1. Introduction
In today’s global landscape, traditional industries face multiple challenges: rapid technological advancement, market evolution, unexpected disruptions (such as epidemics and regional conflicts), and intensifying international competition. These challenges necessitate transformation toward high-value-added industries to ensure sustainable development and growth [
1]. Success in this transformation requires deep understanding of technological upgrade requirements, industrial chain restructuring, and sustainable development practices. The aviation industry, recognized as a high-value-added sector, represents a strategic development priority for many nations [
2]. It serves as both a measure of national technological capability and an attractive target for businesses seeking transformation opportunities. The industry’s impact extends beyond its immediate sphere—it catalyzes technological innovations across related sectors, creating a positive feedback loop of advancement while significantly contributing to economic growth [
3]. Moreover, the aviation sector’s demand for highly skilled professionals drives the development of specialized talent, fostering expertise in cutting-edge scientific and technological capabilities through hands-on project experience.
However, transitioning from a traditional industrial enterprise into the aviation industry is not an easy task [
4]. It involves changes covering a wide range of aspects, such as governmental regulations, manufacturing capabilities, and technology, all of which need to be developed simultaneously, and those who are interested in entering the civil aviation manufacturing industry may not be familiar with or understand its characteristics. In addition to the strict aviation regulations and quality system requirements, the technological threshold of the industry and the relationship between the upstream and downstream supply chains are also important factors in evaluating whether to make the investment required for transitioning into the industry [
5]. The aviation industry is a highly complex sector that typically involves numerous international suppliers. Besides having extremely high technical barriers, its logistics systems are also very complex. Therefore, the aviation industry referred to in this study does not mean manufacturers with complete aircraft production capabilities but rather refers to the challenges and transformation directions for traditional small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) looking to enter the aviation industry. Thus, the main subjects are all component suppliers and even aviation material suppliers. This study aims to accomplish two key goals. First, to identify the critical factors that enable traditional industrial enterprises to successfully transform into aviation manufacturing firms. Second, to analyze the interrelationships between these factors, providing a comprehensive understanding of how they influence the transformation process.
Previous studies have explored various aspects of industrial transformation using different analytical methods. Lee et al. [
6] combined AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and DEMATEL (Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) to identify design and innovation as crucial factors for traditional industry sustainability. Sheng et al. [
7] employed a hybrid fuzzy DEMATEL-ISM methodology to examine supply chain sustainability risk management within China’s steel industry. Similarly, Primadasa et al. [
8] combined DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC approaches to develop an interconnected framework of halal-sustainable supply chain management (HSSCM) indicators specifically designed for small and medium-sized enterprises. Wu and Wang [
9] examined how industrial transformation could reduce fossil fuel dependence through correlation analysis. Li and Guan [
10] used data envelopment analysis (DEA) to study state-owned enterprises’ role in industrial restructuring across Chinese provinces. In technology and innovation studies, Zou [
11] developed the LASIS model to analyze how technological innovation drives industrial upgrading, while Wang and Su [
12] employed panel models to assess marine technology’s impact on industry development. Jiang and Wang [
13] demonstrated the positive effects of digital transformation on supply chain stability and industrial structure through statistical analysis. In aviation-specific research, Poudeh [
14] utilized Analytic Network Process (ANP) and DEMATEL methods to evaluate make-or-buy decisions for aviation products. Additional studies focused on manufacturing transformation include Yang and Xiang’s [
15] grounded theory approach, Gu and Xu’s [
16] Bayesian analysis of innovation paths, and Feng and Wu’s [
17] sensitivity analysis of aviation industry management strategies. Liangrokapart and Sittiwatethanasiri [
18] combined SWOT analysis with AHP to develop strategic improvements for aviation maintenance operations.
While the existing literature has extensively covered transformation strategies for traditional industries, there is a notable gap in research specifically addressing transitions into the aviation sector. Moreover, the combined application of DEMATEL and Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) methodologies remains underutilized in transformation studies. In particular, there has been no comprehensive research examining how traditional industrial enterprises can successfully transform into high-value-added firms within the aviation industry. Our study addresses these knowledge gaps through an integrated methodological approach, combining grey DEMATEL and ISM analysis to identify and examine the critical factors that enable successful entry into the aviation sector.
DEMATEL serves as a graphical analysis tool widely used to study critical factors, distinguishing between cause-and-effect relationships [
19,
20,
21]. Complementing this, ISM provides a hierarchical analysis of factors, revealing their upstream and downstream relationships. The integration of DEMATEL and ISM methodologies can provide a comprehensive analytical framework, revealing both the causal relationships and hierarchical structures among factors essential for traditional businesses seeking to enter the aviation industry. Furthermore, previous studies have mostly used crisp values for analysis, without considering the uncertainty that may arise from incomplete information available to decision-makers, as well as the inconsistencies that may occur due to differences in individual decision-makers’ experiences. To address the inherent limitations of DEMATEL and ISM analyses, which heavily rely on expert judgment, this study employs two specialized methods. The grey number approach [
22] helps manage uncertainty stemming from incomplete information, while the Aczel–Alsina function [
23] provides a more sophisticated alternative to traditional averaging methods for synthesizing expert opinions. Unlike simple averaging, which can be skewed by extreme values and ignores expert credentials, the Aczel–Alsina function effectively accounts for varying levels of expertise and experience among decision-makers, resulting in more accurate weightings of expert judgments. The specific contributions of this paper include the following:
Provides information on the factors critical to the transformation of traditional industries into aviation manufacturing;
Analyzes the interrelationships between factors using research modeling to determine which factors serve as drivers (causes) and which serve as outcomes (effects);
Uses DEMATEL combined with ISM to reduce the number of pairwise comparisons;
Combines the grey number and Aczel–Alsina function to effectively improve the uncertainty and inconsistency of data collection;
Proposes strategies for upgrading traditional industries into the aviation industries, which can be used as a reference for government and industry.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows:
Section 2 provides a comprehensive literature review examining both theoretical underpinnings and practical considerations in civil aviation manufacturing.
Section 3 details the research methodology.
Section 4 presents and discusses the research findings. The concluding section addresses study limitations and provides key recommendations for future evaluation and development.
3. Research Methodology
The research methodology followed a three-stage process. Stage one involved identifying key factors through a literature review and expert interviews. Stage two focused on data collection and integration: experts evaluated factor relationships using linguistic variables, which were then converted into grey numbers. The Aczel–Alsina function was applied to synthesize these evaluations while addressing expert uncertainty and inconsistency. In stage three, the DEMATEL and ISM methods were employed to analyze the relationships between factors.
Figure 1 illustrates this research process in a flow chart, and the notations used are illustrated in the Abbreviations Section.
3.1. Aggregation of Expert Opinions Using the Aczel–Alsina Function
The criteria for expert selection included the following: (1) participation in aerospace certification programs (AS9100/NADCAP) [
53,
54], (2) familiarity with both local and international aerospace supply chains, and (3) direct involvement in SME upgrading projects. This study enhanced the original Aczel–Alsina method [
55] to create a grey multi-criteria decision-making matrix. By using interval numbers rather than simple averages, the combined grey number and Aczel–Alsina approach effectively integrates expert opinions while managing the uncertainty and inconsistency inherent in group decision-making processes.
For example, when expert k provides an assessment of how factor i influences factor j, their evaluation is represented by an interval value, , consisting of a lower and upper bound, i.e., , where is the lower bound and is the upper bound. These bounds are processed separately using the Aczel–Alsina nonlinear function to aggregate the expert opinions. The processing of these lower and upper bounds is detailed in the following section.
The aggregated values are determined by calculating the lower and upper bounds using Equations (1) and (2), respectively [
56]:
where
is defined as follows:
and
.
The weight (wk) in Equations (1) and (2) is determined by the expert’s academic credentials (ak) and years of professional experience (pk).
Finally, the aggregated impact of expert
k on factor
i and factor
j through the Aczel–Alsina weighted averaging strategy is represented as an interval, as shown in Equation (6):
3.2. Using the DEMATEL Method for Relationship Evaluation
The DEMATEL method helps analyze and make decisions in complex systems by generating an Influence Network Relations Map (INRM), which reveals causal relationships between system factors. The following section details the equations and analytical process of the DEMATEL methodology.
The direct influence matrix is constructed by integrating expert judgments using grey numbers and the Aczel–Alsina nonlinear function, which capture the influence degree, expert weights, inconsistency, and uncertainty of factor
i with respect to factor
j. The normalized direct influence matrix is then calculated using Equations (7) and (8), where the elements of the matrix are divided by the maximum sum of rows and columns.
and n is the number of factors.
The total influence relation matrix is derived through repeated influence relation iterations using the Markov chain convergence principle, as shown in Equation (9):
In the total influence relationship matrix, the row sum (
hi) represents the total influence that factor
i exerts on all other factors (Equation (10)). Conversely, the column sum (
li) indicates the total influence received by factor
i from all other factors (Equation (11)).
When the difference is positive, factor i has greater influence on other factors than it receives, identifying it as a causal factor. Conversely, a negative value indicates that factor i is more influenced by others, making it an effect factor. The sum represents the total involvement of factor i in the system—both its influence on others and the influence it receives. A higher sum indicates the greater overall importance of the factor in the system.
The Influence Network Relations Map (INRM) is constructed by plotting each factor’s coordinates, where the x-coordinate represents the factor’s total influence, , and the y-coordinate represents its net influence, . This visualization reveals the relationship network among all factors.
3.3. Using the CFCS Method for the Transformation of Crisp Values
The DEMATEL method produces a total influence relationship matrix expressed as grey number intervals. To determine clear causal relationships between factors, these intervals must be converted into crisp values. The following section details the CFCS (Converting Fuzzy Data into Crisp Scores) aggregation method formulas and steps, as developed by Xia et al. [
57].
Grey numbers are normalized to establish uniform scaling across all values. The normalization process is applied separately to both the lower and upper bounds of each grey number, following Equations (12) and (13):
where
Equation (15) is applied to calculate the total normalized crisp value (N
ij):
Equation (16) is applied to obtain the final crisp value for the matrix:
Each matrix element is converted from a grey number range to a single crisp value by combining the normalized value (Nij) with the range boundaries.
3.4. Delineating the Hierarchical Structures and Relationships Using the ISM Approach
The ISM method simplifies complex problems by creating clear, understandable frameworks. It uses a multi-level structural model to illustrate both the relationships between factors and their hierarchical order in complex socio-economic systems. When applied to the total influence matrix, ISM generates a hierarchical structure showing how factors are organized and interconnected. The following section outlines the step-by-step process for implementing the ISM method:
Referring to the computational process studied by Liang et al. [
58], the initial reachability matrix, M, is obtained by utilizing matrix S after defuzzification of the total influence matrix in Equation (16).
The total influence matrix,
S, is used to generate the structural interaction matrix,
Q, and the threshold,
, is applied as the filtering parameter in the subsequent hierarchy. In this study,
is the average value of all elements of the total influence matrix,
S. The main purpose in applying the threshold
is to exclude less influential factors and gradually simplify the parameters that constitute the hierarchical structure. When the total influence of factor
i on
j is lower than
, its influence can be ignored, and when the total influence of factor
i on
j is higher than
, it is considered to have influence.
We transformed the SIM matrix (
Q) into the reachability matrix (
M) by incorporating transitivity effects according to Equation (18). From this reachability matrix, we derived both the reachability set (
R) and the antecedent set (
A) using Equations (19)–(21).
If an element of set F produced by Equation (22) is the same as an element of set R produced by Equation (19), then that element is removed from the matrix, M, and is also assigned to the first level. The steps in Equations (19)–(21) are repeated to generate the elements of each level until all elements are assigned to different levels, after which the upper- and lower-level structures of all the elements can be generated.
5. Discussion
In this section, the managerial significance of industrial transformation and upgrading expressed in this study is introduced, and the theoretical significance of this study is presented and explained based on the results of the analytical process described in
Section 4.
5.1. Management Implications
This study investigated pathways for traditional manufacturers to enter the aviation manufacturing sector, a high-value-added technology industry. Our methodology consisted of three main steps: identifying 12 key factors from 23 expert-suggested factors, integrating expert opinions using grey numbers and the Aczel–Alsina function, and employing DEMATEL-ISM to analyze factor interactions and hierarchical structure. The results are shown in
Table 10 and
Figure 2 and
Figure 3. According to
Table 8, the most important factors by total influence are (
C11) OEM outsourcing policies and regulations and (
C12) aviation manufacturing certification regulations. This reflects the aviation industry’s extremely high technological barriers, where traditional manufacturers typically require technology transfer or OEM support for market entry. Since aviation prioritizes safety, countries establish civil aviation regulations requiring sound certification to verify technological and manufacturing capabilities for consumer acceptance.
Aviation manufacturing certification regulations issued by authorities (FAA and EASA) define required certifications for each product/component, establishing qualifications, procedures, and standards. Applicants must define test methods and demonstrate regulatory compliance. These high regulatory thresholds make it difficult for newcomers to complete manufacturing and achieve compliant product functions without OEM-provided information on materials, designs, and test methods. The results indicate that meeting aviation certification requirements is the most critical decision-making factor for new entrants. We recommend that governments establish appropriate verification regulations and organizations while developing aviation industries, providing clear manufacturer guidelines. Companies should enhance technological capabilities and obtain OEM certification to become suppliers. The INRM (
Figure 2) demonstrates that
C11 and
C12 serve as foundational industry entry requirements, substantially influencing all other key factors. These findings align with our expert interview results.
To demonstrate the reliability and robustness of our findings, we employed a dual validation approach. First, we conducted an empirical case study of a mid-sized precision machining company located in Taichung. This firm underwent a strategic transformation from traditional mechanical manufacturing to aerospace supply chain integration by securing AS9100 certification, enhancing CNC machining technologies, and implementing comprehensive organizational restructuring. By analyzing the company’s transformation pathway through the lens of our identified critical success factors—particularly C11 (OEM policies) and C12 (certification mechanisms)—we validated the practical relevance and real-world applicability of our theoretical model. Second, to ensure the stability of our analytical framework, we performed a comprehensive sensitivity analysis by introducing ±10% perturbations to the grey number intervals established by our expert panel. The analysis revealed that the hierarchical ranking of pivotal factors, including C11, C12, and C9, remained consistent across all perturbation scenarios. This stability demonstrates that our model maintains its predictive accuracy and reliability even when accounting for reasonable variations in expert judgment, thereby reinforcing confidence in the validity of our research outcomes.
Table 10 shows that (
C1) organizational culture and employee quality has the strongest net influence. A company cannot transform without changing its culture. Traditional industries must first change their organizational cultures to succeed. This change requires developing talent and bringing in new people with fresh ideas. Senior management must fully support these changes. These steps are essential for entering high-value industries. A strong organizational culture helps solve other challenges naturally. It guides the company in a positive direction. The ISM results confirm this by showing
C1 at the first level, affecting all other factors. According to
Table 10, when examining both total and net influence, (
C2) corporate management philosophy emerges as a key factor. Since management philosophy determines how leadership guides initiatives and shapes operational principles, top executives must maintain a clear vision for the company’s future. This clarity ensures efficient transformation without wasting resources. Senior management should either continually enhance their understanding of technological and market trends or engage external consultants for specific reform strategies. From the ISM results (
Figure 3), (
C3) R&D capacity and (
C7) industry research and regulation analysis sit at the top level. This means that when a company improves its other factors, its R&D and market analysis abilities grow stronger. These two improved abilities show that a company has become more competitive. These results show that despite the technological advancement and innovation of traditional industries, it is still not easy to make the transition into the aviation industry. Companies must first transform their organizational culture and focus on talent recruitment and development. In addition to establishing sound verification regulations, the government should also use various trade negotiation opportunities to help companies obtain original manufacturer technology licenses or certifications. Therefore, the results of this study are expected to enable enterprises in the industry to understand the ecology of the aviation manufacturing system and, at the same time, to grasp the key factors to become a part of the supply chain.
5.2. Theoretical Contribution
In group decision-making processes, different perspectives often arise due to individual decision-makers’ varying knowledge, experience, and departmental backgrounds. Each decision-maker may also reach different conclusions due to incomplete information reception and personal uncertainties in interpreting linguistic variables. This study first used grey numbers to capture the uncertainty in individual expert judgments. In the past, group opinions were mostly aggregated using averages, but averages are easily affected by extreme values and may lead to information loss. This study adopted the Aczel–Alsina function to integrate different expert opinions. This approach not only considers expert weights but is also less likely to cause information loss. Additionally, it works well with grey numbers and fuzzy logic, can process imprecise or uncertain expert assessments, and maintains the integrity of uncertainties throughout calculations [
21,
50].
The DEMATEL and ISM methods rely on expert opinions rather than large-scale statistical surveys, typically employing alternative means to enhance reliability, such as fuzzy, rough, or grey numbers, to capture uncertainty in expert opinions. Our proposed model uses grey numbers and the Aczel–Alsina function to aggregate input data, representing an integrated approach that constitutes this study’s improvement. For validation, we asked a decision-making team to confirm the findings, and experts indicated results that aligned with their practical experience, suggesting credible outcomes. The DEMATEL and ISM analysis data derived from expert surveys regarding pairwise influence comparisons between factors. This survey method differs from other MCDM approaches, making it impossible to use identical survey data for analysis and comparison with other models. Currently, most MCDM models (AHP, ANP, TOPSIS, and VIKOR) focus primarily on calculating factor weights or ranking alternatives, with no similar methods available for investigating influential relationships between factors. This limitation reinforces the uniqueness and necessity of our approach in examining inter-factor relationships rather than simple weighting or ranking.
Integrating DEMATEL and ISM methodologies offers two key advantages: it eliminates the need for additional surveys and enables direct transitivity analysis using the DEMATEL-derived influence matrix through ISM concepts. This integration creates stronger consistency between the factor hierarchy and DEMATEL’s network relationships. By combining the ISM hierarchical structure with the INRM network diagram, decision-makers can better understand factor relationships, distinguish between causes and effects, and establish improvement priorities under resource constraints. This provides manufacturers with a more efficient transformation strategy.
6. Conclusions
Small and medium-sized enterprises in developing countries face competition from multinational corporations and must undergo transformation to achieve sustainable development. What are the key success factors for traditional industries transforming into the high-value-added aviation industry? Additionally, it is also important to consider the interrelationships among these factors. In this study, many transformation factors were analyzed, including enterprises’ own capabilities, technological capacities, internationalization, and regulatory constraints. This study first identified the key factors for enterprises in traditional industries to transform into the aviation industry through a literature review and in-depth interviews with experts. Then, the DEMATEL-ISM method was used to explore the causal and hierarchical relationships among these factors. To address the uncertainty and inconsistency in expert decisions, the data were integrated using grey theory combined with the Aczel–Alsina function. This study identified three paramount factors for aviation sector entry: organizational culture and employee quality, aviation certification regulations, and OEM outsourcing policies. While our analysis centered on Taiwan’s traditional industries, these findings offer valuable insights for developing nations whose industries seek to transition into aviation manufacturing.
Despite its valuable findings, this study has certain limitations. For example, it is still necessary to consider the MRO issues in the later stages of aviation manufacturing by deepening FAA or EASA’s MRO requirements, strengthening operational risk and safety management, and promoting long-term quality assurance and regulatory compliance through a third-party audit mechanism to ensure quality and regulatory compliance. Further, any business transformation involves dynamic adjustments to strategy and also varies according to the circumstances of individual companies. Therefore, this paper serves as preliminary research that attempts to use experts’ past successful transformation experiences to provide strategic direction for SME transformations. Future researchers may discuss its dynamic strategy. While our expert panel brought extensive experience from Taiwan’s industry, the research scope primarily focused on the aviation machinery manufacturing sector’s perspective. In the future, it would be beneficial to include perspectives from other industries or government officers, such as the avionics industry or certification professionals, to explore the transformation issues and compare the results with those of this study. Additionally, this study used grey numbers combined with the Aczel–Alsina function to integrate the expert opinions; in the future, other fuzzy number or data aggregation methods could be used for data consolidation.