4. Discussion
Neuroimmune dysregulation has been proposed as a central mechanism underlying the neurological and psychiatric manifestations of post-COVID-19 condition [
7,
26,
27]. Acute SARS-CoV-2 infection induces a marked systemic inflammatory response characterized by elevated cytokines, chemokines, and immune cell activation, which has been proposed to disrupt blood–brain barrier integrity and promote glial activation, potentially altering neuronal homeostasis [
28,
29,
30]. These processes may lead to long-lasting changes in neural network function even after systemic inflammation has resolved and in the absence of ongoing structural neuronal injury.
Several proteins released into cerebrospinal fluid and blood during neuronal or astrocytic stress have been widely used as indirect indicators of central nervous system involvement in COVID-19 and other neuroinflammatory or neurodegenerative conditions [
31,
32]. These include neurofilament light, medium, and heavy chains, which reflect axonal integrity; glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), a marker of astrocytic reactivity and injury; as well as tau and phosphorylated tau, S100B, TNF-α, and vimentin, which together capture different aspects of neuronal damage, glial activation, and blood–brain barrier disruption [
26,
27,
31,
32,
33,
34,
35,
36,
37,
38,
39].
The present study focused on the plasma proteins neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), two well-established biomarkers of axonal and astrocytic integrity, respectively. NfL is released into biofluids in response to axonal stress or injury, whereas GFAP reflects astrocytic reactivity and damage. Both proteins increase during acute neurological injury and have been reported to rise during moderate and severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, reflecting transient central nervous system involvement [
7,
8,
26,
27,
34,
35,
36,
37,
38].
Accordingly, this study aimed to explore whether long-term plasma concentrations of NfL and GFAP are associated with the severity of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and with persistent cognitive impairment, depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and stress perception in individuals recovered from COVID-19.
The present study identified a weak but statistically significant association between plasma NfL concentrations and the presence of post-COVID-19 condition, as well as a moderate correlation between NfL and GFAP levels. These findings are biologically plausible given that both proteins reflect complementary aspects of neuronal and astrocytic stress during acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and tend to rise in parallel during periods of central nervous system involvement.
The absence of sustained group-level elevation of either biomarker nearly two years after infection is consistent with previous reports showing that NfL and GFAP typically normalize within months after the acute phase, even in patients who go on to develop persistent neurological or psychiatric symptoms. Together, these results suggest that while transient axonal and astrocytic injury may occur during acute COVID-19, long-term post-COVID-19 symptomatology is not driven by ongoing large-scale structural neuronal damage detectable by these circulating biomarkers [
38,
39,
40,
41].
In this study, cognitive impairment was highly prevalent among participants who had experienced moderate or severe COVID-19. Acute disease severity showed an association with long-term cognitive impairment, although the wide confidence interval of the OR reflects the small size and imbalance of the comparison groups. These findings are consistent with multiple previous studies reporting an association between COVID-19 severity, neurological involvement, and subsequent cognitive dysfunction [
39,
40,
41,
42,
43,
44,
45,
46,
47,
48].
Similarly, symptoms of depression, anxiety, and stress perception were markedly more frequent among individuals recovered from moderate or severe SARS-CoV-2 infection. Moderate or severe COVID-19 was associated with significantly increased odds of depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and stress perception, suggesting a greater long-term neuropsychiatric burden in this population. MoCA scores significantly differed between groups, with lower scores in the moderate/severe group indicating greater cognitive impairment. Similarly, DASS-21 scores were significantly higher in these subjects, reflecting a greater burden of depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and stress perception.
No significant association was observed between plasma NfL or GFAP concentrations and the severity of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, in contrast with other studies [
28,
29,
30,
49]. While this finding may partly reflect methodological considerations, it is also biologically plausible given the long interval between infection and evaluation in our cohort (mean 22.7 months) [
40,
47]. Both NfL and GFAP are known to rise during acute and subacute neuronal and astrocytic injury and typically normalize within months after the inflammatory phase of COVID-19 has resolved [
19].
An important implication of these findings is the dissociation between persistent neuropsychiatric symptoms and circulating markers of structural neuronal and astrocytic injury. Despite the high prevalence of cognitive impairment, depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and stress perception observed in individuals who experienced moderate or severe COVID-19, plasma NfL and GFAP concentrations were largely within ranges expected for healthy adults nearly two years after infection. Their normalization in this cohort therefore suggests the absence of ongoing large-scale axonal or astrocytic structural damage nearly two years after infection.
In this sense, while acute disease severity showed a strong association with long-term cognitive and neuropsychiatric outcomes in this study, it does not necessarily imply persistent neurodegeneration [
28,
48].
Several additional associations were identified in exploratory analyses. Female sex was significantly associated with the presence of post-COVID-19 condition, greater acute disease severity, and higher plasma concentrations of NfL and GFAP. These findings are consistent with a growing body of literature reporting a higher prevalence of post-COVID-19 condition in women and suggesting sex-specific vulnerability to immune-mediated and neurobiological sequelae following SARS-CoV-2 infection [
28,
29,
50,
51,
52,
53,
54,
55].
Increasing evidence indicates that post-COVID-19 symptoms may arise from lasting alterations in immune–brain signaling, glial priming, synaptic function, or network-level dysregulation that are not captured by circulating markers of structural injury such as NfL and GFAP [
28,
30,
49].
This pattern suggests that long-term post-COVID-19 neurological and psychiatric sequelae are not driven by ongoing large-fiber axonal degeneration or astrocytic destruction, but rather by more subtle and potentially reversible alterations in neuroimmune signaling, glial function, synaptic organization, and large-scale brain network dynamics. Such a dissociation between symptoms and classical neuroinjury biomarkers has been reported in other post-infectious and neuroimmune conditions and may represent a defining biological feature of post-COVID-19 condition [
5,
28,
30,
49].
Moreover, only a subset of participants fulfilled criteria for post-COVID-19 condition at the time of assessment. The weak association observed between NfL and post-COVID-19 status may reflect subtle or intermittent axonal stress in a subgroup of patients, but it does not account for the overall burden of cognitive and emotional symptoms observed in those with prior moderate or severe infection.
As expected, strong correlations were observed among depressive symptoms, anxiety, and stress perception severity, reflecting the close clinical and neurobiological coupling of affective and stress-related symptoms in post-COVID-19 condition.
Age was also correlated with NfL and GFAP concentrations, consistent with prior studies showing that these biomarkers increase with aging [
7,
8,
9,
10,
17]. Although no significant age differences were observed between the severity groups in this cohort, age-related biomarker variability may still contribute to interindividual differences and should be accounted for in future, larger studies. Also, the relatively narrow age range of the study population and the absence of pre-COVID-19 baseline measurements limit the ability to perform age-adjusted analyses or to exclude subtle chronic neuroaxonal or astrocytic alterations.
An additional interpretation of these findings is that the severity of the acute SARS-CoV-2 infection may act as a biological “imprinting” event on the central nervous system, setting long-term trajectories of neuroimmune and network dysfunction that persist after the resolution of overt tissue injury. Severe systemic inflammation, hypoxia, endothelial dysfunction, and cytokine surges during the acute phase may induce durable changes in microglial state, astrocytic signaling, synaptic pruning, and blood–brain barrier regulation, which in turn affect cognition, mood, and stress regulation. Such mechanisms may help account for the observed association between acute disease severity and long-term neuropsychiatric outcomes in this cohort, even though circulating markers of axonal and astrocytic structural damage have returned to baseline.
These findings also have important clinical implications. The dissociation between persistent neuropsychiatric symptoms and circulating markers of neuronal and astrocytic injury suggests that routine neurodegeneration biomarkers may have limited utility for identifying or monitoring patients with post-COVID-19 neurological and psychiatric sequelae. Instead, clinical assessment, neuropsychological testing, and potentially functional or immune-based biomarkers may be more informative for guiding patient care. This underscores the need to conceptualize post-COVID-19 condition as a disorder of brain function and immune–brain interaction rather than as a progressive neurodegenerative process, with direct implications for the development of targeted therapeutic and rehabilitative strategies.
Furthermore, while depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and stress perception symptoms were highly prevalent in this cohort, these symptoms should not be interpreted as purely psychological or secondary to emotional distress alone. The strong association between acute COVID-19 severity and long-term cognitive and affective outcomes, together with the consistency of these findings across independent studies, supports a biological contribution to post-COVID-19 neuropsychiatric sequelae. Immune-mediated alterations of neural circuits involved in cognition, mood regulation, and stress processing provide a plausible mechanistic substrate linking systemic viral illness to persistent psychiatric and cognitive symptoms, distinguishing post-COVID-19 condition from primary psychiatric disorders.
In this sense, although neuroimmune dysregulation has been implicated in post-COVID-19 condition, the present study focused on established markers of neuronal and astrocytic injury; inflammatory biomarkers were beyond the scope of this exploratory design.
It is also important to recognize that NfL and GFAP capture only specific aspects of central nervous system pathology, namely large-fiber axonal injury and astrocytic structural damage. They do not reflect synaptic dysfunction, microglial activation, neurotransmitter imbalance, or alterations in functional connectivity, all of which are increasingly implicated in post-COVID-19 neurological and psychiatric symptoms. The absence of sustained elevations in these biomarkers should therefore not be interpreted as evidence of an absence of central nervous system involvement, but rather as an indication that the dominant pathological processes in post-COVID-19 condition may lie beyond the scope of currently available circulating structural injury markers.
This study has several limitations that should be considered when interpreting the findings. The sample size was modest, reflecting the logistical complexity and cost of comprehensive neuropsychological and biomarker assessments, as well as the stringent exclusion criteria applied to minimize confounding by metabolic and psychiatric comorbidities. While this approach strengthened internal validity, it limited statistical power and generalizability to the broader post-COVID-19 population, in which such comorbidities are common, particularly for biomarker analyses.
Additionally, the cross-sectional design and modest sample size limited the ability to account for multiple lifestyle and psychosocial factors that may influence neuropsychiatric outcomes over time, including sleep quality, academic or occupational stress, interpersonal relationships, and emotional state. These unmeasured variables may have contributed to interindividual variability and should be addressed in future longitudinal studies. Finally, the absence of pre-COVID-19 baseline assessments of neuropsychiatric symptoms and cognitive performance precludes causal inferences regarding symptom onset and changes over time.
The sex distribution differed between severity groups, with a higher proportion of women in the moderate/severe group. Given that female sex was also associated with post-COVID-19 condition and with higher NfL and GFAP concentrations, residual confounding by sex cannot be excluded and may have influenced both symptom prevalence and biomarker variability. Future studies with sex-balanced cohorts and multivariable adjustment will be required to clarify these relationships.
In addition, participants were evaluated a mean of nearly two years after their acute SARS-CoV-2 infection. This long interval likely contributed to the normalization of circulating NfL and GFAP concentrations and precludes conclusions about biomarker dynamics during the acute and subacute phases of the disease.
The cross-sectional design further limits causal inference, as no baseline or acute-phase biomarker measurements were available for within-subject comparison. Longitudinal studies beginning during acute infection and extending into long-term follow-up will be required to clarify the temporal relationship between neuroaxonal and astrocytic injury and the development of persistent cognitive and neuropsychiatric symptoms. Furthermore, not having direct support from the hospitals involved in the treatment of patients, there was no direct access to their records; therefore, the information collected is dependent on the interviewee.
Furthermore, several methodological limitations related to biomarker quantification should be acknowledged. First, plasma NfL and GFAP concentrations were measured using conventional sandwich ELISA, which has lower analytical sensitivity compared with ultrasensitive platforms such as single-molecule array (SIMOA), particularly for detecting subtle or chronic neuroaxonal injury in young populations. Second, biomarker levels were assessed at a single time point nearly two years after infection, which may have limited the ability to capture transient or earlier elevations. Finally, the absence of pre-COVID-19 baseline measurements limits the ability to draw definitive conclusions regarding individual-level changes over time.
Future studies should employ larger, prospectively followed cohorts to increase statistical power and enable stratification by acute disease severity, sex, and post-COVID-19 clinical phenotype. Longitudinal designs with biomarker and neuropsychological assessments during acute infection and at multiple post-recovery time points will be essential to characterize the temporal dynamics of neuronal and glial injury and their relationship to the development and persistence of cognitive and neuropsychiatric symptoms.
The incorporation of viral variant typing and detailed clinical phenotyping may further clarify heterogeneity in post-COVID-19 trajectories, as different variants and host responses may differentially influence neurological outcomes. Expanding biomarker panels to include additional indicators of neuronal injury, astrocytic activation, immune signaling, and blood–brain barrier integrity, such as tau, phosphorylated tau, S100B, and inflammatory cytokines, would provide a more comprehensive picture of central nervous system involvement.
Collaboration with hospitals, outpatient clinics, and diagnostic laboratories will be critical to facilitate recruitment of well-characterized cohorts and to support the integration of biomarker, clinical, and neuropsychological data at scale.
Taken together, these exploratory findings are consistent with the conceptualization of post-COVID-19 condition as a disorder of brain network regulation rather than one of ongoing structural neurodegeneration. Cognitive, emotional, and stress-related symptoms are mediated by distributed cortico–limbic and brainstem networks that are highly sensitive to immune signaling, glial modulation, and autonomic input. Disruption of these networks during acute SARS-CoV-2 infection may lead to persistent dysregulation of attention, mood, and stress responses without requiring ongoing neuronal loss. This framework is consistent with the normal or near-normal levels of NfL and GFAP observed in this cohort and aligns post-COVID-19 condition with other post-infectious and neuroimmune syndromes characterized by prominent symptoms in the absence of overt tissue destruction.