1. Introduction
Human induced land use change is an urgent global concern [
1]. Natural resource extraction and its increasing footprint on the landscape has been called the ‘great acceleration’ [
2] and there are few signs of deceleration [
3]. Besides an ecological concern, land use change and the fragmentation of the landscape is a matter of significant social and cultural impacts [
4]. For many local and indigenous communities, in particular, their rights and cultural practices and identities are strongly interconnected with traditional lands they occupy and use, and these may be severely affected by the establishment and expansion of industrial activities (e.g., [
5])
Indigenous Sámi reindeer herding in Sweden is a case in point. As an extensive traditional livelihood based on customary rights and transhumance between the Scandes mountain range to the western coast of the Baltic Sea, it is vulnerable to landscape change due to multiple competing land uses [
6]. The impacts from hydropower [
7] mining [
8], forestry [
9] and infrastructure development have a long history in Sápmi. Traditional territories of the Sámi, here defined as the combined geographical extent of all Sámi reindeer herding communities today in Sweden (please see
Figure A2 in
Appendix B for a geographical reference), have historically been described as the “equivalent of Africa and India for Sweden” [
8,
10] reflecting the colonial legacy of the state’s land use policies. More recently, wind energy [
11] and tourism have been added to the mix of competing land uses. The cumulative effects of competing land uses on Sámi reindeer herding have become increasingly tangible and difficult for the reindeer herding communities to cope with. Existing research has demonstrated the impacts on pastures through loss of ground and arboreal lichen [
12], fragmentation of pastures [
13] and reindeer avoidance of otherwise valuable pastures due to disturbance from both the above-mentioned industrial activities and large predators [
14]. A first mapping of cumulative encroachments from all competing land uses on the grazing lands of one Sámi reindeer herding community in Sweden recently found a 54% loss of the winter grazing grounds—critical to reindeer survival—due to industrial land uses between 1900 and to date [
15], pointing to the urgency and magnitude of the pressure. Shifting snow and ice conditions due to climate change exacerbate these effects, reducing the adaptive space of reindeer herding further [
16].
Despite mounting evidence regarding the impacts there remains, however, a lack of synthesis of the amount and scale of encroachments on traditional Sámi territories in Sweden so far. While Sámi reindeer herding communities and representative bodies have been highlighting the urgency of the situation for years, the message is yet to receive general acknowledgement, in fact it is oftentimes openly questioned [
8,
17,
18,
19]. Although some community based impact assessments (CBIA) have recently been made in collaboration with academic partners (e.g., [
20,
21]), it is not common practice either in permitting processes or in research contexts. Furthermore, no research has looked at the magnitude of
future developments, that is, projects that are not yet in place but have already been granted permits or those that are pending decision. State policies on several sectors seek consciously to expand competing land uses in Sápmi [
22,
23], contributing to added pressure on reindeer pastures e.g., [
24,
25]. While the physical impacts of these policies and planned projects on the landscape are yet to be realized, their impacts on reindeer herding communities’ resources are all the more tangible already today, in the form of time consuming land use planning processes that the communities are compelled to participate in, if they are to defend their livelihood.
Efforts to influence planning processes are increased by the fact that—despite of reindeer herding being recognized as an indigenous people with strong user rights of the land for reindeer herding [
26,
27]—land use planning and permit processes in Sweden continue to be organized based on single projects or policy sectors, instead of the needs and rights of reindeer herding. Existing research has identified shortcomings related to: poor quality of impact assessment processes [
28]; a weak connection between impact assessment and decision-making [
29,
30]; lack of capacity and resources of both the affected communities and the permitting authorities [
20]; inadequate recognition of both indigenous knowledge and Sámi reindeer herding rights [
31,
32]; and, consequently, uneven power relations between the communities and their industry and government counterparts [
8,
24,
33] (For international experiences on related issues, see [
34] for an example.). However, no studies so far have quantified and analyzed the cumulative “meta-pressure” caused by the fragmented planning regime as a whole. Taken together, new development projects entail an increasingly complex ‘planscape’, as the amount of regulations (of different land use sectors) and planning/permit processes (several permits for one activity) increases with each new type of competing land use and each new project a reindeer herding community is facing, and is expected to participate in. The seemingly benign invitation to engage in all the different planning processes may in fact lead to a ‘tyranny of participation’ [
35], where the communities are to choose between two evils: risking low level of influence on proposed projects if they do not participate in the permitting process, or suffering from a participatory overload when seeking to spread their limited resources over an increasing amount of permitting processes to engage in.
Through the concept of
double pressure caused by the inter-related processes of
fragmented landscapes and fragmented ‘planscapes’, this study seeks to contribute to a broader understanding of the cumulative effects (i.e., the effects caused by the combined results of past, current and future activities across the landscape [
36].) on reindeer herding. Taken together, the increasingly fragmented character of both landscapes and land use planning regulations and practices results in a double pressure on the communities: to adapt their herding practices and allocation of resources to the increasing pressure on their pastures, while needing to simultaneously engage in an increasingly fragmented and complex web of planning and appeal processes under diverse sectoral regulatory regimes. By expanding the analytical focus from today’s landscapes to both planscapes and the pressure from not-yet realized future projects, our purpose is to capture the actual pressure the affected communities are currently experiencing. Such a holistic understanding is necessary, we argue, for an accurate and relevant understanding of the problem from a Sámi rights and land use perspective, in order to design more accurate land use planning mechanisms for the benefit of all involved actors.
The focus of the study is on two key land use sectors: mining and wind energy, on the level of Swedish Sápmi as a whole. These sectors are proxies that represent a larger pressure on traditional Sámi territories than merely the actual area they occupy. Both are drivers and parts of a larger industrial system e.g., [
26,
27] with a range of associated activities that also contribute to the transformation of the landscape, and have known disturbance zones [
14,
37,
38,
39,
40,
41]. Both sectors also operate under formal permit processes with environmental impact assessments (EIA), unlike e.g., forestry, tourism and nature conservation. The questions the study seeks to answer are:
Pressure on the landscape: How has the land use pressure from mining and wind energy on traditional Sámi territories developed as to date? Based on the already granted and pending permits so far, what is the outlook on additional future land pressure from these two land uses?
Pressure on the planscape: How does the amount of proposed projects and their fragmentation into several land use sectors affect the permit and planning processes (the ‘planscape’) that Sámi communities are to engage with if they wish to influence land use change? How significant is the pressure from the planscape at the moment?
The argument of the paper unfolds as follows: in the next section, we provide some context to reindeer herding as a land use, cultural practice and a right, as well as the ways in which other land uses affect reindeer herding. We then present the quantitative and qualitative data and methods used in the study. In the results section, we lay out the results concerning the increased pressure on the land, the increased pressure and fragmentation of the planscape and finally the consequences of these for the reindeer herding communities. We end by discussing the implications of this double pressure on landscapes and planscapes for developing more robust planning processes capable of safeguarding the reindeer herding rights of the Sámi and counteracting the ‘great acceleration’ on traditional Sámi territories.
2. Background
Reindeer herding is a traditional Sámi livelihood practiced as customary user right. In terms of organization, it is only the members of the 51 Sámi reindeer herding communities (RHC,
sameby in Swedish) in Sweden that are allowed to conduct reindeer herding. Traditional reindeer herding in northern Sweden is seasonally migratory, typically moving from summer grazing areas in the western mountain region east towards the coast in for winter grazing, and back again for summer [
42,
43]. Reindeer herding uses large areas of the landscape, moves across biomes as well as administrative borders and require a coherent green infrastructure with a low degree of fragmentation [
21,
44]. Availability of undisturbed grazing and calving grounds, as well as migration routes, is paramount. Reindeer herding is also highly dependent on climatic conditions in terms of how the landscape can be utilized [
45]. Adapting to the increasingly shifting climatic conditions requires a higher degree of flexibility in the landscape [
16], but encroachments and disturbances from competing land uses reduces the flexible use of grazing grounds which, both currently and historically, has been the main adaptation strategy for reindeer herding [
46].
The fact that industrial land use causes negative impacts on Reindeer and Caribou grazing areas is well known. Examples from both North America and Northern Europe show that zones of influences (ZOIs) are created around industrial activities [
14,
37,
39,
40] and these areas are actively avoided by grazing animals. The type of industrial activity, local conditions and seasonality play a significant role in determining how large the ZOI will be. Domesticated reindeer (
Rangifer tarandus) in Sweden have been estimated to avoid wind turbines at distances ranging from 3.5 km up to 14 km [
37] depending on local conditions and time of year. Regarding the generation of ZOIs from mining there are no studies on domesticated reindeer in Sweden. However, in Canada wild caribou has been known to avoid mining areas in a wide span from of up to 14 km [
40] to 4 km [
47] and down to 0.25 km [
39]. The exact disturbance that a specific industrial activity generates is highly debated and will ultimately depend on a range of factors shaped by the local conditions. However, it remains clear that the disturbance on reindeer grazing from industrial land use is notably higher than only the area that the industrial site preoccupies.
The status of the Sámi as an indigenous people in Sweden is recognized in the Instrument of Government (1 kap, 2§) in the Swedish constitution. Reindeer herding is regulated through the Reindeer Herding Act (1971:437). In addition, the participation of Sámi communities in land use planning is based on the Planning and Building Act (2010:900) and the Environmental Code (1998:808) and sectoral pieces of legislation such as the Minerals Act (1991:45) and the Forest Management Act (1993:1096) where their participation is through the role as a stakeholder—not as a rights holder—in land use planning located on their customary lands e.g., [
20,
30,
47,
48]. All proposed projects that require an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which is regulated by the Environmental Code (1998-808), also need to engage with potentially impacted stakeholders in consultations. Proposed mining and wind energy developments are of such a character that they always require and EIA according to the Environmental Code (1998-808). In addition to national-level legislation, there are also EU Directives (85/337/EEC, 2001/42/EC) that require that the assessment of cumulative effects to be included in EIAs. These minimum directives allow much discretion to member states in their interpretation. The Swedish regulations have remained ambiguous about the demands on developers and permitting authorities concerning CEA. As a result, developers and consultants across different fields of application rarely consider cumulative effects in their analyses, with emphasis being placed on meeting the minimum regulatory requirements [
17,
18,
49].
Furthermore, the European Council Framework Convention for the Protection of National Minorities (FCNM) is relevant as a consequence of the Swedish membership in the European Union, and the UN convention. The International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR), where Sweden is a state party, compels the Swedish state with the duty to both promote and protect Sámi culture and traditional livelihoods [
20]. As proposed land use change is likely to have an impact on reindeer herding as a traditional Sámi livelihood, EIA processes should ensure that Sámi culture and rights are promoted and protected. However, the ICCPR is not fully implemented in Sweden and other international treaties, like the FCNM, are too weak in their formulations to ensure the duty to consult the Sámi communities in land use planning processes [
32]. Thus, despite the abovementioned conventions and a general state recognition of the Sámi as an indigenous people, Sámi reindeer herding communities have de facto weak legal protection of their right to influence planning processes in their traditional lands [
26,
27,
29,
31,
32,
48,
50,
51]. Instead, there is a strong reliance on corporate self-assessments and corporate consultations with the affected Sámi reindeer herding communities [
28,
29,
32,
33,
52].
Sámediggi (the Swedish Sámi Parliament) and Sámiid Riikkasearvi (the National Sámi Association), have repeatedly and increasingly expressed their dissatisfaction and disempowerment vis-à-vis the accelerating rate of exploitations and land use change [
8,
11,
19,
30,
53]. The Swedish State has received sustained critique from both UN bodies and the Council of Europe concerning the inadequate protection of Sámi rights (see e.g., A/HRC/33/42/Add.3, paras. 49, 45, 83; E/C.12/SWE/CO/6, paras. 13, 14 d; CCPR/C/SWE/CO/7, paras. 38-9; ACFC/OP/IV(2017)004, paras. 37; CM/ResCMN(2018)9), and the responsible public authorities are in fact relatively well aware of these implementation failures [
20]. This has nonetheless so far not led to any regulatory reforms. Attempts of the Sámi reindeer herding communities to stop new encroachments through appeals and protests have led to conflicts with corporations and other actors [
11,
52,
54,
55,
56,
57] and, as a result, to increased psychosocial illness and stress due to hate speech and other expressions of racism towards the Sámi [
58,
59,
60,
61,
62], making the cost of defending their rights even higher.
3. Materials and Methods
This study uses three methods in combination. Firstly, to establish to which degree the pressure from competing land-uses on Sámi lands is changing, we quantified two types of land use that indicate pressure on Sámi lands, mining and wind energy. Here the term Sápmi, or traditional Sámi territory, is defined by the boundaries of the 51 Reindeer Herding Communities in Sweden, provided by the Sámi Parliament (see
Figure A2 in
Appendix B for map reference). The quantifications were made using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and national public statistics. Secondly, to establish the pressure from the planscape, we constructed an overview of the instances for consultations and for written statements/appeals during the permit processes for mining and wind energy, respectively, and quantified the total amount of such instances for the completed and planned projects thus far. Thirdly, we used stakeholder workshops and interviews with reindeer herding communities on how land use intensification is experienced through the planning process.
Mining and wind energy were chosen based both on a pilot study that looked at all types of competing land uses on the scale of a single reindeer herding community [
30]. Mining and wind energy are two large-scale industrial exploitations with better-known disturbance zones on reindeer grazing. Both also have legal requirements on conducting an EIA and thus also for the project developer to hold consultations with impacted stakeholders. Furthermore, they are proxies that represent a larger pressure on traditional Sámi territories than merely the actual area they occupy. Mining is part of an industrial system bringing other associated activities like roads, power generation and other types of infrastructure [
63,
64], and thus represents a much larger land use change than just its own land cover change. Further, a wide range of stakeholders in the Swedish north attest to that both mining and wind energy are driving forces for a larger landscape change [
65] in their local areas. In addition to the associated land uses, both activities bring along through their development their zones of impacts further amplify their capacity to fragment the reindeer grazing landscape [
14,
37,
39,
40,
47].
There are several other land use-pressures on reindeer herding, notably tourism and forestry, that are important activities in this region. However, tourism consists of diffuse and transient types of land use (for example hiking, skiing, snow mobiles, helicopters, hotels, cabins) and often do not require EIAs and as a result do not require a permit process. The impacts of tourism are known to be significant on individual herding communities, however an analysis on that scale is beyond the scope of this study. Forestry, on the other hand, is the land use that affects the largest area of reindeer pastures, and is very important for understanding the cumulative effects. However EIAs are not required for any regular forest management measures and the pressure on the land comes not from expansion in areas but instead through qualitative changes in forest cover and management methods (e.g., [
9]), making it more difficult to capture them with the methodology applied here. All the said competing forms of land uses should be considered as additional factors beyond the results presented here on mining and wind energy, and analyzed in future studies on the overall cumulative pressure on individual reindeer herding communities.
3.1. Quantification of Indicators for Pressure on Sámi Lands Using GIS and Geographical Selection
3.1.1. Mining
We analyzed land use change from mining in QGIS 2.6 Brighton based on the 2017 mineral permit database MRR10 from the Geological Survey of Sweden [
66]. Three types of mining-related land use taking place on traditional Sámi territories in Sweden were extracted from the database: Exploration permits, Mining Concessions and Land Designation. In the terminology of the Swedish Mining Inspectorate, an exploration permit grants the permit holder the exclusive right to investigate the characteristics of a potential ore body for a maximum of 15 years. Further, for mining concessions, an EIA must have been conducted, and when the mining concession is approved it gives the permit holder rights to more deeply investigate the characteristics of the ore body. Typically, this stage involves a certain degree of mining and infrastructure to the mining concession site. This concession is valid for up to 25 years. Finally, the last stage is land designation for mining, which means granting land for mining purposes. Thus, this stage most closely represents an operational mining site. In this study, the respective land grants for land designation and mining concessions on traditional Sámi territories was extracted and accumulated after permit years. Mining Concessions in Sweden are valid for a maximum of 25 years. In this study, none of the mining concessions included were approved earlier than 2001, meaning that all are still valid and therefore also presented as accumulated land grants. Most exploration permits will not become an actual mine, however, changes in the number of issued exploration permits gives an indication of changes in future exploitation pressure. Importantly, they also contribute to the pressure in the planscape, because the affected communities need to engage in the permit processes if they seek to influence the outcome.
3.1.2. Wind Turbines
For assessment of the number of wind turbines on traditional Sámi territories in Sweden, the official national statistics from the Swedish Energy Authority [
67] has been used. In this case, the statistics are not geo-referenced and thus not available for GIS use, but are available divided into counties. However, the geographical extent of the four northernmost counties in Sweden (Norrbotten, Västerbotten, Jämtland, Västernorrland) is similar in geographical extent to that the 51 Sámi communities in Sweden, hence for this study’s purposes we argue it is still usable as data source. The other available option for wind energy data is using the national geo-referenced database Vindbrukskollen. However, this database is only supplied with data on a voluntary basis by wind energy developers and thus always underrepresented since all data on new turbines are not necessarily submitted. Hence the selection of national statistics over Vindbrukskollen. The potential mismatch in scale by using the non-geo referenced data instead of Vindbrukskollen was controlled for by overlaying the data in Vindbrukskollen over county borders. As
Figure 1 in
Appendix B shows, all the wind turbines from Vindbrukskollen are positioned on traditional Sámi territories in these counties, thus there are no wind turbines outside the traditional Sámi territories within the counties of Jämtland and Västernorrland. By using this step of additional control, we are confident that no overrepresentation of pressure from wind turbines based on the non geo-referenced data is present.
3.2. Constrcution of Permit Processes and Quantification of Instances for Involvement
To establish the pressure from the planscape, we conducted a qualitative analysis of the relevant permitting regulations to construct, as a first step, an overview of the instances for consultations and for written statements/appeals during the permit processes for mining and wind energy, respectively. Likewise, we constructed an illustration of the regulatory web for each of the sectors, and for all sectors as a whole. The purpose of these steps was to render visible the fragmented character of the planscape both on the level of individual permit processes and on the level of regulations within and between sectors. We then quantified the total amount of instances for consultation/statements for the completed and planned projects thus far. While not all of these instances have most probably not been utilized by the herding communities, they nonetheless illustrate the pressure from the planscape that the communities are experiencing, if they are to influence the outcome. Not participating may be used against them later on in the process, which means that the existence of instances for expressing one’s view de facto constitutes a form of pressure from the planscape.
3.3. Stakeholder Workshops and Interviews
In order to study and understand the experiences and responses by Sámi communities to the combined pressure on the landscape and from the planscape, a combination of field notes from a series of three stakeholder workshops and complementary semi-structured interviews were used. The three workshops, all on the topic of land use management related to reindeer herding, took place over the course of three years (2015–2017) and constituted the base for the field notes. These workshops have been conducted under the auspices of two research programs (CO-LAND and REXSAC), in which the authors have been part, and all participants have consented to participation with notes taken during workshops for academic usage. The researchers’ roles have during these workshops been as a facilitator (second author) of workshops and as a bystander taking notes (lead author). Besides the workshops, the projects have entailed several years of participant observation of both authors of both land use on site, and of on-going permit processes.
In total, the workshops included the participation of 11 Swedish Sámi communities. The Swedish Reindeer Herding Association also participated in three of the six workshops and has also had a strong and influencing voice in the discussions during the workshops. Other participants in the workshops have been the Sámi Parliament, County administrative boards within the reindeer herding area, concerned Swedish government agencies like the Environmental Protection Agency, Energy Agency, Forest Agency, concerned ministries and industry. For a conclusive list of workshop dates, topics and included actors, please see
Table A1 in
Appendix A. The workshops were complemented with four follow up interviews, typically 1–2 h long, with representatives from selected communities to elaborate on central topics that they had brought up during the workshops.
4. Results
4.1. Pressure on the Landscape: Past Increase in Land Use
4.1.1. Mining to Date
Twelve of Sweden’s fifteen active metal mines are located within the traditional Sámi territory [
59]. The accumulated area of land designation for mining (areas for mining) demonstrates two distinct phases of growth (
Figure 1a). During the period between 1960 and 1980, the area increased from approximately 1000 hectares to 10,000 hectares. From 2000 up until 2017 the accumulated area more than doubled from approximately 10,000 hectares to well above 20,000 hectares. Not all the hectares of land designated for mining were for mines that were still in operation in 2017. Nonetheless, both operational mines and closed mining sites can exclude reindeer herding. Closed sites predominantly exclude reindeer herding through fenced off areas, while operational mining sites exclude reindeer herding on significantly larger areas through their ZOI. There is also at least one case of a mine ready for operation, but that has not started due to metal price fluctuations. The mine is nonetheless already fenced off and hence was excluded as reindeer pasture.
4.1.2. Wind Energy Turbines to Date
Land use from wind energy is represented in terms of the number of turbines in operation. As
Figure 1b) shows, the increase in the number of wind turbines on traditional Sámi territories has been rapid compared to the land use intensification from mining. Before the year 2000, the land use impact of wind energy on traditional Sámi territories was almost negligible. By the first available data point from the national statistics in 2003, there were 48 wind (turbines on traditional Sámi territories, and by 2017 the figure had increased to 983 operational wind turbines within the same area, amounting to an increase of around 1900%. As a consequence, there has also been an increase in disturbance zones around the turbines (the ZOIs) and the impact on landscape fragmentation.
4.2. Prospects of Future Pressure: Applications and Policies as Proxies
Having now established the significant increase in land use pressure from mining as wind energy on reindeer pastures to date, how likely is it that the pressure will continue to increase? Attempts to assess future exploitation pressure involve major uncertainties due to market fluctuations and other contingent factors. Nonetheless, we maintain that policy goals on desired futures as well as statistics on pending applications can be used as informative proxies, in terms of potential future effects on the landscape and, definitely, in terms of on-going effects on the planscape.
4.2.1. Policy Goals Aim for Increase
There is a strong policy push for increased resource extraction in northern Sweden, in particular for mining and wind energy. The national Mineral strategy suggests active efforts to expand mining in the region [
23]. Northern Sweden is a mining intensive region, nearly 90% of all the iron ore mined within the EU over the last decade originates from northern Sweden [
68]. There is also large-scale mining for copper and other metals within the region. As noted earlier, the majority of Sweden’s active metal mines, of the value of the mineral extraction, as well as of the unexploited ore bodies are located within traditional Sámi territory, highlighting the political and economic importance of the region [
8,
59]. Nationally, mining employs directly more than 7000 workers [
69], typically in relatively sparsely populated areas in northern Sweden. Along with the steel industry, the mining and steel cluster accounts for nearly 10% of the Swedish gross export [
70]. In addition, most of the iron ore mined in Sweden is produced by LKAB, a fully state owned company, in Norrbotten County. According to the European Raw Materials Initiative EU should decrease dependence on imported raw materials and increasingly rely on strategic minerals and metals from within the EU [
71]. The Swedish Government recently launched a policy platform with the specific aim “to facilitate the possibilities to reach out to significant minerals resources” (
www.miningforgenerations.com), presented a national strategy for re-industrialization (
https://www.government.se/498615/contentassets/3be3b6421c034b038dae4a7ad75f2f54/nist_statsformat_160420_eng_webb.pdf), and initiated a review of the current regulation in order to make the permitting processes faster and smoother for the industry (Ds 2018:38) (See also
https://www.riksdagen.se/sv/dokument-lagar/dokument/svar-pa-skriftlig-fraga/tillstandsprocesserna-for-gruvnaringen_H712603). The aim is thus to help the mining sector to grow, and a significant part of this growth is expected to take place in Sápmi, given much of the value of Sweden’s geological ore deposits fall within traditional Sámi territories [
8].
Increased wind energy generation is also an established national political strategy [
22]. As a renewable energy source, it is considered as a key part of the solution for national environmental objectives [
72] concerning reduced greenhouse gas emissions. The introduction of the market based trading scheme for renewable energy, the Electricity Certification Scheme (
Elcertifikatsystemet), in 2003 was a clear example of how to realize policies for increased production of renewable energy. The Swedish Energy Authority [
73,
74] suggests in their most recent appointments for areas of national interest for wind energy generation that large parts of the winter grazing areas for reindeer herding are particularly suitable for wind energy production, indicating the desire for increased land-use pressure from wind energy in the region.
4.2.2. Mining—Applications for Exploration and Concessions
Exploration permits grant a mining company a period of three years to investigate whether or not the concession minerals included in the permit are economically and technically exploitable within the designated area, whereas a mining concession is an exclusive right to access specific concession minerals within a designated concession area, and is valid for 25 years [
32,
75]. A majority of the exploration permits do not lead to a concession permit and an operational mine. Likewise, a concession permit process may not lead to a fully operational mine. However, when an exploration or concession permit is being applied, it is impossible for the affected reindeer herding community to know the outcome. Hence the pressure from the planscape on them is the same from all exploration and concession permit applications.
The number of exploration permits for mining and for mining concessions have increased significantly in the traditional Sámi territories in Sweden (see
Figure 2).
Figure 2a shows how during first three years in the series, 2002, 2003 and 2004, less than ten exploration permits per year were issued on Sámi lands, and for the last three years in the available data (2014, 2015, 2016) there were between 40 and 60 issued per year within the same area. Although the figure dropped from its peak in 2016, this is a notable increase from early in the first decade of the 21st century.
The number of issued mining concession permits on traditional Sámi territories is shown in
Figure 2b. Between 2001 and 2017 a total of 51 mining concession permits were issued, varying between 6 and 0 permits per year. Unless a mining concession progresses in the permit process and becomes a land designation, it is valid for up to 25 years. All mining concessions in the data series are valid up until at least the year 2026, when the first of the granted concessions expires. Mining concessions could mean anything from only a plan on paper to actual, but small scale, test mining in the area.
Figure 2c illustrates how the number of mining that have not progressed to land designations have accumulated per year. Mining concessions that have progressed to become land designations are also shown as
Land Designations, reflecting concessions that have in effect become mining operations. In addition, the number of accumulated mining concessions for the last data point, year 2017, has been added to the
Land Designation concept in
Land Designation + Concessions, which reflects mining concessions that have become mining operations and also future potential mines.
4.2.3. Wind Turbines in Planning Process—Prognosis and Scenario
In addition to the number of operational wind turbines on traditional Sámi territories in Sweden, there is also the planning demand for new wind turbines.
Figure 3 shows the number of currently operational wind turbines in combination with a prognosis of future development, and a scenario. The prognosis of wind turbines is constituted by the number of turbines currently in the landscape, in combination with all wind turbines for which permits have been granted, but which are not yet operational. In addition to the 983 operational turbines in 2017, there are 2035 wind turbines with granted planning applications on traditional Sámi territories. This yields a
Prognosis of a likely situation where there will be about 3000 wind turbines on traditional Sámi territories. However, in addition to the prognosis of current wind turbines and turbines with approved planning applications, there is also an additional willingness to increase the number of turbines further. The
Scenario in
Figure 3 shows the figure of 3018 presented in the prognosis, with the addition of all the 1520 wind turbines that are currently also in the permit process. If all those wind turbines would be approved, that would give a
Scenario of 4538 wind turbines on traditional Sámi territories, compared to the figure of 983 in 2017. Regardless of whether all the turbines in the
Prognosis and
Scenario stages are realized, they clearly indicate the amount of pressure there is to establish more wind farms in the future. Furthermore, they constitute an already existing pressure on the Sámi reindeer herding communities to participate in the planning process. This is the topic we turn to next.
4.3. Pressure on the Planscape: Increased Fragmentation and Complexity
As noted earlier, the key mechanism for indigenous communities such as the Sámi reindeer herding communities to influence land use in their territories is by engaging in planning and permit processes through different mechanisms of consultations and written statements, especially related to the assessment of impacts. The in depth qualitative analysis of the shortcomings of the Swedish sectoral regulations concerning impact assessments and the state’s duty to consult or seek the consent of the affected communities is beyond the scope of this study, and has been addressed elsewhere e.g., [
8,
26,
29,
47,
50,
56,
57]. Instead, our focus here is to demonstrate the consequences of the seemingly benign invitation to participate in planning and permitting, as the amount and diversity of competing land uses increases. We focus on the increased participatory pressure from the planscape caused by:
the fragmentation of the planning processes for each individual mining and wind energy project, respectively
the increasing complexity in the web of regulatory regimes, as each new form of competing land use is regulated differently from the others.
4.3.1. Permitting of New Mines
The Swedish permitting system for minerals requires several permits, subject to a number of acts, and is based on a case-to-case assessment [
32,
75,
76]. The five basic permitting phases are (see
Figure 4): (1) exploration permit with a work plan (granted by the Mining Inspector); (2) mining concession (granted by the Mining Inspector); (3) environmental permits (granted by the Land and Environment Court); (4) the official expropriation of the land (granted by the Mining Inspector); and (5) specific sector permits for associated infrastructure. Phases (2) and (3) are the most significant ones determining the outcome of the process as a whole in terms of the ability of the herding communities to utilize the land as their reindeer grazing, whereas phases (4) and (5) include decisions concerning compensation and other matters that may be of importance for the affected RHCs [
32]. Any attempt to influence each of these phases implies written statements to the permitting authorities and/or corporate consultations. As the figure shows, a full mining permit includes at least six different permits. Due to its central role in the planning process, the concession permit is in most cases appealed, which adds another two phases to the process (first and supreme instance of appeal). In 2014, changes regarding the exploration permit work plans were introduced, and objections or adjustments regarding a proposed exploration permit work plan entailed two written statements from a RHC (Prop. 2013/14:159; SOU 2012:73).
As often noted by the Mining Inspectorate, only a fraction of exploration permits lead to a concession permit application, and even less so to an operational mine. However, it is impossible for Sámi communities to know this in advance, and their resistance is part of the factors affecting the outcome. Despite the low likelihood of stopping an exploration permit or its work plan [
32], protesting against these might have an important political effect in communicating to the developer and the investors that the project will face resistance, which is why appeals at this early stage may be of significance. Providing a written statement to the public authorities to each of the exploration permits would, as seen in
Table 1, between 2002 and 2016 have amounted to 662 statements. Requesting adjustments to or rejection of the associated work plans (as these are two different phases) would have added 519 statements between 2014 and 2016 alone, leading to a total of 1181 statements and appeals for exploration permit applications and their work plans. Far fewer mining concessions than exploration permits have been permitted between 2001 and 2017, in total 51; however, these applications are much more extensive than exploration permits and work plans in terms of the submitted material and the issues that a reindeer herding community needs to grasp and comment on, if it seeks influence. Objections or requested adjustments concerning each concession permit include one opportunity to submit a written statement and two steps of appeal, which would entail 153 statements and appeals so far (see
Table 1). Using all the available points in the permitting process to express their opposition or demands for adjustment in the primary parts of the permit process alone would thus in total include at least 1334 statements and appeals between 2002 and 2017 regarding mining alone.
Should the reindeer herding communities choose to submit statements and appeals at all or any of these points in the permit processes, it requires resources that the herding communities need to acquire and invest in, most often without any form of economic compensation from the developers or the state. Especially in the case of concession permits, for the statements and appeals to be substantiated they need to be lengthy and require substantial legal and other types of expertise [
57]. Since we are yet to see a case with a final outcome where the Swedish permitting system would have declined a concession permit due to reindeer herding [
32], some reindeer herding communities have appealed against these permits to different UN bodies, notably CERD (case of Rönnbäcken), which requires even more resources. Importantly, none of the figures presented so far include face-to-face consultations with the project proponents. These are not just a matter of voluntary corporate social responsibility (CSR), but a built-in part of the formal mining policy and permitting system in Sweden [
32,
52,
77]. Each work permit and concession permit process implies several such meetings, should the reindeer herding communities choose to enter discussions with the proponents, leading to several hundred meetings in total.
If a mining project receives permission to commence its operations, then the permit process is completed, which means several additional phases with both written statements and potential appeals (
Figure 4). Furthermore, even once the project is accepted and in operation, the need for participation and engagement from the specific RHC with the mining company is not over. Adaptation and mitigation measures stated in the EIAs—which are also needed when conducted successfully—typically require active and continued engagement of the RHC in communications with the developer [
28].
4.3.2. Permitting of Wind Farms
Similar fragmentation concerns the permitting of wind energy projects (
Figure 5). A Sámi community normally participates in 2–3 consultations for the wind park itself. If the wind energy project is granted permission, then a new array of consultations opens up on where to put gravel pits for construction, where access roads could be built, where to draw the power lines, in what place should the switchgears be placed, what is the best localization of individual turbines and possibly other issues too, as shown by the schematic illustration in
Figure 5. Without participation from the Sámi reindeer herding community on such issues, there will be no actor working to minimize the expected negative impacts on reindeer herding in that particular area. Because of the case-by-case approach to wind farms where Sweden lacks any policies that would regulate the maximum amount of pressure from wind energy (or other competing land-uses on each reindeer herding communities’ area [
20,
30], it has become increasingly common for the reindeer herding communities to appeal individual wind power park applications. Such appeals include two steps each.
Within the reindeer herding area in Swedish Sápmi, there are a number of proposed wind energy projects. Vindbrukskollen is a database managed by county administrative boards in collaboration with the Swedish Energy Agency. Energy companies can voluntarily update the database with information regarding proposed wind energy projects. Hence, the database is not fully accurate and up to date, but is widely recognized as best available knowledge regarding potential future wind energy projects in Sweden for actors and stakeholders interested in the spatial planning of wind energy.
Table 2 show an extract of all proposed wind energy projects within the reindeer herding area from 2020 and onwards. There is no information in the geo-referenced database on whether permit applications have been submitted or not. Best available temporal information regarding proposed projects is dates for preliminary construction start or preliminary start of operations.
Table 1 shows that between 2020 and 2024, there are 6 new wind energy projects with a date for preliminary construction start, and 30 with a date for preliminary start of operations. In addition, from 2020 and onwards there are 342 projects without a date for neither preliminary construction start nor for preliminary start of operations. For stakeholders, such as reindeer herding communities, the range of potential wind energy projects within the entire reindeer herding area spans between 6 projects (preliminary construction start) to 30 (preliminary start of operations), and possibly up to 342 (projects without a date for either construction or operations). This wide range of potential wind energy projects significantly impacts the number of potential consultations generated for Sámi communities to participate in.
Following the experiences of multiplication of consultations Sámi communities expressed in
Figure 4, the wide range of potential wind energy projects can be elaborated and put into a potential context, as shown in
Figure 5. According to
Figure 4, with an approved wind energy project, there are ‘stereotypically’ 7 consultations. Based on dates for preliminary construction start (n = 6) (6 projects × 7 consultations), there could potentially be 42 consultations generated between 2020 and 2024 within the reindeer herding area. Using dates for preliminary start of operations (n = 30), this figure (30 projects × 7 consultations) rises to 210 over the same period of time. However, if the wind energy projects without date for either construction- or operations start (n = 342) are added as well the number of potential consultations (30 projects with preliminary start of operations + 342 wind energy projects without date for either construction- or operations start × 7 consultations) the number of consultations that Sámi communities could face participation in rises additionally to 2604, as shown in
Figure 6. Although with no dates associated of when these could be expected to occur.
An important caveat is that the figures of such a ‘back of the envelope’ calculation does not represent what could be argued as the most likely number of future wind energy projects on traditional Sámi territories. However, it provides an illustration of the uncertainty of spatial planning conditions Sámi reindeer herding communities’ experience. As a comparison, Sámi reindeer herding community of Vilhelmina Norra alone participated in approximately 20 consultations for just wind energy already in 2014 [
15]. Also, those projects that are discussed in public but not yet pursued in permitting induce stress and concern in the affected communities, that may start investing resources into following the discussions around the potential projects, and learning about the regulatory context. This goes for all land-use sectors, not just wind energy.
4.3.3. Web of Regulations
The increased pressure on the planscape which the herders need to navigate is illustrated in
Figure 7 by the complexity of the web of regulations within which the planning and permit processes of the different sectors are embedded. While the responsible public authorities—and developers with resources many-fold to those of the herding communities—need to master the regulations for their respective sector only, a Sámi reindeer herding community needs to master the highly varying regulations and process characteristics for
all of the competing land uses being planned in its area. In other words, the actor with least resources has to have the broadest expertise, in order to be able to maintain an overview and to effectively seek influence. To be concrete, a Sámi reindeer herding community may consist of one or two dozen active reindeer herders and their families, who, besides attending to the reindeer herding practices need to grasp the regulations of multiple sectors, understand the material concerning an individual project and engage in the permitting processes.
4.4. Consequences of the Double Pressure: Experiences from Sámi Reindeer Herding Communities
Experiences expressed in workshop and interview material by Sámi reindeer herding community representatives complement and nuance the picture of increasing planning pressure on traditional Sámi territories. Not only is the degree of exploitation problematic, but also the rate of change, as documented in this paper, and the effects of the exploitation. Some Sámi communities experience this rate of increasing exploitation as very rapid—as one reindeer herder put it:
“What was ok five years ago might not be ok today.”
—Reindeer herder in a Sámi community.
“The degree of exploitation is increasing a lot, and the lands are very fragmented. Before we could think that some exploitation projects did not matter so much, but today we don’t have the luxury of not trying to defend our land. But we still have to prioritise what we participate in.”
—Chairman in a Sámi community.
Some could also pinpoint more precisely when this land use started to change dramatically. One representative from a Sámi community noted how specific policy measures was a driving force behind increasing pressure on their lands:
“When the Electricity Certificate system was introduced [in 2003], and when they should support wind energy, then there was a dramatic change”.
—Board member in a Sámi community.
As the degree of fragmentation increases in the landscape, so does also the complexity in the planning processes related to the land use pressure. The lack of formal rights for Sámi communities to grant or decline their free, prior and informed consent (FPIC) to a proposed project on their lands [
20,
50] appears to increase the demand to be involved in the planning even more. Since the only possibilities there are to influence the outcome of a proposed project is to be involved in some of its details [
29], if any influence is to be had by the Sámi reindeer herding community, they have to participate in the planning around these issues. However, by doing so the number of issues to be involved in multiplies substantially. The burden of increasing participation is perhaps best described by one reindeer herder in a workshop:
“The time Average Joe spends on vacations we have to spend in consultations with developers”
—Reindeer herder in a Sámi community.
More expanded reasoning was put forth by the chairman in a Sámi community in Norrbotten on two separate occasions:
Since I took over (as chairman) they (consultations for land use planning) have increased quite substantially. We are talking several hundred percent. We at least spend 30-50 days per year on consultations, and considering that SSR (Swedish Reindeer Herders Association) recommends that we should always have two persons attend, it is double that figure in terms of days.
—Chairman in a Sámi community in Norrbotten.
Many of the Sámi communities noted that objections or opinions on proposed land use change made verbally have not always been accounted for in the consultation protocols. Hence the reason for two persons from the community being present, although this effectively also doubles the workload for the participating Sámi community.
Such experiences of participation being a burden have also been expressed elsewhere. For example according to Larsen et al. [
15], the Sámi community Vilhelmina Norra sameby account for similar involvement as shown above when they in 2014 spent 26 workdays on consultations with forestry, 20 workdays on consultations and remarks regarding wind energy and 23 workdays on consultations with a county administrative board on issues spanning from predators to power lines. In addition, a substantial but not quantified amount of time was spent on consultations with public agencies and preparing appeals.
Several Sámi communities also give evidence of having experienced that not participating in consultations has been considered by both authorities as well as developers as consenting to proposed plans for land use change. This is so also even if the reason for participating was because of other prioritizations or lack of resources from the Sámi reindeer herding communities rather than agreeing to the land use change.
We try to go to all the consultations, there is a misconception that if you don’t attend the consultation you silently agree.
—Chairman in a Sámi community in Norrbotten.
However, there does not appear to be an agreement between informants that the increasing participation in itself would be negative. Some Sámi reindeer herding community representatives point out that the increasing burden of participation is because Sámi reindeer herding communities are also getting more and more involved in the planning process, which by them is in itself considered positive. However, the driver of increasing participation remains a problem, as it stems from an experience of significantly increasing fragmentation of the reindeer herding landscape that all the Sámi reindeer herding communities are trying to stop. The structure of the planning processes is, from a reindeer herding perspective, inherently reactive instead of proactive: even if Sámi participation in a consultation was successful, which in most instances would entail that a proposed project is not realized, the only achievement would be the maintenance of status quo. The time and effort spent on the matter would not have improved the conditions for their livelihood—it would, at best, avoid deterioration.
This is reflected well in the comments of several Sámi communities whose primary position towards, for example, additional wind energy parks commonly is negative due to the disturbance zones that impact reindeer grazing and will lead to further landscape fragmentation. If a project is granted permission, regardless of the reindeer herding community’s primary position, then their focus instead commonly shifts towards damage minimization since the project will be carried out regardless of their primary position. One reindeer herder describes the situation in this way:
“The projects are going to happen anyway, so then it is hard to say no, then it is better to be as constructive as possible…and try to see that there are as little impacts on reindeer herding as possible”
—Chairman in a Sámi community.
“For the authorities it is very easy to say that the (wind energy) parks will not be realized. Today we have eight permitted parks, but how do we know which ones are well funded enough to be realized? They could potentially be located in an area where it would be devastating. But the authorities give permits with arguments like ‘but all wind energy parks won’t be built’”
—Board member in a Sámi community.
These commentaries speak to the fact that Sámi communities have their whole reindeer herding area as the relevant unit for planning processes. Within this unit, all proposed land use change that could impact reindeer herding is of relevance, while the involvement of governmental authorities is based on their sectorial adherence. The respective governmental authorities often fail to assess the contribution of individual projects on cumulative effects and there is no overarching planning process managing or regulating these effects [
30]. Respective government authorities have no information about other types of projects for other sectors in the same region or the likelihood of projects being realized [
30]. In addition to the increasing pressure on land from both actual land use change (RQ1 1) and the increasing pressure from planning processes for even more land use change (RQ 2), there is thus a lack of integrated impact assessments or land use planning on the scale of individual Sámi reindeer herding communities. This has prompted experiences among Sámi communities for the need to have their own overview in landscape planning.
“We have to have a 10-year plan on how we want to use our land and understand all the cumulative effects. The companies never need to think about any other projects than their own”
—Reindeer herder in a Sámi community.
Others discussed this topic too, for example as mentioned by the chairman in a Sámi community:
“During the last 5–10 years we have learned a lot about cumulative effects, but the problem is that there is no coordination and authority in charge of having a holistic view. The companies they always say something like: ‘but that little plot of land, can it really matter so much?”
—Chairman in a Sámi community in Norrbotten.
The lack of an integrated spatial planning in the reindeer herding area puts stress on the Sámi reindeer herding communities themselves to carry out the task of conducting integrated landscape planning. In order to be able to provide some input on mitigation measures or alternative localisations for an exploitation project—or to convincingly argue why they should be rejected altogether—the Sámi communities themselves have to have sufficient knowledge about the cumulative effects of all current and possible other future exploitation in combination with their planned future activities. Essentially they are conducting a landscape planning process themselves, and then try to act upon that plan in individual consultations. In those instances where the Sámi communities have described how this is not possible due to capacity constraints they are aware that, as a result, they lack an overview over multiple pressures.
5. Discussion and Conclusions
In this paper, we have used multiple quantitative and qualitative data sets on mining and wind energy for analyzing the impacts of competing land uses on Sámi reindeer herding in Sápmi, Northern Sweden, in order to provide a broader understanding of cumulative effects in the form of double pressure on both the landscape and the planscape. The results show that the pressure on the reindeer pastures from these two land uses has increased significantly in the past 20 years.
Granted and pending permit applications, together with explicit policy goals and policy tools like the electricity certification scheme, indicate continued increase in the pressure and fragmentation of the landscape. They also demonstrate a de facto increase in the pressure and fragmentation of the planning processes and regulatory regimes that the Sámi reindeer herding communities need to engage with already today.
Our results thus draw attention to two types of cumulative effects: the cumulative effects of competing land uses on the landscape and reindeer pastures; and the cumulative effects on the planscape by way of multiple permitting regimes and individual permitting processes. The impact of this double pressure is made worse by the fact that Sweden lacks adequate requirements for cumulative impact assessments, landscape level planning and a state duty to consult the Sámi and to obtain the free, prior and informed consent of the affected communities, which would ensure that the land-use planning and permitting system is able to receive and address the input from the reindeer herding communities in a meaningful way.
What are the implications of this double pressure on landscapes and planscapes for developing more robust planning processes capable of safeguarding the reindeer herding rights of the Sámi and counteracting the ‘great acceleration’? First, our results confirm the urgent need to provide Sámi reindeer herding communities with adequate, long term resources to improve their capacity to engage in planning in permitting processes, as highlighted by earlier studies [
20,
30]. Currently, herding communities need to prioritize between spending their effort on land use planning to “defend” lands from future encroachments or spending time in attending daily reindeer herding. Having enough people to attend to both is a major challenge, particularly in smaller communities. Long term funding would allow employing those community members not actively engaged in daily herding to work with permitting issues, instead of looking for jobs outside reindeer herding.
At the same time, it is evident that simply providing Sámi reindeer herding communities with improved resources and opportunities to participate is a double edged sword, or a direct burden, unless the whole permitting system is improved to better receive the input of the communities in a meaningful and efficient way. Even if better resources where available and if rights were recognized, the affected Sámi reindeer herding communities may simply be overwhelmed by the volume of planning and permitting processes as long as these are only carried out on the level of single projects as is the practice today. Addressing questions of acceptable level of pressure on the landscape must be done on a scale covering whole landscapes and policies. Today, Sweden either lacks such planning tools, or where they exist, they have not been used to address land use conflicts between reindeer herding and other users e.g., [
28]. The inadequate mechanisms for the assessments of cumulative effects on reindeer herding [
28] increase the burden on communities, as they cannot rely on a guarantee that potential effects on reindeer herding will be covered in the assessments. Improved regulatory requirements concerning CEA on reindeer herding and even more importantly, protecting the Sámi reindeer herding rights, specifically, are a necessary step in improving the planscape [
20]. “Scaling up” by addressing these issues at the policy-level decision-making is a necessary part of such a systemic reform [
29].
The incentive of Sámi communities to participate in planning processes is also affected by the likelihood of them having a real impact. The less trust Sámi communities have in the planning process to make a difference in an outcome, the less efforts will be spent in that process. This, in turn, leads to increased risk of Sámi community absence in the planning process, resulting in less information about potential impacts on reindeer herding, which possibly could result in even more encroachments on traditional Sámi territories.
One of the limitations of the analysis and following conclusions presented here concerns the uncertainties and incompatibilities in the available data. Land used by mining is reported in hectares, while wind energy statistics are based on the amount of wind turbines, not the amount of land they occupy. Further, the statistics for existing and future wind parks lack information on their exact location. Moreover, the prognosis of future exploitation involves major uncertainties due to market fluctuations and other contingent factors. Recognizing these weaknesses in the data, we argue that they are at the same time part of the message of this paper. It is precisely under these conditions of inadequate data, a rapid increase in applications for future projects and a high level of uncertainty as to which of them will become reality that the permit authorities are to make their decisions and the Sámi communities seek to influence them. In the face of such uncertainties, the communities cannot ignore a single exploration permit or wind energy application, yet their lack of resources may force them unwillingly to do so.
One of the major silences of today’s planning processes concerns the aspirations of reindeer herding itself. In the current planscape, Sámi participation in land use planning can, even at best, only deliver the status quo. Efforts spent in making a difference in the permitting of individual projects, which are also much needed in other parts of their livelihood, will never deliver anything better than what existed before an industrial project was proposed. The current land use planning is, from a reindeer herding perspective, inherently reactive. There are no planning processes in place that would allow for proactive improvements in reindeer pastures or other ways to develop reindeer herding according to their own aspirations. Importantly, this means that many of the political leaders, permitting authorities or developers may not even have considered that such aspirations exist. Maintaining the status quo is assumed as the aim of reindeer herding, while for the competing land uses even slowing down the rate of growth would be considered provocative.
This imbalance in the recognition of the goals of each land user is particularly problematic considering the status of reindeer herding as a right, and the right of indigenous peoples to self-determination. Such power imbalances are a well-known dilemma for participatory processes in planning in Sápmi and throughout the world e.g., [
33,
78,
79,
80,
81]. These imbalances and their impact on the outcome of planning processes are often interpreted as ‘mistakes’ or ‘failures’. But we would rather agree with the critical scholars arguing that they instead represent the success of a wider political agenda to give appearance of indigenous communities being able to participate in consultation procedures on land development, but in a manner that does not threaten the economic interests of corporations or governments [
30,
82,
83,
84,
85]. One of the mechanisms through which such unequal power relations are maintained is by delegitimizing certain actors as knowledge holders and ignoring certain ways of knowing by treating them as being irrelevant. Such
epistemic injustice [
86] is evident in the way the knowledge of the reindeer herding communities has openly been labeled as biased (testimonial injustice) or how the perspectives of reindeer herding in defining the problems and solutions in land use planning have until very recently been invisible altogether (hermeneutical injustice) [
20,
30,
52]. In fact, critical indigenous research scholars have argued that the type of inclusion of indigenous people in policy processes as shown in this article may in fact be part of the more or less conscious settler colonial strategies of the state, aimed at restricting political resistance and domesticating “immoderate” indigenous demands [
87,
88]. Meaningful inclusion of the Sámi reindeer herding communities and their rights in land-use planning therefore requires addressing the type of structural problems of the current system. Epistemic injustices are one part of the puzzle. Systemic, structural improvements on the planscape would improve the legitimacy of the planning system and, hopefully, also contribute to an environmental concern shared globally: to reduce the industrial pressure on the landscape, and the social injustices related to failures in the planscape.