1. Introduction
The goal of this paper is to establish the positive recurrence of the model under certain assumptions. Intensity of service is assumed only partially at zero (as a lower left derivative value at zero of the “integrated intensity”); in addition, an integral type condition on the “integrated intensity” over intervals of some length is assumed.
By positive recurrence we mean the property of finite expectation of the time
to hit the regeneration state starting from any initial state with an estimate of such expected value (see (
2) in what follows for the definition of
), and not just a finite expectation of a regeneration period. For this aim, a new approach is suggested. For other more standard ways to establish positive recurrence for regenerative models, see [
1,
2], and also the references therein. While it may require conditions that may look too restrictive, the hidden main goal is to develop this new method. It looks likely that it may help establish better rates of convergence toward stationarity in the model under investigation. We also hope that it may help to make some progress in more involved queueing models such as Erlang–Sevastyanov, with an infinite number of servers. To the best of our knowledge, moment conditions on the service time under which positive recurrence is established in ([
1], Chapter 2) and ([
2], Chapter 5) are not applicable to infinite server Erlang–Sevastyanov-like systems; at least, the author is not aware of any progress in this direction so far. There is some well-known advice from Leonard Euler: if you see several possible paths toward the goal, then, in mathematics, you have to try all of them, not just one; some of them, or even all of them may turn out to be useful in some other adjacent areas or problems. Even though our conditions for positive recurrence are stronger than necessary for applications of other approaches, they may be more useful in some other particular situations. This was the main motivation for this work.
For the recent history of the topic see [
3,
4,
5,
6,
7,
8,
9,
10,
11]. One of the reasons—although not the only one—why various versions of this system are so popular is because of their intrinsic links to important topics of mathematical insurance theory, see [
5].
In this paper, we return to the less involved single-server system,
, where the intensity of arrivals may only depend on the number of customers in the system, with the goal of reviewing conditions of its positive recurrence. An importance of this property may be highlighted, for example, by the publications [
3,
12] where the investigation of the model
assumes that it is in the “steady state”, which is a synonym for stationarity. As is well-known, positive recurrence along with some mild mixing or coupling properties guarantees the existence of a stationary regime of the system. One particular aspect of this issue is how to achieve bounds without assuming the existence of intensity of service in the
model and, more generally, in Erlang–Sevastyanov-type systems. Certain results in this direction were recently established in [
13] for a slightly different model. Still, in [
13] it is essential that the absolute continuous part of the distribution function
F (in our notation) is non-degenerate; in the present paper, this is not required and the approach is different.
Please note that in such a model certain close results may be obtained by the methods of regenerative processes if it is assumed that the same distribution function
F (see below) has enough moments. However, our conditions and methods are different. The main (moderate) hope of the author is that this approach may also be useful in studying ergodic properties of Erlang–Sevastyanov-type models, as happened with the earlier results and approaches based on the intensity of service as in [
11], successfully applied in [
14]. The present paper is an initial attempt in the program of developing tools that could help approach the problem outlined recently in [
15].
The paper consists of the introduction in
Section 1, the setting and the main result in
Section 2, two simple auxiliary lemmata in
Section 3, the proof of the main result in
Section 4, and two simple examples in
Section 5 for the comparison of sufficient conditions of Theorem 1 with conditions in terms of the intensity of service in the case when the latter does exist.
4. Proof of Theorem 1
- 0.
The proof will be split into several steps. We shall consider the embedded Markov chain, namely, the process at times , and it will be shown that this process hits some suitable compact around “zero state” in time which admits a finite expectation. From this property, the main result will follow. The reader is warned that after this first hit the definition of the embedded Markov chain will change, as further times may become random and possibly non-integer, see step 4 of this proof.
The main goal is to establish the bound (
8), from which the estimate (
9) follows as a corollary.
- 1.
Let us choose
so that
(see condition (
5)). NB: We highlight that this value
will be fixed for what follows and will not tend to zero.
Once
is chosen, let
(see (
3) for the definition of
) and let us choose
such that
Since
as
, this is possible for any
. Let us introduce an auxiliary stopping time
Function L will serve as a Lyapunov function outside the compact set .
First of all, we are going to estimate the first moment of
, namely, to prove that there exists
such that
Recall that
and highlight that the definition of
is quite different from that of
.
Let
. Applying the rules of stochastic calculus, we have for
,
where
is a martingale (see, e.g., [
16]). Indeed, let us comment on (
17). Denote
and let
. At any non-random time
, on the infinitesimal interval
there might occur the following events with corresponding probabilities, assuming that
:
Notice that we write because when we integrate over a finite interval of time, the integral is finite anyway, while the multiplier is, in any case, . By a similar reason we claim since the assumption means that, in any case, .
So, by the full expectation formula we have for
,
Integrating from
to
t with
, we obtain,
Notice that the assumption (
1) straightforwardly implies that
for any
. Hence, we have for any
,
So, as promised,
is a martingale. This justifies (
17), as required.
The following bound will be established:
with some
, if
.
To evaluate
let us introduce a sequence of stopping times. Let
To evaluate
, using the identity
which holds provided that
, let us estimate,
Let us estimate the term
. We have (recall that
by definition),
Here the complementary part of the integral was just dropped.
Further, it will be shown that (see (
21))
For this aim, let us introduce by induction the sequence of stopping times,
Please note that the component
might only have a finite number of jumps down on any finite interval. The times of jumps on the interval
are exactly the times
, and possibly the last jump down on this interval may or may not occur at
. In any case, clearly,
So, we have,
where for each outcome this series is almost surely a finite sum. On each interval
we may write down
This is by virtue of assumption (
6) and because at each stopping time
which is less than 1 we have
. If
, then both sides in the latter inequality equal zero, so that the inequality still holds true. Therefore, taking a sum over
n, we obtain (
23), just without
on the left-hand side. This multiplier
in the right-hand side guarantees that its presence in the left-hand side of (
23) still leads to a valid inequality, which means that the bound (
23) is justified.
It follows from (
22) and (
23) that
Due to Lemma 1, if
then (see (
13))
(NB: In fact, at least
n jobs should be completed, the first one on
; however, we prefer to have a bound independent of
x. In any case, this does not change the scheme of the proof.) Likewise, if
, then
due to the choice of
, see (
14).
Recall that
was chosen so that
, see (
12). Hence,
Thus, for any
we obtain,
The bound (
19) follows with a constant
C which may be evaluated via
.
- 2.
So, with the choice of
and
according to (
13) and (
14), respectively, we may write,
The event
may be equivalently expressed as
. Hence, the latter inequality may also be rewritten in the form suitable for the induction:
Similarly,
may be equivalently expressed as
. Therefore, we obtain
Hence, by taking the expectations we obtain
Similarly, by induction (in what follows the notation
is used),
Due to the elementary bound
, this implies,
Summing up and dropping the negative term on the right-hand side, we obtain
for any
. So, by the monotone convergence theorem,
By virtue of the well-known relation
for the expectation of
the bound (
25) implies the following inequality with
,
In particular, this bound signifies that
- 3.
Now, once the bound for the expected value of is established, we are ready to explain the details of how to obtain a bound for . The rest of the proof is devoted to this implication, with the last sentences related to the corollary about the invariant measure and convergence to it.
At
, the process
attains the set
, while
; hence, both
By definition, the random variable
is the first integer
k where simultaneously
Therefore, at
we have either
, or
, or both. If there are no completed jobs on
, then
may only increase, or, at least, stay equal on this interval, while
certainly increases. Therefore,
may only be achieved by at least one completed job; it would mean a jump down by one of the
n-component and simultaneously a jump down to zero of the
x-component. Then at
k we obtain
, which certainly makes it less than
, regardless of whether or not there were other arrivals or completed jobs on
(recall that in addition to inequality (
14) we assumed that
).
Now, given
and
, by virtue of lemma 2, for any
we have with any
,
where
Here
T is any positive integer and recall that
Note that, of course, for non-integer values of
there is a likewise bound, but it looks a bit more involved, and using integer
T values suffices for the proof. Recall that it was assumed in (
3) that
, and it follows from the first line of (
3) that
. Inequality (
27) implies that
NB:Here the standard notations for homogeneous Markov processes are used, which means that after stopping time τ is, actually, the value .Please note that for any
the event
implies that
Hence, we conclude,
and, therefore, for any
x,
- 4.
Consider now the process X started at time from state with and .
Let
and let us stop the process either at
, or at
whichever happens earlier. In other words, consider the stopping time
The event
implies that the process
does not exceed the level
on the interval
. On the other hand, according to the arguments of step 3 – namely, due to (
29) and (
30) – we have,
Let
and further, let us define two sequences of stopping times by induction,
Both sequences of stopping times are monotonically increasing. Note that all integers like
and
here in the expressions stand for upper indices, not for power functions. Let us highlight that the stopping time
equals
plus some integer, but
may or may be not an integer itself. All these stopping times are finite with probability one, and, moreover, due to (
31) and because of the strong Markov property we have almost surely,
Also, almost surely
on the event where
. Indeed, suppose the opposite, that is,
Then on a finite interval of time
the process
either crosses the interval
and back an infinite number of times, or the process
an infinite number of times crosses the interval
and back; in any case, it would mean an infinite number of arrivals to
. Since
, the first option is clearly not possible. If the second option occurred, it would mean that there were an infinite number of completed jobs on
; this is not possible for various reasons, for example, because this would also require an infinite number of arrivals on the same interval, and this possibility we have already excluded. Thus, the assumption (
33) may only happen with probability zero, and so, (
32) with
holds true with probability one.
Using the strong Markov property at time
(see [
17],
Section 4), we obtain by induction,
- 5.
Also by induction, it follows from (
26) and from the elementary bound by definition
that there exists a constant
C such that
Using the representation
and due to (
32), we estimate,
Now we are going to estimate this sum by some geometric type series in combination with bounds (
34) and (
35). A small issue is that we are not able to use Hölder’s, or Cauchy–Buniakowskii–Schwarz inequality here because we only possess a first moment bound for
, while higher moments are not available. This minor obstacle is resolved in the next step of the proof by the following arguments using conditional expectation with respect to suitable sigma-algebras.
- 6.
Let us investigate the last term. Since each random variable
is
-measurable for any
, and because, due to the strong Markov property and the bound (
34),
(It was used that
implies
for all
as well.) Moreover, by virtue of the inequality (
16) and since by definition all
, we have for
,
with some finite constant
C.
Let us inspect the previous term. Using that
and all random variables
are
-measurable for any
, we obtain by induction,
Also by induction, we find that a similar upper bound with the multiplier
holds for each term in the sum in the right-hand side of (
36), for
, and
. Indeed, using the identity
we have for
,
Here we used that the random variable
is
-measurable.
Further, by virtue of the bound (
34)
We used the bound (
37) with
replaced by its upper bound
T (as in the calculus leading to (
37)) and with
k replaced by
i.
The first term is estimated similarly with the only change that instead of the constant
C we obtain a multiplier
which is a function of the initial data
and which makes the resulting bound non-uniform with respect to the initial data:
Overall, collecting the bounds (
37)–(
39), we obtain,
Therefore, it follows that
with some new constant
C, as required.
Existence of the invariant measure for the model and the inequality (
9) follows straightforwardly from the established positive recurrence (
8) and in a usual way from the coupling technique, or by means of other well-known tools. Theorem 1 is proved. □