2. Methodology
2.1. Research Design
A cross-sectional survey research design based on a quantitative research methodology was adopted in this study. This research design was very instrumental in collecting data about the impact of climate change and wildfire on agriculture sustainability. The importance of using the cross-sectional survey design lies in its capacity to allow collection of data from a large group of participants in a relatively very short time. The quantitative research method was employed in this study due to its efficiency in producing numerical data that are analyzed statistically to establish the existence of patterns and relationships especially when dealing with large sample populations [
84]. This approach is useful for conducting data collection among a large group of participants within a short time, which is useful in studying the effects of large-scale phenomena that affect agricultural sustainability such as climate change and wildfires. Using quantitative methods is more appropriate when the aim is to generalize the findings to a sample population and make conclusions based on existing evidence, which increases this study’s credibility and reliability [
85].
2.2. Target Population
The target population comprised environmental experts, including professionals, policymakers, researchers, and practitioners specializing in environmental science, climate change, and agriculture sustainability in Greece. This population was targeted since it possesses great knowledge concerning wildfires and climate change and how they affect agriculture sustainability.
2.3. Sample Size
A sample of 340 environmental experts was utilized in this study. The sample size of 340 experts was determined using Krejcie and Morgan’s
Table 1, ensuring adequate representation to achieve statistical power and generalizability of findings across the diverse environmental contexts of Greece. A simple random sampling technique was utilized to select the most appropriate sample for this study [
86,
87].
Equation (1) shows the equation of Krejcie and Morgan.
where
n = sample size.
N = population size (75,000).
X2 = chi-square for specified confidence level at 1 degree of freedom (3.841).
d = desired margin of error (expressed as a portion = 0.05).
P = population portion (0.05).
2.4. Data Collection
A well-structured online questionnaire was used to collect data from the selected environmental experts in Greece. The questionnaire contained Likert-scaled questions about climate change, wildfires, and agriculture sustainability and was subsequently emailed to the selected study participants for responses. In this study, “synergistic effects” means the combined impact of climate change and wildfires on the sustainability of agriculture. In order to capture these interactions, this study therefore used regression models that first test for main effects of each of the variables. However, for a better understanding of the interactions, other models with interaction terms between the variables were examined. These interaction terms are used to determine if the sum of the effects of factors such as extreme weather events and wildfire smoke on agricultural sustainability are greater or less than the product of their individual effects. This approach is consistent with previous works that underscore the significance of integrated effects in environmental analyses. A period of two weeks was accorded to the participants to ensure that they completed the online questionnaire to their best knowledge and perception. Different ethical requirements were observed during the entire process of research. In this case, informed consent was obtained from the participants before engaging them in this study, and they were assured of a high level of confidentiality for the data collected.
This study’s target population included environmental specialists from several industries and geographical areas across Greece. Greece was selected because of its varied geographical and climatic features, which make it appropriate for recording a broad variety of viewpoints and experiences on wildfires and climate change and how they impact the sustainability of agriculture. In this context, “environmental experts” included practitioners, researchers, policymakers, and professionals with backgrounds in environmental science, climate change, and related subjects. The goal in assembling this varied collection of specialists was to guarantee a thorough and informed evaluation of wildfires, climate change, and their impact on the sustainability of agriculture. According to the Geotechnical Chamber of Greece and the Union of Environmentalists of Greece and the website “Lusha”, there are 122 environmental services companies in Greece, and the employees number approximately 3000 active environmental experts.
2.5. Data Analysis
Data collected were analyzed using SPSS version 20. The data were properly sorted before being imported into SPSS for analysis. The data were analyzed and then interpreted using frequencies and percentages, which were shown in tables and figures. A 95% confidence level was applied when examining correlations using the Pearson’s correlation coefficient test. The multiple regression model helped determine the general predictive capacity of the several independent factors on this study’s dependent variable. Regression analysis was utilized (Equation (2)) to evaluate various predictive values [
87,
88].
where
Y = agricultural sustainability in Europe.
β0 = constant (coefficient of intercept).
X1 = extreme weather events.
X2 = ecosystem disruptions caused by climate change.
X3 = forest regeneration after wildfires.
X4 = wildfire smoke.
= shows the model’s error term.
β1…β4 = demonstrates how the regression coefficient for the independent variables may be used to predict changes in agriculture sustainability.
Upon evaluation and interpretation of this study’s hypotheses at a significance level of 5% (0.05), the p-value was used to decide whether the null hypothesis should be accepted or rejected.
3. Results
The results for
Table 2 showed a relatively balanced representation of gender, with 52.9% male and 47.1% female experts. This gender balance suggests a diverse and inclusive participation of both men and women in this study, reflecting a commitment to representativeness. The age distribution of environmental experts reveals a broad range of experience and expertise. The majority falls within the age groups of 35–44 years (35.3%) and 45–54 years (25.0%). The educational attainment of the experts is notably high, with 54.4% holding a master’s degree and 26.5% possessing a doctoral degree. This high level of education suggests that this study engaged a cohort of experts with a strong academic foundation, likely enhancing the quality and depth of the insights provided. The distribution of professional experience demonstrates a diverse range of expertise within the sample. Notably, there is a balanced representation across different experience brackets, with 29.4% having 16 years and above of experience. This distribution ensures that insights from both seasoned and relatively newer professionals are captured.
3.1. Descriptive Results
This study assessed the effect of extreme weather events on agricultural sustainability in Europe, and the results are presented in
Table 3.
The majority (66.3%) of respondents either disagree or strongly disagree with the statement that extreme weather events significantly reduce crop yields in Europe. This suggests that most participants do not perceive a direct or substantial impact of extreme weather events on crop yields. However, a notable minority (25.7%) agree or strongly agree, indicating some level of concern about the potential impact on yields. There is a strong consensus (91.4%) among respondents that extreme weather events are a major threat to long-term agricultural sustainability in Europe. This high level of agreement reflects a widespread perception that extreme weather poses a significant risk to the future of agriculture in the region. A majority (79.3%) of participants agree or strongly agree that European agriculture is well-equipped to handle extreme weather events. This response indicates a general confidence in the current capabilities and adaptive strategies of European agriculture to withstand extreme weather challenges. The majority (85.7%) of respondents disagree with the notion that extreme weather events have minimal impact on agricultural sustainability in Europe. This indicates a general acknowledgment of the significant impact that such events can have on agriculture, contrary to the idea that their effects are negligible. A substantial majority (86.3%) of respondents agree or strongly agree that extreme weather events have led to an increase in the prices of agricultural products. The majority (92.3%) of respondents agree or strongly agree that the mental health of farmers is significantly affected by extreme weather events. This highlights a recognition of the psychological and emotional challenges that farmers face in dealing with the uncertainties and pressures brought about by such events.
This study evaluated the ecosystem disruption caused by climate change and its effect on agricultural sustainability in Europe, and the results are presented in
Table 4.
A majority of the respondents (77.1%) agree or strongly agree that climate change has made pest control more challenging in agriculture. This indicates a widespread recognition of the increasing difficulties in managing pests, likely due to changing weather patterns and habitat shifts that favor pest proliferation. Interestingly, a significant portion (74.3%) of respondents disagree with the statement that the impact of climate change on ecosystems is overstated in the context of agriculture. This suggests that most participants view climate change as a genuine threat to ecosystems, which directly or indirectly affects agricultural practices. The disruption of pollination services, a critical component for many crops, is acknowledged by 64.3% of respondents who agree or strongly agree that it affects crop yields. This reflects an awareness of the intricate relationships within ecosystems and how climate change can disrupt these, leading to lower agricultural productivity. Over half of the respondents (62.9%) perceive the disruption of ecosystems by climate change as a major threat to global food security. This highlights a significant concern about the broader implications of ecological changes on food availability and security on a global scale. There is a notable division in opinion regarding the impact of climate change on the nutritional quality of crops. While 37.1% agree or strongly agree that climate change has a negligible impact, a significant 60% disagree with this statement. This divergence suggests varying perceptions about the extent to which climate change affects crop quality. A striking consensus (97.1%) is observed regarding water scarcity caused by climate change being a major threat to agriculture. This near-unanimous agreement underscores the critical concern over water availability, which is essential for agricultural sustainability.
This study evaluated wildlife habitat alteration by wildfires and its influence on agricultural sustainability in Europe, and the results are presented in
Table 5.
A significant majority (89.2%) of respondents agree or strongly agree that the alteration of wildlife habitats by wildfires is substantially reducing agricultural productivity. This indicates a widespread belief that wildfires, which alter wildlife habitats, have a direct and negative impact on agricultural output. Wildlife habitat alterations by wildfires can affect agricultural productivity by disrupting pollination, pest control, and soil fertility—services that ecosystems provide. The majority (85.4%) disagree or strongly disagree with the notion that wildfires have a minimal impact on wildlife habitats and, by extension, on agriculture. This further reinforces the perception that wildfires are indeed seen as a significant threat to both wildlife habitats and agricultural practices. A notable 88.7% agree or strongly agree that changing wildlife habitats due to wildfires are leading to more sustainable agricultural practices. This suggests that some respondents see a potential positive outcome of wildfires, possibly indicating a belief in the adaptation or evolution of agricultural practices in response to environmental changes. Furthermore, 81.6% agreed that protecting wildlife habitats from wildfires is essential for maintaining agricultural sustainability. Also, 68.8% of respondents agree or strongly agree that wildfires lead to a significant loss of agricultural land. This is a substantial majority, indicating a general consensus that wildfires are a direct threat to the availability of land for agricultural purposes.
This study also examined the influence of wildfire smoke on the general sustainability of agriculture across Europe, and the results are presented in
Table 6.
The majority of respondents (74.3%) expressed a high level of agreement with the statement, “I believe that wildfire smoke has a severe negative impact on the sustainability of agriculture in Europe”. This indicates that a significant portion of the respondents are deeply concerned about the detrimental effects of wildfire smoke on agriculture in the European context. While 40.6% of respondents agree with this statement, a substantial portion (25.7%) still express disagreement with the notion that the effects of wildfire smoke on agriculture are temporary and manageable; there is a more varied response. When asked if the influence of wildfire smoke is a critical factor affecting agricultural productivity, the majority (68.9%) of respondents agree with this statement. In contrast, when asked whether European agriculture is resilient to the effects of wildfire smoke, only 7.7% strongly agree with this statement, while a larger proportion (52.9%) agree to some extent. This suggests that many respondents believe in the resilience of European agriculture but recognize that it may not be entirely impervious to the impacts of wildfire smoke. Finally, when it comes to the statement that smoke from wildfires leads to a noticeable decline in air quality, affecting plant growth, the majority (48.6%) of respondents agree, while a significant percentage (33.6%) strongly agree. This indicates a widely held belief that wildfire smoke indeed has a noticeable adverse effect on air quality, which, in turn, affects plant growth in Europe.
This study also identified the different aspects associated with agriculture sustainability, and the results are presented in
Figure 2.
The majority of respondents underscored the critical role of crop diversity management in fostering agricultural sustainability within the European context, as reflected by the substantial percentage of 25.8%. This was followed by 19.4% who identified the integration of technology in agriculture as an aspect of agriculture sustainability. This highlights the acknowledgment of the pivotal role that technological advancements play in modernizing farming practices and addressing the challenges posed by climate change and wildfires. Integrated pest management (IPM) measures are another important component of sustainable agriculture in Europe, making for 18.5% of the total. This is an example of a comprehensive approach to pest management that minimizes the use of chemical pesticides and stresses ecologically friendly techniques. Crop rotation techniques, which account for 13.3% of the total, demonstrate an understanding of the value of varying crop cultivation over the course of several seasons. With a 10.0% share, organic farming denotes a dedication to ecologically responsible and sustainable farming methods. Even though they only make up 8.2% of the total, waste reduction and recycling show that people understand the value of reducing agricultural waste and advancing the concepts of the circular economy. The remaining 4.8%, which includes things like protecting native and heirloom varieties, preserving natural ecosystems, and employing climate change adaptation techniques, all contribute to a complex and comprehensive picture of agricultural sustainability. These many components point to an understanding that sustainability encompasses more than just current agricultural methods; it also takes into account larger factors like protecting biodiversity, preserving cultural legacy, and taking proactive measures to address climate change.
3.2. Regression Analysis
The constant term (53.07) represents the expected value of agricultural sustainability when all independent variables are zero. Its significance (
p = 0.002) suggests that the model intercept is statistically different from zero (
Table 7).
The model has a relatively high R square value of 0.735, suggesting that about 73.5% of the variability in agricultural sustainability is explained by the independent variables included in the model. The adjusted R square value of 0.691 is slightly lower, accounting for the number of predictors in the model, but still indicates a good fit. The F statistic is significant (F = 38.17, p < 0.000), indicating that the model is statistically significant and the variables collectively have a significant impact on agricultural sustainability. The constant term (41.07) represents the expected value of agricultural sustainability when all independent variables are zero. Its significance (p = 0.012) suggests that the model intercept is statistically different from zero.
The unstandardized coefficient for extreme weather events is −0.204, and the standardized coefficient (Beta) is −0.046. The t-statistic is 0.194, and the p-value is 0.001, which is less than the conventional significance level of 0.05. This suggests that extreme weather events have a statistically significant negative influence on agricultural sustainability in Europe. Therefore, Hypothesis 1 (H1) is supported.
The unstandardized coefficient for ecosystems disruption caused by climate change is −0.141, and the standardized coefficient (Beta) is 0.450. The t-statistic is 2.03, and the p-value is 0.000, indicating a statistically significant positive relationship. This means that disruptions in ecosystems caused by climate change have a significant positive impact on agricultural sustainability in Europe. Therefore, Hypothesis 2 (H2) is supported.
The unstandardized coefficient for forest regeneration after wildfires is 0.459, and the standardized coefficient (Beta) is 0.046. The t-statistic is 1.14, and the p-value is 0.001, suggesting a statistically significant positive relationship. This indicates that forest regeneration after wildfires has a statistically significant positive influence on agricultural sustainability in Europe.
The unstandardized coefficient for wildfire smoke is −0.241, and the standardized coefficient (Beta) is −0.330. The t-statistic is 5.03, and the p-value is 0.000, which is highly statistically significant. This indicates a strong negative relationship between wildfire smoke and agricultural sustainability in Europe. Therefore, Hypothesis 4 (H4) is supported, confirming that there is a significant, negative relationship between wildfire smoke and agricultural sustainability.
4. Discussion
This study examined the impact of climate change and wildfires on agricultural sustainability. This study shows that environmental conditions and agriculture practices are intertwined; climate changes, wildfire activity, and their impacts on agriculture production and sustainability are complex [
3,
60]. The term “synergistic impacts” is used in this study by the authors to describe the cumulative effect of multiple stressors which is more than the effect of the individual stressors [
3]. In this study, climate change and wildfires interacted in that both impacted agricultural sustainability [
3,
8]. Extreme climatic changes have been observed to lead to increased occurrences of adverse weather conditions including drought, heat, and heavy rains, which have negative impacts in crop production since they affect germination, affect the time required for planting, and increase instances of soil erosion [
5,
8]. These effects are even more magnified by wildfires that not only ravage crops and structures used in agriculture but also contribute to soil degradation and the disruption of other factors that are crucial in supporting agriculture, for instance, pollinators and natural suppressors of pests [
60,
63].
According to the research, the hazards of climate change, which include droughts and excessive rainfall, are considered serious threats to sustainable agriculture in Europe [
3,
8]. This is in agreement with other research that has noted that agriculture is sensitive to climate change and the changes in weather patterns that include increased occurrences of extreme events which have a direct and an indirect impact on crop yields, animal health, and the viability of farming [
3,
5,
8]. The reason for the conflicting attitude among the respondents, where some did not see a direct correlation between severe weather conditions and crop yield fluctuations, may be due to the variability in the adaptive capacity across regions and efficacy of the existing agricultural practices [
60,
62]. It means that in some areas, farmers may have used efficient irrigation techniques, crop varieties which can withstand the effects of drought, or measures to conserve the soil and reduce the effects of severe weather conditions and thus have a different perception of risk and resiliency [
5,
60,
63].
Therefore, the impact of wildfires on the wildlife habitats is enormous, which may result in a drastic reduction in the yields of agricultural products [
60,
63]. Wildfire issues change the structure of wildlife habitats, alter species distribution, and interrupt ecological processes, thus undermining the availability of ecosystem services which are crucial for agriculture, including pollination, soil nutrient replenishment, and biological control of pests [
8,
60,
63]. The finding that the alteration of wildlife habitats by wildfires significantly decreases agricultural output was supported by a large percentage of the respondents [
3,
60]. This finding is in consonance with other studies that have previously discussed the role of biological diversity and sound ecosystems in promoting agroecology [
60,
63,
64]. Notably, this study revealed that a significant number of the respondents also believed that the alterations in the wildlife habitat resulting from wildfires could result in improved agricultural practices that would be sustainable [
3,
62]. This perception could be due to the idea of ecological resilience whereby disturbances like fire can trigger ecological succession and regeneration that improves the stability as well as functionality of the ecosystem [
61,
62].
For instance, controlled fires or natural fires help in the eradication of invasive species and promote the growth of native vegetation over time, which can be advantageous to agriculture [
60,
62,
64]. This perspective is consistent with the notion that disturbances can be opportunities for improving agroecological practices and agricultural system resilience [
3,
60,
63].
The effect of smoke on agriculture is another important issue raised by this study [
3,
64]. Smoke from wildfires can cause light interception, and this will lead to impacts on photosynthesis, and this will translate to crop yield [
3,
63,
64]. Also, smoke can result in low quality of air, which affects human beings, livestock, and the general farming conditions [
3,
63]. The varying reactions to the impacts of wildfire smoke on European agriculture point towards the differentiated vulnerability and preparedness of regions [
64,
65]. Despite some agricultural systems successfully adapting to the conditions of smoke by shifting their vegetation planting dates or using crops that do not die from smothering by smoke or implementing air conditioning systems in animal sheds, many regions remain exposed to the negative impacts of smoke [
65,
66].
The relatively small number of respondents who strongly agreed that European agriculture is not vulnerable to the impact of wildfire smoke may be attributed to the difficulties of coping with this particular type of hostile factor [
63,
65]. As opposed to the effects of climate change like droughts, floods, or other effects of climate change, smoke from wildfires is easier to predict and contain, especially because smoke can travel far and affect other regions that are not necessarily close to the source of the fire [
60,
64,
65]. This underscores the importance of enhancing surveillance and the use of alarms and notifications as well as the establishment of more effective adaptation strategies tailored to specific regions due to the effects of wildfire smoke [
63,
66].
This study highlights a need to adopt sustainable land management practices and an ecosystem-based approach for the improvement of agriculture system resilience in the event of climate change and wildfires [
3,
64]. Activities such as agroforestry, conservation tillage, use of covers crops, and crop diversification are some of the methods that can be adopted to enhance the ability of an agricultural system to mitigate environmental stress through improving soil health, reducing soil erosion, and increasing biological diversity [
3,
63,
65]. Besides reducing the direct effects of climate change and wildfires, these practices also help in the sustainable management of the agricultural lands through maintaining a balance in the ecosystem [
60,
62]. It is important that policymakers take these findings into consideration when devising climate adaptation and mitigation policies and plans; an integrated approach should be adopted to address the future of agriculture and ecology [
3,
5,
63]. For instance, public policies that enhance the adoption of sustainable production techniques, encourage farmers in conservation, and encourage research and development on mitigation measures of climate change and wildfires enhance the capability of farmers to adapt [
60,
62,
66]. Moreover, the cooperation between agricultural actors, environmental scientists, and politicians could help design complex approaches to combat climate change and wildfires and improve agricultural sustainability [
3,
8,
63].
One of the significant contradictions that can be identified in the course of this study is a positive effect of ecosystem disruptions due to climate change on the sustainability of agriculture [
3,
63]. Along with the negative responses, the participants also pointed out positive effects of climate change and wildfires: the ability of ecosystems to renew themselves and people’s willingness to change for the better [
9,
11]. This illustrates the dynamism of ecosystem responses to disturbances and the role of adaptive management strategies in converting threats into opportunities [
62,
64]. Further studies should elaborate on these dynamics and investigate the circumstances in which ecosystem disturbances can have positive effects on agriculture [
3,
60,
63]. Still another area for future research is the cross-sectional comparative study of resilience and adaptation across different regions [
45,
68]. This study revealed that the level of threat that climate change and wildfires pose to agriculture is not constant and that factors such as type of soil, crops to be grown, and availability of resources influence the impacts [
60,
63,
65].
The effectiveness of different adaptation strategies, when compared across different regions, can offer important lessons as to the best practices to be followed and inform the design of more tailored interventions that meet the specific needs and circumstances of particular areas [
62,
64,
65]. Last, more research is needed on assessing the consequences of wildfires on soil properties and, consequently, crop yields [
60,
64]. These are some of the short-term impacts of wildfires, including crop damage and destruction of infrastructure, while the long-term impacts include modifications in the chemical composition of soil, erosion rates, and nutrient cycling, which deserve further research [
3,
62]. Knowledge of these processes is essential for the formulation of favorable land management strategies for the restoration of fire-impacted agriculture areas.
5. Conclusions
This study found that climate change and wildfires greatly impact agricultural sustainability. The biosphere has been altered by changing forest ecosystems due to the strain of an ever-increasing population and the enormous need for household necessities. It is obvious that fire may have unfavorable effects if it breaks out at the incorrect time or location. Fire, seen through an ecological lens, often benefits animal populations and their environment. A virgin forestland destroyed by fire has an impact on every kind of plant and animal. Even if many species are locally reduced by fire, ecological processes that are suited to fire will still occur. Frequent fires change animal and plant species, the hydrological cycle, soil structure, nutrients, and plant structure, appearance, and regeneration. Bears, wolves, roe deer, wild boar, and others travel, while rodents and snakes hide in shattered surfaces. When fire affects ecosystems, plants and animals adopt new survival strategies. The process loses green cover faster than expected. The speedy regeneration of vegetation, the capacity of most wildlife species to utilize recently burned places, and the great habitat supplied during post-fire recovery illustrate that fire enhances habitat for most plants and animals. Research data show that animal populations in environments that are acclimated to fire benefit greatly from and even depend on occasional, less intense burns. When there is no fire, the habitat conditions alter, which ultimately leads to a decrease in the variety and quantity of species. Even when trees are destroyed by fire, animals may still benefit. Dead and rotting trees are essential for many cavity-nesting birds to dig their nests.
Once these nest sites are abandoned, other species—known as secondary cavity nesters—become dependent upon them. The cost of agricultural forest fires may be estimated, which is helpful for both disaster management and preventative action planning. Financial incentives may be used in these steps to encourage farmers to lower their risk of fire and, therefore, their expenses. The economic effects of fire on individual crops, livestock, or farms as a whole can be estimated. This information can be used to design and plan the agricultural areas next to fire-prone areas, select the most appropriate, cost-effective, and long-lasting cultivar, and apply the right techniques to reduce the likelihood of fire in those areas.
Limitations and Areas for Future Research
The investigation was confined to English-language publications; thus, climate change claims concerning wildfires are limited. One limitation of the research may be that the survey was filled out remotely, which is an inadequate substitute for in-person encounters. Due to survey methodology and sample mix, the research had major limitations. The environmental business sector responded more than the public sector despite the acceptable sample size of 340 environmental specialists. These comments largely addressed climate change integration into regional growth planning and policy. The participants’ unwillingness to finish and submit the questionnaire on time was another factor.
Future studies should focus on these results because the ways that wildfires and climate change affect Europe’s ability to sustainably practice agriculture have not received much attention. Moreover, the consequences of fire on agricultural regions should be analyzed and compared, as should the short-, medium-, and long-term effects of fire on agriculture, as well as the costs, mitigation strategies, and protective measures.