A Random Forest-Enhanced Genetic Algorithm for Order Acceptance Scheduling with Past-Sequence-Dependent Setup Times

This study developed a simple genetic algorithm (SGA) enhanced by a random forest (RF) surrogate model, namely ${SGA}_{RF}$, to solve the permutation flow-shop scheduling problem with order acceptance under the conditions of limited capacity, weighted-tardiness, and past-sequence-dependent (PSD) setup times (PFSS-OAWT with PSD). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate this problem. Our proposed algorithm increases the setup time for each successive job by a constant proportion of the cumulative processing time of preceding jobs to capture the progressive slowdown that often occurs on real production lines. In the developed algorithm with maximum ${10}^5$ fitness evaluations, the RF surrogate model predicts objective function values and guides crossover and mutation. On the PFSS-OAWT with PSD benchmark (up to 500 orders and 20 machines, 160 instances), ${SGA}_{RF}$ represents improvements of 0.9% over SGA, 0.8% over ${SGA}_{LS}$, and 5.6% over SABPO. Although the surrogate incurs additional runtime, the gains in both profit and order-acceptance rates justify its use for high-margin, offline planning. Overall, the results of this study suggest that integrating evolutionary search into data-driven prediction is an effective strategy for solving complex capacity-constrained scheduling problems.