According to the time–distance diagram in
Figure 2, the horizontal axis represents the time axis, the vertical axis represents the intersection location, the diagonal line represents the vehicle’s trajectory, while its slope indicates the vehicle speed. Here, t
2–t
1 denotes the travel time between intersection
and intersection
; t
3 − t
2 denotes the travel time between intersection
and intersection
; and the red–green bars in the middle represent the traffic light status at the intersection. Taking the upstream direction as an example,
is a left-turn intersection and intersections
and
are the upstream and downstream straight-through intersections of the left-turn intersection, respectively. The traffic flow passing through the intersection during the green light is divided into two categories: straight-through speed traffic flow at intersections
and
, and left-turn speed traffic flow at intersection
. Clearly, the guidance speed is affected by the intersection phase difference and left-turn turning radius. Therefore, analyzing the relationship between the speed, phase difference, and left-turn turning radius is necessary for establishing the speed guidance model. The speed guidance is divided into two stages: straight-through speed guidance and left-turn speed guidance.
The straight-through stage guidance mainly determines the guidance speed for the straight-through lead vehicle based on the vehicle’s arrival time and phase difference. The following vehicles’ following acceleration is determined based on the lead vehicle’s speed using the acceleration decay car-following model. In the left-turn stage, the lead vehicle’s speed is determined by the left-turn lead vehicle’s guidance speed based on the minimum-jerk trajectory planning. Subsequently, the straight-through guidance speed after the left turn is determined based on the phase difference. The following vehicles’ acceleration in the left-turn stage is determined by the car-following model under left-turn speed optimization.
2.3.2. Speed Guidance in the Left-Turn Phase
The left-turn trajectory planning model studied in this paper is based on the minimum-jerk principle [
18]. This method is primarily used to describe the inertial motion of objects in a two-dimensional plane. Flash and Hogan demonstrated that the smoothness of inertial movements (such as reaching, writing, and drawing tasks) can be represented by an acceleration function. To ensure smooth turning, the trajectory is formulated by minimizing the objective cost function within a specified time
, the sum of the squared accelerations along the movement direction from a given initial position to the target position. The function is expressed as follows:
where
denotes the vector sum of the smooth movement of the end effector from one position to another;
denotes the motion time from the starting position to the target position;
denotes the x-coordinate of the object’s position at time
; and
denotes the y-coordinate of the object’s position at time
.
For convenience in calculation, the solution to the objective cost function is represented by two fifth-order polynomials of time:
where
and
(
) denote the constant coefficients.
Equations (14) and (15) contain 12 constant coefficients, which indicates that there are 12 unknowns. Therefore, solving these equations requires 12 boundary conditions. The vehicle’s initial and target positions (the coordinates of and ), velocity vectors, and acceleration vectors (the components of and ) can provide these 12 boundary conditions. The coordinates of the initial and target positions of the vehicle’s trajectory can be obtained from the intersection location and its surrounding geometric data. The vehicle’s velocity and acceleration at the entry and exit points depend on the speed characteristics when entering and exiting.
Vehicles on commuting routes often appear in the form of a convoy, and determining the guide speed of the lead vehicle is crucial for determining the convoy’s speed. This paper applies the minimum-jerk theory to plan the trajectory of the lead vehicle in the left-turn traffic flow, thereby determining the guide speed of the lead vehicle.
Traditional trajectory models use the starting and target positions, velocities, accelerations, and the motion time (
) between these positions as trajectory information, and it is explained that the trajectory of turning vehicles under free-flow conditions can be described using the minimum-jerk principle. Although the applicability of the minimum-jerk principle to turning vehicles has been proven [
19], it does not take into account the influence of intersection geometry. Furthermore, this model requires the input of
which is information that cannot be obtained. Therefore, this paper does not choose to use the motion time
from the starting position to the target position, but instead uses the position and velocity information of intermediate points to estimate the left-turn trajectory. By combining Equations (14) and (15), the unknowns
can be estimated, providing the left-turn movement time within the intersection for the speed guidance model, thereby improving the accuracy of speed guidance for the left-turn traffic flow.
The position information on intermediate points in the left-turn trajectory (minimum speed and the location of minimum speed) is estimated using the model proposed by Wolfermann et al. The specific structure of the left-turn trajectory planning model is shown in
Figure 4. The input variables include the vehicle type and the geometric state of the intersection (intersection turning angle, curb radius, and lateral exit distance, with each parameter defined as shown in
Figure 5). The conditions for the lead vehicle when entering and exiting the intersection (position, speed, and acceleration) are also considered. The minimum speed and the location of the minimum speed are then selected from the probability model of the normal distribution estimated by Wolfermann.
By combining the minimum-jerk theory with the velocity prediction model proposed by Wolfermann, the corresponding synchronization equations can be obtained. The specific relationship between position and velocity is shown in
Figure 6. It can be seen that the speed of the lead vehicle in a left turn decreases from the initial position until it reaches the minimum speed, and then gradually increases to reach the corresponding target speed. Therefore, selecting three points—the initial position, the minimum speed position, and the target position—for predicting the turning trajectory will better align with the actual situation:
The initial position of the trajectory is defined as follows:
where
,
and
denote the starting point position, velocity, and acceleration of the turning vehicle, respectively, all of which are known. For convenience in calculation, the starting point position is set as (0, 0).
According to the minimum-jerk theory, the target position of the trajectory can be defined as follows:
where
,
, and
denote the position, velocity, and acceleration of the left-turn lead vehicle at the known target position, respectively.
Similarly, the minimum speed and the position of the minimum speed can be defined as follows:
where
,
and
denote the position, velocity, and acceleration of the left-turn lead vehicle at the minimum speed. These values can be estimated using Wolfermann’s model, where
and
follow a Gaussian distribution. Based on the distribution values,
and
can be randomly selected and substituted into Equation (18) for calculation.
Wolfermann’s model estimates the minimum speed and the position of the minimum speed for turning vehicles under ideal or free-flow conditions based on the historical data of left-turn vehicles. It then transforms these estimates into a functional model that takes into account the entry speed and the geometric characteristics of the intersection.
Table 3 lists the parameters of the minimum speed (
) and the position of the minimum speed (
) models. The representations of
and
are modeled using normal distributions, with the mean (
) and standard deviation (
) modeled as functions of the entry speed and intersection geometric characteristics. The definitions of the model parameters are shown in
Figure 5.
Since and are still unknown, but the vehicle is at the minimum speed at this point, we can assume . By solving the system of equations formed by Equations (16)–(18), we can obtain the turning movement time for the turning vehicle.
The turning vehicle trajectory derived from the minimum-jerk theory takes into account the left-turn safe speed. Based on this, the guide speed of the vehicle within the intersection
is obtained. The calculation model for the lead vehicle’s guide speed is as follows:
Under weather conditions such as rainy days, snowy days, and freezing days, the road surface will become wet and slippery due to moisture, water accumulation, snow accumulation, ice, or covering with pollutants, resulting in abrupt changes in the road surface friction coefficient, which will have adverse effects on road traffic and driving safety. Therefore, this study introduces the road surface wet and slippery friction coefficient in the determination of the left-turn safe speed, and obtains the safe guiding speed for the head vehicle to turn left.
Among them, the wet and slippery friction coefficient of the road surface is determined according to the friction coefficient range of different road surface conditions proposed by Li Changcheng et al. [
20]. The specific values of the wet and slippery friction coefficient of the road surface are shown in the
Table 4.
At this point, the acceleration of the following vehicle can be calculated using the following method:
where
is the driver sensitivity coefficient;
is the feedback coefficient. Determine based on
Table 2.
- 2.
Straight-through stage speed guidance after left-turn completion
The vehicle needs to make a left turn and then continue straight through the intersection
. If the vehicle travels at the left-turn guide speed
, it will not be able to arrive at the next intersection when the green light turns on. Therefore, the vehicle needs to travel at a speed
until the next green light phase starts, shown in
Figure 7. The guide formula for this is as follows:
where
denotes the time to enter the intersection guide zone;
denotes the phase difference between the coordinated directions of intersection
and
intersection.
At this point, the acceleration of the following vehicle can be calculated using Equation (22):
where
is the driver sensitivity coefficient, with a value of 0.41
;
is the feedback coefficient, with a value of 0.3
.