3.2. Analysis of Spatial Variation in Vegetation and Soil Across the PSP
The density of
Betula sp. on the PSP was estimated at 4048 ha
−1, while that of
S. caprea was 1936 ha
−1 (see
Table 2 for further details). The total density of about 6000 ha
−1 was close to the maximum values presented in [
9] for similar birch reforestation of the same age in the neighboring Tula region.
The survey of trees within the PSP revealed variations in stand density across the subplots. The proportion of SDT was approximately 30% of the total number of stems. The greatest amount of SDT (4800–14,800 ha
−1) was observed in subplots with denser stands (12,000–21,000 ha
−1), which were associated with trees dying off (known as self-thinning) in conditions of higher competition for environmental resources, mostly light (
Figure 4). Another possible cause of tree mortality in the PSP could be the dry conditions of some years during the reforestation period; however, the effect of this factor on a local scale, as in this study, should be consistent across the entire PSP. It is unlikely that dry conditions could explain the differentiation of CWD between subplots, as opposed to competition for resources between neighboring trees, which is greater in denser stands.
Stand density (primarily living trees) was found to be a determining factor in the spatial heterogeneity of light conditions under the canopy (
Figure 5). GLI exhibited significant variability within the PSP, ranging from 10% to 45% (mean ± SD = 17.3 ± 7.8). A slight discrepancy was observed between the light conditions and the corresponding stand density in each subplot, because a considerable portion of direct solar radiation comes from the lateral directions due to the solar movement. Consequently, the light conditions in a given subplot depend significantly on the stand density in subplots located to the south of it, and, to a lesser extent, to the east and west.
The spatial distribution of light under the canopy depends mainly on its structure. This is often the main limiting factor for GLV species, affecting the abundance and biomass production of these plants.
The distribution of the dominant GLV species within the PSP is shown in
Figure 6. Total GLV cover was found to have a weak correlation with light conditions under the canopy. The highly invasive, light-demanding species
S. canadensis formed monodominant communities in the canopy opening and in the northeastern corner of the PSP. These communities were characterized by GLI values between 25% and 45%. Additionally, in some subplots within the canopy opening,
C. epigejos was observed to co-dominate with
S. canadensis, with total cover reaching 70%. In subplots located in the north-western corner of the PSP with a GLI index <25%, the total cover of
C.
sylvatica and
A. podagraria reached 95%. A further 39 species of vascular plants occurred sporadically within the PSP, with cover up to 10%. Consequently, the vascular plants in the PSP formed areas with high projective coverage, irrespective of light conditions, which can be explained by their spatial distribution in the previous post-agricultural stage of meadow succession. The particular qualities of these species enable them to hold onto occupied habitats for a longer time after changes in ecological conditions [
60,
61,
62]. In addition to the main factors that determine the boundaries of ecological niches and consequently the formation of plant mosaics within a community, random factors such as seed dispersal and subsequent germination, as well as the peculiarities of the meso- and microrelief, can be extremely important at the initial stages of forest succession. The heterogeneous and changing over time environment of young forests can produce a variety of mosaic combinations, which lay the basis for maintaining the most stable species combinations at subsequent stages of forest ecosystem development.
As shown in
Figure 7, the spatial variation in AGM of GLV was positively correlated with GLI (contrasting with GLV cover), with a single zone of high values. In subplots with the highest AGM of GLV (0.6–0.8 kg m
−2), predominantly formed by
S. canadensis in the canopy opening, GLI was recorded at 40−45%. In subplots with minimal AGM of GLV (0.1–0.2 kg m
−2), GLI was found to be 10–15%. All above-mentioned GLV dominants occurred in these subplots; however, due to a suboptimal combination of environmental factors, these species did not achieve high phytomass values. In the north-western part of the PSP, where the total cover of
A. podagraria and
C. sylvatica was high (90%), the phytomass was minimal (0.2–0.3 kg m
−2). This phenomenon can be attributed to the size characteristics of the dominant species. The height of
A. podagraria and
C. sylvatica can reach up to 100 cm, whereas
S. canadensis can grow to 200 cm in height. This suggests that the phytomass of these species may vary despite similar values of cover. A weak or nonlinear relationship between these parameters has previously been noted in other vascular plants [
63,
64].
The study of the heterogeneous structure of vegetation cover in post-agricultural ecosystems, which consist of zones with woody vegetation and open spaces with different GLV dominants, including S. canadensis, is relevant in the context of analyzing the potential of C accumulation in post-agricultural ecosystems. The long-term persistence of the location and size of canopy openings suggests that zones occupied by herbaceous vegetation (C. epigejos and S. canadensis) prevent the renewal of woody vegetation over quite a long period. This heterogeneity can lead to the establishment of distinct ecological, cenotic, and edaphic conditions. These conditions subsequently influence the structure of phytomass and mortmass, which, in turn, affects the heterogeneity of C stocks.
The amounts of litter and woody debris (WD) that accumulated on the PSP were within the range of 0.13–1.34 kg m
−2 and 0.01–0.53 kg m
−2, respectively. The spatial distribution of WD within the PSP was determined by the presence and number of trees in different subplots. The highest WD stocks were found in subplots with dense stands (
Figure 8). The distribution of fast-decomposable aboveground litter fractions, such as foliage and AGM of GLV, was influenced by both stand structure and the distribution of GLV plants, thus complicating the spatial pattern.
The spatial distribution of undergrowth (defined in this study as young trees up to 0.5 m in height) showed a weak correlation with GLI. Woody regeneration occurred more frequently in subplots located along the northern and northeastern boundaries of the central canopy opening, where the density of seedlings was 1–3 m
−2 (
Figure 9). These subplots were characterized by a GLI of 10–30%, a low AGM of GLV (0.1–0.3 kg m
−2), and moderate levels of GLV cover (30–70%). This combination of conditions was likely optimal for seed germination and establishment of seedlings of broad-leaved, small-leaved, and coniferous tree species. Other studies [
65] have also demonstrated that the seedlings of the majority of tree species in the European part of Russia have high shade tolerance, which is subsequently followed by an increase in light demand during ontogenesis.
Analysis of soil samples collected at the PSP revealed minimal variation in the bulk density of the top soil layer (0–30 cm), which was found to be 1465.4 ± 3.7 kg m
−3, with no spatial variation detected. A more complicated spatial distribution was obtained for soil pools of C and N. This higher variability in comparison with other soil characteristics could be due to the distribution of fine roots of trees across the plot, given the higher concentrations of C and N in fine roots litter. The C stock in the 0–30 cm layer was estimated within 3.5–7.5 kg m
−2, and the N stock within 0.35–0.65 kg m
−2 (
Figure 10). For comparison, the average values of C and N pools in the same soil under agricultural rotations were estimated at 4.7 kg m
−2 and 0.4 kg m
−2, respectively [
58]. Thus, alongside the general trend of increasing SOC stocks during post-agricultural reforestation, C pools in former arable soils have remained the same or even decreased in some subplots of the PSP. Similar results showing high spatial variability of SOC stocks in abandoned lands have been presented in [
28,
59].
The C:N ratio, with values ranging from 9.5 to 11.0, was observed in the soil of subplots belonging to canopy openings and areas with sparse stands, where the contribution of GLV litter with higher nitrogen content was greater. C:N values of 11.0–12.0 were observed in subplots with denser stands, where litter is mostly formed by tree leaves, which have a lower N content than herbs. Therefore, the observed spatial distribution of the C:N ratio in the upper soil layer can be explained by the quantity and chemical properties of the litterfall entering the soil in different subplots.
Cluster analysis was performed using the aforementioned parameters, which were available for all 100 subplots. As a result, the subplots were divided into three classes containing 42, 52, and 6 items, respectively. Principal component analysis (PCA) showed that the first two axes accounted for 79.3% of the variation between subplot classes. The main factors contributing to variation between subplots were the mean DRC of living trees, GLI, and the C:N ratio of the 0–30 cm soil layer. GLI made the most significant contribution to Axis 1, while Axis 2 was predominantly influenced by DRC and the C:N ratio, the effect of which was multidirectional (
Figure 11A).
Class 1 encompasses subplots characterized by high DRC values and more fertile soils (the C:N ratio was used as a measure of soil fertility). Class 2 includes subplots with poorer soils and lower DRC and GLI than Class 1 subplots. Subplots belonging to Class 3 are characterized by high GLI values and a wide range of DRC and C:N ratio values (
Figure 11B). PCA analysis revealed that an increase in stand density is accompanied by a rise in the soil C:N ratio. This phenomenon may be attributed to the high proportion of tree foliage and fine roots in the litterfall composition, alongside the low proportion of nitrogen-rich GLV litterfall.
Data obtained from the PCA analysis were used for data imputation to prevent the selection of predictors with unidirectional influence and thereby avoid multicollinearity and overfitting of the regression model.
3.3. Individual Tree Characteristics
To obtain more precise estimates of stand phytomass and, consequently, its C stock, this parameter was calculated on a tree-by-tree basis. The DRC of
Betula sp. trees varied between 0.3 and 26.0 cm (median value at 8.5 cm) and exhibited a left-skewed distribution (
Figure 12), whereas the height distribution was symmetric, with values ranging between 0.5 and 15.2 m and a median value of 8.5 m. This may be because trees under competitive pressure predominantly exhibited height growth, while only the most successful individuals had the opportunity to increase in diameter.
The median values of the H and DRC of
Betula sp. and
S. caprea., which are located in different subplot classes on PSP, are shown in
Table 3.
Subplots belonging to Class 3 were characterized by a low stand density (0.033 m−2) compared to subplots of Classes 1 and 2, which had densities of 0.18 and 0.63 m−2, respectively. This resulted in reduced competition for resources in these subplots, consequently leading to lower tree heights at similar diameter values. These disparities suggest that the peculiarities of the stand spatial structure during its formation (over a period of 20 years) did not result in different size characteristics between trees growing in subplots of medium and high stand density. However, distinctions in the size of trees growing in open spaces are evident. It is important to note that the statistical power of the criterion used is low due to the small sample size (n = 5) in Class 3.
A comparison of the measured and calculated stem masses showed good agreement (
Figure 13).
In addition to stem mass, the mass of the other fractions (branches and leaves) was also determined. Given that the proportion of stem mass in total phytomass increases with tree growth and can vary significantly, the dependence on DRC was obtained (
Figure 14). To calculate the proportion of the other fractions in total phytomass, a dependence based on rank distributions using an exponential function was used [
53].
The observed structural relationships indicated a stable regularity in biomass partitioning among organs, associated with their functional role. As is known, the most fundamental processes in plant metabolism are photosynthesis and respiration. Light interception, as well as water and nutrient uptake and transport, are crucial processes that affect the growth, development, and survival of plants. These functions greatly determine biomass allocation to different organs. Compared to mature trees, young trees allocate a larger proportion of their biomass to assimilating organs, accounting for up to 33% of their AGM.
3.4. Data Imputation
Correlation analysis of the entire dataset enabled the identification of parameters exhibiting the strongest correlation with those requiring data imputation (
Figure 15).
Following a comprehensive analysis of the available data, the following parameters were selected as predictors: stand density for AGM of GLV and stand density (with SDT) for the soil C:N ratio. For WD stock and soil C stock, the correlation with the parameters determined for all subplots was either significantly weaker than that with one of the parameters to be recovered, or statistically insignificant. Therefore, AGM of GLV and soil C:N ratio were selected as predictors for WD stock and soil C stock, respectively. No significant correlation was found between litter stock and other measured parameters. There was also no relationship with the subplot classes defined in this study. Consequently, to recover the missing data, a sample was generated with the same statistical characteristics (mean, variance, and distribution) as the sample of measured values.
We found that the mass of
Betula sp. roots increased as stand basal area increased, while the BGM of GLV decreased (
Figure 16). In both cases, this dependence could be described by an exponential function. The mean values comprised 0.58 and 0.26 kg m
−2, with a maximum of 1.98 and 1.09 kg m
−2 for BGM of
Betula sp. and GLV, respectively.
The dependence of the AGM of GLV on stand density for subplots of different classes, as well as the dependence of the BGM on stand basal area, can be described using a decreasing function (
Figure 17). This can be attributed not only to the stand effect on the light available for GLV, but also on its mineral nutrition.
As shown in
Figure 17, the relationship demonstrated the intensity of the edificatory effects of stand density (as a manifestation of horizontal stand structure) on the AGM of GLV. Trees in subplots of Class 3 may already be losing their edificatory role as these subplots have abundant herbaceous plants (
C. epigejos,
S. canadensis). A similar relationship was observed in studies of abandoned agricultural lands in the Krasnoyarsk Territory (Russia), where an increase in
P. sylvestris density resulted in a significant reduction in biodiversity, cover, and AGM of GLV [
30].
The relationship between the mass of WD and the AGM of GLV can be described by a negative exponential function, as can the relationship between the AGM of GLV and stand density (
Figure 18A). The mean litter stock was 0.39 kg m
−2, and the distribution is left-skewed (
Figure 18B).
The presence of WD in the litter indicated that woody vegetation grew in this area in the past. Low quantities or an absence of WD were characteristic of all Class 3 subplots, some Class 1 subplots, and one Class 2 subplot. This suggests that Class 3 subplots may initially have been colonized primarily by rhizomatous grasses (C. epigejos and S. canadensis). In Class 1 subplots, colonization by woody vegetation likely occurred non-uniformly over time and space, altering the glade boundary pattern. Class 2 subplots were probably colonized by trees in the initial stage of afforestation and have remained in these areas ever since.
The dynamics of C stocks in the upper soil horizons exhibited an inertial delay with respect to the amount and qualitative composition of incoming litterfall [
66]. In this regard, the actual C:N values were influenced not only by the stand structure and, consequently, the GLV structure at the time of measurement, but also by the structure that contributed to litter formation one or more growing seasons ago. The strongest relationship was consequently found between the soil C:N ratio in the 0–30 cm layer and the total stand density (with SDT) (
Figure 19A).
Trees that died before the survey had produced above- and below-ground litterfall annually during their lifetime, and this C flux was then incorporated into the SOC formation process. Changes in stand density and forest boundaries, which occur naturally in young forests on abandoned lands, may be a factor leveling differences in soil parameters between neighboring areas with different vegetation. This phenomenon must be considered when designing research and soil sampling strategies for early successional forests on abandoned lands.
Subplots with higher stand densities were observed to have higher soil C:N ratios. Consequently, subplots with higher C:N ratios have higher C stocks (
Figure 19B). This phenomenon can be attributed to the higher quantitative contribution of woody vegetation on PSP to the input of litterfall compared to GLV plants. However, due to the higher N concentration in GLV litter fall, subplots with lower stand density were found to have greater soil richness (in terms of C:N ratio) and, consequently, a greater contribution from GLV plants to litter fall formation.
The equations used to calculate the parameters are given in
Table 4.
The analysis showed that there were no differences in the mean values of the parameters calculated during data imputation for the measured and reconstructed parts of the PSP, at a significance level of 0.05. There were also no statistically significant differences in the distributions of these parameters for the measured and reconstructed parts of the PSP (
Table 5).
3.5. Carbon Stock
The conversion of phytomass and mortmass pools to C pools was performed using data on C concentrations in the corresponding pools. These data were derived from our own experimental studies and literature (
Table 6). The soil C stock was calculated separately for each subplot, given the corresponding concentration.
Validation of the data imputation technique showed that there were no significant differences in the median values of total ecosystem C stocks and C stocks in the separate pools, whether they were measured directly or calculated based on stand density (with SDT), mean H, and DRC (
Table 7).
Data imputation enabled missing C stock values to be recovered across all 100 subplots (
Figure 20).
The total ecosystem C stock on PSP, including the pools of living organic matter (AGM and BGM of
Betula sp. and
S. caprea trees, AGM and BGM of GLV), dead organic matter (litter, and the sum of SDT and WD), and the 0–30 cm soil layer, was estimated at 80.47 t ha
−1 (
Figure 21A). Living plants (trees and GLV) accumulated almost two times less C compared to dead organic matter and soil.
The C stock of subplots belonging to different classes, as well as the contribution of individual pools to the total C stock, differs significantly (
Table 8). The total C stock in subplots belonging to Class 2 is significantly higher than in subplots belonging to Classes 1 and 3. However, no statistically significant differences were observed between subplots of Classes 1 and 3 (
Figure 21B).
Similarly to the total C stock, the C stock in all pools of Class 2 subplots was considerably different from that of Class 1 and Class 3 subplots. C stocks in the stand, GLV, SDT, WD, litter, and soil in Class 2 subplots were higher, while C stocks in GLV were lower compared to subplots of Classes 1 and 3. Despite there being no statistically significant difference in total C stocks between subplots of Classes 1 and 3, statistically significant differences were observed in all separate pools except between litter and soil. However, the statistical significance of the difference in C stocks between the phytomass and mortmass pools in subplots of Classes 1 and 3 was lower than that observed in subplots of Classes 1 and 2, and of Classes 2 and 3.
3.6. Limitations and Uncertainty of Approach
The proposed method has some limitations, and the functional dependencies of C stocks on the easily measurable stand parameters obtained in this study are not universal. Firstly, the AGM of the GLV is not solely determined by stand density, but also by stand age, the species composition of the herbaceous vegetation, and edaphic conditions. We may also expect the dependence of GLV biomass on stand density to differ on sites with remarkably different climatic and/or edaphic conditions. Secondly, the soil C stock and the C:N ratio of post-agricultural ecosystems were primarily defined by soil properties at the time of agricultural land abandonment, and were relatively homogeneous within the studied area. However, the vegetation cover formed on fallow land determines the spatial differentiation of soil properties relative to the initial state. The model for SOC stock based on the C:N ratio, which was used in this research (
Table 4), shows quite low explanatory power (R
2 = 0.30). However, it has a low
p-value (<0.0001) and a statistically significant Spearman’s correlation coefficient (0.52,
p-value < 0.001). Increasing the spatial resolution of soil sampling would probably provide a better explanation of the variation in soil parameters and increase the reliability of the proposed model. Further studies on lands of different ages since abandonment with different edaphic conditions would help to estimate the effect of these factors on the spatial alteration of carbon accumulation. Thirdly, we did not consider the influence of microrelief, although it is clearly observable on PSP. This could indirectly affect the dynamics of soil C stocks through its influence on soil moisture conditions and tree regeneration. Comparing C stocks in subplots with different microrelief (in terms of relative elevation) revealed no significant relationships. However, we would expect differences to emerge at smaller scales (less than the subplot size of 5 × 5 m). In the current study, we primarily observed the effect of vegetation on soil C dynamics under the assumption that soil conditions at the initial stage of abandonment were uniform. However, feedback from soil to vegetation may occur, and this issue requires further chronosequence studies of the different stages of the colonization of former arable lands.
In this research, we did not consider the carbon pool accumulated in microbial biomass to be a driver of soil carbon turnover. However, soil microbiota has been shown [
76,
77,
78,
79] to be an important controlling factor in the early stages of the post-agricultural succession. Incorporating data on soil microbiota into future research will improve our understanding of the processes of C sequestration in abandoned lands and our ability to forecast.
Competition intensity in birch crowns modifies biomass allocation patterns [
80]. However, the ratio of foliage biomass to stem biomass, and of foliage biomass to the biomass of stem and branches, did not differ significantly between trees subjected to different levels of competition stress. The widely accepted Optimal Partitioning Theory posits that plants allocate more biomass to organs with limited access to resources [
81]. For example, in nutrient-limited soil, plants decrease the allocation of biomass to aboveground organs and increase the allocation to roots [
82,
83]. A similar effect has been observed in cases of reduced water availability [
84,
85]. Conversely, a lack of light due to intensive crown competition results in greater biomass allocation to aboveground organs [
82,
86]. Therefore, the biomass partitioning equations proposed in this study could overestimate foliage biomass for trees located in Class 3 subplots. However, given that only five trees are located in subplots of this Class, this calculation error can be considered insignificant.