1. Introduction
Eradicating poverty remains a persistent and universal challenge [
1,
2,
3]. Although substantial progress has been made globally in reducing poverty over recent decades, relative poverty remains widespread and continues to hinder inclusive and sustainable development [
4,
5]. In 2020, China achieved a historic victory in eliminating absolute poverty, prompting a strategic shift in national poverty governance toward addressing the more complex and concealed dimensions of relative poverty [
6]. Unlike absolute poverty, relative poverty encompasses not only deficits in income and consumption but also broader deprivations in education, healthcare, employment, and subjective well-being [
7,
8,
9]. Consequently, future poverty alleviation initiatives should aim to address the multidimensional and dynamic nature of poverty, a concept that has become a central consensus in international poverty research. Since 2012, China has consistently reduced poverty by over 10 million individuals annually and successfully eradicated both regional and absolute poverty by 2020.
As the global economy evolves, the scope of poverty alleviation has expanded from addressing the basic needs of “food, clothing, and shelter” to focusing on the developmental capacity of poor populations [
10] Concurrently, the measurement of poverty has moved away from a single income-based indicator toward a more comprehensive multidimensional approach. Sen’s [
11] capability poverty theory posits that poverty is not merely defined by low income but also by the lack of essential capabilities, such as the ability to avoid hunger, access education, and enjoy good health. Thus, multidimensional poverty research requires an integrated approach that goes beyond economic analysis to examine the absence of capabilities crucial to individual development. The concept of multidimensional poverty originated from welfare economics, with Sen’s capability approach emphasizing that poverty is not simply the lack of income but the absence of basic living capabilities, such as freedom from hunger, education, and health [
11]. Fuchs [
12] introduced relative poverty, emphasizing that poverty is defined in relation to the deprivation experienced by other social groups. Gurney and Tierney [
13] argued that relative poverty refers to a state of deprivation when individuals lack access to food, infrastructure, services, and activities commonly available to others in society. Townsend [
14] argued that poverty should be defined beyond absolute needs. Alkire and Foster [
15] developed the A-F method, establishing thresholds for various dimensions and considering the degree of deprivation in each to determine multidimensional poverty, emphasizing that income alone cannot account for the full extent of poverty and advocating for a broader, more nuanced understanding of poverty.
Financial services have long been recognized as a key instrument in poverty alleviation [
10]. At the micro level, they help poor households overcome liquidity constraints and facilitate investments in production, education, healthcare, and consumption [
16,
17,
18,
19,
20]. At the macro level, financial development can stimulate regional industrial growth and expand employment and entrepreneurial opportunities, thereby fostering sustained poverty reduction [
21,
22,
23]. However, conventional financial systems have often failed to serve rural populations effectively due to limited outreach, high costs, and poor accessibility [
24].
In recent years, China has emerged as a global leader in digital payments. As of 2023, the national mobile payment penetration rate reached 86%, the highest worldwide. The volume of mobile payment transactions surged from 108.2 trillion yuan in 2015 to 555.3 trillion yuan in 2023, with an average annual growth rate of 64.14%. DIF—an innovative model combining digital technology with inclusive financial services—has played a pivotal role in addressing the financial exclusion faced by rural communities. Through tools such as mobile payments, online lending, and digital wealth management, digital finance has overcome the spatial and temporal constraints of traditional banking [
25,
26,
27,
28].
Extensive empirical evidence confirms that DIF can reduce financial service costs, enhance accessibility, and promote income growth and welfare improvement among rural populations [
29,
30,
31]. For instance, Kenya’s M-Pesa significantly lowered poverty levels and strengthened women’s economic autonomy [
32,
33,
34,
35]. Bangladesh’s digital payment service bKash has been shown to raise rural incomes, enhance social inclusion, and reduce inequality [
36,
37,
38]. In the business sector, the widespread use of digital financial tools has reduced financing difficulties for businesses, supported the growth of SMEs, and driven sustainable economic development [
39,
40,
41]. Furthermore, digital inclusive finance (DIF) has played a crucial role in facilitating the digital transformation of enterprises, with technological innovation acting as a positive moderator and the financial background of executives having a negative moderating effect [
42].
However, some studies point out that the poverty reduction effects of digital inclusive finance exhibit certain heterogeneity and limitations. The accessibility and effectiveness of digital financial services are often constrained by factors such as educational level, household income, and geographic location. These factors may exacerbate the disparities between disadvantaged and advantaged groups, leading to the emergence of issues such as the “digital divide”, “wealth inequality”, “social fragmentation”, and the “Matthew effect” [
42,
43,
44,
45,
46,
47]. Particularly in poor populations with lower educational levels and limited access to information, these negative effects are more pronounced [
48,
49]. While much of the literature focuses on objective poverty alleviation effects, there is a need to also consider endogenous development capabilities. Endogenous development capabilities refer to the intrinsic motivation, beliefs, and self-efficacy of individuals or households to mobilize their potential and resources when facing poverty and challenges. In the context of multidimensional poverty, endogenous development capabilities manifest as individuals’ confidence in the future and their expectations for social mobility and improved living standards [
50].
A review of the existing literature reveals several notable gaps. First, most studies estimate average treatment effects, with insufficient attention paid to how different subgroups—particularly the ultra-poor—benefit from digital finance. Second, while much research has explored whether digital finance reduces poverty, few studies have unpacked how and why it does so. Third, the prevailing focus on static economic indicators such as income and consumption often neglects deeper psychological dimensions of poverty, including confidence, aspiration, and perceived mobility.
Against this backdrop, this study leverages CFPS micro-level panel data from 2010 to 2022 to conduct a comprehensive empirical examination of the impact of DIF on rural multidimensional relative poverty in China. The study offers several key contributions. First, by employing quantile regression and heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, we go beyond average effects to explore how digital finance impacts households at different poverty levels—thereby directly addressing whether digital inclusion truly benefits the poorest. Second, we integrate theoretical analysis with empirical testing to identify three mechanisms—employment promotion, entrepreneurial support, and financial access enhancement—through which digital finance alleviates poverty, thus shedding light on the “black box” of its functional logic. Third, this study integrates both objective and subjective dimensions of poverty alleviation into a unified framework. It not only validates the role of digital inclusive finance in alleviating objective poverty but also explores its effect on subjective poverty reduction by investigating its impact on farmers’ intrinsic motivation for development, thus offering a dual evaluation of both the “achievements” and the “potential” of digital inclusive finance.
The remainder of this study is structured as follows:
Section 2 presents the theoretical framework underpinning the study.
Section 3 describes the materials and methods used, detailing the data sources, variables, and analytical techniques.
Section 4 provides the results and analysis.
Section 5 offers an extended analysis. Finally,
Section 6 discusses the conclusions drawn from the study, highlighting the key findings, limitations, and implications.
4. Results and Analysis
4.1. Baseline Regression
To rigorously assess the impact of DIF on rural multidimensional poverty, this study adopts a stepwise regression approach, progressively introducing control variables to ensure the robustness of coefficient estimates (see
Table 3). The estimation begins with household-level controls, including age, gender, education level, household assets, and family size. Subsequently, county-level macro controls are added: industrial structure, foreign direct investment (FDI), per capita GDP, and urbanization rate.
Columns (1) and (2) of
Table 3 report results without individual and time-fixed effects, while columns (3) and (4) incorporate both. Across all model specifications, the coefficient on DIF remains significantly negative, indicating that the expansion of DIF significantly alleviates multidimensional poverty in rural areas. Specifically, in the models without fixed effects (columns 1–2), the coefficients for DIF are −0.0396 and −0.0569, both statistically significant at the 1% level. When individual and time-fixed effects are included (columns 3–4), the coefficients increase in magnitude to −0.0563 and −0.1008, again significant at the 1% level. These results suggest that the negative association between DIF and rural multidimensional poverty becomes stronger when accounting for unobserved heterogeneity, underscoring the robustness and strength of this relationship. Hence, Hypothesis 1 is proven.
Regarding control variables, higher education attainment, older age, greater household assets, and larger household size are all associated with significantly lower poverty scores, as indicated by the consistently negative and significant coefficients. In contrast, the gender of the household head has a significant positive coefficient, implying that male-headed households experience higher poverty levels than their female counterparts.
At the regional level, the coefficients for industrial structure and GDP per capita are significantly positive, possibly reflecting growing income inequality amid economic development. Conversely, FDI and urbanization have negative and significant coefficients, suggesting that greater capital inflows and urban integration help improve rural livelihoods by expanding employment opportunities and reducing poverty.
4.2. Endogeneity Test
To ensure the causal validity of the estimated relationship between DIF and rural multidimensional poverty, this study applies a two-stage least squares (2SLS) approach to address potential endogeneity. The diffusion of digital finance depends heavily on underlying information and communication infrastructure, which is historically linked to postal service coverage—an exogenous factor unrelated to current poverty levels. Additionally, digital finance originated in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, and the geographic proximity to this hub influences a region’s exposure to digital financial innovations, yet has no direct impact on poverty itself.
Following the established literature [
78,
79], two instrumental variables are constructed: (1) the interaction between the number of post offices per 100 residents in 1984 and the previous year’s internet penetration rate (historical_post offices), and (2) the spherical geographic distance from each county to Hangzhou, also interacting with lagged internet penetration (distance).
As shown in
Table 4, both instruments are strongly and positively correlated with DIF in the first-stage regressions, with coefficients of 0.7958 and 0.7539, respectively, each significant at the 1% level. These results confirm the instruments’ relevance and exclude weak identification concerns. In the second-stage regressions, DIF remains significantly negative, with coefficients of −0.1186 and −0.0583. This confirms the robustness of the causal effect of DIF in reducing rural multidimensional poverty.
4.3. Robustness Test
To further test the reliability of the baseline findings, three robust checks are conducted. First, all observations from Zhejiang Province—where digital finance originated—are removed to address potential bias due to regional overrepresentation. Second, the dependent variable is redefined using a binary indicator based on the national poverty line of 4000 RMB (2020), coded as 1 if the household income falls below this threshold and 0 otherwise. Third, continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles to minimize the influence of outliers.
Across all three robustness tests (
Table 5), the estimated coefficients for DIF remain significantly negative, reinforcing the validity and consistency of the main conclusions.
4.4. Heterogeneity Analysis
4.4.1. Heterogeneity by Poverty Quantile
Recognizing that the impact of DIF may vary across the poverty distribution, this study employs a quantile regression framework to explore distributional heterogeneity. The analysis divides the rural population into ten deciles according to their multidimensional poverty levels with household- and region-level controls included.
Figure 2 illustrates the variation in treatment effects across poverty levels. As poverty deepens (i.e., higher quantiles), the absolute value of the DIF coefficient increases, suggesting that DIF delivers stronger poverty reduction benefits to the most disadvantaged households. This trend highlights a marginal benefit issue in economics, where the marginal benefit of digital inclusive finance is greatest for the poorest groups. This finding underscores the “poverty-reducing” nature of digital inclusive finance, showing that its effect is most notable for the most impoverished populations. Practically, this heterogeneity suggests that digital inclusive finance not only reduces the overall level of rural multidimensional poverty but is especially effective for the most disadvantaged, helping to reduce inequality within impoverished communities.
4.4.2. Regional Heterogeneity
China’s vast geography and regional diversity give rise to marked differences in economic development, governance capacity, and cultural norms. These disparities may significantly shape how DIF impacts rural multidimensional poverty across the country. To explore such regional heterogeneity, this study considers both macro-geographic divisions and spatial proximity to administrative centers.
First, the sample was segmented into eastern, central, and western regions. The regression results in
Table 6 reveal that DIF has a statistically significant negative association with rural multidimensional poverty in all three regions, with coefficients of −0.1202 (east), −0.1097 (central), and −0.1492 (west), all at the 1% significance level. Among them, the west shows the strongest effect. This is likely due to its relatively weaker economic base and lower penetration of traditional financial services, making the marginal gains from DIF more pronounced. In contrast, the eastern region, while more affluent overall, continues to grapple with relative poverty, and DIF plays an important role in equalizing financial access and expanding opportunity.
Second, rural households were classified by their distance from county centers. Using survey responses on travel time, we distinguished between “proximate” and “remote” villages. The analysis reveals that DIF exerts a substantially greater poverty-reducing impact in remote areas (coefficient = −0.1719) than in those closer to county seats (coefficient = −0.0921), both results significant at the 1% level. This suggests that DIF is especially effective in underserved regions where traditional financial services are limited. The stronger effects observed in remote areas reflect the compensatory role of digital finance in extending the reach of poverty alleviation tools, reinforcing its promise as a mechanism for promoting regional equity.
4.4.3. Individual-Level Heterogeneity
Beyond regional differences, this study explores how the impact of Digital Inclusive Finance (DIF) on multidimensional poverty varies across individuals with different characteristics. Rural households differ significantly in terms of gender, education, and digital literacy, which may lead to differentiated responses to financial interventions. To examine these variations, we conduct subgroup regressions based on three dimensions:
Gender: Samples are divided into male and female groups to assess gender-based differences in the effectiveness of DIF.
Education: Individuals are classified as low education or high education based on whether their years of schooling fall below or exceed the sample average (9.1754 years).
Digital literacy: Digital proficiency is measured by the frequency of using the internet for learning (on a 1–7 scale). Scores of 1–4 indicate low digital literacy, and 5–7 indicate high digital literacy.
The results are presented in
Table 7. The analysis shows that DIF has a stronger poverty reduction effect among women, suggesting that digital finance may compensate for their historical exclusion from formal financial systems. The flexibility and accessibility of digital tools may help women access new economic opportunities, leading to greater marginal benefits. Similarly, individuals with lower levels of education benefit more from DIF. This indicates that those with limited formal schooling rely more heavily on digital financial services, underscoring the compensatory nature of DIF in reaching underserved populations. Surprisingly, those with lower digital literacy also show greater gains. This may be due to a “basic access effect”—even limited digital skills can unlock meaningful improvements in financial access and household welfare, particularly when platforms are designed to be user-friendly.
These findings highlight a broader point. While DIF appears especially effective for women, less-educated individuals, and those with low digital proficiency, this does not imply that it is ineffective for men, highly educated individuals, or digitally skilled users. Rather, the stronger marginal effects observed among disadvantaged groups likely reflect their lower baseline access to financial resources and services. In contrast, better-off groups—who face fewer constraints—naturally exhibit smaller marginal improvements. This phenomenon reflects a “poverty gradient paradox”: those with the least access stand to gain the most. Importantly, this does not diminish the significance of DIF for more advantaged groups but rather affirms its value in equity-oriented resource allocation. The greatest contribution of digital inclusive finance may not lie in raising average outcomes but in precisely reaching and meaningfully improving the lives of those most often excluded from traditional financial systems.
4.5. Mechanism Analysis
To uncover the pathways through which DIF alleviates multidimensional poverty, this study tests three theoretical channels: enhancing employment, promoting entrepreneurship, and improving access to financial services.
Table 8 presents the corresponding regression results.
First, DIF significantly increases the likelihood of employment among rural households (coefficient = 0.1048, p < 0.01), suggesting that digital tools may enhance labor market participation by improving access to job-related information and reducing search costs. Second, DIF positively influences household entrepreneurship (coefficient = 0.0874, p < 0.01), indicating that expanded access to financial tools encourages business formation and self-employment among the rural poor. Third, the strongest effect is observed in financial accessibility (coefficient = 0.1753, p < 0.01), reflecting DIF’s success in easing credit constraints and reducing financial exclusion. By lowering both the supply- and demand-side barriers to finance, digital platforms enable poor households to invest in productive activities, manage risks, and smooth consumption, thereby substantially mitigating their multidimensional deprivation. Consequently, Hypothesis 2 is validated.
5. Extended Analysis: Stimulating Subjective Motivation for Poverty Alleviation
While previous sections focused on the objective impact of DIF on multidimensional rural poverty, effective poverty reduction strategies must also attend to the internal motivation of impoverished groups. Beyond improving material conditions, sustainable poverty alleviation requires cultivating individuals’ belief in their own capacity to improve their lives.
To assess this dimension, the study introduces four subjective indicators reflecting an individual’s psychological drive to escape poverty: (1) confidence in the future, (2) perceived severity of employment challenges, (3) perceived return to effort, and (4) perceived opportunity for life improvement. These variables are derived from the CFPS questionnaire. Specifically, respondents rated their confidence in the future on a scale of 1–5 (higher values indicate stronger optimism); concern about employment issues on a scale of 0–10 (higher values indicate more severe perceived problems); belief that hard work is rewarded on a scale of 1–5; and perception of opportunities for improving living standards, also on a 1–5 scale.
To assess the influence of digital inclusive finance on farmers’ subjective motivation for poverty alleviation, and given that these subjective variables are ordinal discrete variables, an ordered Probit model is employed. The following ordered Probit regression model is constructed:
where
Yit denotes each subjective motivation variable,
DIFit measures the level of digital financial development in the respondent’s county, and the remaining terms follow the benchmark model specifications.
As shown in
Table 9, DIF has a statistically significant positive impact on future confidence (coefficient = 0.2726), perceived returns to effort (0.3345), and life improvement expectations (0.4828), while significantly reducing the perceived severity of employment challenges (−0.9707). Therefore, Hypothesis 3 is substantiated.
In summary, these findings suggest that DIF has not only improved the economic conditions of poor farmers but also, and more importantly, significantly triggered their subjective motivation for poverty reduction. From the perspective of Self-Determination Theory and Empowerment Theory, digital inclusive finance has effectively fostered the activation of their intrinsic motivations. This internal drive is manifested in the enhancement of psychological empowerment and self-efficacy. In this study, farmers’ increased confidence in the future, reduced concerns about employment, stronger belief in work-related rewards, and greater hope for improving their living standards all reflect a positive change in their mindset. This shift has not only motivated farmers to take concrete actions to improve their lives but has also established a psychological foundation for sustainable poverty alleviation efforts.
6. Discussion
This study provides comprehensive empirical evidence on the differentiated impacts of DIF on multidimensional relative poverty in rural China, drawing on micro-level data from seven waves of the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) between 2010 and 2022. Our findings reinforce and extend existing literature, confirming the pro-poor characteristics of digital financial services while uncovering nuanced heterogeneity and mechanisms that previous studies often overlooked.
First, our results align with previous evidence suggesting that DIF substantially reduces poverty by enhancing financial accessibility, fostering employment, and stimulating entrepreneurial activities [
25,
30,
57]. However, our study goes beyond affirming these outcomes, revealing that the poverty-reduction effects are disproportionately stronger among the poorest rural households, thereby directly addressing ongoing debates regarding the “digital divide” and the potential for digital finance to inadvertently widen socioeconomic gaps [
45,
46]. This finding enriches the literature by clearly demonstrating DIF’s ability to effectively target and benefit the most vulnerable segments of the population.
Moreover, regional heterogeneity analyses contribute novel insights to the discourse on geographic disparities in financial inclusion. Consistent with prior observations that digital financial solutions are particularly impactful in underdeveloped regions [
32,
33], our findings illustrate a pronounced effectiveness of DIF in China’s western rural regions and more remote villages. This highlights DIF’s essential role as a compensatory mechanism addressing regional imbalances caused by traditional financial infrastructures’ shortcomings.
Crucially, a key contribution of this study is its expansion of the theoretical framework in poverty reduction research by introducing the long-neglected dimension of “subjective motivation for poverty alleviation”. The empirical results show that digital inclusive finance significantly improves farmers’ psychological capital by enhancing their optimism about the future, reducing their perception of employment barriers, and strengthening their belief in economic mobility. Given the current shift in poverty alleviation efforts towards addressing relative poverty, these subjective factors are increasingly crucial, as the focus has moved from absolute to relative poverty. Subjective agency, in this context, is the most effective means of addressing relative poverty. This finding offers direct empirical support for the theory of “psychological empowerment driving sustainable poverty reduction” [
50,
71], emphasizing the critical role of intrinsic motivation and psychological factors in poverty management.
Nevertheless, several limitations of this study warrant careful consideration. Firstly, our research employs data specific to China, where rapid digital finance development, robust infrastructure, and strong governmental support provide a unique enabling environment. Thus, the generalizability of findings to contexts with less developed digital infrastructures or weaker institutional support may be limited. Secondly, despite robust methodological approaches addressing endogeneity, the possibility of residual confounding due to unobserved variables remains. Future research could enhance validity by incorporating experimental or quasi-experimental methods and comparative cross-national analyses to validate these findings.
In conclusion, our study establishes that DIF significantly mitigates multidimensional rural poverty and is particularly beneficial for the poorest households through mechanisms of employment enhancement, entrepreneurial stimulation, and improved financial accessibility. More importantly, DIF also profoundly influences subjective factors by bolstering rural households’ self-confidence and reducing psychological barriers to self-improvement, fostering sustainable and intrinsic poverty alleviation.
In light of the findings, the following policy suggestions are offered: First, focus on closing the digital divide by prioritizing technologies and infrastructure tailored to rural areas, with directed investments in digital infrastructure for remote and disadvantaged regions to ensure physical access to inclusive financial services. Second, enhance financial capacity by creating specialized financial literacy programs to assist farmers in maximizing the benefits of digital financial services. Third, integrate psychological support mechanisms by incorporating psychological capital development into poverty alleviation strategies to fully unlock the transformative potential of digital finance. Furthermore, financial institutions should make full use of digital technologies to create and promote inclusive financial products and services that cater to economically disadvantaged and financially vulnerable populations, ensuring these products are inclusive, convenient, and cost-effective. Additionally, as digital finance expands in rural areas, there is a growing need to improve legal safeguards. Policymakers should strengthen judicial oversight by integrating legal education within digital finance platforms, promoting online arbitration and mediation as accessible alternatives for resolving financial disputes efficiently; enhance civil litigation frameworks to ensure timely and affordable access to legal recourse, especially for rural residents; and train judicial officials in digital finance laws to handle related disputes effectively.
7. Conclusions
This study, based on data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) from 2010 to 2022, with a sample of 35,798, delves into the differentiated effects and underlying mechanisms of digital inclusive finance in alleviating rural multidimensional relative poverty. The results demonstrate that digital inclusive finance significantly reduces multidimensional poverty in rural areas, with the poverty alleviation effect being especially significant for deeper poverty groups, showcasing its “pro-poor” characteristics. Further analysis of heterogeneity reveals that digital inclusive finance has a more substantial poverty reduction effect in the western regions and rural areas that are farther from county seats, confirming its efficacy in economically lagging regions. At the individual level, DIF yields greater benefits for women, the less educated, and those with lower digital literacy, suggesting that digital inclusive finance is most effective among disadvantaged groups, underscoring its role as a targeted poverty alleviation tool. In addition, the study systematically analyzes how digital inclusive finance alleviates poverty by promoting employment, fostering entrepreneurship, and improving the accessibility of financial services.
Notably, digital inclusive finance not only alleviates poverty at the economic level but also plays an important role in stimulating the subjective motivation for poverty alleviation. By enhancing farmers’ confidence in the future, improving their perception of employment issues, and increasing their recognition of work rewards and life improvement opportunities, digital inclusive finance significantly boosts their intrinsic motivation, offering psychological support and driving force for long-term poverty reduction. Overall, this study provides new insights into the multidimensional effects of digital inclusive finance on poverty governance and offers empirical support for policymakers working to promote digital finance policies.