Decreasing Antibody Titers and the Slow Decay of Measles Immunity in Mexico’s Current Epidemiological Landscape
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Population
2.2. Sample Collection and Serological Analysis
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Sociodemographic and Clinical Characteristics
3.2. Anti-Measles IgG Levels According to Clinical History and Recent Infection
3.3. Serology According to Historical Vaccination Schemes
3.4. Factors Associated with Anti-Measles IgG Levels
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| MV | Measles morbillivirus |
| MMR | Measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine |
| MMRV | Measles, mumps, rubella, and varicella vaccine |
| IgG | Immunoglobulin G |
| IQR | Interquartile range |
| GMC | Geometric mean concentration |
| CI | Confidence interval |
| ELISA | Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay |
| PRNT | Plaque-reduction neutralization test |
| WHO | World Health Organization |
| R0 | Basic reproduction number |
| ANOVA | Analysis of variance |
| IICB | Instituto de Investigación en Ciencias Biomédicas |
| COVID-19 | Coronavirus disease 2019 |
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| Variable | Total (N = 302) |
|---|---|
| Age (year) a | 26 (19–35) |
| Sex, n (%) | |
| Female | 174 (57.6) |
| Male | 128 (42.4) |
| Educational level, n (%) | |
| Basic | 3 (1) |
| High School | 114 (37.7) |
| Bachelor’s degree | 112 (37.1) |
| Postgraduate degree | 73 (24.2) |
| Region of birth in Mexico, n (%) | |
| North | 18 (6) |
| Center | 256 (84.8) |
| South-central | 13 (4.3) |
| South-Southeast | 15 (5) |
| Comorbidities, n (%) | |
| None | 259 (85.7) |
| Arterial hypertension | 11 (3.6) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 5 (1.7) |
| Asthma | 6 (2) |
| Other | 21 (7) |
| Corticosteroid treatment, n (%) | 10 (3.3) |
| Recent nonspecific infection (<3 months), n (%) b | 68 (22.5) |
| History of measles vaccination, n (%) | |
| Vaccinated, number of doses unknown | 95 (31.4) |
| One dose | 37 (12.3) |
| Two doses | 93 (30.8) |
| Three doses | 20 (6.6) |
| Unknown | 57 (18.9) |
| History of measles infection, n (%) | |
| Yes | 14 (4.6) |
| No | 274 (90.8) |
| Unknown | 14 (4.6) |
| Anti-measles IgG (mIU/mL) c | 270.43 (95% CI: 244.69–298.87) |
| Anti-measles IgG interpretation, n (%) | |
| Negative (<150 mIU/mL) | 78 (25.8) |
| Indeterminate (150–200 mIU/mL) | 21 (7) |
| Positive (>200 mIU/mL) | 203 (67.2) |
| Variable | Coefficient (β) | CI 95% | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (year) | 0.021 | 0.013–0.030 | <0.001 |
| Sex | 0.614 | ||
| Female (reference) | - | - | |
| Male | −0.056 | −0.277–0.164 | |
| History of measles infection | 0.204 | ||
| No history (reference) | - | - | |
| History of infection | 0.339 | −0.185–0.863 | |
| History of measles vaccination | 0.438 | ||
| No history (reference) | - | - | |
| One dose | 0.089 | −0.247–0.425 | |
| Two doses | −0.117 | −0.363–0.129 | |
| Three doses | −0.264 | −0.702–0.174 |
| Variable | Coefficient (β) | 95% CI | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical vaccination strategy | <0.001 | ||
| 1998 onward (reference) | - | - | |
| 1978–1997 | 0.111 | −0.314–0.537 | |
| 1970–1977 | 0.801 | −0.101–1.703 | |
| Before 1970 | 1.799 | 0.692–2.906 | |
| Age (years) | −0.009 | −0.035–0.018 | 0.521 |
| Sex | 0.820 | ||
| Female (reference) | - | - | |
| Male | −0.025 | −0.240–0.190 | |
| History of measles infection | 0.360 | ||
| No history (reference) | - | - | |
| History of infection | 0.240 | −0.275–0.754 | |
| History of measles vaccination | 0.709 | ||
| Unknown/cannot recall (reference) | - | - | |
| One dose | 0.136 | −0.191–0.462 | |
| Two doses | −0.021 | −0.263–0.221 | |
| Three doses | −0.144 | −0.574–0.286 |
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Muñoz-Valle, J.F.; Macedo-Ojeda, G.; Turrubiates-Hernández, F.J.; Hernández-Bello, J.; García-Arellano, S.; Hernández-Ramírez, C.O.; Baños-Hernández, C.J.; Coronado-Carrillo, P.M.; Lona-Reyes, J.C.; Viera-Segura, O. Decreasing Antibody Titers and the Slow Decay of Measles Immunity in Mexico’s Current Epidemiological Landscape. Vaccines 2026, 14, 234. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14030234
Muñoz-Valle JF, Macedo-Ojeda G, Turrubiates-Hernández FJ, Hernández-Bello J, García-Arellano S, Hernández-Ramírez CO, Baños-Hernández CJ, Coronado-Carrillo PM, Lona-Reyes JC, Viera-Segura O. Decreasing Antibody Titers and the Slow Decay of Measles Immunity in Mexico’s Current Epidemiological Landscape. Vaccines. 2026; 14(3):234. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14030234
Chicago/Turabian StyleMuñoz-Valle, José Francisco, Gabriela Macedo-Ojeda, Francisco Javier Turrubiates-Hernández, Jorge Hernández-Bello, Samuel García-Arellano, Cristian Oswaldo Hernández-Ramírez, Christian Johana Baños-Hernández, Pablo Moisés Coronado-Carrillo, Juan Carlos Lona-Reyes, and Oliver Viera-Segura. 2026. "Decreasing Antibody Titers and the Slow Decay of Measles Immunity in Mexico’s Current Epidemiological Landscape" Vaccines 14, no. 3: 234. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14030234
APA StyleMuñoz-Valle, J. F., Macedo-Ojeda, G., Turrubiates-Hernández, F. J., Hernández-Bello, J., García-Arellano, S., Hernández-Ramírez, C. O., Baños-Hernández, C. J., Coronado-Carrillo, P. M., Lona-Reyes, J. C., & Viera-Segura, O. (2026). Decreasing Antibody Titers and the Slow Decay of Measles Immunity in Mexico’s Current Epidemiological Landscape. Vaccines, 14(3), 234. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14030234

