Clinical Utility and Limitations of Traditional Risk Scores (EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, and STS-PROM) in Patients Undergoing TAVI: A Narrative Review
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Search Strategy
- Structural cardiac interventions (TAVI/TAVR, TEER, MitraClip, PASCAL, TriClip, hybrid procedures, SAVR, MVR),
- Risk models (EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, STS-PROM, CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS-BLED, risk score*, risk model*),
- Clinical outcomes (mortality, 30-day mortality, in-hospital mortality, stroke, acute kidney injury, outcome*, prediction, AUC, calibration).
- Observational studies, registries, or meta-analyses involving adults undergoing structural cardiac interventions,
- Evaluation of classical risk models or comparison with new tools,
- Reporting of predictive ability (AUC/c-statistic, calibration, O/E ratio) or clinical endpoints.
3. Most Commonly Used Risk Scales—Description and Original Cohorts
4. Validation of Risk Scales in Contemporary Patient Populations
5. Evidence Supporting the Need to Modify or Recalibrate the Models
6. Discussion
7. Conclusions
8. Limitations
9. Practical Recommendations
- EuroSCORE II and STS-PROM scores should be considered indicative rather than definitive.
- Treatment decisions must be based on a multidisciplinary Heart Team discussion, taking into account frailty assessment, quality of life, and patient preferences.
- There is an urgent need to develop and validate new, dedicated risk models for structural procedures, ideally based on large registries and machine learning methods.
- Until such tools are introduced, it is recommended to use local recalibration or to add TAVI/TEER-specific variables (frailty, CT data, biomarkers).
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AF | Atrial Fibrillation |
| AUC | Area Under the Curve (c-statistic) |
| CABG | Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting |
| CHA2DS2-VASc | Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥ 75 (doubled), Diabetes, Stroke (doubled), Vascular disease, Age 65–74, Sex category (female) |
| COPD | Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease |
| HAS-BLED | Hypertension, Abnormal renal/liver function, Stroke, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile INR, Elderly (>65), Drugs/alcohol concomitantly |
| ML | Machine Learning |
| MVR | Mitral Valve Repair/Replacement |
| NYHA | New York Heart Association |
| O/E | Observed/Expected ratio |
| PRE-TAVR | Patient Risk Evaluation for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement |
| SAVR | Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement |
| STS-PROM | Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality |
| TAVI (TAVR) | Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation (Replacement) |
| TEER | Transcatheter Edge-to-Edge Repair |
| TVT | Transcatheter Valve Therapy (registry) |
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| Risk Score | Year | Original Cohort | No. of Variables | Main Procedures | c-Statistic (AUC) | Discriminatory Ability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EuroSCORE | 1999 | 19,030 (Europe) | 17 | CABG (60%), valve (30%) | 0.78–0.82 | Good |
| EuroSCORE II | 2012 | 22,381 (Europe) | 18 | Broad cardiac surgery | 0.81–0.85 | Good |
| STS-PROM | 2008 | >774,000 procedures, USA | 30–40 lub 20+ | CABG and isolated valve surgery | 0.80–0.82 | Good |
| CHA2DS2-VASc | 2010 | 1084 patients, Euro Heart Survey AF | 9 | Atrial fibrillation | 0.61 | Poor to fair |
| HAS-BLED | 2010 | 3978 Euro Heart Survey AF | 9 | Atrial fibrillation | 0.72 | Fair |
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Klausa, F.; Świątoniowska-Lonc, N.; Skotny, A.; Mak, M.A.; Wysokińska-Kordybach, A.; Skiba, J.; Ściborski, K.; Banasiak, W.; Doroszko, A. Clinical Utility and Limitations of Traditional Risk Scores (EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, and STS-PROM) in Patients Undergoing TAVI: A Narrative Review. J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15, 4113. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15114113
Klausa F, Świątoniowska-Lonc N, Skotny A, Mak MA, Wysokińska-Kordybach A, Skiba J, Ściborski K, Banasiak W, Doroszko A. Clinical Utility and Limitations of Traditional Risk Scores (EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, and STS-PROM) in Patients Undergoing TAVI: A Narrative Review. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2026; 15(11):4113. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15114113
Chicago/Turabian StyleKlausa, Filip, Natalia Świątoniowska-Lonc, Anna Skotny, Marek A. Mak, Agnieszka Wysokińska-Kordybach, Jacek Skiba, Krzysztof Ściborski, Waldemar Banasiak, and Adrian Doroszko. 2026. "Clinical Utility and Limitations of Traditional Risk Scores (EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, and STS-PROM) in Patients Undergoing TAVI: A Narrative Review" Journal of Clinical Medicine 15, no. 11: 4113. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15114113
APA StyleKlausa, F., Świątoniowska-Lonc, N., Skotny, A., Mak, M. A., Wysokińska-Kordybach, A., Skiba, J., Ściborski, K., Banasiak, W., & Doroszko, A. (2026). Clinical Utility and Limitations of Traditional Risk Scores (EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, and STS-PROM) in Patients Undergoing TAVI: A Narrative Review. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 15(11), 4113. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15114113

