The Limited Impact of Running Performance on Football Success in the Turkish Super League
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methodology
2.1. Study Design
2.2. Sample
2.3. Ethics
2.4. Procedure
2.5. Variables
2.6. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Descriptive Statistics
3.2. Two-Way ANCOVA
3.3. Binary Logistic Regression
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Plakias, S.; Moustakidis, S.; Mitrotasios, M.; Kokkotis, C.; Tsatalas, T.; Papalexi, M.; Giakas, G.; Tsaopoulos, D. Analysis of playing styles in European football: Insights from a visual mapping approach. J. Phys. Educ. Sport 2023, 23, 1385–1393. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Plakias, S.; Betsios, X.; Kalapotharakos, V. Bridging the gap: Leveraging Power BI to connect data science and soccer coaches. J. Phys. Educ. Sport 2023, 23, 2543–2550. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Plakias, S.; Mandroukas, A.; Kokkotis, C.; Michailidis, Y.; Mavromatis, G.; Metaxas, T. The correlation of the penetrative pass on offensive third with the possession of the ball in high level soccer. Gazz. Medica Ital.-Arch. Sci. Mediche 2022, 181, 633–638. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Plakias, S.; Moustakidis, S.; Kokkotis, C.; Papalexi, M.; Tsatalas, T.; Giakas, G.; Tsaopoulos, D. Identifying Soccer Players’ Playing Styles: A Systematic Review. J. Funct. Morphol. Kinesiol. 2023, 8, 104. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Plakias, S. An integrative review of the game model in soccer: Definition, misconceptions, and practical significance. Trends Sport Sci. 2023, 30, 85–92. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Doğramacı, N.S.; Watsford, L.M. A comparison of two different methods for time-motion analysis in team sports. Int. J. Perform. Anal. Sport 2006, 6, 73–83. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Duthie, G.; Pyne, D.; Hooper, S. Time motion analysis of 2001 and 2002 super 12 rugby. J. Sports Sci. 2005, 23, 523–530. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Wylde, J.M.; Tan, F.H.; O’Donoghue, G.P. A time-motion analysis of elite women’s foil fencing. Int. J. Perform. Anal. Sport 2013, 13, 365–376. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barris, S.; Button, C. A review of vision-based motion analysis in sport. Sports Med. 2008, 38, 1025–1043. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Pino-Ortega, J.; Oliva-Lozano, J.M.; Gantois, P.; Nakamura, F.Y.; Rico-Gonzalez, M. Comparison of the validity and reliability of local positioning systems against other tracking technologies in team sport: A systematic review. Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. Part P J. Sports Eng. Technol. 2022, 236, 73–82. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Rico-Gonzalez, M.; Pino-Ortega, J.; Nakamura, F.Y.; Arruda Moura, F.; Rojas-Valverde, D.; Los Arcos, A. Past, present, and future of the technological tracking methods to assess tactical variables in team sports: A systematic review. Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. Part P J. Sports Eng. Technol. 2020, 234, 281–290. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hands, D.E.; Janse de Jonge, X. Current time-motion analyses of professional football matches in top-level domestic leagues: A systematic review. Int. J. Perform. Anal. Sport 2020, 20, 747–765. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barça Innovation Hub. External Load Monitoring in Team Sports Through EPTS; Barça Innovation Hub: Barcelona, Spain, 2022. [Google Scholar]
- Kim, H.; Kim, J.; Kim, Y.-S.; Kim, M.; Lee, Y. Energy-efficient wearable EPTS device using on-device DCNN processing for football activity classification. Sensors 2020, 20, 6004. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Plakias, S.; Moustakidis, S.; Kokkotis, C.; Tsatalas, T.; Papalexi, M.; Plakias, D.; Giakas, G.; Tsaopoulos, D. Identifying soccer teams’ styles of play: A scoping and critical review. J. Funct. Morphol. Kinesiol. 2023, 8, 39. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pappalardo, L.; Cintia, P.; Rossi, A.; Massucco, E.; Ferragina, P.; Pedreschi, D.; Giannotti, F. A public data set of spatio-temporal match events in soccer competitions. Sci. Data 2019, 6, 236. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Radziminski, L.; Szwarc, A.; Jastrzebski, Z.; Rzeszutko-Belzowska, A. Relationships between technical and physical match performance in elite soccer. Balt. J. Health Phys. Act. 2022, 14, 1. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Klemp, M.; Memmert, D.; Rein, R. The influence of running performance on scoring the first goal in a soccer match. Int. J. Sports Sci. Coach. 2022, 17, 558–567. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Moalla, W.; Fessi, M.S.; Makni, E.; Dellal, A.; Filetti, C.; Di Salvo, V.; Chamari, K. Association of physical and technical activities with partial match status in a soccer professional team. J. Strength Cond. Res. 2018, 32, 1708–1714. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chmura, P.; Konefał, M.; Chmura, J.; Kowalczuk, E.; Zając, T.; Rokita, A.; Andrzejewski, M. Match outcome and running performance in different intensity ranges among elite soccer players. Biol. Sport 2018, 35, 197–203. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Konefał, M.; Chmura, P.; Tessitore, A.; Melcer, T.; Kowalczuk, E.; Chmura, J.; Andrzejewski, M. The impact of match location and players’ physical and technical activities on winning in the German Bundesliga. Front. Psychol. 2020, 11, 1748. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Clemente, A.J.A.; Requena, B.; Jukic, I.; Nayler, J.; Hernández, A.S.; Carling, C. Is physical performance a differentiating element between more or less successful football teams? Sports 2019, 7, 216. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Modric, T.; Versic, S.; Stojanovic, M.; Chmura, P.; Andrzejewski, M.; Konefał, M.; Sekulic, D. Factors affecting match running performance in elite soccer: Analysis of UEFA Champions League matches. Biol. Sport 2022, 40, 409–416. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Modric, T.; Versic, S.; Chmura, P.; Konefał, M.; Andrzejewski, M.; Jukic, I.; Drid, P.; Pocek, S.; Sekulic, D. Match running performance in UEFA champions league: Is there a worthwhile association with team achievement? Biology 2022, 11, 867. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Morgans, R.; Orme, P.; Michele, R.D. Impact of technical and physical performance on match outcome over five elite European soccer seasons. J. Sports Med. Phys. Fit. 2023, 63, 417–429. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Liu, H.; Hopkins, W.G.; Gómez, M.-A. Modelling relationships between match events and match outcome in elite football. Eur. J. Sport Sci. 2016, 16, 516–525. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Pratas, J.; Volossovitch, A.; Carita, A. Analysis of Goal Scoring in Football Matches According to Performance Indicators and the Context of Competition. Ph.D. Thesis, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal, 2017. [Google Scholar]
- Gilbert, E.; Dixon, J.; Loughead, T. An examination of travel effects on performance outcomes in major league soccer. J. Appl. Sport Manag. 2020, 12, 4. [Google Scholar]
- Pérez-Sánchez, J.M.; Gómez-Déniz, E.; Dávila-Cárdenes, N. A comparative study of logistic models using an asymmetric link: Modelling the away victories in football. Symmetry 2018, 10, 224. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhou, C.; Zhang, S.; Lorenzo Calvo, A.; Cui, Y. Chinese soccer association super league, 2012–2017: Key performance indicators in balance games. Int. J. Perform. Anal. Sport 2018, 18, 645–656. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barrera, J.; Sarmento, H.; Clemente, F.M.; Field, A.; Figueiredo, A.J. The effect of contextual variables on match performance across different playing positions in professional Portuguese soccer players. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 5175. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Plakias, S.; Moustakidis, E.; Mitrotasios, M.; Kokkotis, C.; Tsatalas, T.; Papalexi, M.; Giakas, G.; Tsaopoulos, D. A Multivariate and cluster analysis of diverse playing styles across European Football Leagues. J. Phys. Educ. Sport 2023, 23, 1631–1641. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Plakias, S.; Michailidis, Y. Factors Affecting the Running Performance of Soccer Teams in the Turkish Super League. Sports 2024, 12, 196. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Plakias, S.; Tsatalas, T.; Moustakidis, S.; Kalapotharakos, V.; Kokkotis, C.; Papalexi, M.; Giakas, G.; Tsaopoulos, D. Exploring the influence of playing styles on physical demands in professional football. Hum. Mov. 2023, 24, 36–43. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- FIFA. Instat-Fifa-Epts-Report-Oct-2019. Available online: https://digitalhub.fifa.com/m/2fd538ffbae39eb2/original/instat-fifa-epts-report-oct-2019.pdf (accessed on 4 July 2023).
- Rampinini, E.; Coutts, A.J.; Castagna, C.; Sassi, R.; Impellizzeri, F. Variation in top level soccer match performance. Int. J. Sports Med. 2007, 28, 1018–1024. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Modric, T.; Esco, M.; Perkovic, S.; Basic, Z.; Versic, S.; Morgans, R.; Sekulic, D. Artificial Turf Increases the Physical Demand of Soccer by Heightening Match Running Performance Compared with Natural Grass. J. Strength Cond. Res. 2023, 37, 2222–2228. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Khammar, A.; Yarahmadi, M.; Madadizadeh, F. What is analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) and how to correctly report its results in medical research? Iran J Public Health 2018, 49, 1016. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cohen, J. Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences; Routledge: New York, NY, USA, 2013. [Google Scholar]
- Pollard, R.; Gómez, M.A. Components of home advantage in 157 national soccer leagues worldwide. Int. J. Sport Exerc. Psychol. 2014, 12, 218–233. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Seckin, A.; Pollard, R. Home advantage in Turkish professional soccer. Percept. Mot. Ski. 2008, 107, 51–54. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pollard, R.; Pollard, G. Home advantage in soccer: A review of its existence and causes. Int. J. Soccer Sci. 2005, 3, 28–38. [Google Scholar]
- Neave, N.; Wolfson, S. The Home Advantage: Psychological and Physiological Factors in Soccer. In Coping and Emotion in Sport; Nova Science Publishers: Hauppauge, NY, USA, 2004; pp. 131–148. [Google Scholar]
- Song, J. Research on soccer prediction model based on machine learning combined with domain knowledge. Appl. Comput. Eng. 2023, 21, 161–168. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Macrì Demartino, R.; Egidi, L.; Torelli, N. Alternative ranking measures to predict international football results. Comput. Stat. 2024, 1–19. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Andrzejewski, M.; Oliva-Lozano, J.M.; Chmura, P.; Chmura, J.; Czarniecki, S.; Kowalczuk, E.; Rokita, A.; Muyor, J.M.; Konefał, M. Analysis of team success based on match technical and running performance in a professional soccer league. BMC Sports Sci. Med. Rehabil. 2022, 14, 82. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Gonzalez-Rodenas, J.; Mitrotasios, M.; Aranda, R.; Armatas, V. Combined effects of tactical, technical and contextual factors on shooting effectiveness in European professional soccer. Int. J. Perform. Anal. Sport 2020, 20, 280–293. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pratas, J.M.; Volossovitch, A.; Carita, A.I. Goal scoring in elite male football: A systematic review. J. Hum. Sport Exerc. 2018, 13, 218–230. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhou, C.; Hopkins, W.G.; Mao, W.; Calvo, A.L.; Liu, H. Match performance of soccer teams in the Chinese super league—Effects of situational and environmental factors. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2019, 16, 4238. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- García-Rubio, J.; Gómez, M.Á.; Lago-Peñas, C.; Ibáñez, J.S. Effect of match venue, scoring first and quality of opposition on match outcome in the UEFA Champions League. Int. J. Perform. Anal. Sport 2015, 15, 527–539. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Prieto, J.; Gómez, M.-Á.; Sampaio, J. From a static to a dynamic perspective in handball match analysis: A systematic review. Open Sports Sci. J. 2015, 8, 25–34. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Plakias, S.; Tsatalas, T.; Mina, M.A.; Kokkotis, C.; Flouris, A.D.; Giakas, G. The Impact of Heat Exposure on the Health and Performance of Soccer Players: A Narrative Review and Bibliometric Analysis. Sports 2024, 12, 249. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
Running Variables | Abbreviations |
---|---|
Distance on speed 0–4 m/s (low intensity) | LOW |
Distance on speed 4.01–5.5 m/s (medium intensity) | MED |
Distance on speed 5.51–7 m/s (high-speed running) | HS |
Distance on speed over 7 m/s (sprint) | SPR |
Running Variable | Result | Location | Mean | Std. Deviation | N |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LOW | Win | Home | 85,463.69 | 2465.62 | 95 |
Away | 86,305.24 | 3252.12 | 49 | ||
No win | Home | 85,319.60 | 2908.47 | 90 | |
Away | 84,826.56 | 2732.10 | 136 | ||
MED | Win | Home | 18,922.25 | 1685.65 | 95 |
Away | 19,026.51 | 1523.09 | 49 | ||
No win | Home | 19,019.76 | 1716.30 | 90 | |
Away | 18,695.01 | 1619.35 | 136 | ||
HS | Win | Home | 8318.17 | 905.92 | 95 |
Away | 8129.57 | 826.23 | 49 | ||
No win | Home | 8301.38 | 900.57 | 90 | |
Away | 8114.58 | 950.89 | 136 | ||
SPR | Win | Home | 1679.93 | 410.68 | 95 |
Away | 1580.12 | 366.15 | 49 | ||
No win | Home | 1666.01 | 361.17 | 90 | |
Away | 1561.82 | 396.73 | 136 |
Dependent Variable | Independent Variable | Categories | Mean Difference (I-J) | Std. Error | Sig. | 95% Confidence Interval for Difference | Partial Eta Squared | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | J | Lower Bound | Upper Bound | ||||||
LOW | Result | Win | No win | 900.492 * | 320.453 | 0.005 | 270.320 | 1530.664 | 0.021 |
Location | Home | Away | −187.564 | 304.185 | 0.538 | −785.744 | 410.616 | 0.001 | |
MED | Result | Win | No win | 11.404 | 181.629 | 0.950 | −345.769 | 368.578 | <0.001 |
Location | Home | Away | 134.306 | 172.408 | 0.436 | −204.735 | 473.347 | 0.002 | |
HS | Result | Win | No win | −23.655 | 105.895 | 0.823 | −231.898 | 184.588 | <0.001 |
Location | Home | Away | 196.198 | 100.519 | 0.052 | −1.474 | 393.869 | 0.010 | |
SPR | Result | Win | No win | 18.759 | 45.648 | 0.681 | −71.007 | 108.526 | <0.001 |
Location | Home | Away | 101.423 * | 43.331 | 0.020 | 16.214 | 186.633 | 0.015 |
Dependent Variable | Independent Variables | Mean Difference (I-J) | Std. Error | Sig. | 95% Confidence Interval for Difference | Partial Eta Squared | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lower Bound | Upper Bound | ||||||||
LOW | Location | Result | |||||||
Home | Win | No win | 227.012 | 411.556 | 0.582 | −582.315 | 1036.339 | 0.001 | |
Away | Win | No win | 1573.972 | 469.733 | 0.001 | 650.240 | 2497.703 | 0.030 | |
Result | Location | ||||||||
Win | Home | Away | −861.044 | 481.571 | 0.075 | −1808.054 | 85.967 | 0.009 | |
No win | Home | Away | 485.916 | 371.205 | 0.191 | −244.060 | 1215.892 | 0.005 | |
MED | Location | Result | |||||||
Home | Win | No win | −183.623 | 233.265 | 0.432 | −642.339 | 275.094 | 0.002 | |
Away | Win | No win | 206.431 | 266.239 | 0.439 | −317.129 | 729.991 | 0.002 | |
Result | Location | ||||||||
Win | Home | Away | −60.721 | 272.949 | 0.824 | −597.475 | 476.033 | <0.001 | |
No win | Home | Away | 329.333 | 210.395 | 0.118 | −84.409 | 743.074 | 0.007 | |
HS | Location | Result | |||||||
Home | Win | No win | −16.212 | 136.001 | 0.905 | −283.658 | 251.234 | <0.001 | |
Away | Win | No win | −31.099 | 155.226 | 0.841 | −336.350 | 274.153 | <0.001 | |
Result | Location | ||||||||
Win | Home | Away | 203.641 | 159.138 | 0.201 | −109.303 | 516.586 | 0.004 | |
No win | Home | Away | 188.754 | 122.667 | 0.125 | −52.470 | 429.978 | 0.006 | |
SPR | Location | Result | |||||||
Home | Win | No win | 16.116 | 58.625 | 0.784 | −99.171 | 131.403 | <0.001 | |
Away | Win | No win | 21.403 | 66.913 | 0.749 | −110.181 | 152.987 | <0.001 | |
Result | Location | ||||||||
Win | Home | Away | 98.780 | 68.599 | 0.151 | −36.120 | 233.680 | 0.006 | |
No win | Home | Away | 104.067 | 52.877 | 0.050 | 0.083 | 208.051 | 0.011 |
Parameter | B | Std. Error | 95% Wald Confidence Interval | Hypothesis Test | Exp(B) | 95% Wald Confidence Interval for Exp(B) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lower | Upper | Wald Chi-Square | df | Sig. | Lower | Upper | ||||
(Intercept) | −10.911 | 3.8635 | −18.483 | −3.338 | 7.975 | 1 | 0.005 | 1.83×10−5 | 9.39×10 −9 | 0.035 |
[Location = Home] | 1.138 | 0.2417 | 0.664 | 1.611 | 22.157 | 1 | 0.000 | 3.119 | 1.942 | 5.009 |
[Location = Away] | 0 | 1 | ||||||||
Team strength | 0.082 | 0.0221 | 0.039 | 0.125 | 13.723 | 1 | 0.000 | 1.085 | 1.039 | 1.133 |
Opponent strength | −0.093 | 0.0215 | −0.135 | −0.051 | 18.638 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.911 | 0.874 | 0.951 |
MED | 0.000 | 0.0001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.934 | 1 | 0.334 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
LOW | 0.000 | 4.88×10−5 | 3.88×10−5 | 0.000 | 7.585 | 1 | 0.006 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
HS | 1.71×10−5 | 0.0002 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 1 | 0.941 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
SPR | 0.000 | 0.0004 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 1.136 | 1 | 0.286 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.001 |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Plakias, S.; Tasoulis, S.; Kyranoudis, A.E.; Kokkotis, C.; Moustakidis, S. The Limited Impact of Running Performance on Football Success in the Turkish Super League. Appl. Sci. 2025, 15, 637. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15020637
Plakias S, Tasoulis S, Kyranoudis AE, Kokkotis C, Moustakidis S. The Limited Impact of Running Performance on Football Success in the Turkish Super League. Applied Sciences. 2025; 15(2):637. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15020637
Chicago/Turabian StylePlakias, Spyridon, Sotiris Tasoulis, Angelos E. Kyranoudis, Christos Kokkotis, and Serafeim Moustakidis. 2025. "The Limited Impact of Running Performance on Football Success in the Turkish Super League" Applied Sciences 15, no. 2: 637. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15020637
APA StylePlakias, S., Tasoulis, S., Kyranoudis, A. E., Kokkotis, C., & Moustakidis, S. (2025). The Limited Impact of Running Performance on Football Success in the Turkish Super League. Applied Sciences, 15(2), 637. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15020637