Data-Driven Modeling of Demand-Responsive Transit: Evaluating Sustainability Across Urban, Rural, and Intercity Scenarios
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Data and Indicators
2.1. Data
2.2. Indicators
- Operational conditions, where clusters such as “stated preference” and keywords such as “mobility”, “public transit”, and “service” reflect demand estimation, fleet coordination, and infrastructure integration.
- Operational models, where clusters such as “routing and scheduling”, “network design”, and keywords such as “algorithm”, “optimization”, and “design” capture algorithmic control and simulation techniques.
- Operational outcomes, where clusters such as “demand-responsive transit” and “public transport” and keywords such as “systems”, “performance”, and “accessibility” emphasize accessibility, equity, and system resilience.
2.2.1. Operational Conditions
2.2.2. Operational Models
2.2.3. Operational Outcomes
3. Scenarios
- Urban Scenarios. Indicators emphasize scheduling precision, passenger throughput, and multimodal integration, highlighting efficiency and coordination challenges in dense networks.
- Rural Scenarios. Indicators focus on cost-efficiency, service coverage, and resilience through shared passenger–freight operations, reflecting economic and social trade-offs in low-demand contexts.
- Intercity Scenarios. Indicators capture synchronization with multimodal nodes, travel time reliability, and systemic interdependencies, emphasizing connectivity and governance challenges across regions.
3.1. Urban Scenarios
3.2. Rural Scenarios
3.3. Intercity Scenarios
4. Discussion
5. Challenges
6. Future Perspectives
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Country | Policy Characteristics | Examples | Implications for DRT Sustainability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | Strong Government Subsidies; Rural Service Support | Federal and State Subsidies for Rural DRT (e.g., “Bürgerbus” programs) | Continuity in Low-demand Areas; Stable Long-term Viability |
| France | National and Regional Subsidies; Integration with Public Transport | Regional Councils Subsidize; DRT Services Linked to Rail/Bus Networks | Promotes Multimodal Integration; Accessibility in Peripheral Regions |
| United States | Market-driven; Private Sector Innovation; Flexible Local Regulation | Via, Uber Pilots in >300 Cities; Local Governments Provide Regulatory Flexibility | Rapid Innovation and Expansion; Depends on Private Investment; Unstable Long-term Viability |
| Canada | Municipal-level Support; Emphasis on Rural Accessibility | Ontario and Quebec Rural DRT Pilots with Municipal Funding | Continuity in Low-demand Areas; Limited Scalability without Subsidies |
| China | Government-led Pilots; Integration with Smart City Initiatives | Beijing, Shenzhen DRT Pilots; Subsidies for Technology-Driven Services | Strong Public Investment; Potential for Large-scale Deployment |
| South Korea | Hybrid Model; Smart City and AI-driven Pilots | Seoul “Smart DRT” Projects; Integration with MaaS Platforms | Balances Efficiency and Inclusivity; Strong Technology Orientation |
| Malaysia | Public–private Collaboration; Technology-driven Pilots | Asia Mobility Project Integrating DRT with MaaS | Expands Coverage in Multi-area; Rapid Innovation and Expansion |
| Source | Factor | Objective | Real-Time Performance | Route | Scenes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wu et al. [35] | Fleet Size | Realize the dynamic scheduling of fault risk perception | Reservation Request + Immediate Request | Semi-flexible | Guangzhou Higher Education Mega Center, Guangdong province, China |
| Kaufman et al. [36] | Routing Design | Improve efficiency and fairness | Immediate Request | Semi-flexible | Experimental Simulation |
| Wang et al. [37] | Stop Planning | Improve service coverage and reduce detours | Immediate Request | Flexible | San Francisco |
| Wang et al. [38] | Routing Design | Make a trade-off between realizing route flexibility and curtailing excessive costs | Immediate Request | Semi-flexible | Xiong An, Hebei province, China |
| Lee et al. [39] | Routing Design | Divide the service area into zones to maximize the profit and minimize the detour time cost | Reservation Request + Immediate Request | Flexible | Chengdu, China |
| Zhou et al. [40] | Fleet Size | Optimizes the vehicle scheduling problem at a single time point | Immediate request | Flexible | Experimental Simulation |
| Zhang et al. [41] | Feeder Modes Combination | Pedestrian-friendly | Reservation Request + Immediate Request | Flexible +fixed | Experimental Simulation |
| Wang et al. [42] | Service Zone Identification | Minimize the average cost through optimizing service zone areas and associated headways | Immediate Request | Flexible | City of Calgary, Canada |
| Li et al. [43] | Integrated Optimization | Combine DRT’s strategy with high-speed railway timetabling | Reservation Request + Immediate Request | Flexible | Experimental Simulation |
| Corazza et al. [44] | Operating Period | Analyzes the Sapienza Women’s stated preferences to design a women-reserved night service | Reservation Request | Flexible | Sapienza’s Main Campus, Rome, Italy |
| Kim et al. [45] | Service Zone Size | Optimize headway and service zone size | Immediate Request | Semi-flexible | Experimental Simulation |
| Key Factor | Description | Challenges | Strategies | Case Study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Built Environment | Impact of proximity to fixed-route infrastructure | Dispersed population patterns | Flexible stop placement | Brownsville, Texas |
| Policy Support | Role of policy incentives in DRT viability | Limited financial subsidies | Policy frameworks and institutional support | New South Wales, Australia |
| Demand Density | Influence of low population density on DRT demand | Limited access to conventional transit | Passenger–freight integration | Velenje, Slovenia |
| Operational Focus | Emphasis on stop coverage and timing | Economic constraints | Cost efficiency and convenience | Moree, Australia |
| Economic and Social Benefits | Prioritization of social benefits over profit | Insufficient funding for conventional transit | Enhancing social inclusion and accessibility | Northumberland, England |
| Scenario | Urban | Rural | Intercity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operation Conditions | Similarities | Built Environment, Passenger Arrival Distribution, Demand Density | ||
| Differences | Financial Subsidy, Information Technologies, Shape of Service Areas | Legislative, Financial Subsidy, Shape of Service Areas | Information Technologies | |
| Operation Models | Similarities | Fleet Size, Time Schedule, Routing Design | ||
| Differences | Service Area, Stop Planning, Vehicle Capacity, Travelling Speed | Stop Planning | Vehicle Capacity | |
| Operation Outcomes | Similarities | Operational Cost, Environmental Cost | ||
| Differences | Service Performance, Funding Sources, Fare, Transport Equity, Personalized Mobility | Funding Sources, Transport Equity | Personalized Mobility | |
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Zhang, Y.; Gao, L.; Zhao, X.; Ni, A. Data-Driven Modeling of Demand-Responsive Transit: Evaluating Sustainability Across Urban, Rural, and Intercity Scenarios. Systems 2025, 13, 1080. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13121080
Zhang Y, Gao L, Zhao X, Ni A. Data-Driven Modeling of Demand-Responsive Transit: Evaluating Sustainability Across Urban, Rural, and Intercity Scenarios. Systems. 2025; 13(12):1080. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13121080
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Yunxi, Linjie Gao, Xu Zhao, and Anning Ni. 2025. "Data-Driven Modeling of Demand-Responsive Transit: Evaluating Sustainability Across Urban, Rural, and Intercity Scenarios" Systems 13, no. 12: 1080. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13121080
APA StyleZhang, Y., Gao, L., Zhao, X., & Ni, A. (2025). Data-Driven Modeling of Demand-Responsive Transit: Evaluating Sustainability Across Urban, Rural, and Intercity Scenarios. Systems, 13(12), 1080. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13121080

