 | ITMG | 12.9506 | 0.8454 | 1.4082 | 3.0061 | 1.2544 | 11.4393 | 12.8601 |
11 | MCOL | 0.4017 | 6.1146 | 1.1041 | 2.1121 | 2.0692 | 15.4109 | 3.0287 |
12 | MEDC | 2.4070 | 22.5931 | 123.6928 | 2.8594 | 3.0562 | 15.9861 | 12.2502 |
13 | MYOH | 1.7541 | 29.8999 | 2.5544 | 5.9787 | −0.1179 | 6.6652 | 10.7138 |
14 | PGAS | 0.1782 | 0.4236 | 0.0689 | 0.0504 | 0.7719 | 8.8817 | −6.0799 |
15 | PTBA | 0.3751 | 4.9254 | 0.9446 | 1.7793 | 0.4068 | 10.0620 | 0.1648 |
16 | PTRO | 0.5806 | 10.1433 | 0.0969 | 7.9632 | 5.2979 | 23.3331 | 14.3086 |
17 | SHIP | 0.7655 | 10.1217 | 0.4277 | 3.0792 | 1.0289 | 13.4808 | 6.1176 |
18 | TOBA | 2.9869 | 38.6858 | 337.4070 | 0.6685 | −2.6696 | 19.4484 | 39.5939 |
Investor Preference | Financially Oriented | Balanced Oriented | Environmentally Oriented |
---|---|---|---|
Total Weight of Financial Objectives | , ) | , ) | , ) |
Total Weight of Environmental Objectives | , , , ) | , , , ) | , , , ) |
Vector of Capital Allocation Weight | |||
Average Monthly Portfolio Return (%) | 1.7902 | 1.7338 | 1.5573 |
Var Monthly at 0.01-Quantile of Portfolio Return (%) | 11.4823 | 11.5813 | 12.1605 |
Annual Carbon Intensity (kTonCO2 per Million USD) | 0.1465 | 0.1601 | 0.1645 |
Annual Energy Intensity (TJ per Million USD) | 0.7912 | 1.0069 | 1.0758 |
Annual Water Intensity (ML per Million USD) | 0.2368 | 0.2863 | 0.3022 |
Annual Waste Intensity (Ton per Million USD) | 0.8183 | 0.9391 | 0.9777 |
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Sukono; Ibrahim, R.A.; Effendie, A.R.; Saputra, M.P.A.; Prihanto, I.G.; Azahra, A.S. Multi-Objective Optimization with a Closed-Form Solution for Capital Allocation in Environmental Energy Stock Portfolio. Mathematics 2025, 13, 2844. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13172844
Sukono, Ibrahim RA, Effendie AR, Saputra MPA, Prihanto IG, Azahra AS. Multi-Objective Optimization with a Closed-Form Solution for Capital Allocation in Environmental Energy Stock Portfolio. Mathematics. 2025; 13(17):2844. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13172844
Chicago/Turabian StyleSukono, Riza Andrian Ibrahim, Adhitya Ronnie Effendie, Moch Panji Agung Saputra, Igif Gimin Prihanto, and Astrid Sulistya Azahra. 2025. "Multi-Objective Optimization with a Closed-Form Solution for Capital Allocation in Environmental Energy Stock Portfolio" Mathematics 13, no. 17: 2844. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13172844
APA StyleSukono, Ibrahim, R. A., Effendie, A. R., Saputra, M. P. A., Prihanto, I. G., & Azahra, A. S. (2025). Multi-Objective Optimization with a Closed-Form Solution for Capital Allocation in Environmental Energy Stock Portfolio. Mathematics, 13(17), 2844. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13172844