1. Introduction
Emergencies are events triggered by natural disasters or human factors that require emergency response measures, and they are often complex, unpredictable, and socially hazardous. In order to respond positively to emergencies and reduce losses, regulators inevitably need a host of emergency supplies to support response actions. Emergency logistics is indispensable for the deployment of emergency supplies, which refers to the coordination of resources, personnel, and infrastructure to deliver aid during crises, such as natural disasters, conflicts, or public health emergencies. It prioritizes speed, adaptability, and scalability over cost optimization, and it is characterized by a weak economy, urgency, and timeliness [
1]. The various coordinated elements in emergency logistics constitute the emergency logistics system, and its establishment and improvement is related to national security and social stability. In February 2022, the State Council issued the ‘14th Five-Year’ National Emergency Response System Plan, which clearly points out that we should further improve the emergency logistics system and strengthen the emergency material reserve. Regarding the construction of the system, whether it is material reserve or emergency supply, the system cannot be separated from material suppliers, as they are the ‘starting point’ of the operation of the emergency logistics system, to ensure the supply of emergency materials, rapid response, and efficient distribution. By selecting high-quality suppliers through scientific methods, we can provide efficient and low-cost logistics services to the government and disaster victims. Therefore, the selection of emergency material suppliers is crucial, and it is a key step in optimizing the emergency logistics system and improving the efficiency of emergency response [
2].
Scholars in China and abroad have conducted some relevant studies on the selection of suppliers and achieved fruitful results. In terms of indicator establishment, Yang JQ et al. [
3] combined the background of epidemics according to the characteristics of epidemic prevention materials and ranked four non-economic indicators: delivery quality, supply chain resilience, material quality, and social environment and corporate reputation. Ediz Ekinci et al. [
4] established evaluation indexes from delivery factors, procurement costs, and material quality. Hui Huang et al. [
5] took emergency food as the research object and established an index system from four dimensions: product level, supply response, transport response, and enterprise basic management. Qureshi et al. [
6] believed that the selection of suppliers should take into account factors such as service quality, fixed assets scale, management quality, and information technology capabilities. In terms of weight calculation, XuTian Li et al. [
7] used the multi-criteria decision-making method (MCDM) to take warehouses into account, followed by the AHP (Analysis of Hierarchy Process) to determine the indicator weights. CHU et al. [
8] used triangular fuzzy numerical language for the calculation of weights. Zhang HY et al. [
9] used the CRITIC method to measure the correlation coefficient between attributes to obtain indicator weights. Yin ZH et al. [
10] used information entropy to obtain the objective weights of indicators. Shen YM [
11] used the AHP to calculate subjective weights and the entropy weight method to calculate objective weights and finally obtained combined weights using multiplicative synthesis. In terms of evaluation methods, Wang XD et al. [
12] constructed a distance-based VIKOR multi-criteria group decision-making model (MCGDM) to solve the problem of supplier selection. Zhang YR et al. [
13] proposed a two-stage model using TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) and two-stage mixed-integer linear programming for supplier selection. Zhang NA et al. [
14] proposed a green supplier selection (GSS) method, taking decision-maker uncertainty and behavioral preferences into account. This method utilizes evaluation information collected from decision-makers, followed by a TOPSIS analysis to select the best supplier. Gao YJ et al. [
15] used interval q-order orthogonal fuzzy entropy in order to obtain subjective weights and then used the COADS method to give ranking results for contingent supplier selection options.
In summary, the weight results obtained by traditional methods such as the AHP, CRITIC, and entropy weighting alone have strong subjectivity or objectivity, which cannot better reflect information about indicator weights. Even if the combination of subjective and objective weights is used, this is only a simple superposition and combination of the two and cannot balance the ‘conflict’ between subjective and objective weights, resulting in an irrational distribution of weights. Furthermore, compared with other MCDM evaluation methods, the results of the TOPSIS method are presented in the form of a distance metric, which is easy to understand and suitable for rapid decision-making in emergency scenarios, and at the same time, it does not require complex parameter settings, the calculation process is simple, and the results are stable. Based on this, this paper proposes to adopt the G1 method, which is simpler in terms of calculation steps, to calculate subjective weights, and the entropy weight method to calculate objective weights, followed by the combination of weights based on game theory. Finally, the TOPSIS method is applied to assess the relative closeness of each alternative, thereby identifying the optimal supplier.
The game theoretic–TOPSIS method solves the problem of the weights calculated by existing methods being unstable and irrationally distributed. This method can reasonably allocate the proportion of subjective and objective weights, further reduce the subjective error, make the evaluation results more reliable, and then promote the construction of the emergency logistics system.
The remaining part of this article describes the construction of the index system, the calculation steps of the game theory–TOPSIS method, the analysis of examples, etc. The evaluation model is finally applied to three alternative suppliers to verify the applicability of the model, with a view of providing a scientific evaluation basis for emergency incident respondents.
2. Construction of Evaluation Index System
Based on the existing research results, consulting the experts in the field, and referring to the first-level indicators quality, flexibility, etc., mentioned in the literature [
16], as well as the cost control, internal and external conditions, etc., mentioned in the literature [
17], we established an evaluation framework targeting emergency material supplier capability as the objective layer. This framework comprises four primary indicators, material quality, cost control, internal situation, and emergency flexibility, with each primary indicator further refined into representative secondary indicators. The system ultimately encompasses 16 secondary indicators, with specific classifications illustrated in
Figure 1.
Material quality mainly evaluates the technical level, quality pass rate, and after-sales service ability of suppliers’ products to ensure the reliability of materials. Cost control mainly evaluates the cost management efficiency of suppliers in terms of price, transportation, inventory, and other aspects to optimize the economy of procurement. The internal situation indicator is used to evaluate comprehensive management ability, such as enterprise reputation, geographical location, order execution, etc., reflecting the stability and processing efficiency of suppliers in the face of emergencies. Emergency flexibility mainly reflects the supplier’s resilience in terms of time response, product adjustment, and yield change.
The characteristics of the evaluation index system inherently align with the emergency logistics, manifested in three key dimensions: The first dimension is scientific rationality, as during the initial disaster phase, safeguarding lives and property constitutes the paramount priority of emergency response. Emergency logistics operations must prioritize ensuring material support for emergency response and rescue operations during crises. Consequently, the evaluation system integrates metrics that comprehensively address both emergency effectiveness and overarching operational requirements. The second dimension consists of conciseness and timeliness. Since emergency events are often unpredictable, excessive evaluation hierarchies or redundant indicators would counterproductively increase decision burdens and delay response processes. The system therefore emphasizes streamlined, actionable metrics optimized for rapid implementation. The third dimension is a de-emphasis on the economy. While emergency logistics shares traditional logistics’ operational emphasis on transportation efficiency, it fundamentally diverges in its strategic priorities. Unlike conventional logistics that prioritizes economic returns, emergency logistics prioritizes life-saving effectiveness over cost considerations. Consequently, when evaluating performance, metrics related to emergency effectiveness should take precedence over cost considerations.
3. Evaluation Model Based on Game Theory–TOPSIS Method
Assuming that there are a total of M emergency material suppliers to be selected and shared in the model’s N evaluation indexes, each of which is (), the evaluation matrix is .
3.1. Calculation Steps
(1) Experts are invited to score each indicator, and the subjective and objective weights of the indicators are calculated through the G1 method and entropy weighting method, respectively, with relevant data.
(2) Based on game theory, the set of coefficient vectors is optimized with the objective of minimizing the outliers to obtain the combined weights.
(3) Positive and negative ideal solutions are constructed based on the TOPSIS method, and the Euclidean geometric distance and relative approximation of each supplier to the positive and negative ideal solutions are calculated.
(4) The relative proximity of each supplier is ranked, and the largest one is selected as the object of cooperation.
The analysis flow chart is shown in
Figure 2.
3.2. Calculation of Subjective Weight by G1 Method
The AHP remains a mainstream subjective evaluation methodology. This approach constructs a hierarchical structure model where experts assess relative importance ratios between indicators based on subjective experience, subsequently building comparison matrices to calculate indicator weights. However, its computational process exhibits significant dependence on expert judgment. Particularly when addressing complex evaluation index systems or intricate indicator relationships, frequent matrix adjustments become necessary to satisfy consistency check requirements, resulting in computationally intensive weight determination processes [
18]. To address these limitations, Professor Guo Yajun of Northeastern University developed the Order Relation Method (G1 method), an improved subjective weighting approach derived from the traditional AHP. In the context of emergency events, the G1 method offers advantages over the AHP. It utilizes ordinal relationships instead of ratio judgments, making it suitable for rapid decision-making scenarios. It eliminates the need for consistency checks [
19], thus avoiding weight fluctuations caused by minor judgment errors. Furthermore, it significantly reduces computational complexity. The specific computational steps are as follows:
(1) A Panel of experts is invited to fully discuss the N evaluation indexes. The most important indicators shall be selected after full discussion, and consensus is recorded as , its weight is recorded as, in the remaining N-1 indexes, repeating the process until all are evaluated. The evaluation sequence is obtained as , where ‘’ indicates the ordinal relationship between the two indicators, when. We define the index as having a greater degree of importance than .
(2) According to the above evaluation sequence
,
is determined, the ratio of the relative importance of the indexes
, for which the data of relative importance are shown in
Table 1. The relative importance ratio is calculated as follows:
(3) The weight
is calculated for the nth indicator with the following formula:
(4) Based on the weight of the nth indicator
, the weight of the n-1th indicator
is calculated by the importance ratio; the calculation formula is as follows:
3.3. Calculation of Objective Weight by Entropy Weight Method
The entropy weight method is an objective weighting approach based on information entropy. In information theory, an indicator with greater information content induces lower uncertainty, resulting in smaller entropy values. Consequently, such indicators receive higher weights in comprehensive evaluations and vice versa. The specific computational steps are as follows:
(1) A judgment matrix
is established. The matrix is normalized based on the attributes of secondary indicators to eliminate dimensional effects, resulting in the dimensionless original matrix
. The dimensionless formula is as follows:
The former is used for dimensionless positive indicators, and the latter is used for dimensionless negative indicators. An analysis of the attributes of each secondary indicator is shown in
Table 2.
(2) The matrix is obtained by the column normalization processing of the original matrix , and all in satisfy the following: .
(3) The entropy value of each index is calculated. According to the definition of entropy value in information theory, the calculation formula is as follows:
where
.
(4) The entropy weight of each index
is calculated, and the calculation formula is as follows:
3.4. Calculation of Combination Weight Based on Game Theory
The basic idea of the game theory combination assignment method is to regard subjective weights and objective weights as game opponents, with the goal of minimizing deviation, continuously optimizing the combination of linear coefficients to minimize the conflict between the two and finally reaching the Nash equilibrium state to obtain more scientific comprehensive weights [
20]. Assuming that there are N kinds of assignment methods, there are N weight results, and the steps of the game theory combined assignment method are as follows:
(1) A set of weight vectors
is built based on the obtained N weights, and any linear combination of these vectors yields
, i.e.,
(2) With the objective of minimizing the deviation,
and
are optimized; the objective function is established as follows:
(3) According to the differential properties of the matrix, it can be determined that the optimized first derivative satisfies the following system of linear equations:
(4) The combination coefficient
is normalized; then the optimal weight coefficient is obtained, and the comprehensive weight is as follows:
3.5. TOPSIS
TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution), also known as the Approximate Ideal Solution Ordering Method, is derived from the discriminant problem in multivariate statistics. It is used to determine the best solution by establishing a set of positive and negative ideal solutions, calculating the Euclidean geometric distance between the alternative solutions and the optimal (inferior) ideal solution, and comparing the relative approximation of each solution. The specific calculation steps of this method are as follows:
(1) According to the comprehensive weight and
, the initial decision matrix
is constructed:
(2) The optimal value under each indicator is individually proposed as a combination of the positive ideal point, which is the best emergency material supplier, and the negative ideal point and the worst emergency material supplier can be obtained under the same reasoning. The positive and negative ideal points are, respectively, as follows:
(3) The Euclidean geometric distance is calculated. When an emergency material supplier is closer to the positive ideal solution, it means that the supplier’s comprehensive ability is stronger and more trustworthy, and if there are two or more suppliers with the same distance from the optimal solution, the supplier that is farther away from the negative ideal solution is selected. The calculation formulas of the Euclidean geometric distance are as follows:
(4) The relative approximation
is calculated. The closer it is to 1, the better the supplier performs and vice versa. The calculation formula of
is as follows:
5. Conclusions
(1) To facilitate the selection of suppliers for the emergency logistics system, an evaluation index system for emergency material suppliers is constructed, considering material quality, cost control, internal conditions, and emergency flexibility. Game theory is employed to optimize the combined weights, and the TOPSIS method is used for ranking and evaluation. Finally, a case study is conducted to validate the model’s applicability.
(2) A comparative analysis of the calculation results of game theory and the traditional combination weighting method shows that the former overcomes the problems of the latter and has higher robustness, which can be fully adapted to the uncertainty of the emergency logistics situation and helps in the construction of the emergency logistics system.
(3) Both weighting methods have limitations. While the G1 method is straightforward and useful in emergencies, it can be limited by experts’ inability to assess the order of indicators, affecting subjective weight determination. The entropy weight method’s results are sensitive to data quality; data distortion or absence can impact objective weight determination.
(4) The model is applicable to common emergencies, but when facing health events such as COVID-19, the indicator ‘health compliance’ should be added, and other indicators should be reprioritized. Future research could further optimize the weighting method and incorporate numerical techniques to improve the model’s applicability in complex scenarios.